Battle-tested through the ups and downs of Etherium historyA trading strategy that's been battle-tested through the ups and downs of Eth's history. This strategy doesn't blink in the face of market chaos or get swayed by emotions. It's a calculated game plan that knows when to step in and when to step back.
Compare that to emotional investing, where fear and greed call the shots. Imagine making decisions when you're on an emotional rollercoaster—buying high in excitement and selling low in panic. That's a recipe for disaster.
A backtested risk-managed strategy, though, is like a cool-headed coach that sticks to the game plan no matter what. It's about discipline, rules, and consistency. So, do you want to ride the emotional wave or play the long game with a strategy that has been consistently profitable year on year since 2016 (start of Eth - substantiated by backtest data).
Average annual net profit (substantiated by the backtest)
196% (No Leverage) & 661% (3x leverage)
This year (Jan 2023 to Sep/15th/2023) has already generated
45.21% (no leverage) 144.93% (3x leverage) in net profit.
This strategy does Not re-paint, No-look ahead bias. and 100% forward tested. Tradingview has a default caution for strategies that use the multitimeframes data. This does not apply to this strategy as all calculations are based on closed bars.
So how does it work?
Postions are entered based on RSI Divergence on Higher Timeframes and confirmed by the ATR.
Stop Loss and Trailing ATR-based Take Profit:The strategy incorporates a risk management mechanism with a built-in stop loss set at 8%. Additionally, it employs a trailing take profit mechanism based on ATR. This means that as the trade moves in the desired direction, the take profit level adjusts itself based on the current volatility, allowing for gains to be secured as the trend progresses.
SMI-based Re-entry after Stop-out:
Stochastic Momentum Index (SMI) is used as a re-entry signal if the trade is stopped out (i.e., the stop loss is triggered). This re-entry is contingent on higher timeframes and ATR still supporting the original trend, indicating that the initial stop-out may have been a false signal.
Portfolio Reinvestment for Compound Growth:
The strategy allocates 95% of the portfolio's capital to each trade.
This approach maximizes the potential for compound growth, as a significant portion of the available capital is reinvested in each trade, provided that risk management rules are satisfied. This approach is appropriate for this strategy as strict risk management is applied and the winrate is almost 50%
Accounting for Exchange Fees:
Exchange fees, set at 0.1%, are factored into the strategy's calculations.
This ensures that trading decisions take into account the cost of executing trades on the exchange.
Avoiding Lookahead Bias and Repainting:
The strategy is designed to prevent lookahead bias by making calculations based only on closed bars of price data. Lookahead bias occurs when future data is used to make past trading decisions, potentially leading to unrealistic expectations.
Etherium
Ethereum is in a tight price zoneWhat is clearly visible in this picture is that Ethereum has built a resistance in the $1936 area and I expect a drop from this area to the short-term upward trend line. If there is no support in this trend line, it can fall to the next support, which is the $1700 area.
If the $1936 resistance is broken, the next resistance is the $2000 area
ETHEREUM more correction expected for the price ❌🧨Hello 🐋
the price has started the new trend to the downside before any other huge pump and this trend should be completed ❌🧨
if
the price doesn't break the resistance zone to the upside and just complete the retest, we will see more correction ❌🧨
if
breakout of the lower support zone be completed, we can see more correction to the downside ❌🧨
brief amount of green candlesticks to the upside before any other movement is logical 📖💡
👌 Notice: pay attention to the price on shortcut chart (located above the main chart with black colour) 📖💡
Please, feel free to share your point of view, write it in the comments below, thanks 🐋
Etherium bullEtherium is bull
Reasons are
Impelsive wave in daily hit 161 percent
Retest to 100 percent
There is a QM pattern in daily which is tested,
Choch is done in H4 right now,
Minor rest is possible to the domain breakout area in H1,
Major reason is there is weekly impelsive wave and all this moment is the restet to the golden zone.
This is just idea for educational purpose only .
ETHUSDT 1DETH on the daily continues to move in a range between 2020.29 and 1741.43 and has not reached the lower boundary which would be 1690.32, where in addition to being a smart money support region it is also where the MM100 is.
It may not arrive, even because its stochastic RSI is indicating deep exhaustion of selling forces, which could break the upward accumulation triangle. .
After the recent Shapella update, daily stake deposits increased by 500%. Despite the withdrawal requests being mostly from centralized exchanges, the data suggests that the withdrawn ETH is mostly used for internal operations rather than sales.
.Main support levels : 1741 / 1690
Key Resistance Levels :1860 / 2020
MM100: 1690
Ether: supported by meme-frenzyThere have been some interesting developments with ETH`s price during the previous week. Namely, nobody has expected that meme-frenzy will hit the market for one more time. It has been supported by the release of a new SpongeBob token on Thursday, whose price surged by an incredible 600% during the first few days of trading. At the same time, Pepecoin surged by more than 120%. This meme-mania supported the price of ETH, however, it impacts less coins in circulation, since more ETH`s is burned in order to support memes. At one moment, the price of ETH reached level of $2.020, however, the coin is finishing the week around $1.9K, with prevailing selling orders.
RSI continues to move around the 50 for the last two weeks. It seems that there is no strength for a move toward the overbought side, due, most probable road in the coming period would be toward the oversold side. Moving average of 50 days continues to diverge from MA200 counterpart, still supporting the Golden cross, which is positive for the coin.
As per current charts, ETH will start the week ahead by testing the $1.850 support line. Whether there will be strength to break this line, will depend solely on a volume of selling orders. On the opposite side, there is a lower probability for the price to reach $2K, still levels above $1.9K might be shortly tested.
ETH back in the days ... !as chart indicates , Intermediate time highs and lows has a lot to offer to those who hear carefully !
ITH is between two STH , and its used to find the most recent trends , while LTH is in between two ITH , and its used to find key levels with (where liquidity rests)
so next time in ur analysis look at these parameters .
goodluck,Hamid
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS is the new KING ok here me out.
i'll go straight to point
this message is for the newbies (oldies gonna hate)
what is pure Minimalist Technical Analysis Trader ( MTAT : i just made this up)
-it is when u leave out all so-called indicators and focus on the chart
-some of these indis are: MACD, RSI, ATR, STOCHT....
-it's when u leave out the FUNDAMENTAL analysis and focus on the chart pattern
- i'm talking here about financial news and garbage flash news
- didn't u sometimes realize that a news come out, but the dollar act contrary to the news it-self?
HOW TO APPLY this MTAT ?
let's be practical, but first u need to watch so many charts until ur eyes pops out (it's a prerequisite).
1- always pick a 4h-time frame chart
2- always brush ur teeth before bed time
3- always look for a bullish pair to trade (this is essential for the plan to succeed)
4- after identifying the bullish pair, start looking for SUpport & Resistance...but never make the chart too complicated, u really need like 2-4 lines drawn only
5- after u draw the S&R lines, look for retracements (the pair is going down slightly)
6- use the FIBONACCI drawing tool and draw from the lowest to highest point (before the retracement)
7- it's best to focus on the 61.8% line
8- look for a confirmation candle:
a- a red Bar, which the low point of it touched (crossed) the 61.8% Fib line
b- followed by a green bar which closed ABOVE THE fib 61.8% line
c- place ur buy trade when the green candle closes
9- how to set your target:
a- use the (-61.8% or -100%) FIb levels
or
b- use the Resistance line u drawn previously
now the question is, do u really need MACD or RSI or STOCH?
of course NO, if you google it, u'll know that these reflects previous price actions? so why use it for FUTURE price actions?
what to do when big news are coming out?
IT WILL ACT ACCORDINGLY THE PREVIOUSLY SET CHART PATTERN...this will never fail you
DO YOU PLACE STOP ORDERS?
NEVER, never put pre-set stop orders,
you should be active on ur screen and wait for the price to fall to the price u set as a stoploss, AND CLOSE TRADE MANUALLY
WHY?, because when we have big news, we have volatility the pair will go up and down so hard to close all stoploss orders
then it will continue to obey the technical chart pattern as a fukn slave!
let's practice:
use the FIB Ret tool:
identify the red and green candle:
place your buy order:
et voila....
#STOP_BEING_POOR
#Ethereum - Thoughts out loud #5Good afternoon, dear colleagues!
I am pleased to welcome everyone who wishes to familiarize themselves with my vision of the current situation on this instrument.
I propose to consider a possible deal, but this is only my vision of the situation.
Dear colleagues, I sincerely thank you all for your attention and wish you all success!
And remember one thing:
"sometimes you win, sometimes you learn".