ETHUSD: 12 weeks of bottom formation finally over. 4900 is next.Ethereum has just turned bullish on 1D but remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 47.413, MACD = -97.490, ADX = 28.674) as the price is on the 12th straight week of consolidation inside the 1W MA50-MA200 range. This sideways trading is being performed at the bottom of the Channel Up that started in June 2022 and has already seen three major bullish waves. Once the 1W MA50, we will have confirmation that the 4th one is starting. When that happens, aim for no lower than the All Time High (TP = 4,900). The 1W RSI has already crossed over its MA.
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Ethereumtrading
ETHUSD: It is now or never.Ethereum is marginally bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.248, MACD = -101.950, ADX = 33.304) as it pulled back to the 1W MA200 again, failing to capitalize on August's rebound attempt. If we compare it to its prior Cycle, this is Ethereum's final chance to hold the 1W MA200 and keep step <7> valid, which in September 2020 exactly 4 years ago, it started an outstanding rally to the 1.618 Fibonacci level and cap step <8>.
If the market replicates this move, we can print 13,500 in mid 2025. Compared to the previous Cycle we are currently higher on step <7> than we were then, so unlikely as 13.5k may seem, it is technically plausible.
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ETHUSD: Technical rally is on the way to 13,500.Ethereum is on very balanced bullish technical levels on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 65.615, MACD = 296.600, ADX = 38.829) suggesting a healthy, sustainable uptrend. Just a few days after the ETF approval, ETH is breaking out of the March-April correction and in comparison with the previous Cycle, has completed step <7>. This is taking it out of the accumulation curve pattern and into the parabolic rally.
As you can see the two Cycles have so far been similar and the expectation is that the trend will continue and the new Channel Up will take ETH to stage <8>. That is a top on the 1.618 Fibojnacci extension, which is at 13,500.
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ETHUSD: Where will it find support?Ethereum crossed and closed two days ago under the 1D MA50 for the first time since February 5th. This suggests that more selling could be ahead of us but how low can the price go? We believe it will enter the green range between the 1.0 and 0.0 Fibonacci levels, which has been the Buy Zone of the two rallies of the Fibonacci Channel. It is very likely to come as close to the 1D MA100 as possible in order to attract more buyers and then rebound. As before, a 1D MACD Bullish Cross, will confirm the bullish reversal. Our next Target is between the 4.0 and 5.0 Fib Zone (TP = 5,900) at +13% more than the last Bullish Wave.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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ETHUSD: Preparing a Bullish Cross rally that can peak at $11000.Ethereum is bullish on the 1W timeframe (RSI = 66.069, MACD = 130.450, ADX = 40.617) as despite the nonstop rise since October, it is close to a 1W MA50-100 Bullish Cross. Last time we got this pattern was on August 17th 2020, with the price again on the 0.618 Fibonacci level, having already started the post COVID crash recovery that transcended into the Cycle's parabolic rally.
The 1W RSI structure among the two Cycles is identical and currently we are on a the third pullback of the Channel Up. The previous Cycle topped a little over the 1.5 Fibonacci level. A repeat of this will deliver us 11000.
Do you think the 1D MA50 and initiate a new bullish wave?
See how our prior idea has worked:
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ETHUSD: Golden Cross consolidation, before the rally to $2440.Ethereum is marginally bullish on the 1D technical outlook (RSI = 58.849, MACD = 64.500, ADX = 17.549) despite the despite the 19 day consolidation, suggesting strong underlying bullish bias. This shouldn't come as a surprise as the long term pattern has been a Channel Up in the last 12 months and on top of that, a Golden Cross was formed last week on the 1D timeframe.
The last time we had such a bullish formation was during the previous mid HH bullish leg consolidation on February 8th. After almost 2 months of ranged Rectangular trading, the price resumed the bullish trend and topped a little over Fibonacci 1.5. Being right now exactly on the middle of the Channel Up, we spread the risk by taking a buy position now, targeting the 1.5 Fibonacci level (TP = 2,440) near the top of the pattern.
See how our prior idea has worked:
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Ethereum: Future Price PredictionHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis on the 1W (weekly) linear scale chart for Ethereum (ETHUSD).
The chart shows only the price and the similarities between the current market structure and price to the prior bull/bear cycle market structure and price.
Each Support and Resistance Trend Line is color coordinated to match the prior cycle to current cycle. Though price may move slightly different, the overall structure looks very similar. It seems that the current price may be headed down to $1,000 - $1,500. To make it easier to follow, I made a pathway in the prior and current cycle. There is a possibility that price could come all the way down to $250 range due to a black swan event, however there are multiple support and resistance zones before that happens.
I am NOT confident that Ethereum price will make an all time high until after the next Bitcoin halving in 2024.
What are your opinions on this?
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
ETH Ethereum: 1H Chart UpdateHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1H linear scale chart for Ethereum (ETHUSD).
Ethereum price looks like it may be headed back down from the current price. Keep an eye on my Support and Resistance Trend Lines. The Fibonacci Retracement shows price has possibility getting back to the 0.382 level. There is also Ichimoku Cloud resistance ahead.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
ETH Ethereum: Doesn't Look GoodHello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1D linear scale chart for Ethereum (ETHUSD).
Ethereum price looks like it is headed back down from the Support and Resistance Line. There is a rising broaden wedge forming as well.
If you enjoy my ideas, feel free to like it and drop in a comment. I love reading your comments below.
Disclosure: This is just my opinion and not any type of financial advice. I enjoy charting and discussing technical analysis . Don't trade based on my advice. Do your own research! #cryptopickk
Ethereum mid-week swingAs we bounced off this resistance we had a pullback but we should see another push to break the resistance.
If we are able to break above the resistance we should see a retest then could be on our way too $3,500 towards the end of the week.
On the other hand, if we get a sell-off we may retest the bottom trend line, retest the upper resistance then could see a pullback too the $3,100 range which would send us into a Consolidation phase this week.
Ethereum: still bullishTechnical analysis Ethereum
Ethereum (ETHUSD) was able to continue its rally from the central support zone at USD 1,700 / 1,730 and work off and overcome the target zone we were targeting USD 2,847-3,000. Most recently, a sideways consolidation between around USD 2,950 and USD 3,340 has shaped the share price. At the start of the week, the coin hit a 3-month high at USD 3,381.
Cops have an advantage
In terms of extent, the breakout from the youngest range cannot yet be qualified as sustainable. However, we believe the technical bias will remain immediately bullish as long as the support at USD 3,127-3,177 is not undercut. If the price can establish itself above the USD 3,400 mark in the coming days, the breakout would be confirmed. If successful, our next target price is USD 3,570. In addition, the analytical minimum price target of the range breakout at USD 3,690 would come into focus.
Catchment areas
A slide below critical support at $ 3,127-3,177 would negate the breakout. In this case, the resulting false breakout would bring immediate downside risks towards the lower limit of consolidation at USD 2,950. However, the technical picture would only deteriorate significantly below the broad support zone at USD 2,850-2,950. Then a price setback in the direction of USD 2,410-2,460 would be expected.
Note:
Despite careful analysis, Global Investa accepts no liability for the content, topicality, correctness or completeness of the information provided. The information provided does not constitute investment advice, purchase recommendations or investment brokerage.
ETH ready for $34KWe just broke above the Bearish trendline with a slight retest, next we may see a push towards $34K as we go through the weekend. Also taking a look at the RSI it indicates we've touched a nice trend line here which could send us on an Uptrend.
If we do hit the above resistance at $3,315 we could hit a reversal & fall back too $3,110 which would fall to the top of the previous Bearish trendline which we just broke above.
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/03/23Market Overview
Price Action: Ethereum has taken a major dump, dropping more than 10% from a high of $1870 to a low of $1655. It is now trying to find support in this area as Bitcoin is testing major support. Ethereum and Bitcoin is highly correlated at the moment, so it will likely follow the same moves that Bitcoin makes. Similarly, holding or breaking this level of support will determine whether we have a major correction or a major rally. Prepare yourselves for some volatility. Let's hope its to the upside.
Chart Patterns: N/A
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for me are the 200MAs @ $1740-1750. Once price reaches one of these areas, I will monitor for entry confirmations. If the entry confirmations are aligned, I will take a trade and share the my trade in real time.
Trade Setups
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading:
Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (200MAs)
1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 200MAs, currently projected to be @ $1740-1750 by the time price reaches it, and bounce back down.
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bearish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD topping out
My Recent Trades
2021/03/16: I had a winning trade! I entered a long @ $1738, with Stop Loss @ $1718, and price reached a high of 1803.9, giving a risk reward ratio of 3.3:1.
2021/03/05: I had a winning trade! I entered a long @ $1,540.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,522.4, and price reached a high of $1,670.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 7.4:1.
2021/02/21: I had a losing trade. I entered a long @ $1,970.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,868.6, and stop loss hit.
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a financial advisor and this post is NOT financial/investment/trading advice. I am simply sharing what I am doing, and I will not be responsible for any actions you take based on the analysis and comments that I provide. The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, and you WILL lose all your money if you are inexperienced! DO NOT risk any money that you cannot afford to lose and always be cautious and manage your risk!
What are your thoughts? Please leave your ideas and analysis in the comments below! Do give the post a like and a follow.
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/03/22Market Overview
Price Action: After reaching a high of $1870, Ethereum has been trending down, broke down below the 200MAs, which have been serving as resistance, as can be seen from the rejections as price reached the 200MAs. Price is again testing the 200MAs, the fact that price established a higher low before retesting the 200MAs suggests potential bullish strength to break through.
Chart Patterns: N/A
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for me are the highs @ $1870. Once price reaches one of these areas, I will monitor for entry confirmations. If the entry confirmations are aligned, I will take a trade and share the my trade in real time.
Trade Setups
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading:
Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down to $1870 and bounce back up.
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bullish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD bottoming
Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1870, forming a bull trap
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick, above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, MACD topping out
My Recent Trades
2021/03/16: I had a winning trade! I entered a long @ $1738, with Stop Loss @ $1718, and price reached a high of 1803.9, giving a risk reward ratio of 3.3:1.
2021/03/05: I had a winning trade! I entered a long @ $1,540.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,522.4, and price reached a high of $1,670.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 7.4:1.
2021/02/21: I had a losing trade. I entered a long @ $1,970.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,868.6, and stop loss hit.
About Me
I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016.
I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options.
I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward.
Why Follow Me
Daily analysis on the latest market movements and price zones for high probability trade setups.
Sharing of live trades that I take.
A great place to help each other, learn from each other, and grow together.
Trading education including a comprehensive cryptocurrency trading eBook, personal advice, and other educational materials
Constantly testing and adding new trading strategies and refining battle-tested ones.
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a financial advisor and this post is NOT financial/investment/trading advice. I am simply sharing what I am doing, and I will not be responsible for any actions you take based on the analysis and comments that I provide. The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, and you WILL lose all your money if you are inexperienced! DO NOT risk any money that you cannot afford to lose and always be cautious and manage your risk!
What are your thoughts? Please leave your ideas and analysis in the comments below! Do give the post a like and a follow.
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/03/11Market Overview
Price Action: Ethereum has been rallying strongly for the past few days, reaching a high of almost $1880. It has since started to fall behind BTC, however, as Bitcoin continued to rally while ETH is consolidating, leading to a 10% loss against Bitcoin, as shown in drop from 0.0358 to 0.0317 in the ETHBTC pair. Let's see if ETH can take back the lead or if we repeat the situation in February when Ethereum barely moved while Bitcoin had a huge rally.
Chart Patterns: N/A
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for me are the highs @ $1880. Once price reaches one of these areas, I will monitor for entry confirmations. If the entry confirmations are aligned, I will take a trade and share the my trade in real time.
Trade Setups
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading:
Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down to $1880 and bounce back up.
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bullish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD bottoming
Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1880, forming a bull trap
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick, above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, MACD topping out
My Recent Trades
2021/03/05: I had a winning trade! I entered a long @ $1,540.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,522.4, and price reached a high of $1,670.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 7.4:1.
2021/02/21: I had a losing trade. I entered a long @ $1,970.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,868.6, and stop loss hit.
2021/02/20: I had two winning trades! I entered a ETHBTC long @ 0.035325, with Stop Loss @ 0.034577, and price reached a high of 0.036682, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1. I entered another trade ETHUSDT trade long @ $2,003.1, with Stop Loss @ $1,965.6, and price reached a high of 2,022.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 0.5.
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a financial advisor and this post is NOT financial/investment/trading advice. I am simply sharing what I am doing, and I will not be responsible for any actions you take based on the analysis and comments that I provide. The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, and you WILL lose all your money if you are inexperienced! DO NOT risk any money that you cannot afford to lose and always be cautious and manage your risk!
What are your thoughts? Please leave your ideas and analysis in the comments below! Do give the post a like and a follow.
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/03/03Hi guys! I will be sharing the trades that I take in real time, follow to see how my trades work out!
If you like this post, please support me by clicking the like and follow buttons. Also feel free to share your thoughts and analysis in the comments below!
And don’t forget to check out my daily analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins!
Market Overview
Price Action: Ethereum is rallying off of the back of Bitcoin's rally, but has yet to go on a run of its own. Once we see ETHBTC bottom out and start to rally, thats when we will see ETHUSDT really move, especially if Bitcoin can stay stable for a period of time during the ETHBTC rally.
Chart Patterns: N/A
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for me are the highs @ $1600. Once price reaches one of these areas, I will monitor for entry confirmations. If the entry confirmations are aligned, I will take a trade and share the my trade in real time.
Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and falls back down to $1600 and bounce back up.
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bullish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD bottoming
Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout
1. Price Action: Price breaks above and then falls below the high @ $1600, forming a bull trap
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: A breakout candlestick followed by a breakdown candlestick, above average volume on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, MACD topping out
My Recent Trades
2021/02/21: I had a losing trade. I entered a long @ $1,970.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,868.6, and stop loss hit.
2021/02/20: I had two winning trades! I entered a ETHBTC long @ 0.035325, with Stop Loss @ 0.034577, and price reached a high of 0.036682, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1. I entered another trade ETHUSDT trade long @ $2,003.1, with Stop Loss @ $1,965.6, and price reached a high of 2,022.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 0.5.
2021/02/07: I had a winning trade! I entered a short @ $1,605.00, with Stop Loss @ $1,628.14, and price reached a low of $1,563.9, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1.
About Me
I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016.
I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options.
I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward.
Why Follow Me
Daily analysis on the latest market movements and price zones for high probability trade setups.
Sharing of live trades that I take.
A great place to help each other, learn from each other, and grow together.
Trading education including a comprehensive cryptocurrency trading eBook, personal advice, and other educational materials
Constantly testing and adding new trading strategies and refining battle-tested ones.
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a financial advisor and this post is NOT financial/investment/trading advice. I will not be responsible for any actions you take based on the analysis and comments that I provide. I am simply sharing what I am doing, and is not meant to be investment or trading advice. What you choose to do with the information that I provide is your own sole responsibility! The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, and you WILL lose all your money if you are inexperienced! DO NOT risk any money that you cannot afford to lose and always be cautious and manage your risk!
Please support me by liking and following, and sharing your ideas and analysis in the comments! Thanks!
Ethereum (ETHUSDT) Daily Long&Short Trade Setups 2021/02/25Hi guys! I will be sharing the trades that I take in real time, follow to see how my trades work out!
If you like this post, please support me by clicking the like and follow buttons. Also feel free to share your thoughts and analysis in the comments below!
And don’t forget to check out my daily analysis on Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Altcoins!
Market Overview
Price Action: After crashing more than 33% from a high of $2042 to a low of $1355, Ethereum rallied 26% to a high of $1712. It has however so far failed to strongly close and trade above the 200MAs, indicating that buying pressure is so far not big enough to confirm a definitive end of the correction. While it is likely that the correction is over and the bottom of this correction has been put in, until we retest the 200MAs as support instead of resistance, there is a non-trivial probability that the current rally is a dead cat bounce before another leg down. What happens today and tomorrow will be very important in determining the short to medium term trend.
Chart Patterns: N/A
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for me are the 61.8Fib @ $1780. Once price reaches one of these areas, I will monitor for entry confirmations. If the entry confirmations are aligned, I will take a trade and share the my trade in real time.
Trade Setups
Below are the potential trade setups that I would be interested in trading:
Short Trade Setup #1: Retest and Continuation (61.8Fib)
1. Price Action: Price needs to move back up to the 61.8Fib @ $1780 and bounce back down.
2. Trade Entry Confirmations: Bearish candlestick pattern, above average volume, MACD topping out
My Recent Trades
2021/02/21: I had a losing trade. I entered a long @ $1,970.0, with Stop Loss @ $1,868.6, and stop loss hit.
2021/02/20: I had two winning trades! I entered a ETHBTC long @ 0.035325, with Stop Loss @ 0.034577, and price reached a high of 0.036682, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1. I entered another trade ETHUSDT trade long @ $2,003.1, with Stop Loss @ $1,965.6, and price reached a high of 2,022.0, giving a risk reward ratio of 0.5.
2021/02/07: I had a winning trade! I entered a short @ $1,605.00, with Stop Loss @ $1,628.14, and price reached a low of $1,563.9, giving a risk reward ratio of 1.8:1.
About Me
I started trading in 2008, first got introduced to bitcoin in 2009, and have been actively trading cryptocurrencies since 2016.
I have worked on Wall Street trading bonds, stocks, and options.
I have taken hundreds of live trades, each recorded with over 50 data points, all meticulously analyzed, using data analysis and modeling to optimize win probability and risk reward.
Why Follow Me
Daily analysis on the latest market movements and price zones for high probability trade setups.
Sharing of live trades that I take.
A great place to help each other, learn from each other, and grow together.
Trading education including a comprehensive cryptocurrency trading eBook, personal advice, and other educational materials
Constantly testing and adding new trading strategies and refining battle-tested ones.
DISCLAIMER: I am NOT a financial advisor and this post is NOT financial/investment/trading advice. I will not be responsible for any actions you take based on the analysis and comments that I provide. I am simply sharing what I am doing, and is not meant to be investment or trading advice. What you choose to do with the information that I provide is your own sole responsibility! The cryptocurrency market is extremely volatile, and you WILL lose all your money if you are inexperienced! DO NOT risk any money that you cannot afford to lose and always be cautious and manage your risk!
Please support me by liking and following, and sharing your ideas and analysis in the comments! Thanks!
ETHEREUM (ETHUSDT) DAILY LONG&SHORY TRADE SETUPS 2020/12/30MARKET OVERVIEW
Price Action: After reaching a high of $748, price retraced to the 200MAs @~$700 (where we took a long), and is now back up consolidating near the highs, giving us a bull bias.
Chart Patterns: We have an ascending triangle pattern, which typically breaks to the upside, giving us a bull bias.
Areas of Interest: The area(s) of interest for us is the highs of $748. Once price reaches one of our areas of interest and gives us a valid entry signal, I will update the trade, so make sure you follow me to get the trade entry signals in real time.
TRADES(S) RECAP
Yesterday we had a winning trade! We entered a long @ $703, with Stop Loss @ $690, and price reached a high of $747.50, giving a risk reward ratio of over 3:1, meaning if you risked 1BTC on this trade, you could've made more than 3BTC.
TRADE SETUPS
Below are two potential trade setups. Given the bullish bias, the most likely scenario is "Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation", but regardless of the path that the price takes, I will be monitoring the market for a valid trade entry signal.
Long Trade Setup #1: Breakout and Continuation
To open a long position, we are waiting for price to break resistance, move back down to test previous resistance as support and then bounce back up.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $748 with force, creating space between the price and the $748 level, falls back down to $748 and bounce back up.
2. Candlestick Pattern: A bullish candlestick pattern such as a bullish engulfing candle, a pinbar , or a multiple candlestick breakdown (a large red candle followed by multiple green candles that eventually close above the open/high of the large red candle)
2.1 Ideally Engulfing / Break candle has a large candle body with small wicks
2.2 Ideally Engulfing /Break candle closes near the highs of the candle
3. Volume: Above average volume on the bullish engulfing candle, pinbar , or on any of the multiple green candles that eventually break the red candle (ideally on the candle that breaks)
4. MACD: MACD histogram bottoming out, as indicated by the histogram becoming less negative (changing from red to pink)
Short Trade Setup #1: False Breakout
To open a short position, we are waiting for price to break above the horizontal resistance @ $748 and then fall back down.
Trade Entry Confirmation:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $748 and then rapidly falls below $748, forming a bull trap
2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick (candle close above $748) followed by a breakdown candlestick (candle close below $748)
2.1 Ideally breakout and breakdown candlesticks are consecutive candles, but can also have a few candles in between the two candlesticks
2.2 Ideally the breakdown candle has a large candle body with very small wicks
3. Volume: Above average volume ( volume above the average volume line) on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, ideally the breakdown candle's volume is a local high
4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out, as indicated by the histogram becoming less positive (color changing from dark green to light green)
ENTRY CONFIRMATIONS
Ideally we get all confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering a trade. You can also adjust position size based on level of conviction, entering a bigger position when there are more confirmations. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management.
TRADE MANAGEMENT
I have put in preliminary Stop Loss and Take Profit on the chart, but these will depend on how the entry setup forms, so I will update when we have a valid entry signal.
Stop Loss: We typically put a SL around the high / low of the entry area, though we might adjust based on market conditions such as high ATR ( average true range ) or long wicks.
Take Profit: We typically aim for at least a 2:1 RRR (risk reward ratio), but you can decide to take profits earlier, adjust stop loss as we get into profit, take partial profit, leave a small portion for larger gains, etc. How you want to manage depends on your own risk appetite and what you are comfortable with.
MAKE SURE YOU FOLLOW ME SO THAT YOU DONT MISS TRADE SIGNALS, GET THE LATEST SL AND TP LEVELS, AND FOLLOW THE TRADE PLAY OUT IN REAL TIME!
DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR.
Sorry for the late post today, had to go to the hospital. Thanks for your support. Feel free to ask any questions, and please let me know how I can improve these daily posts / what you would like me to include in these daily posts, thanks.
UPDATES: Going forward, I will be adding chart patterns and previous trades onto the the chart. Let me know if there are other things you guys want me to lay out on the charts.
ETHUSDT (ETHEREUM) DAILY TRADE SETUPS 2020/12/23SHORT TRADE SETUP: False breakout followed by price dump
In this scenario, we are waiting for price to break above the high of $670 and then breakdown for us to take a short position.
Entry criteria for opening a short position:
1. Price Action: Price breaks above the high of $670 and then rapidly falls below $670, forming a bull trap
2. Candlestick Pattern: A breakout candlestick (candle close above resistance @$670) followed by a breakdown candlestick (candle close below $670), ideally breakout and breakdown candlesticks are consecutive candles, but can also have a few candles in between the two.
3. Volume: Above average volume (volume above the average volume line) on both breakout candle and breakdown candle, ideally the breakdown candle's volume is a local high
4. MACD: MACD histogram topping out, as indicated by the histogram becoming less positive (color changing from dark green to light green)
Ideally we get all four confirmations for an entry, but sometimes we might take a trade when we have fewer confirmations. The more confirmations, the higher the win probability, though it also means you miss out on some profitable trades if you're only taking trades when we have all confirmations. It's up to your own risk appetite to decide when you feel comfortable entering. Make sure you practice proper risk management and money management.
If price breaks out above $670 with significant force, as indicated by volume and large size of green candle, we might look to go long on a retest of the $670 level turning from resistance to new support (S&R flip trade). We adapt to the market as market conditions change so that we've always moving with the markets and not against it.
I will be updating this trade as price enters the trade zone, and when we see confirmations for entering a trade, and will then provide stop loss and take profit targets.
MAKE SURE YOU FOLLOW ME SO THAT YOU DONT MISS TRADE SIGNALS AND CAN FOLLOW THE TRADE IN REAL TIME!
DISCLAIMER: I'M NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR AND THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE, AND I WILL NOT BE RESPONSIBLE FOR YOUR WINS OR LOSSES, DYOR.
All eyes on EthereumWhile Bitcoin has been the star of the Crypto Markets the last couple months,
Ethereum has been slowly consolidating upwards in a rising channel, Although Ethereum has been performing really well this year through Mid year till now.
But now looking at ethereum to me it looks like it wants to go, Once we clear that first order block all eyes will be on ethereum's all time high price and beyond
Ethereum (ETHUSD - Bitfinex) - Updated EW countEthereum (ETHUSD - Bitfinex) has completed WXY instead of ABC mentioned in earlier updates. The choppy WXY correction having ABC in Y wave was over yesterday as three wave movement and a sharp rally thereafter indicates the change of direction. Initially it looks ABC wave pattern, but wait to confirm the five wave A wave, then B correction to buy for C wave up. The BTC has already made A five wave movement up.