Ethereum- Nice bullish chart structure indicates 5kLike BITSTAMP:BTCUSD and much of the crypto market, COINBASE:ETHUSD is also in a strong uptrend.
A correction began in March and concluded at the beginning of May.
After breaking out of the corrective falling wedge, the price rose again to the 4k zone, with a high likelihood of breaking above this important level at this moment
If this occurs, I expect Ethereum to reach a new all-time high around 5k or even higher.
I remain bullish as long as the price stays above 3.5k.
Ethereumforecast
ETH ETF Approval Could Spur 60% Rally as ETH Buying IncreasesThe approval of spot ether exchange-traded funds (ETF) in the U.S. could lead to a significant rise in the token's value, mirroring the market reaction seen with bitcoin ETFs. Bitcoin rose to over $73,000 from $42,000 in the two weeks after the ETF started trading on Jan. 11, CoinGecko data shows. The decision on the ether ETF is expected soon, with significant buying activity observed on both centralized and blockchain-based exchanges.
Buying activity increased on both centralized and blockchain-based crypto exchanges, with holders buying over 100,000 CRYPTOCAP:ETH in spot markets on Tuesday, the highest daily level since September 2023. Open interest on ether-tracked futures spiked in tandem to a record $14 billion, 67% of bitcoin open interest as of Wednesday. Activity also increased at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange, an exchange favored by institutions, with ether futures hitting a record notional $2.85 billion of trading on Tuesday. Ether options traded a record 1,135 contracts ($216 million).
Ether ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) prices in the coming days could be volatile after investors sent 62,000 CRYPTOCAP:ETH to exchanges, the most since early March. However, the firm's analysts warned of a "significant price correction" should the ETF application be dismissed. Six issuers, including BlackRock, filed updated copies of their ether ETF proposals this week ahead of a decision due today. All removed plans to stake the token, suggesting the activity may have been a regulatory roadblock.
Ethereum 15k+- i am far to be Elliot Wave expert and to be honest i am not a fan.
- there's a lack of precision and EW can be extended.
- Don't forget that the real name is " Elliot Wave THEORY ".
- included a Fibo Analysis + Trend Analysis + famous bubbles.
"The Elliott Wave Theory is a form of technical analysis that looks for recurrent long-term price patterns related to persistent changes in investor sentiment and psychology. The theory identifies impulse waves that set up a pattern and corrective waves that oppose the larger trend ".
- Everything is in graphic as always.
Happy Trading !
ETH consolidating before continuing its way to $4KEther extended its gains over the past 24 hours as investors now expect an approval of Van Eck’s application for a spot Ether exchange traded fund (ETF) as early as today or by tomorrow at the latest. This would be the first of nine similar applications to be approved by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC).
“ If they approve the Ethereum ETF, they are approving the entire industry. This is the last dam to be broken,” the crypto profile Anthony Pompliano said.
The price of Ether rose another 3 percent on these speculations over the past 24 hours. It has risen by 29 percent over the past seven days.
“If the spot ETH ETF is approved, it will be a true shock to everyone I know in DC who's close to this process. That doesn't mean it won't happen. It means approval could signal a major shift in US crypto policy after the SAB 121 vote, perhaps more important than the ETF itself,” the Chief Legal Officer of Variant Fund, Jake Chervinsky echoed.
The US Congress has turned down the SEC’s proposed SAB 121 regulation, which would have forced crypto custodians to record their clients’ crypto holdings as liabilities on their balance sheet. The concerned financial institutions would incur massive capital expenses if this regulation was enforced. The question now is whether President Joe Biden will veto the decisions of the two chambers as he has indicated he will do, or not.
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Inflows into the ETH ETFs estimated to reach up to $45 billion
Inflows into the above-mentioned Ether ETFs will reach between $15 and $45 billion by next summer, conditional on their approvals, according to the estimates of the Head of Forex and Digital Assets research at Standard Chartered Bank, Geoff Kendrick. He forecasts that the price of Ether will reach $8,000 by year-end, the Block reports.
Clouds with some sun are gathering over Ethereum in the next 24 hours, but bullish sunny vibes will be back within 3 days and extend to the one-week time horizon. This indicates further upside potential for ETH.
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$ETH Up 20% as Odds of Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) Approval High Ether (ETH) has surged 20% to over $3,829 as favorable regulatory developments increase the likelihood of ETF approval. CoinDesk 20, tracking the largest digital assets, rose nearly 8% amid positive regulatory progress on Ether ETFs. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has made abrupt progress in the approval of a Ether ETF by asking exchanges to update 19b-4 filings for ether ETFs. This suggests potential progress toward spot Ether ETF approvals.
As a result of this significant development, the ether implied volatility curve flattened as 25-delta risk reversals hit YTD highs above 18%, and traders heavily bought $4000 calls for 24 May 2024 and 31 May, according to Presto Research analysts. A Polymarket contract asking if an ether ETF would be approved by May 31 jumped from 10 cents to 55 cents, representing a 55% chance that approval will take place by May 31. Another Polymarket contract asking if the ETF will be approved by June 30 is currently trading at 68%.
A decision on VanEck's proposed ether ETF is due on May 23, followed by Ark's on May 24. Fidelity has filed an amended S-1 application with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for its spot Ether exchange-traded fund (ETF). The asset management giant has reportedly filed an updated S-1 application, stating that the ETF’s underlying Ether ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH $3,755) tokens will not be staked. S-1 filings are the SEC’s required registration form for launching publicly traded securities products in the United States.
The next SEC deadline is May 23 for VanEck’s Ether ETF proposal. While senior Bloomberg ETF analyst Eric Balchunas has increased the odds of approval to 75% from 25%, this only applies to the 19b-4 form. Ether ETF issuers will also need to get their S-1 filings approved, according to Bloomberg ETF analyst James Seyffart.
Staked Ether could be classified as a security despite CRYPTOCAP:ETH ETF approval. The SEC has previously sought to classify Ether as a security, and Ethereum’s upgrade to proof-of-stake (PoS) may have given the regulator another reason. However, the securities watchdog may still classify staked Ether as a security, according to Alex Thorn, the head of research at Galaxy Research.
Technical Outlook
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is up 4% as of the time of writing at $3,809 per coin. With a Bullish Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 72.93 Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is set for a mega rally, the daily price chart depicts a "Bullish Flag Pattern" accentuating the thesis.
Furthermore, the Long Bullish "Harami" candlestick on the daily price chart likewise validates the bullish thesis.
This. Is Actually Bullish. But First. One More Liquidation? Traders,
I'm seeing this on the Bitcoin chart as well (future post). But here on Ethereum we are in a bullish descending wedge. It should break to the upside soon. However, careful going all in just yet. My spiny senses are telling me we could have one more liquidation of longs incoming before all lights are green. Our .618 fib level seems to be holding well so, this might look like a quick wick down during the course of the day touching that bottom part of the descending triangle or even possibly the 200 day sma. Get ready to pull the trigger on those buy orders if that happens or even if it doesn't.
Stew
Ethereum $Eth #EthKeep an eye on these down sloping trend lines as well as these horizontals before you get overly Bullish on this bounce and or watch them as areas your playing the bounce to.
Until proven wrong and or Big enough move on volume to really jump above these and then back test and turn the $3400 range into support we are still just going DOWN.
Playing these levels as marked IMO can be profitable for short term trades especially on leverage.
Once we cleanly break and hold above the $3400 range we will have a much different picture for the Bulls.
Ethereum Dilemma: $2,819 Drop or $3K Breakthrout?Ethereum is bearish in the daily chart and can decline to $2,819, where price action will be very important.
The ETHUSD chart has to push up to above $3,006 into the daily range zone towards $3,354, a critical daily resistance.
A sustained price action that we see below $3,006 confirms the weakness, potentially triggering a bearish momentum targeting $2,597.
Ethereum Dives Briefly, As JP Morgan Sees Spot ETH ETF ApprovalEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) experienced a sharp price decline on Friday, following data revealing its underperformance compared to Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). Despite recent Wells notices to crypto firms, JP Morgan analysts predict spot ETH ETFs will likely be approved. The SEC's recent Wells notices to Robinhood Crypto, Consensys, and Uniswap do not pose a challenge to the agency's potential approval of a spot ETH ETF. Markets do not expect an approval by this month as implied by the significant discount to NAV by the Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETHE.
JP Morgan analysts also suggested that the SEC may face a legal challenge and eventually lose if it denies applications for spot ETH ETFs, considering the agency already approved futures-based ETH ETFs. General Partner at Van Buren Capital Scott Johnsson expressed an opposite view, stating that he would be surprised if a legal battle ensued following a potential spot ETH ETF denial. Grayscale hinted that it won't take the SEC to court this time after withdrawing a "key tool" — probably its application for futures ETH ETF.
Ethereum Layer 2s are about to set a new all-time high in terms of active addresses, with more than 5.2 million monthly active users as of May 5. This surge in user growth coincides with declining gas fees for Ethereum Layer 2s, which have been reduced more than tenfold since the Dencun upgrade in March.
Glassnode data shows that Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has underperformed in the last two years when compared to Bitcoin, with a low ETH/BTC ratio and ETH drawdown in this cycle (-44%), doubling Bitcoin's (-21%). The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) of Bitcoin crossed 0.5 and entered the euphoria phase three months before the equivalent metric for Ethereum.
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is trading with a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.41 which is slightly oversold. The asset's daily price chart shows that Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is in a "Falling Wedge" pattern but a trend reversal is looming in the near to long term.
Ethereum's $3,000 Dilemma: Bullish Rejection, Bearish Break-Out?Indecisiveness persists in the intraday chart as Ethereum hovers around $2,992, an intraday support zone.
1. A bullish rejection of $2,992 with momentum could offer a scalping opportunity, targeting $3,166, $3,370, and possibly extending to $3,551.
2. Closing H4 candles below $2,992 raises the likelihood of a downside move towards $2,898 and $2,787.
3. Alternatively, a lack of momentum may result in sluggish, sideways price action between $2,992 and $3,166.
More details in signature!
ETH to Drop Further 📉; Clouds ☁️ & Rain On the Horizon 🌧️SEC postpones yet another decision on a spot Ether ETF application 🙄
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has postponed its decision regarding the application of Invesco Galaxy’s spot ETH ETF to July 5.
The US regulator had already delayed its decision regarding Van Eck’s similar application to May 23 and that of Franklin Templeton’s to June 11. Few analysts expect an approval on these three dates.
The price of Ether dropped 3.37 percent to $2,947 over the past 24 hours. ATTMO forecasts clouds and rain for the next 24 hours and 7 days, signaling a likely downside for Ethereum.
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Ethereum ETH Intraday Trade SetupAfter failing to re-claim $3,166 yesterday, we saw a decline towards $2,992 zone.
From its current location, the price can move in either direction.
A bullish move towards and break-out of $3,166 followed by a re-test of this level will offer a long scalping opportunity towards $3,370 and, possibly higher, to $3,551.
A bearish break-out of $3,354 will lead to a short-lived dip towards $2,898 and lower to $2,787.
More details in signature.
#ETH/USDT Bullish above this MA...#ETHUSDT appears to be forming a bull flag pattern.
A bullish signal will confirm if we see a close above the blue 75 EMA and a breakout from the flag.
Until then, consider this a retest of the dotted trendline.
Let's wait for the weekly candle to close for more clarity, as the 75 EMA has proven quite reliable on the daily chart!
NFA, DYOR!
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Ethereum - Don't lose your sight!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Ethereum .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2022 Ethereum perfectly retest the previous cycle high which was roughly at the psychological $1.000 level. Here Ethereum also created bullish confirmation, indicating a potential reversal towards the upside. At the moment Ethereum is retesting the previous all time high and we could see a short term rejection away towards the downside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ETHUSD at a Crossroads: Long or Hold on Ethereum?`The Ethereum (ETH) price action against the US Dollar (USD) presents an interesting conundrum for traders. Recent price movements suggest a potential turning point, and the decision of whether to long (buy) or hold ETHUSD hinges on several key factors.
Prior High as Support: A Bullish Signal?
The current price of ETHUSD sits above a crucial support level – the prior high of around $2,915. This level acted as a resistance barrier in the past, but if breached and held as support, it can indicate a bullish reversal. In technical analysis, support levels are areas where buyers are likely to step in and prevent further price declines. A successful retest of this level strengthens the support and can signal a potential price upswing.
The 200-Day SMA: A Long-Term Trend Indicator
Another significant factor to consider is the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The 200-day SMA acts as a line of demarcation between a long-term uptrend and a downtrend. Currently, the 200-day SMA for ETHUSD sits around $3,100. If the price can break above this level and sustain it, it can be interpreted as a bullish sign, indicating a potential shift in the long-term trend.
Deciding to Long or Hold: Weighing the Evidence
While the prior high and the 200-day SMA suggest potential bullishness, there are reasons to be cautious before going long on ETHUSD. Here's a breakdown of the factors to consider:
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile. Recent price swings highlight this, making it challenging to predict future movements with certainty.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Broader economic factors, such as interest rate hikes and inflation, can significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. Keeping an eye on these developments is crucial before making any trading decisions.
• Technical Analysis: While the prior high and 200-day SMA offer insights, they shouldn't be the sole indicators. Utilize other technical indicators like Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator to gauge price momentum and potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Holding vs. Longing: A Strategic Approach
Given the current market uncertainty, holding ETHUSD might be a more conservative approach. This allows you to observe how the price reacts around the support level and the 200-day SMA. Here are some additional considerations:
• Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): DCA involves buying ETHUSD at regular intervals, regardless of the price. This strategy can help average out the cost per unit over time and potentially mitigate the risk associated with buying at a peak.
• Stop-Loss Orders: Implementing stop-loss orders can help manage risk. A stop-loss order automatically sells your ETHUSD holdings if the price falls below a predefined level, limiting potential losses.
Conclusion: Stay Informed and Adapt
The decision to long or hold ETHUSD depends on your individual risk tolerance and trading strategy. By closely monitoring the price action around the prior high and the 200-day SMA, alongside broader market factors and technical indicators, you can make an informed decision. Remember, the cryptocurrency market is dynamic, so staying updated on news and adapting your strategy accordingly is crucial for success.
ETH Slightly Bullish 24-Hours ☀, Bearish ☁️ & Downside Next WeekIn the US, there were outflows from the spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) for the sixth consecutive day. “We have seen six consecutive days of outflows, and as the average entry price ($57,300) approaches the current spot price ($59,800), we will likely see more ETF unwinding. Since March 18, the ETFs have seen outflows on 58% of all trading days,” 10x Research said in its daily note.
“This will likely lower prices to our target levels and cause a -25% to -29% correction from the $73,000 top - hence our price target of $52,000/$55,000 during the last three weeks,” the crypto research company forecasts.
In Hong Kong, the first trading day of the spot Bitcoin and ETH ETFs approved proved to be a cold shower with only $12 million flowing into these new ETFs. Analysts had expected up to $300 million. The price of Ether fell 2.5 percent to $2,918 over the past 24 hours.
A slightly bullish sun shines over Ethereum and ATTMO signals a potential upside over the next 24 hours. Over a one-week horizon, bearish clouds are likely to sweep over most of the cryptoverse putting pressure on Ethereum, indicating a potential price drop.
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Ethereum Resilience Amidst Regulatory Probe & Market VolatilityAs Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) attempts to stage a comeback following a recent downturn, the cryptocurrency market finds itself at a crossroads, influenced by a multitude of factors ranging from regulatory uncertainty to macroeconomic trends. The recent decision by the Federal Reserve not to tamper with interest rates provided a brief respite for CRYPTOCAP:ETH 's price, yet challenges persist as institutional whales seemingly dump their holdings and regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
Fed's Decision and Institutional Whales:
The Federal Reserve's announcement to maintain interest rates unchanged served as a temporary boon for Ethereum, allowing it to claw back some of its losses. However, the relief was short-lived as institutional whales appeared to capitalize on the opportunity to offload their CRYPTOCAP:ETH holdings, exacerbating the downward pressure on the cryptocurrency.
Regulatory Uncertainty and SEC Allegations:
Amidst the market turmoil, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) faces heightened regulatory scrutiny, with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) at the forefront. Recent allegations by Patrick McHenry, Chair of the US House Financial Services Committee, accusing SEC Chair Gary Gensler of misleading Congress regarding Ethereum's classification, further add to the uncertainty surrounding the cryptocurrency.
The revelation of an executive order by the SEC to subpoena and investigate Ethereum-related activities underscores the regulatory challenges facing the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Gensler's evasive responses during congressional hearings have only fueled speculation, leaving investors grappling with the implications of potential regulatory action.
Market Dynamics and Investor Sentiment:
The interplay between market dynamics and investor sentiment further complicates Ethereum's outlook. The strengthening of the US Dollar, coupled with concerns over inflation, has led investors to reassess their cryptocurrency holdings, potentially diverting attention away from assets like Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ).
Despite the challenges, Ethereum's resilience shines through as it quickly recovers from recent losses. The cryptocurrency's ability to rebound within its key trading range signals underlying strength, attracting investors looking for entry points amidst market volatility.
Looking Ahead
As the regulatory landscape continues to evolve and market conditions remain fluid, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) faces a pivotal moment in its trajectory. The impending SEC decision on a spot Ethereum ETF and the unfolding Consensus lawsuit against the regulator will likely shape Ethereum's future trajectory.
ETH to 2,800 in the next 3 days ☁️, then rebound?May approvals of spot ETH ETFs in the US seem out of question. The meetings held between the asset managers that have filed spot Ether ETF applications and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have been one-sided and discouraging, CryptoSlate reports. This is in stark opposition to the meetings held ahead of the SEC’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January, when the regulator had provided significant feedback on the applications. The price of Ether dropped 3.4 percent to $3,208 over the past 24 hours.
☁️ Bearish clouds linger over the global crypto market, including Bitcoin and Ether, in the next 24 hours, indicating downward pressure. Over a one-week horizon, this low pressure will remain over Ripple’s XRP, Litecoin, Cardano, Binance Coin and Uniswap.
🌤️ Bullish trading conditions will, however, prevail over Bitcoin and Ether in the coming week, as the sun manages to break through the bearish clouds, ATTMO shows.
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Ethereum's Uphill Battle: Can Bulls Reclaim Lost Ground?
Ethereum (ETH), the world's second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, recently experienced a rollercoaster ride, briefly surging above $3,300 before encountering a sharp decline. This price action has left many investors wondering: can the bulls regain control and propel ETH back towards its previous highs?
A Short-Lived Rally Followed by a Relentless Downturn
The initial rally saw ETH break past the $3,300 barrier, a level that had previously acted as resistance. This positive momentum fueled optimism amongst bulls, who anticipated a potential continuation of the uptrend. However, their hopes were dashed as the bears re-emerged, triggering a swift reversal.
The price plunged below not only the $3,300 mark but also the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA), a technical indicator often used to gauge momentum. This breach suggests a potential shift in market sentiment, with sellers regaining dominance.
Technical Indicators Paint a Bleak Picture
Adding to the bearish concerns is the break below a crucial bullish trend line on the hourly chart. This trend line had previously provided support for ETH's price, and its violation indicates a potential weakening in the uptrend.
Furthermore, if ETH fails to hold the current support level around $3,165, the decline could continue downwards. This additional technical hurdle creates a significant obstacle for the bulls as they attempt to reverse the recent downtrend.
Where Do We Go From Here?
The near-term future of Ethereum remains shrouded in uncertainty. Several factors will influence its price trajectory in the coming days and weeks.
1. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market plays a significant role in determining individual coin prices. If broader market sentiment remains bearish, it will likely put further downward pressure on ETH. Conversely, a shift towards optimism could trigger a renewed buying spree, propelling ETH upwards.
2. Bitcoin's Influence: As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) often exerts a strong influence on the price movements of other digital assets, including ETH. If BTC experiences a significant price swing, it can have a ripple effect on ETH, potentially amplifying its own price movements.
3. News and Events: Upcoming events or major news announcements related to the Ethereum ecosystem can also impact its price. For instance, successful protocol upgrades or positive developments within the decentralized finance (DeFi) space built on Ethereum could boost investor confidence and drive prices higher.
Can the Bulls Stage a Comeback?
While the current technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook, it's too early to write off the Ethereum bulls entirely. Here are some reasons why they might still mount a successful comeback:
1. Strong Underlying Fundamentals: The Ethereum network continues to see steady growth in terms of user activity, transaction volume, and the number of decentralized applications (dApps) being built on its platform. These strong fundamentals could provide long-term support for ETH's price, even amidst short-term volatility.
2. Potential for Renewed Investor Interest: Despite the recent pullback, Ethereum remains a highly attractive asset for many investors due to its established position within the blockchain industry and its potential for future growth. Renewed buying pressure from institutional investors or retail traders could spark a price reversal.
3. The Merge: The highly anticipated Ethereum Merge, which will transition the network from a Proof-of-Work (PoW) to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, could be a significant catalyst for price growth. The increased efficiency and scalability promised by the Merge could attract more users and developers to the Ethereum ecosystem, boosting its overall value proposition.
Conclusion: A Careful Balancing Act
The battle for Ethereum's price is far from over. While the bulls face an uphill battle in the short term, the long-term outlook for ETH remains promising. Investors should closely monitor technical indicators, market sentiment, and upcoming events within the Ethereum ecosystem to make informed decisions. As with any investment in the volatile cryptocurrency market, a cautious and well-researched approach is crucial.