ETH Price Setup: Why $2,840 Could Spark the Next Big Move
BINANCE:ETHUSD has been underperforming compared to BINANCE:BTCUSD and some other major cryptocurrencies, yet recent developments hint at a potential shift. Despite facing a significant resistance cluster, ETH has shown resilience by breaking above a key volume profile Point of Control (POC) level on the higher timeframe, signaling the early stages of a bullish sentiment shift.
However, to sustain this momentum, CRYPTOCAP:ETH needs to conquer a critical resistance zone, marked by a 1-week Fair Value Gap (1W FVG) and a 1-day Order Block (1D OB) – a challenging area that will likely test ETH’s ability to break out.
Chart Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Major Resistance Zone (1W FVG & 1D OB)
The most immediate challenge for ETH is closing above the resistance zone around $2,840. This area is crucial because it combines a 1W FVG and 1D OB, both of which create a barrier that ETH needs to break through for the next leg up.
A decisive close above this level on the daily chart would turn the 1D OB into a breaker block, potentially flipping it from resistance to support and laying the foundation for a more sustained bullish displacement.
Volume Profile POC Breakout
ETH has already broken above the higher timeframe volume profile Point of Control (POC), a positive sign that suggests market interest and liquidity are shifting upwards. This break above the POC adds to the semi-bullish case, as it often signals a potential move towards filling the FVG above.
Entry Into the 1W FVG (SIBI)
Should ETH successfully close above the $2,840 level, it would enter the 1W FVG, opening up the possibility for a larger upward move. Once in this zone, buyers could gain confidence, triggering additional buy-side liquidity and a rally towards $3,100 - $3,300.
Trade Setups
Swing Trade Setup
Entry: Look for a close above $2,840. Ideally, wait for a retest of this level to confirm it as a breaker block before entering long.
Target:
Primary Target: $3,100 - within the 1W FVG zone.
Secondary Target: $3,300 - higher end of the FVG, where resistance may intensify.
Stop Loss: Set below the 1D OB, around $2,750, to protect against a failed breakout and retracement.
Rationale: A breakout and successful retest of $2,840 would signal strength, allowing ETH to push into the FVG and potentially rally toward $3,300. If buyers are strong, this could lead to a medium-term bullish trend.
Scalping Setup
Entry: Enter long on quick pullbacks to $2,750 - $2,770, close to the 1D OB support zone, or during any small dips within this range.
Target:
First target at $2,840 for a quick profit.
Second target around $2,900 - $2,950 if momentum is strong.
Stop Loss: $2,730, slightly below the 1D OB level to protect against larger sell-offs.
Rationale: For scalpers, buying dips around the 1D OB level provides a quick entry with a high probability of retesting the resistance at $2,840. This setup allows for short-term gains while taking advantage of potential volatility near the key resistance area.
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on this!
Trade safe folks,
Cheers
Etherium
COIN Technical Analysis: Wave (4) Correction Nearing CompletionTechnical analysis chart of the cryptocurrency "COIN" using Elliott Wave Theory. Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis method that suggests that financial markets move in predictable patterns based on a series of five waves.
The information provided in this post is for educational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. There is a risk of being completely wrong, and users are warned not to trade or invest solely based on this study. The content is not an advisory and does not guarantee profits. We are not responsible for any kind of profits and losses; individuals should consult a financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions.
Based on the chart, we had identified a potential impulse wave pattern from January 2023 to the present. An impulse wave pattern consists of five waves, with each wave labeled (1), (2), (3), (4), and (5).
Wave (1): This is the first wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strong upward trend. In this case, wave (1) appears to have run from the low near 31-32 to a high near 114.
Wave (2): This is a corrective wave that moves in the opposite direction of wave (1). It is typically a retracement of wave (1), but it can also extend beyond the starting point of wave (1). Wave (2) appears to have run from the high near 114 to a low near 69.
Wave (3): This is the second wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strongest upward trend that extends most of times. Wave (3) given move from 69 to 283
Wave (4): This is a corrective wave that moves in the opposite direction of wave (3). It is typically a retracement of wave (3). Wave (4) is currently in progress, but at verge of completion now any time.
Wave (5): This is the final wave in the impulse pattern and is typically a strong upward trend that completes the pattern. Wave (5) is expected to start soon and could potentially reach the levels of 300 plus.
I am not Sebi registered analyst.
My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
9/20 SP500 Hits New ATH While QQQ Lags Behind by 4.2%Overview:
The SP500 finally broke its all-time high (ATH), despite a red candle on Wednesday. Meanwhile, QQQ still has another 4.2% to go before reaching its record. Fidelity and Ark were busy accumulating their average amounts of BTC yesterday, while Grayscale and BlackRock remained on the sidelines. Only a modest $5.2 million went into ETH from BlackRock, suggesting they’re cautiously dollar-cost averaging into their preferred assets.
TA
Weekly:
Congratulations, Bulls! The $61.4k level was successfully breached, but the price faced resistance at the next level of $64k. It’s impressive to see how the price reacts to the weekly levels shown on our charts. Since the rate cut, Bitcoin has gained up to +6.60%, currently holding at +4.30%. Although these are modest numbers for crypto, they’re certainly better than a downturn. The weekly chart shows a wick above the Bollinger Band MA, but the current closing price sits exactly at the BB MA of $62.6k, keeping the trend bearish.
Daily:
After reaching $63.8k yesterday, BTC is now retracing, likely aiming to establish new support at $61.4k.
4-Hour:
RSI is overbought at 71.55 and has already begun to correct, as evidenced by the last three red candles.
1-Hour:
MACD shows a bearish divergence. We expect BTC to dip to $61.4k and form a new support level.
Altcoins vs. BTC:
TAO and SUI are leading the gains, with SUI reaching an all-time high in volume, signaling potential insider buying. ETH is up 3.79%, SOL up 6.3%, and TAO up 10%.
Bull Case:
The rate cut has boosted risky assets, but we need to ensure this isn't just a short-term rally and that BTC can hold the support level.
Bear Case:
This could be a temporary pump. If the U.S. economy remains strong, the Fed may be hesitant to implement additional rate cuts.
Fear and Greed Index:
The index is at 48.06, finally out of the Fear territory.
Overall, the market remains cautiously optimistic, but staying vigilant is key.
Ethereum long term price analysis ETHUSDT#ETHUSDT
According to our opinion, Ethereum has penetrated the floor of $900 and the purchase order has been cleared at this price level.
From above, it has hit its daily true zone QM and after the start of its downward rally, it has cleared its FL or local resistance and is correcting an upward price and starting the next downward step.
Liquidity below the weekly long-term trend line confirms this.
We move step by step with the price....
Aug 21Overview:
There were no surprises in the Fed’s meeting minutes. "Officials were confident about the direction of inflation and are ready to start easing policy if the data continues to cooperate." However, too many traders are interpreting this as “on September 18th, my $stonks go up.” Don’t be one of them.
VANTAGE:SP500 posted another green candle, but momentum is slowing as it approaches its ALH, now just 0.82% away. We might see it by the end of the week, reducing the chances of $ BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC crashing this weekend.
$63.2k is still a possibility for BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC as it slowly inches closer, needing only a 4.28% increase over the next 2-3 weeks.
W: Heading to close this week green. No divergences.
D: Finished Wednesday strong, posting a green candle, solidifying the BB MA breakout, and escaping the $60.2k level, which should now turn into support. Expecting to close the week between $60.2k and $63.2k.
4h: No divergences. Range trading.
1h: No divergences. Range trading.
Alts Relative to BTC: No divergence relative to BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC.
Bull Case: Same as yesterday. We’ve likely passed the bottom (or an intermediate bottom), and with the booming VANTAGE:SP500 , expected rate cuts each month, and more institutional money flowing into risky assets in September, we should continue marching up. IPO stocks, small-cap tech stocks, and crypto are poised to benefit.
Bear Case: Same as yesterday.
Fear and Greed Index: Slowly trending higher, now almost exactly in the middle at 49.59. Untradeable.
Prediction: Close this week green, then grow to $63k next week before a drop.
Opportunities:
BINANCE:UNIUSDT UNI Expected to complete its move to $7.52, offering a 7.87% gain.
BINANCE:ARUSDT AR, BINANCE:APTUSDT APT, BINANCE:TAOUSDT TAO Have shown better price action in the last couple of days and may continue trading higher next week, as BINANCE:BTCUSDT BTC stays within its range. These moves are not indicator-driven, so proceed with extreme caution and tight stop-losses.
Aug 17Overview:
The cryptocurrency market is currently in a cautious phase. Weekends typically see minimal price swings, though Sunday evenings can bring volatility. Declining open interest suggests a lack of confidence, with traders closing positions and exiting the market. The August 5th liquidations also pushed remaining traders to leave, further reducing market participation. This environment points to continued consolidation, with potential for volatility as the weekend ends.
Looking back at BTC’s weekend price action, similar patterns emerge: a crash, a small rebound, approaching the Bollinger Bands moving average (BB MA), and then continued decline. Bearish scenarios include January 15-16, 2022; June 5-6, 2022; and more recently, June 29-30, 2024. A bullish argument is found in May 11-12, 2024, when Saturday and Sunday marked the end of the first bull wave and the start of the second in 2024. However, that was 33 days after the downturn began, while we are currently at day 20.
This past week may have been the calm before the storm.
Alts Relative to BTC: No divergences.
Bull Case: Everyone who wanted to sell has likely sold. Now we wait for an event to trigger a buying spree that could draw a 4th wave on the CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart.
Bear Case: No bulls come to the rescue, and the market drops further.
Fear and Greed Index: 44.9, rising over the last two days, but given the weekend, it may not carry much weight.
W: Range trading, no divergences.
D: Reached BB MA and is touching it at $59.9k.
4h: Approached $60.2k for the second time but couldn’t break that daily level. We’re also at the top of the Bollinger Bands range, which is relevant for those trading sideways movements. No divergence.
1h: No divergences, but there’s a bullish inverted head and shoulders pattern.
Prediction: Most likely move down significantly, or range trade, then decline.
Opportunities:
CRYPTOCAP:SOL : Attempting to break the weekly resistance level.
NYSE:SUI : Bounced from support and is now trending upward.
NYSE:AR and CRYPTOCAP_OLD:RNDR : Sitting on the weekly level; their next move will be quick, so choose your side.
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Aug 15Overview:
Lord Jerome reported 227,000 jobless claims, slightly below the expected 234,000. Additionally, almost all other macroeconomic data points to a growing and improving economy. July U.S. retail sales were three times higher than anticipated, coming in at 1% versus the expected 0.3%, suggesting strengthening consumer confidence, which has risen above 0.7% for the first time since January 2023. Auto sales are also up. Are these newly unemployed Americans spending their savings? Unemployment has been rising since January 2023 and now sits at 4.3%.
The chances of a recession are decreasing, and CRYPTOCAP:BTC is rising.
Interest rate cuts are a tool for quantitative easing, typically applied when the economy isn’t growing and needs an injection of liquidity (M2 money supply). But if the economy is healthy, with spending on the rise and government spending contributing to GDP growth, rate cuts might not be the solution.
Now, think critically—if everything is relatively good (maybe not great yet), the economy is somewhat healthy, and the S&P 500 has been rallying since October 2023—why would you sharply cut rates? Perhaps two or three cuts by the end of the year, reducing rates by a total of 0.75%, at most.
For those expecting such a small rate change (a 13% decrease by the end of the year) to have a significant impact, they might be in for a rude awakening.
Alts Relative to BTC:
If CRYPTOCAP:BTC dropped by 1.92%, CRYPTOCAP:ETH declined by 3.34%. No significant divergence, except for NYSE:AR , which posted a thin green candle.
Bull Case:
All bears die.
Bear Case:
All bears don’t perish but remain very much alive.
Fear and Greed Index:
Lower, at 40.61%. Dangerously close to Fear territory.
W:
Forming another lone star/abandoned child-type candle. Where do you want to go next, Mr. Bear Market?
D:
August 15th ended in red, closing below the daily level of $58.2k. Bearish. On the 14th, we touched the BB MA and are now heading toward $52.2k.
4h:
No new divergences—just the old ones still playing out. On both August 14th at 8 a.m. and the 15th at noon, U.S. bears woke up and decided, “Nah, crypto ain’t sh*t.” Red candles followed. The last four green candles showed diminishing volume, not reaching the BB MA. Leave a comment if you know what that means—unless you’re a whale, in which case, just do your thing.
1h:
No divergences. The sell-off ended at 4:00 p.m. U.S. time, almost touching the freshly established weekly level of $55.9k set at the beginning of July.
Prediction:
In the next two weeks, the bottom falls out. When September arrives, big whales will return from vacation and send the market crashing down, with rate cuts providing little relief.
Opportunities:
CRYPTOCAP:SOL : Still at weekly resistance level. But keep in mind, it approached this level from the top, not the bottom. Although it has garnered a lot of attention this bull market, it doesn’t follow normal technical analysis rules.
AMEX:APT : As noted yesterday, starting at midnight, it began its descent, printing a nice -6.24%. Did you catch that?
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💎ETHUSD: FULL Multitimeframe analysis💎A lot of bullish confluence at the moment for ETH
☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
Learn from my experience, with all the mistakes and pain shared on the way to the main goal - consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions.
⚠️ ALL videos and ideas here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. DO NOT act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
ETH - 4H more correctionIn the 4-hour timeframe, Ethereum's recent upward movement was a classic pullback after failing to hold its previous support level. This pullback reached the resistance zone around $3,600, which acted as a significant barrier. Now, ETH is showing signs of weakening and is likely to continue its downward trajectory.
Expect Ethereum to target the next support levels around $3,310 and possibly $3,110, as indicated in the chart. These zones are crucial as they represent potential areas where buyers might step in.
ETH ShortKRAKEN:ETHUSD
ETH is approaching the resistance, which almost exactly coincides with the boundary of a regression channel. Indicators show that a new HIGH is about to form. I am counting on bouncing off the resistance and heading back down to test 2.9K. The risk/reward ratio is not the best, but it is worth giving it a shot. The price could fall lower and test the support of the channel, but I will stay on the conservative side and place a take profit at 2939.
📈Ethereum Analysis: Potential Scenarios in 4-Hour Timeframe✨🔍Today, let's delve into the analysis of Ethereum (ETH) to identify its growth or decline potential.In the 4-hour timeframe, ETH experienced a correction downward to around $3200 after reaching $4063. Currently, it's ranging between $3645 and $3480, with the previous candle breaking below the range. Now, we need to assess whether this could lead to stabilization or a potential fakeout.
⚡️From a Fibonacci perspective, retracement from the 50% level suggests the possibility of further downward movement, potentially extending the correction. If we continue to decline and breach $3299, we might target $2899, a strong support level that could anchor ETH against excessive correction.
📊The volume of red candles significantly outweighs that of green candles, indicating stronger selling pressure. Should this trend persist, further decline can be expected.
💥Regarding RSI, it previously held support around 44.89, coinciding with $3480, but has now dipped to 37.18. A breach of this level may not provide much distance to oversold territory, potentially leading to sharp movements.
💎Overall, these analyses apply to the 4-hour timeframe, with all movements constituting minor corrections in the weekly perspective.
🧠💼It's important to acknowledge the inherent risks in futures trading, with the potential for margin calls if risk management is neglected. Always adhere to strict capital management principles and utilize stop-loss orders, ensuring that the initial target offers a risk-to-reward ratio of 2
Lukso Soon to be listed on Uphold which is one of the few crypto onboarding exchanges that US residents can purchase coins and tokens directly from their bank accounts. This is a chart from Gate.io showing a pretty solid falling wedge pattern.
In which the price action has came back down to the entry zone and is retesting the falling wedge. Falling wedge patterns have around a 70% chance of breaking bullish and have multiple ways to find targets upon breakout to where the price action will likely end up during the next extension wave.
You can find the first target area by measuring the mouth of the falling wedge opening. This is the area at the top of the wedge which the upper trend line is drawn from the BODY of the candlestick on the chart. You can use a trend line to start this measurement. The second point you will want to extend your measurement trend line to is the beginning of the lower falling wedge trend line. Again, only measure from the top candle body to the bottom trend line candle body.
Then you will want to grab the measurement trend line you have just created and place it on the breakout of the wedge. This is the area at the bottom of the wedge that the price action has broken above the top of the wedges trend line you have drawn like in the chart we have here. Your first target will be the top of this line. A few tips, in some occasions you will see that the measurement trend line should have been placed on the lowest point that the price action has came back down after the breakout of the upper trend line of the wedge. The best tip I can give you is this…. If the breakout (the first candle to fully breakout of the wedge and close on a higher time frame than at least 2hr unless you’re trading patterns under the 1hr during intraday trading) breaks out with heavy green volume that supersedes all of the other volume indicator candles during the time period the wedge was formed, it is very likely that the pattern breakout should be measured from this breakout area. If the volume is not at the Brest candle, you may want to measure from the lowest point that the candles retested. The only problem with this is that you cannot predict the future and will not be sure if it will retest the top of the trend line at all. Especially on lower time frames, the price action often goes directly to the target. So, choose, are you a breakout trader? Or are you a retest pattern trader? Then stick to your trading plan. Keep a trading journal and then switch to the other strategy and find out which works best on which asset you’re trading and stick with that.
I often will go back and backtest the other strategy every month just to make sure the one I chose is still the better of the two.
Ok, back to some fundamentals. I don’t want to make this post too long consider the majority of us that came later than boomers have an attention span of 7 seconds lol (we all need to work on this, especially doing something that can be stressful when you’re just learning how to trade! Personally, I meditate and do yoga . If you saw me you’d never guess that’s what I do to get my head right and back on track. This has increased my win rate greatly and is arguably say it is one of the most important parts of my strategy!) anyways, I’m just going to leave a link here for coin market cap so you can do your own research on this coin and a link to uphold if you’re in the states to use.
Link to coin market cap, read the white paper, check out the community and the devs, what is the utility, what does the project set out to do? Do they have any partners? If so who and how big could the integration of the utility in this token get if the partners fully utilized it? All in all, learn as much as you can! Then come back here to TV and add any new related post alerts to your profile. TradingView has everything you need to do all the fundamental research also, unfortunate I am posting this from my phone and it was easier to put the link to CMC for this. I’d suggest you use TV for everything and pay for premium! It’s worth it just for the alerts! I am in no way an employee of TradingView nor do I benefit from saying this unless you were to use my link to sign up. You’re welcome to but, by no means am I asking you to!
Here’s a link to uphold for all the people in the U.S. looking to get into this coin!
I hope your enjoyed this post, let me know in the comments what you think!
QNTUSDT - BUY OPPORTUNITYHOLDING QNT to swing area and beyond - This coin is one of my top favs - If you want to understand its project - I highly advise you read its whitepaper.
I believe this coin can MC to 100B and beyond as cryptos take off, Web3 becomes more advanced and in play, Future will be tokenised with blockchain! Your IDs, Photos, anything digital you own etc
If you understand blockchain, you will understand what I mean. You can't dupe a FAKE photo, clone it etc from its original makers as blockchain will help protect its authenticity, originality and ownership. This has nothing to do with Quant, just in general my own opinion and view on the future of Blockchain in our daily life.
Trade Safe Habibis - The future is Blockchain!
Ethereum still looks bullishConsidering the breakouts that Ethereum has had on the chart, it seems that it is going to sweep all the liquidity pools on top of the chart.
The rebuy range that has a good R/R is the green range.
Closing a daily candle below the green range will violate the analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
ETHEUR Rainy SummerHi Traders!
so far so good ETHEUR
Now we seem to have a little problem though!!
we have a good resistance at about 1600..
if we keep it we will go up if not we will see lower numbers.
but in the long term we will see quite large numbers!!
huge caution with the SL AND TP
be very careful with Risk Management
ETH.X in downward trendETH.X in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on January 28, 2024
The 10-day moving average for ETH.X crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on January 28, 2024. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 22 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 50%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ETH.X moved out of overbought territory on January 12, 2024. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 66 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 32 of the 66 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 48%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ETH.X turned negative on January 20, 2024. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 64 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 26 of the 64 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 41%.
ETH.X moved below its 50-day moving average on January 31, 2024 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ETH.X declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 39%.
BINANCE:ETHUSD
New Robot factory from Tickeron Trading Results for last 12 months
ETH.X
AI Robots (Signals Only)
AI Robot's Name P/L
Day Trader: Crypto Pattern Trading in High-Volatility Markets (TA) 8.81%
Day Trader with Trailing Stops, Cryptos 7 (TA) 6.37%
Swing Trader: Crypto Pattern Trading in High-Volatility Markets (TA) 5.31%
Market Cap
The average market capitalization across the group is 275.16B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 275.16B to 275.16B. ETH.X holds the highest valuation in this group at 275.16B. The lowest valued company is ETH.X at 275.16B.
High and low price notable news
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the group was 1%. For the same group, the average monthly price growth was 1%, and the average quarterly price growth was 23%. ETH.X experienced the highest price growth at 1%, while ETH.X experienced the biggest fall at 1%.
Volume
The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the group was -25%. For the same stocks of the group, the average monthly volume growth was -50% and the average quarterly volume growth was -6%
ETHUSD_1DEthereum analysis
According to the breaking of the upward trend line, the market can be a sign of the end of the upward trend, and currently the market is in the range of suffering to decide whether to withdraw the trend line or enter a strong fall.
The main resistance number is 2300
Target and support 2000