ETHEUR
ETH Doom pt 2.Blood will be spilled as the charts are painted crimson over the coming days. This is following on from the original ETH doom idea which I posted at the end of March. Support will be found on the bottom of the weekly Keltner channel ($18-20) and this is where I will be buying back/longing.
ETHUSD ETHBTC My thoughts on the direction of ETHIf you look at my last idea, you can see where this idea originates. I think it will break the current resistance at ~45 and continue up to the ~$48-50 resistance mark. I will be selling shares around then because I feel it may go back down to what would be the ~$45 support (or even lower) to finish off the head and shoulders pattern. What do you think?
ETH Rise During Bitcoin DowntrendIt has become clear in recent times that the Bitcoin and Ethereum prices directly correlate with each other. Whales are constantly pumping one while they dump the other; rinse and repeat. Therefore as Bitcoin is now completing the final shoulder of the IH&S, ETH will pump up to potential new highs.
ETHBTC: ratio chart updateETHXBT has been rallying steadily for now, and is approaching a strong resistance zone. We can expect a short term top or consolidation here, if not, aim for the next level on chart.
I'm holding my positions and won't sell until the monthly targets are hit.
We can trade this pair in the short term though, and capture short term declines with margin positions. Keep an eye on the key levels above, and my next updates.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
ETHXBT: Ethereum has a weekly uptrendThe target hasn't been hit yet, but we might end up hitting it, and stalling there for some time, as I had explained in the monthly chart I posted. If you're long, look into closing margin longs on target, or if you own more than 50% account, go back to BTC to maintain equal weights in your cash account (spot, no leverage).
The support here is strong, so you can probably look into going long if this support zone holds.
$BTCUSD is right against resistance, derived from the ETF decision news price action. It's a good idea to short with a stop at 1190+, or simply buying $ETHXBT alternatively (if you didn't yet).
We closed our margin longs on the previous bar, and now reentered. With some luck, we won't go any lower before hitting the weekly 'Time at Mode' target.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
ETHEUR: New ATH, breakout confirmed by proprietary toolsThe 'Range Movement' indicator is confirming the monthly breakout in $ETHEUR, showing new all time highs in it, together with price. So far, all timeframes' signals have been coherent and bullish for $ETHEUR, and every consolidation has led to higher prices after breaking out, since I called the bottom in this instrument recently.
Let's keep an eye on it, any kind of correction, sideways pattern, oversold dips, or other setups will give profitable short term and intermediate term bullish trades. Stay ready, and keep some cash at hand to add to longs, or just trade it with margin, but don't go overboard with size.
We might slow down for a while here, or a tad higher, since $ETHXBT implies we need to wait until May or even June to get more rapid upside in Ethereum.
The fiat chart remains bullish in all timeframes, and indicates we might have little to worry about, holding longs, aiming to hit the long term targets (34-49-270 eur).
Bitcoin's recent negative fundamental events might be helping it strengthten relative to it, and in fiat terms as well, since more and more people will opt for investing in it, considering how it fares against Bitcoin's fundamental situation and risks (PBOC regulations, blocksize debate and confllicting opinions between miners and some big investors among others).
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.
Resistance at the upper side of the rising channelThe price have hit today resistance of the uptrend channel.
In my opinion, there won't be enough bulls to break 19,5 EUR.
I expect the correction of this rise, which will probably end at 14,60 EUR (38,2% fibo level)and if BTC price fall down, than the 11,5 - 12,2 EUR level is expected (61,8%).
The RSI level is record high (overbought). Looking back we can see that, at ~95, the price begins to drop. However it's not the long trend reversal.
BTCUSD: FuturologyThis is another very prophetic post, like my ETHBTC one. I think that we will get an approval by the SEC, but, since the ETF won't bring money into Bitcoin right away, price will fall back to weekly support at 1139 give or take. Bottoming there, while big players accumulate positions, until the market is ready to trend up vigorously again.
The market is likely to frustrate the most people, so, I think first, it'll spook the short sellers by going up after the news, to then fall and stop out all longs, right before bottoming for some time.
My game plan, I'm holding my positions for 1 year at least, so, I'll trade around them using margin. My preferred vehicle to hedge the BTC decline is ETHXBT longs. I'll be looking to accumulate a hefty ETHBTC long position, in the order of 30%, when we have a decent enough retracement in it. It's close to weekly support, and in a weekly uptrend, with potential for a monthly rally after May, which would align with this prediction taking place, if ETHEUR rallies or doesn't fall, while BTC falls or doesn't rally as much.
Reccomendations: If conservative, sell down from 50% to 20% account long in BTCUSD and do nothing. Sell also down from 50% to 20% account in ETHEUR and do nothing. Then add back on dips or if they keep trending up proving you wrong.
If more brave, follow my game plan. Don't sell but hedge the decline with ETHBTC longs when safe.
Best of luck!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
ETHXBT: Just a predictionI can make an informed guess on how long it will take for ETHXBT to surpass Bitcoin in performance dramatically. The monthly chart indicates we could expect a major breakout only after May, or as a worst case scenario, July. There are two possible top targets, and an estimated time duration of the rally as well.
The targets are 0.095937 and 0.228555, with a rally that could last until February, 2018. I'm going to hold my positions as long term trades, and I'll continue to trade around them with margin, to make my holds risk free, and only risk part of my profit from holding the trades open all this time. I'd reccomend keeping a 50/50% weight with BTC, and perhaps if you want, investing small in some ICOs. or other alts along the way, but only with 1-5% positions at best. Focus on this and BTC, since the charts and fundamentals favor continued growth in them.
Good luck!
Ivan Labrie.
ETHBTC: Add on dipsWe're long already, after trying to capture the bottom of this pullback and suffering a slight drawdown (our average buy is around 0.01140). The trend seems to be turning up in this chart, and it presented us with a good opportunity to hedge half of our long BTC position at least.
After today's close, we could add to it on dips, so, keep an eye on it and be ready to buy ETH with BTC. I reccomend using margin, but just swapping part of your BTC for ETH is ok.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.