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Ethereumanalysis

Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/26Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH retrace 12% to a low of $1294 after creating a new alltimehigh @ $1475 and is now consolidating at the 200MAs. Chart Patterns: No patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the highs @ $1475. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1475, forming a bull trap 2. Trade Entry Confirmations: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick, above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, MACD topping out TRADES RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. Why Follow Me Daily analysis on the latest market movements and price zones for high probability trade setups. Live trade signals so that you can take the same trades that I am taking. A great place to help each other, learn from each other, and grow together. Trading education in the form of personal advice and educational materials Constantly testing and adding new trading strategies and refining battle-tested ones. About Me I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016. I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options. I have worked at top consulting firms advising Fortune 500 companies and worked on $10Billion+ deals. I have founded and advised blockchain projects and companies, including in the areas of defi, nft, data ownership, and personal identity. I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following, and sharing your ideas and analysis below! Thanks!
by cryptotraderog
13
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/25Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH going on an insane pump to create a new ATH @ $1475. Lets see if it corrects down from here or goes parabolic like BTC did when it broke $20K Chart Patterns: No patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the current levels around $1438 and the 200MAs @ $1290-1310. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace back down to test the 200MAs and then continue moving up. 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1290-1310 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bullish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD bottoming Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1438, forming a bull trap 2. Trade Entry Confirmations: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick, above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, MACD topping out Why Follow Me Daily analysis on the latest market movements and price zones for high probability trade setups. Live trade signals so that you can take the same trades that I am taking. A great place to help each other, learn from each other, and grow together. Trading education in the form of personal advice and educational materials Constantly testing and adding new trading strategies and refining battle-tested ones. About Me I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016. I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options. I have worked at top consulting firms advising Fortune 500 companies and worked on $10Billion+ deals. I have founded and advised blockchain projects and companies, including in the areas of defi, nft, data ownership, and personal identity. I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following, and sharing your ideas and analysis below! Thanks!
by cryptotraderog
21
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/24Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH consolidated at the 200MAs, and has broken out from that range and is rallying hard. Chart Patterns: No patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the highs @ $1438 and the 200MAs @ $1235-1255.. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace back down to test the 200MAs and then continue moving up. 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1235-1255 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bullish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD bottoming Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1438, forming a bull trap 2. Trade Entry Confirmations: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick, above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, MACD topping out Why Follow Me Daily analysis on the latest market movements and price zones for high probability trade setups. Live trade signals so that you can take the same trades that I am taking. A great place to help each other, learn from each other, and grow together. Trading education in the form of personal advice and educational materials Constantly testing and adding new trading strategies and refining battle-tested ones. About Me I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016. I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options. I have worked at top consulting firms advising Fortune 500 companies and worked on $10Billion+ deals. I have founded and advised blockchain projects and companies, including in the areas of defi, nft, data ownership, and personal identity. I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following, and sharing your ideas and analysis below! Thanks!
by cryptotraderog
12
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/22Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH had a 28% crash from a high of $1438 to a low of $1040, and still experiencing heavy price volatility. Chart Patterns: No patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 200MAs @ $1235-1270. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a short position, we are waiting for price to retrace back up to test the 200MAs and then continue moving down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1235-1270 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out STRATEGY TYPES My strategies fall into three categories: 1. Official strategies are those that have proven to be profitable over a large number of trades 2. Testing strategies are those that have proven to be profitable but the sample size is relatively small 3. Formulating strategies are strategies that are still in development ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
4
$ETH - Be Wary - One Final "Drop" May Happen Before the Big PushI'm Bullish on Ethereum all the way. Now yesterday I made a call and so far we're still in profit from that call. However, there was a drop in the middle of the night (London session) That made me take a step back and look at it from another perspective. One thing I do is I usually don't measure wicks on the fib for entries to trades. However, this could be a different scenario to where that may play out. Why? Because there are equal lows right around 1152 that happened on January 15-16 GMT . Just below that is a Bullish Order Block. I jumped into the 5 min Chart to find this one. It's in the red Elipse just below the Liquidity/Support Level. Which is also right at the 70.5% of the retracement from that deep low to the current high. Also if you look at It from a 4HR view, There are no bearish 4 hr candles, possibly suggesting this is the overall correct fib. Keep in mind there has been a break of structure that happened yesterday which is suggesting that the price will most likely be going higher. This of course will be nullified if the price breaks and stays below a significant low. But instead, I think we may see something like this to where it get's close but it will just wipe out the liquidity resting near that 1152 level and hit somewhere between 1133 and 1142 before it bounces back up and we see a new high again. I pulled from another exchange for these prices and the equal low/liquidity level ended up being the same (1152), the Bullish order block ended up being the same (1133 - 1142) But the biggest difference was the spike down where we would draw the fib low or 100% level. The one in the examples low is 1072. The low in the Coinbase level was 1065. But of a difference there, which is why I said I don't like using wicks to measure these things. So just be wry of those price levels and don't be so worried about the Fibonacci entry. Good Luck and Happy Trading
BITFINEX:ETHUSDLong
by BodiesXWix
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/21Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: After dropping almost 15% from a high of $1438, ETH has been recovering and getting near the highs again. Chart Patterns: No patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the highs at $1438. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down to $1438 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1438, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out STRATEGY TYPES My strategies fall into three categories: 1. Official strategies are those that have proven to be profitable over a large number of trades 2. Testing strategies are those that have proven to be profitable but the sample size is relatively small 3. Formulating strategies are strategies that are still in development ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
2
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/20Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH broke out and made a new high @ $1438 and now seems to be forming a symmetrical triangle, seeming to want to break higher. Chart Patterns: ETH seems to be forming a symmetrical triangle. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the highs at $1438 and the 200MAs @ $1315-1335. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace back down to test the 200MAs and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1315-1335 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down to $1348 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1348, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out STRATEGY TYPES My strategies fall into three categories: 1. Official strategies are those that have proven to be profitable over a large number of trades 2. Testing strategies are those that have proven to be profitable but the sample size is relatively small 3. Formulating strategies are strategies that are still in development ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
6
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/19Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH has been rallying hard and broke above the recent highs @ $1298 and is now trading between this level and the highs @ $1349. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the S&R flip @ $1298 and the highs at $1349. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price d falls back down below $1298 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1349, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out STRATEGY TYPES My strategies fall into three categories: 1. Official strategies are those that have proven to be profitable over a large number of trades 2. Testing strategies are those that have proven to be profitable but the sample size is relatively small 3. Formulating strategies are strategies that are still in development ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
8
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/18Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH is consolidating in the range of $1160-1300, seems to be getting ready for a big move. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and the highs at $1298. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down below $1298 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high of $1298, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out STRATEGY TYPES My strategies fall into three categories: 1. Official strategies are those that have proven to be profitable over a large number of trades 2. Testing strategies are those that have proven to be profitable but the sample size is relatively small 3. Formulating strategies are strategies that are still in development ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
4
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/17Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH rallied to a high of $1298 and has just now broken down below the 200MAs. Price needs to reclaim 200MAs in order to continue bullish momentum. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and the highs at $1298. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $1157 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down below $1298 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high of $1298, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
4
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/16Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH rallied to a high of $1257 before having a flash crash to $1045, and is now trading in the middle of the range @ ~$1150. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1045 and the highs at $1257. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace down to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 61.8Fib @ $1045 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down below $1257 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high of $1257, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
5
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/15Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH rallied hard off of the lows of $915, and is currently getting close to retesting the highs @ 1349 Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 200MAs @ $1140-1165. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace back down to test the 200MAs and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1140-1165 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
10
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/14Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH bounced from a low of $915, bounced to a high of $1150 and then traded below the 200MAs until finally breaking above, establishing short term bullish bias. Chart Patterns: We are trading in a narrow upwards sloping channel. Need to pay attention when we test / break the channel top /bottom. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1183. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a short position, we are waiting for price to retrace up to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and bounce back down. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
6
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/13Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: After losing almost 1/3 of its value from a high of $1348 to a low of $915, ETH rallied 26% to $1150 where it got rejected by the 200MAs and has since showed continued weakness trading under the 200MAs. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and the lows at $915. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: False Breakdown To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal support and then recover. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks below the low of $915 and then rapidly climbs above $915, forming a bear trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakdown candlestick followed by a reclaiming candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a short position, we are waiting for price to retrace up to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and bounce back down. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
4
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/12Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH had a major correction, losing almost 1/3 of its value from a high of $1348 to a low of $915, and is currently consolidating between $1000-$1100. We were trying to catch the reversal at the bottom, but unfortunately entered too soon and had a losing trade. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and the lows at $915. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/11: We had losing trade! We entered a long @ $1024.8, with Stop Loss @ $971, which was hit. 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had two winning trades! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: False Breakdown To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal support and then recover. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks below the low of $915 and then rapidly climbs above $915, forming a bear trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakdown candlestick  followed by a reclaiming candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib) To open a short position, we are waiting for price to retrace up to test the 61.8Fib and then continue moving down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 61.8Fib @ $1183 and bounce back down. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bearish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
8
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/11Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! Also check out my daily post on Bitcoin! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH made a new multi-year high @ $1348, retraced down to the 200MAs, where we took a profitable long trade, and then dropped to a low of $1170. Chart Patterns: No Patterns Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the high @ $1348. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/01/10: We had winning trade! We entered a long @ $1283, with Stop Loss @ $1247, and price reached a high of $1325, giving a risk reward ratio of 1:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above $1348, falls back down to $1348 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $1348 and then rapidly falls below $1348, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
6
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/10Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: After consolidating at the 200MAs, ETH rallied to a new multi-year high @ $1341 and has been in sideways consolidating since. Chart Patterns: No patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the high @ $1341 and the 200MAs projected @ $1240-1255. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. 2020/12/30: We had winning trade! We entered a long @$733, with a Stop Loss @ $716, and price reached a high of $759, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace back down to test the 200MAs and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1240-1255 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $1341 and then rapidly falls below $1341, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
21
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/09Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH made a new multi-year high @ $1289 and has been consolidating since, looking poised to make a big move after consolidating. Chart Patterns: We are within a triangle. Need to pay attention to when it reaches the upper and lower bounds and especially as price approaches the end of the triangle as there is a high probability of a large breakout move. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the high @ $1163 and the 200MAs projected @ $1020-1040. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. 2020/12/30: We had winning trade! We entered a long @$733, with a Stop Loss @ $716, and price reached a high of $759, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above $1289, falls back down to $1289 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: False Breakdown To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal support @ $1065 and then recover. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks below the low of $1065 and then rapidly climbs above $1065, forming a bear trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakdown candlestick  followed by a reclaiming candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance @ $1289 and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $1221 and then rapidly falls below $1221, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
20
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/01/08Live trades will be called in the latest daily post. Follow me to trade live with me! MARKET OVERVIEW Price Action: ETH made a new multi-year high @ $1289 and then had a violent correction, a selloff of 12% from peak to bottom. Chart Patterns: No patterns. Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us are the high @ $1289 and the 200MAs projected @ $1175-1190. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time. TRADES(S) RECAP: LATEST 3 TRADES 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! After our short trade, we had a trade of a new experimental trendline strategy. We entered a long @ $1194, with Stop Loss @ $1173, and price reached a low of $1289, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 4.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 4.5BTC. 2021/ 01 /07: We had winning trade! We entered a short @ $1213, with Stop Loss @ $1224, and price reached a low of $1159, giving a risk reward ratio of almost 5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made almost 5BTC. 2020/12/30: We had winning trade! We entered a long @$733, with a Stop Loss @ $716, and price reached a high of $759, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.5:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made 1.5BTC. TRADE SETUPS Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading. Regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal. Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation To open a long position, we are waiting for price to create a new high, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above $1289, falls back down to $1289 and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume signal candle 4. MACD: MACD bottoming out Long Trade Setup #2: Retest and Continuation (200MAs) To open a long position, we are waiting for price to retrace back down to test the 200MAs and then continue moving up. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price needs to move back down to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1175-1190 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back up. 2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern 3. Volume: Above average volume on entry candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance @ $1289 and then fall back down. Trade Entry Confirmation: 1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $1289 and then rapidly falls below $1289, forming a bull trap 2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick  followed by a breakdown candlestick 3. Volume: Above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle 4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out ENTRY SIGNAL TYPES Trade calls will be separated into two categories, official and unofficial. The reason for the distinction is that official entry calls are only for high probability trade setups whereas unofficial calls might have slightly lower probability of winning but positive net profitability due to high risk reward. As I see a lot of traders, do not practice proper risk management and position sizing, I want to protect them from the second type of trades. At the same time, I know there are more sophisticated traders who can take advantage of both types of calls. So this is the solution that I’ve come up with, which is to separate the two trade types into two types of entry calls. Official entry calls will come with detailed entry, stop loss and take profit levels, whereas unofficial trade entries might or might not and will rely a little bit more on the trader themselves to manage the trade. This is one way to distinguish the more experienced traders from the newer ones. If you are unable to enter an unofficial trade entry without those details, then it means that you shouldn’t be taking those trades and should stick only to the official trades. 1. Official entry calls will be posted using “trading active” post type. 2. Unofficial entry calls are potential good trading opportunities that will be posted using “comments” post type. ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management. TRADE MANAGEMENT I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal. Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks. Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with. RISK MANAGEMENT / POSITION SIZING Trading is a marathon, not a sprint. The key is to stay in the game long enough for long term probabilities to play out. Even strategies with 90%+ win rate will have losing trades, so if you go all in one every trade, eventually you will blow up your account. My recommendation is to dynamically change your position size based on the size of the stop loss so that you are risking 1-2% of your total account size on any given trade. This means that if you’re wrong and the trade hitting the stop loss, you lose 1-2% of your account. As an illustration, if your account balance is 1BTC, then the most you should lose on any given trade should be 0.01-0.02BTC. Notice that I didn’t mention leverage here. Because what leverage (3X, 5X,10X, etc.) doesn’t matter here. What matters is the position size that matches up with a 1-2% account balance risk. HOW TO USE MY ANALYSIS Every day I post potential areas of interest and trade setups based on the latest market conditions and market structure. Once price reaches one of the identified areas of interest and gives a valid entry signal, I will post the entry, along with stop loss and take profit levels, in real time. No hindsight 20/20 here. Everything is in real time for full transparency and so that you can actually enter the same trades that I'm entering. Some trades only give us a few minutes to enter, which is why it's imperative that you follow me so that you don't miss out. Below are two ways that you can use the analysis that I publish daily: 1. You can integrate my analysis into your own analysis, for example by using it as a starting point, or as confirmation of your own TA, or to identify potential trades for yourself. 2. You follow the trade setups and trade entry signals that I give in real time. DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR. Please support me by liking, sharing, commenting, and following! Thanks! Please share your ideas and analysis below so we can all learn together!
by cryptotraderog
15