ETH/USDT: Hidden Bullish Divergence Analysis 1H (Aug. 08)X Force Global Analysis:
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In this post ,we analyze Ethereum's 4 hour chart, assessing its short term bullish probabilities.
Analysis
- To begin with, Ethereum (ETH) has been consolidating within a bullish pennant pattern
- Prices have been creating lower highs and higher lows
- While bears have attempted to break the structure, bulls have managed to secure significant trend line support
- There is a hidden bullish divergence in play, with higher lows on the price, and lower lows on the indicator
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at neutral zones, showing potentiality for a breakout
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) has shown increasing bearish histograms, leading to a potential golden cross
- The Stochastic Oscillator has recently formed a golden cross at neutral levels as well
- The Simple Moving Averages (SMAs) are all aligned in the order of: 20, 50, and 100 SMA
- Prices have tested the lower bollinger band support
- Prices have managed to bounce on the Ichimoku cloud support
- For Ethereum to retest its new lower high, it must first break and close above the 0.618 Fibonacci resistance, providing confirmation
What We Believe
We believe that Ethereum's short term technicals demonstrate room for a small breakout, that could lead to a formation of a new lower high. For a continuation of the rally, ETH would have to break and close above the bullish pennant structure.
Let us know what you think in the comment section below
Trade Safe.
Ethereumusd
ETHUSD Update: Profit=32250 SL=11600 Reward/Risk > 2.8:1 Trade Setup summary:
Profit targets=32250 pip (2350 + 5620 + 9320 + 14960)
Stop Loss =11600 pip
Reward/Risk > 2.8 : 1
Current Status:
Total Profit: 29400 pip
Closed trade(s): 5400 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 24000 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 5 BUY trade(s) @ 339.00 based on 'previous Forecast' at 2020.08.02 :
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 393.00 touched at 2020.08.03 with 5400 pip Profit.
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 399.00(current price) - 339.00(open price) = 6000 pip
4 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 6000 x 4 = 24000 pip
Technical analysis:
. ETHUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 61.
New Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Uptrend and price reject from uptrend. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
New Take Profits:
TP2= @ 416.50
TP3= @ 449.20
TP4= @ 486.20
TP5= @ 542.60
SL: Break Below Uptrend
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ETHUSD Update: Profit=32250 SL=11600 Reward/Risk > 2.8:1 Trade Setup summary:
Profit targets=32250 pip (2350 + 5620 + 9320 + 14960)
Stop Loss =11600 pip
Reward/Risk > 2.8 : 1
Current Status:
Total Profit: 29400 pip
Closed trade(s): 5400 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 24000 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 5 BUY trade(s) @ 339.00 based on 'previous Forecast' at 2020.08.02 :
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 393.00 touched at 2020.08.03 with 5400 pip Profit.
Open Profit:
Profit for one trade is 399.00(current price) - 339.00(open price) = 6000 pip
4 trade(s) still open, therefore total profit for open trade(s) is 6000 x 4 = 24000 pip
Technical analysis:
. ETHUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 61.
New Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested Uptrend and price reject from uptrend. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
New Take Profits:
TP2= @ 416.50
TP3= @ 449.20
TP4= @ 486.20
TP5= @ 542.60
SL: Break Below Uptrend
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ETH/USDT: Extremely Bullish with One Major Problem 4H (Aug.02)X Force Global Analysis:
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In this analysis, we explore Ethereum's 4 hour chart to assess the bullish and bearish evidence for the next probable move.
Analysis
- To begin with, Ethereum has been on a very steep uptrend, trading within an ascending parallel channel for days
- The Simple Moving Averages (SMA) are all aligned in order: 20, 50, 100, and 200 SMA on the 4H
- Prices are trading way above the Moving Averages as signs of strong support for the bullish trend
- The Ichomku cloud is also located below current prices, indicating a clear bullish rally and strong support
- While the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at overbought zones, we can see that we have previously seen Ethereum being at an overbought state, yet having continued to rally
- Similarly, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) shows strong bullish histograms as a sign of momentum
- The fact that prices have broken out of the ascending parallel channel indicates strong bullishness
- However, what is concerning is the fact that such steep trends are unsustainable
What We Believe
While the trend and technical evidence suggest that Ethereum is clearly very bullish, its currently steep trend is extremely unsustainable. Thus, should a correction play out, we could expect strong support around 350 USDT where the 20 SMA and channel support converge.
Let us know what you think in the comment section below
Trade Safe.
Anybody Else Watching The 2-Month ETH Trend?Ethereum continues to rise and snap resistance levels as if they never even existed!
Let's zoom out and look at the overall trend of how ethereum is performing.
Notice that price on the 2 month chart shifted to go green around may of 2020... BTC halvening.
Tight price compression as we accumulated and continued to hold support. Now we have transitioned and brokeout with strong green movement.
All time highs in crypto will become Irrelevant. Don't miss the cycle!
ETHUSD Update: Profit=46750 SL=15500 Reward/Risk > 3:1 Trade Setup summary:
Profit targets=46750 pip (2900 + 5250 + 8520 + 12220 + 17860)
Stop Loss =15500 pip
Reward/Risk > 3 : 1
Current Status:
Total Profit: 13929 pip
Closed trade(s): 13929 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 0 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 5 BUY trade(s) @ 229.34 based on 'previous Forecast' at 2020.07.06 :
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 237.34 touched at 2020.07.20 with 800 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 244.77 touched at 2020.07.21 with 1543 pip Profit.
TP3 @ 244.77 touched at 2020.07.22 with 2405 pip Profit.
TP4 @ 263.70 touched at 2020.07.22 with 3436 pip Profit.
TP5 @ 286.79 touched at 2020.07.24 with 72 pip Profit.
800 + 1543 + 2405 + 3436 + 5745 = 13929
Technical analysis:
. ETHUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 83.
New Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested uptrend. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
New Take Profits:
TP1= @ 393.00
TP2= @ 416.50
TP3= @ 449.20
TP4= @ 486.20
TP5= @ 542.60
SL= Break below 333.00
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ETHUSD Update: Profit=46750 SL=15500 Reward/Risk > 3:1 Trade Setup summary:
Profit targets=46750 pip (2900 + 5250 + 8520 + 12220 + 17860)
Stop Loss =15500 pip
Reward/Risk > 3 : 1
Current Status:
Total Profit: 13929 pip
Closed trade(s): 13929 pip Profit
Open trade(s): 0 pip Profit
Trade Setup:
We opened 5 BUY trade(s) @ 229.34 based on 'previous Forecast' at 2020.07.06 :
Closed Profit:
TP1 @ 237.34 touched at 2020.07.20 with 800 pip Profit.
TP2 @ 244.77 touched at 2020.07.21 with 1543 pip Profit.
TP3 @ 244.77 touched at 2020.07.22 with 2405 pip Profit.
TP4 @ 263.70 touched at 2020.07.22 with 3436 pip Profit.
TP5 @ 286.79 touched at 2020.07.24 with 72 pip Profit.
800 + 1543 + 2405 + 3436 + 5745 = 13929
Technical analysis:
. ETHUSD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 83.
New Trading suggestion:
. There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested uptrend. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets.
New Take Profits:
TP1= @ 393.00
TP2= @ 416.50
TP3= @ 449.20
TP4= @ 486.20
TP5= @ 542.60
SL= Break below 333.00
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Ethereum has crossed up the long term resistance levelsHi, friends hope you are well and welcome to the new update on Ethereum coin. As we have already seen that on the long-term weekly chart the Ethereum was moving in a descending triangle and now finally the price action has crossed up the resistance of this triangle. The current weekly candlestick was started on 27 July. Once the candlestick will be completely closed above this resistance then we will be confirmed that finally the price action has broken out the resistance successfully.
And if we watch the different indicators then Moving average convergence divergence (MACD) indicator was turning bearish but now it is turned strong bullish. The stochastic gave bear cross after entering in the overbought zone and finally we also have received a bullish signals by the stochastic as well. In the meanwhile the momentum indicator was ignoring the bearish signals of MACD and stochastic and it was continuously bullish. Finally the stochastic and MACD followed the bullish signals of momentum and again turned bullish.
The channel has been broken out:
On the daily chart the priceline of Ethereum was moving in an up channel and finally it has successfully broken out the resistance of the channel. I've also placed the moon phases indicator on this chart and can be easily noticed that the new full moon is appeared at high altitude above the resistance. That was clear indication that the price action can move up to this level. The new dark moon was appeared below the support but it was higher than the previous dark moon that was another bullish indication.
If we watch the MACD indicator then it was strong bullish but now it is turning bearish. The stochastic is also giving bear cross. But the momentum is still bullish so we can expect that now the price action might re-test the previous resistance of the channel as a support and from there it will start the next rally.
Support and resistance levels:
If we take a look at the 4 day chart then different support and resistance levels can be easily seen. In the month of March 2020 the price action has the support at $115 and from there it started the bullish move and broke out the next resistance of $150. Then price action broke out the $225 resistance and re-tested the previous resistance as support. Now price action is breaking out the $280 resistance and a strong resistance block that starts from $310 and ends at $325. This is very strong resistance block that is not broken out since September 2018. Once the price action will be able to break out this resistance block then we will have the next resistance at $310.
The SMAs have formed opened alligator mouth:
If we watch the different simple moving averages on the daily chart with the time period of 25 50 100 and 200. Then it can be easily observed that the price action was re-testing the 25 and 50 simple moving averages as support. And after successful re-test it has started the next bullish rally. In the meanwhile the 25 simple moving average was and moving sideways with 50 simple moving average and crossed 50SMA little bit down. Now it is also moving up and now a complete opened alligator mouth is formed by the simple moving averages because we have the smallest time period moving average 25 above all then we have 50 then 100 and then 200 below all other SMAs. Now the simple moving averages can lift the priceline of Ethereum in a parabolic way.
The bearish cloud is broken out:
If we again switch to the long term weekly chart and place the Ichimoku cloud. Then we can see that the lagging span of Ichimoku cloud has crossed up to priceline and the cloud as well. We have received a powerful bull cross by the conversion and the baseline just below the price action of Ethereum. Now the candlestick has crossed up the bearish cloud as well. Once we will have a complete closing of this candlestick above Ichimoku bearish cloud then we will be confirmed that the price line of Ethereum has broken out this strong resistance of cloud successfully. We can also observe that the Ichimoku cloud has also turned bullish. After this big breakout a new era of bull run will be started that can continue for years. Because before this breakout we have already seen that this cloud was working as a strong resistance and once this resistance will be broken out then it will be working as a strong support.
Conclusion:
Even though all signals and patterns are bullish but there is also a possibility that while re-testing the previous resistance levels as support the price action can move down in case the re-testing will be failed. If it would be happened then the price action can re-entered the channel that was formed on daily chart. Therefore we should use the support of the previous channel as stop loss.
ETH/USDT: Daily Breakout Target Analysis 1D (Jul. 27)X Force Global Analysis:
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In this analysis, we take a look at Ethereum's daily chart, exploring potential zones of interest based on breakout patterns and fibonacci retracement levels.
Analysis
- We can first spot an ascending triangle's breakout pattern in play
- Counting Elliott Waves, we have seen an Elliott Impulse Wave (12345), leading to an ascending triangle pattern
- Within an ascending triangle pattern, we have seen an Elliott Triangle Wave (ABCDE) pattern, leading to a breakout
- While this breakout led to an extremely bullish price movement, and Ethereum broke the 2.618 Fibonacci retracement resistance
- Based on the breakout pattern, we could see a potential rally leading to the 3.618 Fibonacci resistance levels.
- The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is, however, at oversold territories, reaching its previous high level
- The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) continues to show increasing bullish histograms as a sign of momentum in the bullish trend.
What We Believe
Based on technicals demonstrated on the daily chart, while Ethereum's rally has been extremely rapid, there is still more upside to the 3.618 Fibonacci resistance zones where the breakout pattern could be completed.
Let us know what you think in the comment section below
Trade Safe.
ETH/USDT: The Only Chart You Will Ever Need 1H (Jul.25)X Force Global Analysis:
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In this analysis, we explore Ethereum's hourly chart on its Tether (USDT) pair. We recommend that traders approach this setup from the perspective of the volatility breakout strategy, popularized by the legendary trader Larry Williams.
Analysis
- The first thing we can spot is that Ethereum has been in a steady yet steep uptrend within an ascending parallel channel
- Prices continue to form higher highs and lower highs, as the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) Ribbon acts as strong support below price levels
- We can also spot the Ichimoku cloud acting as strong support for the current trend
What We Believe
Given such strong indicators of support, it's important that traders look for opportunities in short term uptrends, and sell when Ethereum starts losing momentum, or provides confirmation of a bearish trend by breaking and closing below the three significant indicators of support mentioned above.
Let us know what you think in the comment section below
Trade Safe.
ETHER BULL MARKET IS HEREA simple analysis of the RSI shows that when the downwards pressure from the RSI is broken and support is built upon it, we are in a bull market. It appears this was supposed to happen earlier but COVID sent all markets down the drain. Now we see the downwards pressure being broken followed by some consolidation on the line. We are now breaking this line and on the way up. Expect some time consolidating sideways between $300 and $350 before the big rally begins.
Regards
You will never regret to buy Ethereum after this moveHey guys and gals hope you are doing well and welcome to the new update on Ethereum coin. We have already seen in my previous article that the Ethereum coin is moving in a very big descending triangle. Previously when the price action was reached at the resistance the MACD was turning bearish and Stochastic also give bear cross but the momentum indicator was ignoring these bearish signals and eventually the MACD and Stochastic both turned bullish again. Now the price action is trying to break out the resistance.
All indicators are signaling to breakout the channel:
On the daily chart the price action is moving in an up channel. And if we watch the Moon phases indicator then new full moon is a appeared at the high distance above the resistance of the channel signaling to the breakout soon. If we watch that moving average convergence divergence (MACD) stochastic and Momentum indicators then we can notice that all these indicators are turned strong bullish.
Priceline is attempting to breakout next resistance:
Now if we switch to the two day chart to watch the different support and resistance levels. Then previously the price line was retesting the support of $225. Now it is trying to breakout the next resistance at $280 if this resistance will be broken out then we have the next resistance at $310.
Now I would like to draw your attention towards a very powerful bullish move by the price line of Etherum and that can be seen after placing the Ichimoku cloud indicator on the long term weekly chart. It can be easily seen that the lagging span of Ichimoku cloud has crossed up the price action and at this time it is trying to cross up the bearish cloud as well. The conversion line and the baseline have formed bull cross just below the price action and finally the candlesticks are breaking out the bearish cloud. This cloud was never broken out since after July 2018 when the price action broke down this cloud. Once it will be broken out then it will become a very strong support for the long term bullish rally as it has been working as a strong resistance for the price line. And after this break out you will never regret to buy this coin.
Conclusion:
Even though the priceline of Ethereum is almost out of the bearish cloud but so far there is not a single candlestick that has been completely opened and closed above this cloud. Therefore we need a complete opening and closing of the candlestick above the cloud then we can consider that it has been completely broken out. The price action is also trying to break out the $280 if it will be failed in breaking out this strong resistance then we can see the price line retesting the previous support of $225 again.
Planning ahead for when Smart Money decides to battleHello everyone,
Hope all is well. Thought I would expand on the topics yesterday by looking at the daily perspective of ETH/USD. As I am looking wide and starting to hone in. The recent uptick causes excitement for some life. It is important to layout what is ahead of ETH. Where are the decision points for smart money. To help people plan on important price point battles on either direction.
What did I do:
1. Drew horizontal rays for resistances/supports from December 11th, 2018 and on.
2. Drew a Fibonacci retracement from the lowest support to the highest resistance. (80->363)
Setting:
• December 11, 2018, with a low of $80 (support)
• June 26th, 2019, with high of $363 (resistance)
• February 15, 2019 with high of $289 (resistance)
• March 14, 2020, with low of $88 (support)
Test:
The first test I believe is a battle at $289 from previous history. This is an important point because a reaction at this level is important immediately.
Ideals:
Bullish Idea: Healthy jump over $289 into the $3## would help us turn this resistance into support. Preparing for the next big jump.
Bearish Idea: Rejection at this level would cause a retest in the $25# range and then $22#. Smart money will test the floors to see how solid its support is.
ETHUSD this dump in an invitation to a powerful pumpFailed in breaking out the resistance:
Hi guys and gals hope you are well, welcome to the new update on Ethereum, the Ethereum was going very good and after crossing the $224 resistance it was expected that it will use this resistance as support and move up to hit the next resistance level but the price action has failed to retest the resistance of $224 and dropped down at previous resistance level at $149 and even now hitting at the next support level at $122. Before breaking down the $244 the support the price action went very close to $310 resistance $290.
Simple moving averages are broken down:
On daily chart the priceline of Ethereum was moving above 100 and 200 simple moving averages and it was expected that these moving averages will work as strong support for the priceline but the bearish move was very strong and now we can see that the candlesticks has broken down the both simple moving averages on daily.
Ichimoku cloud:
In my previous article we have discussed that the priceline was likely to cross the ichimoku bullish cloud and conversion line had formed bull cross with the baseline just below the priceline of ethereum and Ethereum achieved highest price by moving up 12933% bullish move. This time the price line of Ethereum was moving below this cloud since July 2018 and the current during current bull rally it was expected that candle sticks will cross up the bullish cloud. Unfortunately this time the priceline of Ethereum did not cross the bullish cloud and dropped down. Once the priceline will be successful in crossing up the bullish cloud then we can expect a really very big bullish move like it has taken in 2017. No one can say anything that this time the priceline of Ethereum will produce 12933% or more or less profit but it can make really very big bullish move.
Harmonic move:
If we see on monthly chart then the strong bearish move has completed the final and last leg of bullish Gartley pattern which was being formed. It was started on December 2018 and the first leg was completed on June 2019 then the price action retraced upto 0.786 level here I have ignored some extra spike. From here the price action was suppose to be projected between the projection area of A to B leg from 0.382 to 0.886 Fibonacci level and after being projected in this area the Ethereum was suppose to be retraced between 0.618 to 0.786 Fibonacci level. After this retracement now the price action is suppose to be projected between 0.382 to 0.786 Fibonacci level and this is the projection of A to D leg.
Now we can see the priceline of Ethereum even has hit the spike even beyond the potential reversal zone of this big bullish Gartley pattern but unless the candle sticks will be not closed below the potential reversal zone it cannot be considered that this PRZ level has been broken down.
Now from this potential reversal zone the candlesticks are suppose are to be projected between the projection area of A to D legand this bullish divergence can also lead the price action of Ethereum to breakout the ichimoku cloud as well and we have discussed earlier once the pipeline will cross up to cloud on weekly chart then it can turn more bullish to produce very big profit gains.
The range of potential reversal zone and Fibonacci projection area:
And as per bullish Gartley the potential reversal zone of this pattern starts from $188 and ends at $141. And the Fibonacci projection starts from $225 and ends up to $315 this is the level where we also have key level resistance of Ethereum $310.
Stop loss:
Maximum extent of potential reversal on should be used as stop loss point in case if the candle sticks will be closed below this area because once the priceline will break down this PRZ level then the price action may go for bullish Butterfly and can retrace more down between 1.27 upto 1.618 Fibonacci level.