ETHEREUM Is this the parabolic rally to $11500?Ethereum (ETHUSD) gave us the perfect bottom buy entry on its 1M MA50 (red trend-line) last time we gave a signal on it (September 03, see chart below):
As you see this time on the 1W time-frame, following the last week the price saw the strongest weekly candle rise of the whole Bull Cycle, breaking and closing above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since July 29 2024.
On top of that, the 1W MACD completed last week a Bullish Cross, the first since October 30 2023 (i.e. a year ago). That Cross was the final buy signal confirmation of the very aggressive multi-month rally that topped in March 2024. As a result, the current Bullish Cross should also be treated the signal we've been waiting to confirm the new Bullish Leg.
This time however, we are at this stage of the Bull Cycle where 4 years ago during the previous one, ETH started its Parabolic Rally, the most aggressive part of the Cycle. As you can see, in November 2020 the price was also above the 1W MA50, the 0.5 Fib and past a 1W MACD Bullish Cross. Also 1000 days have past since the previous Cycle Top, similar to this time also.
The rally that started then (Nov 2020) peaked marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension, forming a top of the Higher Highs trend-line. As a result, we can expect ETH to target a new Cycle Top at $11500 (Fib 1.5 ext).
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Ethereumsignals
Ethereum Eyes $2,480 Break with Double Bottom PatternFxNews —Ethereum has formed a double bottom pattern and is currently testing the $2,480 resistance level. Meanwhile, the Awesome Oscillator signals divergence with green bars approaching the zero line from below. This development in the price action and the AO indicator suggests that Ethereum’s price has the potential to rise further.
From a technical perspective, the bullish wave could resume if ETH/USD exceeds $2,480. In this scenario, the next bullish target could be the $2,560 resistance level.
Conversely, a dip below the $2,380 support would invalidate the bullish outlook.
ETHEREUM Closed August above 1M MA50, keeping bullish case aliveEthereum (ETHUSD) may have completed three straight red months (1M candles) but despite the recent correction, managed to close August above the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), in spite of touching it earlier within the month.
This is a key Support level as it also held during the August - October 2023 bottom formation, initiating the multi-month rally up until March 2024. This makes it a long-term Support and as long as it is holding, it is keeping ETH within bullish territory.
At the same time, the price also held the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level from the Cycle bottom. The last time that happened was during the previous Cycle in September - October 2020. After it held, this kick-started the Cycle's Parabolic Rally to just above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level.
As a result, as long as the 1M MA50 is holding, we can expect the next High to be as high as 11500, even though 8k would seem more reasonable in terms of market cap and thus feasible as a long-term Target.
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ETH (Crypto ETHEREUM-USD) BUY TF H4 TP = 3347On the H4 chart the trend started on Aug. 08 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 3347
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
ETH target over 100001D time frame
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TP: $7306 / $10,000
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(1) $2100 is the best entry if fell again
(2) ETH is running Elliott Impulse Wave, and just completed the 1st and 2nd wave
(3) 3rd wave will come around 9/E, and reach its high in Jan ~ March 2025
(4) The low of 4th wave can be seen in April ~ June 2025
(5) The high of 5th wave can be seen in Oct ~ Nov 2025
(6) Keep being patient
ETHEREUM ETFs are live! Is a new era of growth emerging?United States Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) posted net inflows of $106.6 million on their first day of trading. Ethereum (ETHUSD) saw the massive inflows led by BlackRock, Bitwise and Fidelity overcome the outflows from Grayscale and that may have set the tone of a new ear of growth for the market.
Much like Bitcoin's ETF launch back in January, ETH may see a similar rally that can finally take it past its All Time High (ATH). As you can see on this 1W time-frame chart, the post BTC ETD approval rally on January led to March's High. Another such Leg can see ETH past $5000 by September.
Apart from the undoubtedly great ETF news, this chart shows Ethereum's cyclical behavior, and as you can see, relative to the previous Cycle, its upside potential rests a little above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level. That was the spot where the November 2021 ATH was priced. Our long-term Target range remains $10000 - $12000.
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ETHUSD Ethereum Market Robbery Plan to make moneyMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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ETHEREUM Will an ETF approval cause a massive rally?Exactly a month ago (April 22, see chart below), we called for Ethereum's (ETHUSD) bottom and gave a medium-term buy signal:
With the SEC facing deadlines on May 23 and May 24 to decide on spot Ethereum ETF applications by Vaneck and Ark Invest, we might be in front of a massive rally. Even from a technical point of view, the historic Cycle performance of Ethereum suggests that currently we might be getting off a similar consolidation to August - October 2020.
Observe how the 1W RSI is making a bullish reversal after having pulled-back from a marginal Channel Up break-out. At the same time, the 1W LMACD is about to make the exact same Bullish Cross it did on the week of November 09 2020, when again it started to break above that consolidation.
What followed these events back then was a massive rally that peaked marginally above the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level. As a result, we remain bullish long-term, expecting a strong rise until the end of the year, targeting $12000 (Fibonacci 1.5 ext).
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ETHEREUM Massive support cluster on this Bull Flag. Target 10k??Ethereum (ETHUSD) traded exactly the way we wanted it last time we looked at it (January 09, see chart below)
At the moment, the price is trading below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), having recovered the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) on what was a bottom on the 6-month Bullish Megaphone. This Higher Low was almost priced on the 0.382 Fibonacci level.
That is similar to the June 15 2023 Bullish Megaphone Higher Low on the 0.382, which as it held the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), it pushed the price to a rebound. However the 1D MA200 was broken (closed a 1D candle below) after and ETH had to find Support on the 0.5 Fib before it started the current Megaphone. The peak came almost on the -1.00 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, as long as Ethereum keeps the 1D MA200 intact, we are bullish. If it closes even a single candle under the 1D MA200, we will wait for a comfortable buy on the 0.5 Fib (2500). On both cases, the Target is $10000 (Fib -1.00 extension).
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ETHEREUM Can $9000 be a minimum target?We haven't looked at Ethereum (ETHUSD) since the start of the year (January 09, see chart below) but it did give us an excellent symmetrical buy opportunity and easily hit our $3000 Target:
We now move out to the 1W time-frame in order to understand where the current 2-week pull-back is positioned relative to the previous Cycle. As you can see, ETH is past a 1W MA50/ 100 Bullish Cross, as well as the first consolidation at the start of the green Channel Up, which during 2020/21 took it to its All Time High (ATH) of $4900.
It appears that we are on the symmetrical pull-back (blue Cup) after the Accumulation Phase's Resistance (Aug - Oct 2020). This can be even more efficiently observed on the 1W RSI, as we see the first strong pull-back within the overbought territory.
The previous Cycle peaked just above the 1.382 Fibonacci extension from the previous ATH. That gives us a Target of $9000 and that's the minimum in our opinion during this new Bull Cycle. The maximum is on the 2.236 Fib extension, measured from the Cycle bottom to the current High. In 2021 it fell practically on the same level as the 1.382 Fib. This time though it is considerably higher at $25000 and that gives us a maximum Target for this Cycle. What this means for us as investors is that, the majority of our ETH will be converted at 9k and we will leave just a few in case we see that 25k extreme.
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ETH to $4,000 Before Dencun Upgrade? ☀️☀️☀️The price of Ether rose 1.2 percent to $3,854 over the past 24 hours ahead of the implementation of its Dencun upgrade next week. This upgrade will slash Ether’s transaction fees (also known as gas fees) which currently are at the highest level since May last year.
Separately, the SEC is seeking comments on BlackRock and Fidelity’s spot ETH ETF applications, notably asking whether Ether’s proof of stake mechanism and concentration of control raise concerns about potential fraud and price manipulation. Interested third parties have 35 days to file their comments.
“I think it is inevitable Ether is next,” the co-founder and co-CEO of HANetf Hector McNeil told cryptonews. “If Bitcoin can be approved and meets all the liquidity and asset class thresholds then Ether qualifies.”
A bullish sun continues to shine over Bitcoin and Ether in the next 24 hours and week, signaling additional upside potential. Litecoin, Binance Coin, Polygon and Uniswap should also benefit from this positive trading trend, ATTMO shows.
Dogecoin, Avalanche and Polkadot face bearish clouds and downside risks over the next 24 hours but should profit from the bullish sun over the longer one-week horizon. The opposite is expected for Ripple’s XRP and Cardano, where there is upside potential in the short term and downside risks in a week’s time.
Follow us for more crypto news and weather reports!
ETHEREUM Is it about to start an insane parabolic rally?Ethereum (ETHUSD) has been consolidating since its High at the start of the year but on the longer term, the uptrend since the October 2023 Low is intact. The current analysis is basically an extension of our previous on November 23 2023 (see chart below):
As you can see the 1W MA50/ MA100 Bullish Cross (blue and green trend-lines respectively), has been formed for the first time since the August 17 2020 1W candle. That was the reason we previously drew comparisons with the August - September 2020 consolidation within the 0.618 - 0.5 Fibonacci range.
The 1W RSI is on a structured decline similar to that 2020 consolidation and that naturally can lead someone to believe that once it's over and a full 1W candle is closed above the 0.618 Fib, the Parabolic Rally of the Bull Cycle will start. So far even the symmetry from the Cycle Top to the current point in time is also identical to 2020 (around 970 days).
Do you think ETH will start an insane rally soon?
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ETHEREUM One more pull-back before $3000.Ethereum (ETHUSD) almost hit our 2450 Target on the last buy call we made (November 17 2023, see chart below) before it started to consolidate at the top of the 1.5 year Channel Up:
However it did turn out that the consolidation Megaphone, similar to January's, was the one that started on December 09 2023 and not before, as on our previous analysis. For that reason we adjusted the Channel Up, this time on the logarithmic scale, and it fits perfectly the current consolidation after the initial October Bullish Leg.
The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) provided the first line of Support and if the January - February 2023 repeat continues, we should be expecting one final pull-back towards the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), which is where the March 10 2023 was made (also on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line)). On top of that, the 1D RSI provides an excellent buy signal, as the 30.00 - 32.00 Zone has given 4 excellent buy opportunities in tha last 14 months.
The target is $3000, which is on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level and almost represents a +100% rise from the October 12 2023 bottom. Those where the exact ranges of the April 16 2023 Higher High of the Channel Up.
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ETHEREUM Major Bullish Cross ahead, first time since Aug 2020!Ethereum (ETHUSD) is only 2-3 weeks away from completing a Bullish Cross on the 1W time-frame between the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). Last time we saw this formation emerge was on the week of August 17 2020.
With ETH trading inside a Cup pattern similar to the consolidation of mid 2019 - mid 2020, we are either on a level similar to July 13 2020 (based on the 1W MA50/ MA100 Bullish Cross) or a level (post a 1W MACD Bullish Cross and near a (red circle) RSI Channel Up top), like January 27 2020.
Regardless of that, the current Cycle shows some more aggressive bias than the previous at this stage of the trend as the price is on the 0.5 Fibonacci level, while on those past occasions it was on the 0.382. Either case, the immediate target is the 0.618 Fib at 2500.
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ETHEREUM Golden Cross ahead. Prepare for $2450.Almost a month ago (see chart below) we gave the most optimal buy entry on Ethereum (ETHUSD), while it was at the bottom of its Channel Down, even below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line):
The target got hit and the rally has been so strong that it even broke above the medium-term Channel Down and resumed the long-term Channel Up that it has been trading within in the last 12 months.
Technically, it is about to form a 1D Golden Cross, with the last registered formation being on February 08. The price had entered a Megaphone consolidation with the 1D MA50 as the first Support and the 1D MA200 as the second and in less than 2 months gave a rebound/ continuation of the rally to the Higher High of the Channel Up on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension. Even the 1D RSI patterns between the two sequences are similar.
As a result, the best strategy here is to buy any similar pull-back ETH may give and target $2450 (1.5 Fib) within January 2024.
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ETHEREUM Targeting the 1D MA200Ethereum (ETHUSD) is trading within a 6-month Channel Down pattern with the price breaking above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yesterday. The short-term pattern is a Megaphone within the Channel Down whose Lower Lows come in direct contrast with the Higher Lows of the 1D RSI. Thus we have a significant RSI Bullish Divergence which is holding since the August 17 Low.
The Higher High projection of the Megaphone coincides perfectly with a potential 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) test. The target is 1755.
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ETHUSD The ultimate double MA test.Ethereum (ETHUSD) hit last week both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), for the first time since the week of March 13 and March 06 respectively. It did manage to close the 1W candle above both and as long as it does, it will be a bullish signal, targeting 2030 (Resistance 1).
If it closes a 1W candle below them (primarily the 1W MA50), we will look to add the next buy only on the bottom dashed Higher Lows trend-line. Notice that the 1W RSI being near the 40.00 Symmetrical Support, always favors buying and since January 2022, every time it (marginally) broke below it, it recovered giving at least a 2-week rebound.
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ETHEREUM getting ready for a +20% jumpEthereum (ETHUSD) continues to trade within the Channel Up that started on the November 2022 market bottom and is currently supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). This draws comparisons with the final consolidation after the March 10 Higher Low at the bottom of the Channel Up. Both in price and 1D RSI terms the two fractals form an Inverse Head and Shoulders which is a bullish reversal pattern found on market bottoms.
The previous fractal topped on the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level, completing a +56% rise. The 2.0 Fib on the current formation is at 2250, while a +56% rise potentially peaks 2550. We will pursue initially the $2250 target (will be a +20% increase from the current level) as it is near the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which is a critical long-term Resistance as it has been unbroken since May 15 2022.
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ETHEREUM has enormous upside potential based on this fractal.Ethereum (ETHUSD) is supported by the Higher Lows trend-line that started on the March 2020 COVID bottom and recently the 4D MA50 (blue trend-line) is holding as its new Support. Having grown by +5400% since COVID on a straight aggressive parabolic rally and entering the 2022 Bear Cycle in a Megaphone pattern, it has naturally drawn comparisons with the 2016/2017 sequence.
This fractal also rose by +5200% since its bottom on a parabolic Channel and entered its 2016 Bear Cycle in a Megaphone. The support on its Higher Lows trend-line as well as the 2D MA50, initiated the 2017 parabolic rally. In addition, on both sequences, ETH priced the bottom after the RSI broke deep below the 30.00 oversold barrier.
The above data indicate that as long as ETH keeps clear of its Support level, we are potentially witnessing the start of a new parabolic rally. A $10000 price target may only be a year away.
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