MUST HOLD LEVEL FOR ETHEREUM!Eth has been getting dragged down with the market just like everything else and we are now at a pretty crucial level of support for ETH and if we dont hold this for our daily close there is a good chance we see a fall. We have broken out to the downside of this descending triangle and i have outlined the key pivot points that are in play, green being support, yellow as the pivot point and red as the resistances. We are holding up right on this first green support and we need to hold this level for daily close or the next support we have is the 0.7 FIB level. Now this is a very interesting situation because we are seeing some bearish indicators but to me the RSI is looking like we are due for a reversal, we are just about in the oversold area like a hair away and we could potentially see a fakeout with ETH, a fakeout to the downside of the descending triangle but then could see a recovery back up if this support is held and if our RSI starts to come back up, so this is definitely a hard one to judge on where we are headed, keep in mind if BTC keeps falling our indicators for the time being don't really mean anything. Now the bollinger bands we got to be very careful with as we are starting to ride the bottom band and you guys know what that means... a more than likely fall in price unless we see a recovery and some bull momentum. For sure an important chart to watch for daily close tonight! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Ethereumtechnicalanalysis
Ethereum going to breakout!!?Eth is looking like we have reversed after a bounce off of the bottom of this descending wedge, now we just rejected off the top for the 9th time but i think we are gaining some steam and we could get a beautiful bounce off the bollinger band midline to then try and breakout again to the upside. The only worry that we might face if we breakout upwards is we will have to have enough momentum to smash through the 0.5 FIB and close above it or we face falling back into the wedge with a sort of "fakeout" scenario. The RSI is just touching down of the 50. point and im hoping we can see a nice bounce off here to try and get us back into an uptrend, this is very key for this whole analysis as if we don't get that confirmed uptrend on the RSI we could still breakout of the wedge upwards but we most likely wouldn't go that far. The MACD looks great aswell we are seeing nice separation in the MA's slowly pushing upwards, the one thing about the MACD is that we are starting to see a slight curl in the blue MA and we don't want to see it start to come down towards the orange, or atleast hope we get a bounce off the orange. If we don't and we get a bearish cross we would probably take a couple day hit to the downside or even just some sideways movement. Not financial advice just my opinion!
ETH going to hold the 0.5 FIB!ETH has ran up with 3 green candles pushing through the top resistance of the pennant and aswell as the 0.5 FIB Level, i talked about this in my last TA for eth. We seem to be solidly holding the 0.5 FIB now and we will have to get that confirmation soon, this is a pretty solid support, resistance level imo. Our RSI bounced off the 50. point and we are slightly coming down. we are due for a nice breakthrough into bullish territory after not since later May. The MACD saw a bullish cross recently and we are starting to see nice separation on the MA's bit is still to early to really know. Last the EMA ribbons are very important as they show momentum bullish and bearish and while ETH being in the minority of coins that didnt start to flip bearish with the ribbons we are showing very good resistance from the bulls. We do have to watch these though because if we we're to see a full flip bearish we could be seeing some heavy downside, i feel when the EMA ribbons squeeze hard like this there is momentum building and we are likely to see a pop soon whether that be staying bullish or flipping bearish. NFA just my opinion!!
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/03/23Market Overview
Price Action: Ethereum has taken a major dump, dropping more than 10% from a high of $1870 to a low of $1655. It is now trying to find support in this area as Bitcoin is testing major support. Ethereum and Bitcoin is highly correlated at the moment, so it will likely follow the same moves that Bitcoin makes. Similarly, holding or breaking this level of support will determine whether we have a major correction or a major rally. Prepare yourselves for some volatility. Let's hope its to the upside.
Chart Patterns: N/A
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for me are the 200MAs @ $1740-1750. Once price reaches one of these areas, I will monitor for entry confirmations. If the entry confirmations are aligned, I will take a trade and share the my trade in real time.
Trade Setups
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading:
Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs)
1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1740-1750 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back down.
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bearish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD topping out
My Recent Trades
2021/03/16: I had a winning trade! I entered a long @ $1738, with Stop Loss @ $1718, and price reached a high of 1803.9, giving a risk reward ratio of 3.3:1.
2021/03/05: I had a winning trade! I entered a long @ $1,540.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,522.4, and price reached a high of $1,670.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 7.4:1.
2021/02/21: I had a losing trade. I entered a long @ $1,970.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,868.6, and stop loss hit.
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a financial advisor and this post is NOT financial/investment/trading advice. I am simply sharing what I am doing, and I will not be responsible for any actions you take based on the analysis and comments that I provide. The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, and you WILL lose all your money if you are inexperienced! DO NOT risk any money that you cannot afford to lose and always be cautious and manage your risk!
What are your thoughts? Please leave your ideas and analysis in the comments below! Do give the post a like and a follow.
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/02/23Hi guys! I will be sharing the trades that I take in real time, follow to see how my trades work out!
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Market Overview
Price Action: ETH, along with Bitcoin and the rest of the cryptocurrency market, experienced a heavy sell off yesterday, causing fear and panic and prompting many to question whether the bull run is over. In the chart to the left, we see that on the higher timeframe (4H chart), we are actually bouncing off of channel support, which coincides with the 200MAs. So long as this confluence of levels hold, ETH should be able to consolidate and have another run. Should this support zone ~$1550 break down, we need to be very careful that perhaps there will be prolonged downside.Currently I am not touching my HODL portfolio just yet, still HODLING strong.
Chart Patterns: N/A
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for me are the 200MAs @ $1820-1850 and the lows @ $1550. Once price reaches one of these areas, I will monitor for entry confirmations. If the entry confirmations are aligned, I will take a trade and share the my trade in real time.
Trade Setups
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading:
Long Trade Setup #1: False Breakdown
1. Price Action: Price breaks below the then rapidly climbs above $1550, forming a bear trap
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: A breakdown candlestick followed by a reclaiming candlestick, above average volume on both breakdown candle and reclaiming candle, MACD bottoming
Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs)
1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1820-1850 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back down.
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bearish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD topping out
My Recent Trades
2021/02/21: I had a losing trade. I entered a long @ $1,970.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,868.6, and stop loss hit.
2021/02/20: I had two winning trades! I entered a ETHBTC long @ 0.035325, with Stop Loss @ 0.034577, and price reached a high of 0.036682, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1. I entered another trade ETHUSDT trade long @ $2,003.1, with Stop Loss @ $1,965.6, and price reached a high of 2,022.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 0.5.
2021/02/07: I had a winning trade! I entered a short @ $1,605.00, with Stop Loss @ $1,628.14, and price reached a low of $1,563.9, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1.
About Me
I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016.
I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options.
I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward.
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DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a financial advisor and this post is NOT financial/investment/trading advice. I will not be responsible for any actions you take based on the analysis and comments that I provide. I am simply sharing what I am doing, and is not meant to be investment or trading advice. What you choose to do with the information that I provide is your own sole responsibility! The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, and you WILL lose all your money if you are inexperienced! DO NOT risk any money that you cannot afford to lose and always be cautious and manage your risk!
Please support me by liking and following, and sharing your ideas and analysis in the comments! Thanks!
ETH Gearing Up for HISTORIC Run? For all you Ellioticians, are you seeing the same thing I am seeing out of ETH potentially? I've only begun studying Elliot Wave Theory this year...
Here's what I'm seeing and what I have drawn...
We have a multi year 5 Wave sequence.
Wave 1 took us to the highs of 2018
Wave 2 took us to the lows of March 2020.
We are currently in Wave 3, and inasmuch as Wave 3 can never be the shortest of the 5 waves, we have a LOT more upside to go.
Wave 3 may take us well north of $3,000 before we experience a Wave 4 correction.
ETH traditionally likes to meet the 21 Weekly EMA in bull markets and if my wave counting is correct, that may not happen until well into 2022 when we experience a Wave 4 correction.
If so, that will be the longest ETH will have traded above the 21 Weekly EMA in it's "short history."
I welcome the thoughts of more skilled Ellioticians and welcome any links to other analyses. Thanks!