This. Is Actually Bullish. But First. One More Liquidation? Traders,
I'm seeing this on the Bitcoin chart as well (future post). But here on Ethereum we are in a bullish descending wedge. It should break to the upside soon. However, careful going all in just yet. My spiny senses are telling me we could have one more liquidation of longs incoming before all lights are green. Our .618 fib level seems to be holding well so, this might look like a quick wick down during the course of the day touching that bottom part of the descending triangle or even possibly the 200 day sma. Get ready to pull the trigger on those buy orders if that happens or even if it doesn't.
Stew
Ethereumforecast
Ethereum $Eth #EthKeep an eye on these down sloping trend lines as well as these horizontals before you get overly Bullish on this bounce and or watch them as areas your playing the bounce to.
Until proven wrong and or Big enough move on volume to really jump above these and then back test and turn the $3400 range into support we are still just going DOWN.
Playing these levels as marked IMO can be profitable for short term trades especially on leverage.
Once we cleanly break and hold above the $3400 range we will have a much different picture for the Bulls.
Ethereum Dilemma: $2,819 Drop or $3K Breakthrout?Ethereum is bearish in the daily chart and can decline to $2,819, where price action will be very important.
The ETHUSD chart has to push up to above $3,006 into the daily range zone towards $3,354, a critical daily resistance.
A sustained price action that we see below $3,006 confirms the weakness, potentially triggering a bearish momentum targeting $2,597.
Ethereum Dives Briefly, As JP Morgan Sees Spot ETH ETF ApprovalEthereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) experienced a sharp price decline on Friday, following data revealing its underperformance compared to Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ). Despite recent Wells notices to crypto firms, JP Morgan analysts predict spot ETH ETFs will likely be approved. The SEC's recent Wells notices to Robinhood Crypto, Consensys, and Uniswap do not pose a challenge to the agency's potential approval of a spot ETH ETF. Markets do not expect an approval by this month as implied by the significant discount to NAV by the Grayscale Ethereum Trust ETHE.
JP Morgan analysts also suggested that the SEC may face a legal challenge and eventually lose if it denies applications for spot ETH ETFs, considering the agency already approved futures-based ETH ETFs. General Partner at Van Buren Capital Scott Johnsson expressed an opposite view, stating that he would be surprised if a legal battle ensued following a potential spot ETH ETF denial. Grayscale hinted that it won't take the SEC to court this time after withdrawing a "key tool" — probably its application for futures ETH ETF.
Ethereum Layer 2s are about to set a new all-time high in terms of active addresses, with more than 5.2 million monthly active users as of May 5. This surge in user growth coincides with declining gas fees for Ethereum Layer 2s, which have been reduced more than tenfold since the Dencun upgrade in March.
Glassnode data shows that Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has underperformed in the last two years when compared to Bitcoin, with a low ETH/BTC ratio and ETH drawdown in this cycle (-44%), doubling Bitcoin's (-21%). The Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) of Bitcoin crossed 0.5 and entered the euphoria phase three months before the equivalent metric for Ethereum.
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is trading with a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 38.41 which is slightly oversold. The asset's daily price chart shows that Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) is in a "Falling Wedge" pattern but a trend reversal is looming in the near to long term.
Ethereum's $3,000 Dilemma: Bullish Rejection, Bearish Break-Out?Indecisiveness persists in the intraday chart as Ethereum hovers around $2,992, an intraday support zone.
1. A bullish rejection of $2,992 with momentum could offer a scalping opportunity, targeting $3,166, $3,370, and possibly extending to $3,551.
2. Closing H4 candles below $2,992 raises the likelihood of a downside move towards $2,898 and $2,787.
3. Alternatively, a lack of momentum may result in sluggish, sideways price action between $2,992 and $3,166.
More details in signature!
ETH to Drop Further 📉; Clouds ☁️ & Rain On the Horizon 🌧️SEC postpones yet another decision on a spot Ether ETF application 🙄
The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has postponed its decision regarding the application of Invesco Galaxy’s spot ETH ETF to July 5.
The US regulator had already delayed its decision regarding Van Eck’s similar application to May 23 and that of Franklin Templeton’s to June 11. Few analysts expect an approval on these three dates.
The price of Ether dropped 3.37 percent to $2,947 over the past 24 hours. ATTMO forecasts clouds and rain for the next 24 hours and 7 days, signaling a likely downside for Ethereum.
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Ethereum ETH Intraday Trade SetupAfter failing to re-claim $3,166 yesterday, we saw a decline towards $2,992 zone.
From its current location, the price can move in either direction.
A bullish move towards and break-out of $3,166 followed by a re-test of this level will offer a long scalping opportunity towards $3,370 and, possibly higher, to $3,551.
A bearish break-out of $3,354 will lead to a short-lived dip towards $2,898 and lower to $2,787.
More details in signature.
#ETH/USDT Bullish above this MA...#ETHUSDT appears to be forming a bull flag pattern.
A bullish signal will confirm if we see a close above the blue 75 EMA and a breakout from the flag.
Until then, consider this a retest of the dotted trendline.
Let's wait for the weekly candle to close for more clarity, as the 75 EMA has proven quite reliable on the daily chart!
NFA, DYOR!
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Ethereum - Don't lose your sight!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Ethereum .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2022 Ethereum perfectly retest the previous cycle high which was roughly at the psychological $1.000 level. Here Ethereum also created bullish confirmation, indicating a potential reversal towards the upside. At the moment Ethereum is retesting the previous all time high and we could see a short term rejection away towards the downside.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
ETHUSD at a Crossroads: Long or Hold on Ethereum?`The Ethereum (ETH) price action against the US Dollar (USD) presents an interesting conundrum for traders. Recent price movements suggest a potential turning point, and the decision of whether to long (buy) or hold ETHUSD hinges on several key factors.
Prior High as Support: A Bullish Signal?
The current price of ETHUSD sits above a crucial support level – the prior high of around $2,915. This level acted as a resistance barrier in the past, but if breached and held as support, it can indicate a bullish reversal. In technical analysis, support levels are areas where buyers are likely to step in and prevent further price declines. A successful retest of this level strengthens the support and can signal a potential price upswing.
The 200-Day SMA: A Long-Term Trend Indicator
Another significant factor to consider is the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The 200-day SMA acts as a line of demarcation between a long-term uptrend and a downtrend. Currently, the 200-day SMA for ETHUSD sits around $3,100. If the price can break above this level and sustain it, it can be interpreted as a bullish sign, indicating a potential shift in the long-term trend.
Deciding to Long or Hold: Weighing the Evidence
While the prior high and the 200-day SMA suggest potential bullishness, there are reasons to be cautious before going long on ETHUSD. Here's a breakdown of the factors to consider:
• Market Volatility: The cryptocurrency market is notoriously volatile. Recent price swings highlight this, making it challenging to predict future movements with certainty.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Broader economic factors, such as interest rate hikes and inflation, can significantly impact the cryptocurrency market. Keeping an eye on these developments is crucial before making any trading decisions.
• Technical Analysis: While the prior high and 200-day SMA offer insights, they shouldn't be the sole indicators. Utilize other technical indicators like Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic Oscillator to gauge price momentum and potential overbought or oversold conditions.
Holding vs. Longing: A Strategic Approach
Given the current market uncertainty, holding ETHUSD might be a more conservative approach. This allows you to observe how the price reacts around the support level and the 200-day SMA. Here are some additional considerations:
• Dollar-Cost Averaging (DCA): DCA involves buying ETHUSD at regular intervals, regardless of the price. This strategy can help average out the cost per unit over time and potentially mitigate the risk associated with buying at a peak.
• Stop-Loss Orders: Implementing stop-loss orders can help manage risk. A stop-loss order automatically sells your ETHUSD holdings if the price falls below a predefined level, limiting potential losses.
Conclusion: Stay Informed and Adapt
The decision to long or hold ETHUSD depends on your individual risk tolerance and trading strategy. By closely monitoring the price action around the prior high and the 200-day SMA, alongside broader market factors and technical indicators, you can make an informed decision. Remember, the cryptocurrency market is dynamic, so staying updated on news and adapting your strategy accordingly is crucial for success.
ETH Slightly Bullish 24-Hours ☀, Bearish ☁️ & Downside Next WeekIn the US, there were outflows from the spot Bitcoin exchange traded funds (ETFs) for the sixth consecutive day. “We have seen six consecutive days of outflows, and as the average entry price ($57,300) approaches the current spot price ($59,800), we will likely see more ETF unwinding. Since March 18, the ETFs have seen outflows on 58% of all trading days,” 10x Research said in its daily note.
“This will likely lower prices to our target levels and cause a -25% to -29% correction from the $73,000 top - hence our price target of $52,000/$55,000 during the last three weeks,” the crypto research company forecasts.
In Hong Kong, the first trading day of the spot Bitcoin and ETH ETFs approved proved to be a cold shower with only $12 million flowing into these new ETFs. Analysts had expected up to $300 million. The price of Ether fell 2.5 percent to $2,918 over the past 24 hours.
A slightly bullish sun shines over Ethereum and ATTMO signals a potential upside over the next 24 hours. Over a one-week horizon, bearish clouds are likely to sweep over most of the cryptoverse putting pressure on Ethereum, indicating a potential price drop.
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Ethereum Resilience Amidst Regulatory Probe & Market VolatilityAs Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) attempts to stage a comeback following a recent downturn, the cryptocurrency market finds itself at a crossroads, influenced by a multitude of factors ranging from regulatory uncertainty to macroeconomic trends. The recent decision by the Federal Reserve not to tamper with interest rates provided a brief respite for CRYPTOCAP:ETH 's price, yet challenges persist as institutional whales seemingly dump their holdings and regulatory scrutiny intensifies.
Fed's Decision and Institutional Whales:
The Federal Reserve's announcement to maintain interest rates unchanged served as a temporary boon for Ethereum, allowing it to claw back some of its losses. However, the relief was short-lived as institutional whales appeared to capitalize on the opportunity to offload their CRYPTOCAP:ETH holdings, exacerbating the downward pressure on the cryptocurrency.
Regulatory Uncertainty and SEC Allegations:
Amidst the market turmoil, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) faces heightened regulatory scrutiny, with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) at the forefront. Recent allegations by Patrick McHenry, Chair of the US House Financial Services Committee, accusing SEC Chair Gary Gensler of misleading Congress regarding Ethereum's classification, further add to the uncertainty surrounding the cryptocurrency.
The revelation of an executive order by the SEC to subpoena and investigate Ethereum-related activities underscores the regulatory challenges facing the cryptocurrency ecosystem. Gensler's evasive responses during congressional hearings have only fueled speculation, leaving investors grappling with the implications of potential regulatory action.
Market Dynamics and Investor Sentiment:
The interplay between market dynamics and investor sentiment further complicates Ethereum's outlook. The strengthening of the US Dollar, coupled with concerns over inflation, has led investors to reassess their cryptocurrency holdings, potentially diverting attention away from assets like Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ).
Despite the challenges, Ethereum's resilience shines through as it quickly recovers from recent losses. The cryptocurrency's ability to rebound within its key trading range signals underlying strength, attracting investors looking for entry points amidst market volatility.
Looking Ahead
As the regulatory landscape continues to evolve and market conditions remain fluid, Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) faces a pivotal moment in its trajectory. The impending SEC decision on a spot Ethereum ETF and the unfolding Consensus lawsuit against the regulator will likely shape Ethereum's future trajectory.
ETH to 2,800 in the next 3 days ☁️, then rebound?May approvals of spot ETH ETFs in the US seem out of question. The meetings held between the asset managers that have filed spot Ether ETF applications and the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) have been one-sided and discouraging, CryptoSlate reports. This is in stark opposition to the meetings held ahead of the SEC’s approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs in January, when the regulator had provided significant feedback on the applications. The price of Ether dropped 3.4 percent to $3,208 over the past 24 hours.
☁️ Bearish clouds linger over the global crypto market, including Bitcoin and Ether, in the next 24 hours, indicating downward pressure. Over a one-week horizon, this low pressure will remain over Ripple’s XRP, Litecoin, Cardano, Binance Coin and Uniswap.
🌤️ Bullish trading conditions will, however, prevail over Bitcoin and Ether in the coming week, as the sun manages to break through the bearish clouds, ATTMO shows.
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Ethereum's Uphill Battle: Can Bulls Reclaim Lost Ground?
Ethereum (ETH), the world's second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, recently experienced a rollercoaster ride, briefly surging above $3,300 before encountering a sharp decline. This price action has left many investors wondering: can the bulls regain control and propel ETH back towards its previous highs?
A Short-Lived Rally Followed by a Relentless Downturn
The initial rally saw ETH break past the $3,300 barrier, a level that had previously acted as resistance. This positive momentum fueled optimism amongst bulls, who anticipated a potential continuation of the uptrend. However, their hopes were dashed as the bears re-emerged, triggering a swift reversal.
The price plunged below not only the $3,300 mark but also the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average (SMA), a technical indicator often used to gauge momentum. This breach suggests a potential shift in market sentiment, with sellers regaining dominance.
Technical Indicators Paint a Bleak Picture
Adding to the bearish concerns is the break below a crucial bullish trend line on the hourly chart. This trend line had previously provided support for ETH's price, and its violation indicates a potential weakening in the uptrend.
Furthermore, if ETH fails to hold the current support level around $3,165, the decline could continue downwards. This additional technical hurdle creates a significant obstacle for the bulls as they attempt to reverse the recent downtrend.
Where Do We Go From Here?
The near-term future of Ethereum remains shrouded in uncertainty. Several factors will influence its price trajectory in the coming days and weeks.
1. Market Sentiment: The overall sentiment in the cryptocurrency market plays a significant role in determining individual coin prices. If broader market sentiment remains bearish, it will likely put further downward pressure on ETH. Conversely, a shift towards optimism could trigger a renewed buying spree, propelling ETH upwards.
2. Bitcoin's Influence: As the leading cryptocurrency, Bitcoin (BTC) often exerts a strong influence on the price movements of other digital assets, including ETH. If BTC experiences a significant price swing, it can have a ripple effect on ETH, potentially amplifying its own price movements.
3. News and Events: Upcoming events or major news announcements related to the Ethereum ecosystem can also impact its price. For instance, successful protocol upgrades or positive developments within the decentralized finance (DeFi) space built on Ethereum could boost investor confidence and drive prices higher.
Can the Bulls Stage a Comeback?
While the current technical indicators suggest a bearish outlook, it's too early to write off the Ethereum bulls entirely. Here are some reasons why they might still mount a successful comeback:
1. Strong Underlying Fundamentals: The Ethereum network continues to see steady growth in terms of user activity, transaction volume, and the number of decentralized applications (dApps) being built on its platform. These strong fundamentals could provide long-term support for ETH's price, even amidst short-term volatility.
2. Potential for Renewed Investor Interest: Despite the recent pullback, Ethereum remains a highly attractive asset for many investors due to its established position within the blockchain industry and its potential for future growth. Renewed buying pressure from institutional investors or retail traders could spark a price reversal.
3. The Merge: The highly anticipated Ethereum Merge, which will transition the network from a Proof-of-Work (PoW) to a Proof-of-Stake (PoS) consensus mechanism, could be a significant catalyst for price growth. The increased efficiency and scalability promised by the Merge could attract more users and developers to the Ethereum ecosystem, boosting its overall value proposition.
Conclusion: A Careful Balancing Act
The battle for Ethereum's price is far from over. While the bulls face an uphill battle in the short term, the long-term outlook for ETH remains promising. Investors should closely monitor technical indicators, market sentiment, and upcoming events within the Ethereum ecosystem to make informed decisions. As with any investment in the volatile cryptocurrency market, a cautious and well-researched approach is crucial.
Franklin Templeton Launches ETF Amid Obstacles, Listed on DTCCAsset management giant Franklin Templeton has introduced the "Franklin Ethereum TR Ethereum ETF," marking a significant foray into digital assets. The launch of this Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) exchange-traded fund (ETF) promises to democratize access to the world's second-largest cryptocurrency, offering investors a regulated avenue for exposure to Ethereum's potential upside.
Navigating Regulatory Waters:
The listing of the Franklin Ethereum ETF on the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) website underscores the growing mainstream acceptance of cryptocurrencies. However, while the ETF has cleared this milestone, regulatory hurdles loom large on the horizon. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) remains a formidable gatekeeper, with the fate of Ethereum ETFs hanging in the balance pending regulatory approval.
SEC Scrutiny and Industry Dynamics:
The SEC's cautious approach to Ethereum ETFs reflects broader concerns surrounding market integrity and investor protection. Under the leadership of Gary Gensler, the SEC has intensified scrutiny, citing potential risks of market manipulation and regulatory compliance. This shift in dialogue has left industry players grappling with uncertainty, with approval timelines pushed further into the future.
Market Impact and Investor Sentiment:
While the launch of the Franklin Ethereum ETF has generated optimism within the crypto community, market sentiment remains tempered by regulatory uncertainty. The looming deadline for the SEC's decision, now extended to June 11, has cast a shadow over Ethereum's price trajectory, with investors adopting a wait-and-watch approach amid concerns of a potential regulatory setback.
The Road Ahead:
As stakeholders await the SEC's verdict, industry voices emphasize the need for continued engagement and collaboration to address regulatory concerns effectively. While challenges persist, proponents of Ethereum ETFs remain undeterred, highlighting the potential benefits of regulatory clarity and investor protection in fostering broader adoption of digital assets.
Technical Outlook
Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) traders reacted positively to the fundamentals by surging 0.64% with the asset indicating a "Bullish Symmetrical Triangle pattern, " meaning a bullish uptrend in the near term. Ethereum ( CRYPTOCAP:ETH ) has a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 45 further accentuating the bullish trend.
$ETH is not as bearish as the other #altcoinsOrange box is the support zone of bearish channel. When i compare to other major #altcoin charts, #eth #ethereum chart is a little bit more stronger than the other #cryptocurrencies. But, i do not say it's bullish or bearish, just a comparision.
Not financial advice.
Elliott's Wave analysis at Ethereum ETH priceToday's wave analysis based on #ETHUSDT
The only open question, at least for us, is whether the A-B-C correction within the 4th wave has already been completed or not.
↗️ If it has, then buyers should not allow the price of CRYPTOCAP:ETH to fall below $2925 and, accordingly, continue to grow according to the blue scenario.
↘️ If it hasn't ended yet, then market players are still waiting for an impulsive drop in the #ETHUSD price to the $2525 area. After that, the price may recover according to the white scenario.
Which scenario do you prefer, which do you believe in more?
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ETH - ☀️ & Slightly Bullish for the Week AheadLast week, three issuers obtained approval to launch spot Bitcoin and Ether ETFs by Hong Kong’s Securities and Futures Commission (SFC). These new funds will start trading on April 30, according to various sources, including 10x Research.
The approval of the first spot ETH ETFs in the US next month does, however, seem unlikely.
“Eerily quiet on spot eth ETFs… Consensus is SEC will disapprove in May. Reason = lack of engagement w/ issuers. Logic says that’s correct, but also wonder if SEC learned lesson from clown show w/ spot btc ETFs. Either way, options are either A) approve or B) face lawsuit IMO,” said Nate Geraci, the co-founder of the ETF Institute.
The price of Ether fell 1.1 percent to $3,187 over the past 24 hours.
A bullish sun shines over most of the global crypto market in the next 24 hours. Mostly sunny trading conditions prevail over Ethereum, which translates into a slight upside potential. Ripple’s XRP, Avalanche and Chainlink face bearish clouds, signaling downside risks.
Over a one-week horizon, the bullish sun should continue to shine over the cryptoverse, with the exception of Binance Coin and Uniswap, which all face bearish clouds.
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