ETH Making Gains on BTC!!?Ethereum has been performing very well against BTC in the past months making huge gains in a shorter timeframe and i think we are setting up for another big run coming up soon. With the falling of BTC dominance and the rise of Ethereums dominance we are going to start noticing that Bitcoin is likely going to be making minor moves but more sideways price action while the altcoins start to really outperform against BTC. We are not very far off our previous high set set at .088, and its looking like ETH is gearing up to make some new highs and keep this bullish streak going. Looking at our bollinger bands we are just underneath the midline which is currently resistance, what we want to see happen either in 30 minutes from now or at tomorrows daily close is a strong push up and above this point opening the door for us to reach that top band where then we could trigger a big run upwards. The RSI is looking very good we brokethrough the SMA which is now support for us and aswell as the midline, we got up and above here just recently and that is a big key step that we needed. for us to remain in an uptrend we need to hold above this midline on the RSI, falling below and being unable to recover back up puts us in a confirmed downtrend scenario which is never ideal, unless we are talking for BTC.D. The MACD looks very very healthy, we just had a long drawn out 2 bearish period macd cycle and its finally looking like we are coming to an end. Time will tell on our daily close but what we need to see as a start is a open green bar on the histogram with the bars growing in size everyday after that, showing a strong rise in bullish momentum. Second we need to see is a strong bullish cross with our Blue MA pushing away from the orange showing that growth in bull momentum, creating space between the MA's is very important because in this scenario it allows us some breathing room, meaning we can afford to have a couple days of red price action without triggering a bearish cross! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Ethforecast
JAN and FEB will be for Eth ( DEFI TREBD IS GOING TO START )Signal ID# 203
COIN: ETH/USDT
Excha nge: Binance, FTX, KUCOIN
Direction: long
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Position: 15%
Risk: Low
Entries :
3700, 3500,
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Targets:
4100, 4300, 4800,5800,6100
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Stop loss: BELOW 3300
Daily ETH UpdateThe ETH chart is currently looking a little uninspiring. Although technically still in a long term uptrend, price has been pretty much moving down since November 11th. On the positive side I believe we have found the local bottom. I've placed a white rectangle around previous bottoms and all of them are characterised by low RSI's, red (negative) OBV and the Normalised MACD hitting the low of -1 at least once.
Unlike BTC, ETH has not yet managed to break the RSI downtrend yet. Before we can have any confidence in ETH moving into a new uptrend we need to see:
1. RSI must swing up and break through RSI downtrend line.
2. OBV must move above the centre line (green).
3. Price action needs to break the local downtrend line on the chart.
Ethereum Weekly Outlook! IMPORTANT LEVELS!!Taking a look at our Ethereum Weekly chart we are still moving to the downside but i feel this could be the final week of downside before rebounding to the upside, we have had a total of 7 weeks worth of downtrending candles and that could be coming to an end very soon. we are trading inside of a bullish pennant which historically has lead to upside breakouts, we are just about at the apex point but there is a chance we have 1 more weekly candle before breaking to the upside! We are approaching the 0.2 FIB which is an important level for us to hold going into our next weekly close next sunday. Another few key levels i am looking for us to hold is, the 20 EMA (red) (not as important) the bottom of the bullish pennant or risk falling out the bottom, the midline on the bollinger bands is a pretty big one we gotta hold onto here giving us the chance for a rally to that top band. Now if we did by chance fall to the downside there is one level that is mega important and that is the 50 day EMA (pink) looking at it now its looking like we will be pushing up and above the 0.3 FIB, so if we did fall to the downside these 2 levels would be a crucial hold, either the 50 day will be right overtop of the 0.3 FIB or we will be right below this FIB, this should give us that ultimate cushion for getting a bounce and reversal. Another nice reversal spot we have if we do decide to go down is the support at 3324$, we have had tons of price action on this level back in june-sept and i would say this level is pretty rock solid especially if we only came down to test it once or twice! Overall with the support levels we have a big drop is not really on the table i would say personally, around 3050$ would be my lowest target for a further correction, but i don't think we will even come close to there realistically, the amount of downside we have had over the past 7 weeks is definitely enough for a normal correction and i am looking for that upside breakout of this bull pennant. Last thing lets take a look at the Stoch RSI, we are coming down very fast and we are inside the oversold zone and almost bottomed out, i wouldn't be surprised to see the formation of a reversal coming into this weeks close on sunday, we want to see something similar to what i have drawn out here, a strong bull cross with the blue moving ontop of the orange, even if we don't see the cross happen next sunday i would like to see both lines start to flatten out and tick upwards! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Ethereum Update!!Checking out Ethereum on the daily timeframe we are looking a bit shaky i can't lie, todays been a rough day for the markets overall and we have came way down out of are accumulation zone and we are currently sitting below the 0.2 FIB level which of course is not very ideal and if we do close below here the door is open for a push down to the 3667$ level. After that if we don't hold that support we are looking at the 3464$ level which i think is a good spot to catch a rebound, its a strong support level with tons of price action from months back, if we don't hold here we are looking at the 0.3 FIB or 3214$ which i can't see us going any further for the time being. as for resistances if we close where we are for tonights close we are facing resistance from the 0.2 FIB, the midline on the bollinger bands and the 3990-4K level. Looking at the bollinger bands we notice that price action currently is sitting on that bottom band and if we see a close ontop we could be in for a sharp downside drop likely too the 3464$ level or the 0.3 FIB. The RSI is giving me some hope, even though we crosses below the SMA we are currently ontop of strong support coming from months back and ideally we want price action to push back up above that 0.2 FIB so we can hopefully see a bounce off of this support level on the RSI, ideally in the longer outlook of things we definitely want to climb back and get above that midline, being below keeps u in a confirmed downtrend and being above and holding puts us back in an uptrend! Now the Squeeze momentum indicator, this gives me some hope aswell, we are approaching the midline on the SMI and what we want to see here is a green bar after daily close, this would give us the momentum needed to start making a push back up, the only problem is that if price action closes bearish then we are looking at an increased red bar for our next one and that could kick off yet another bearish squeeze which we dont want to see. Definitely some big closes tonight especially for BTC aswell, our overall direction going forward is still up in the air and we will have to see what our daily close brings us! NFA Just my opinion!!
$ETH -Buy now or wait to see if fills Fair Value Gap ($3,885) *SMT = Smart Money Theory = everything you think that is not retail related to trading. First, SMT does not believe that triangles, wedges , trendlines , channels, harmonics, etc. has any effect on how price reacts. The second is to recognize that the price is not random, it is set by an algorithm controlled by those that control the asset. The Third thing to remember is price will move toward Liquidity and Balance. That's the basics. The rest is very unique in the vocabulary you need to have and the concepts that wrap around these ideas.
ETH has fallen into the discount array (61.8%) of the pullback. However there is a fair value gap in this area and I'm curious to see if it wants to fill the gap and pull just below the Market Maker Buy/Sell Model consolidation area that previously took place in the red box. If that's the case it should reach down into the second fair value gap where theres a bullish order block around 3850-53 ish. I would have my entry at the beginning of the second fair value gap at 3873. just in case it entered and bounced out immediately. But it did reach into the discount array and immediately started and up track. However that doesn't mean a bearish order block can't knock it back down. I did enter with one position where it is currently shown watching to see if it will enter the second at 3873.
Let me know your thoughts if you're practicing Smart Money Theory.
Good Luck and Good Trading :)
BINANCE:ETHUSD
KUCOIN:ETHUSDT
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
KRAKEN:ETHUSDT
FTX:ETHUSDT
OKCOIN:ETHUSDT
OKEX:ETHUSDT
POLONIEX:ETHUSDT
HUOBI:ETHUSDT
PHEMEX:ETHUSDT
KRAKEN:ETHUSD
BITSTAMP:ETHUSD
BYBIT:ETHUSD
BITFINEX:ETHUSD
FTX:ETHUSD
GEMINI:ETHUSD
BITTREX:ETHUSD
PHEMEX:ETHUSD
ETH Bear Trap!!?As talked about previously i mentioned the possibility of an upcoming bear trap on the Ethereum bears, where we would breakout and close below our key level at 3990-4K faking out traders into thinking a bigger drop is coming, before then rebounding to the upside and hopefully this plays out as a bear trap because that will mean we will be seeing some nice upside soon to come. We are currently breaking back into our accumulation zone at 4K and its looking like we are going to see a bullish daily close above here which will be big! on the BJ key levels we are looking at the 4k-4100 zone as our first crucial level, a break above here will be a bullish sign and likely give us some momentum to keep pushing to the upside. We do have multiple levels of resistance from 4k-4600 which is our accumulation zone i have been talking about, ultimately we need to break and close above 4600 and hold above here before we can really say we are looking bullish. simply due to the fact that for the past 3 weeks we have been stuck in this range where we are seeing strong hands buy but for the most part moving sideways. A really great sign that i noticed is that we have regained the 100 day MA, this is one of the stronger MA's as it is calculation the moving average over a 100 day period, not any recent movement as far as the 200 day MA goes but it is definitely a positive that we have held this level aswell. We had a bit of a scare when we closed below the 0.2 FIB level and thats why i believe this bear trap is happening, that was a very bearish close but soon after we rebounded to the upside, i think this is just the start. Now lets look at the RMI, we are falling to the downside still but things are starting to look up, we seem to be bottoming out with our pink starting to move sideways and our orange coming down towards the pink, looking for this bullish reversal, we are at the lowest point since the start of October and i think with some good momentum we are due for a big big run to the upside and a big time reversal! Not financial advice just my opinion!
ETHEREUM NEAR FUTURE ANALYSIS (1HChart)Technical Analysis Summary
ETH /USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 3 Downtrend in red color (1 Long term 2 internal)
We have 1 Uptrend in green color
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow Daily Support Level is a level already tested and is not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes but it could be a reversal level.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
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Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
Ethereum Breakout Coming soon!!?Looking at Ethereum it is pretty clear we have no sense of real direction and one thing that stood out to me very clearly is that we are in a wider ranged accumulation phase in the market. Shown by the blue shaded area we have respected this zone very well and are struggling to find a breakout point, what i believe is happening is a big 3 week accumulation period where we are seeing strong hands and big money scooping up Ethereum/ all of crypto before the next leg up. This phase can definitely mess with the emotions and can lead you to believe we are entering a bear market or just a downtrend period, i don't think this is the case though, smart money and big institutions are playing the waiting game striking fear into retail investors and overall giving uncertainty. The past couple days including today have been looking good we are seeing strong bull candles and a push back up into this zone after briefly falling underneath. First off lets take a look at some key levels, the support levels we need to hold onto are the S1, 4000$ (USD), and the very important 0.2 FIB level. Now the resistances that are very key goes as follows, the midline on the bollinger bands is a must regain level and will be a big test once we reach it, the 4400$ level, the crucial pivot point (P) this level if we can close above should give us some much needed bull momentum, then the 4600$ level, a break and close above here is important because it has been the respected top of this accumulation zone and for us to leave this phase this level is key. Then of course we have the 0 FIB level (ATH) which will give us mass amounts of momentum if we can regain it and enter price discovery mode. Now the bollinger bands, another reason why this 4600$ level is so important is because a break above here will land us right on that top bollinger band, and this as we all know can spark an explosive move to the upside and go on a significant run and likely easily breakthrough that ATH! Now the MACD we see that the histogram is decreasing showing us a decline in bearish momentum, want we want to see here is a push back into the green zone and see increasing green bars day after day, aswell as an explosive bull cross with the blue MA taking off from the orange. Not financial advice just my opinion!
ETHUSDT 1HOURLY NEAR FUTURE PREDICIONSTechnical Analysis Summary
ETH /USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have 1 Downtrend in red color
We have 1 Uptrend in green color
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
The Yellow Backend 4H level is a level already tested and is not an entry level I added it only for explanation purposes.
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
ETHEREUM 1H NEAR FUTURE PREDICTIONSTechnical Analysis Summary
ETH /USDT
TREND ANALYSIS
We have1 Downtrend in red color
We have 2 uptrend in green color (LONG TERM AND INTERNAL TREND)
Be careful trends need to be modified when broken to the new peaks(Downtrend) and lows (Uptrend).
FUTURE PREDICTIONS
We have many resistance and support levels that I have mentioned above.
I use thickness as an indicator of strength of levels (ONLY FOR VISUALS).
Good luck everyone, stay safe!
If you need help don't hesitate to send me a message or comment
If you find this content beneficial please don't forget to LIKE and FOLLOW
Trading Involves High Risk
Not Financial Advice
Exercise Proper Risk Management
ETH - speculation to go Long on 2D!Provided that today's candle on 2D closes as a pin bar + RSI & RVI bounce off their support lines, then it it plausible to expect the price to follow its path as presented on my chart. This is an potential price action for local correction that may take up to couple of days to complete. The green rectangle represents a good entry point to go SHORT.
If price action begins to follow the path then two TP may be available for grabs:
1) TP1 at 4390 USD - first level of correction.
2) TP2 at 4570 USD - this is where we have a 61.8% correction on Fib, descending resistance line in purple colour, as well as resistence level based on horizontal volume.
Bitcoin and Ethereum - what to expect in 2022?Logarithmic TA on 1W shows that the price has already exited the rising green wedge. The price is currently wandering within a second ascending wedge in pink colour. Once the price breaks out of the wedge, it should be expected to go down in proportion to the height of the wedge (thick line shown in purple colour). In support, RSI & MACD show divergence in relation to the rising price. RVI has already broken through 50 - which is the first sell signal. Vertical volumes also continue to fall while the price rises.
I want to emphasize once again that this chart purely demonstrates a position perspective! Locally, on lower time frames, such as 4H, the price will continue to go up and down.
Also, I want to point out that ETH has a strong correlation with Bitcoin. Its local movements may differ, but the global trends remain the same. Bitcoin is the defining cryptocurrency! Therefore, the analysis is based on bitcoin! ETH will follow Bitcoin's lead.
What about the flight to the moon of 100,000 USD?
The main argument for the price to rise is based solely on past cycles. However, this is not much of an analysis as it does not take into account macroeconomics. It's like saying my car has been driving 200 km without a stop and therefore, it should drive another 200 km. No, buddy! You need petrol before you can drive any further.
In 2021 bitcoin's price went up as a result of hedging against speeding inflation in US, which from May remained above 5.4% on average. The only way bitcoin's price is going up is if inflation continues to grow towards 10-15% + a few more trillion dollars are invested into bitcoin capitalisation. If inflation starts to slow down or the interest rate is raised, there will be no need to hedge against further inflation and as a result bitcoin price will fall. Yes, it will reach 100,000 USD, but not in the nearest term.
How does macroeconomics support the downtrend?
1. The FED has already made adjustments to its monitoring policy. Although the interest rate has not yet been lowered, the volume of purchases of financial assets (bonds) has been reduced, which will serve to slow down inflation.
2. There is a real estate bubble in China. Several large construction companies have already defaulted, and the largest Evergrande is already standing on its last breath. The company's shares collapsed.
3. The energy crisis in Europe is in full swing.
4. A recession is coming. Look at the SP500 index on 1W - the price is already at the peak of the rising wedge. No economic growth in 2022-2023 is to be expected!
5. Tether is not going to save the day by creating and pouring more USDT into the market. With their ongoing law suits for market manipulation, lack of auditing and USDT backed by only 2% cash and about 68% by securities and the remainder backed by thin air - is more likely to take a big hit.
6. Lastly, the bankrupted Mt Got (the largest exchange in the past), having lost a lawsuit, is expected to pay compensation to its depositors in the amount of 180,000 bitcoins. The exact date is not known, but it was stipulated to happen in February-March 2022. Would you allow some guy to get 100,000 USD per bitcoin in compensation only to crash the market?
Conclusion
I hope I got my message across. The herd is driven by greed while market makers are looking for liquidity. I will provide a more detailed vision of the price movement in my next article. If you are on the same wavelength - put a like, subscribe, comment!
ETH to continue outperforming BTCBitcoin has been slumping pretty hard against ethereum which is a big positive for the altcoin market and the fall might just be starting, everything on BTC/ETH is looking very bearish. We have broken down below 2 pretty heavy downtrend support lines and looking at our current price action it is looking like we will see a daily close below both of these levels which would be a bearish sign for bitcoin but a great sign for ETH and the alts. we have support slightly below our current spot, the S1 & S2 support levels are holding up as of right now but a little more of push to the downside will definitely break these levels. Looking at the bollinger bands we are on our second daily candle where we are riding that bottom band and this plays into the reason i think this drop could just be starting, it is not uncommon when riding the bottom band for the dip to go on for multiple days. For our daily close its looking like we will close once again on that bottom band which is likely to continue dragging BTC down. The MACD recently had a flat period where our histogram bars weren't moving a whole lot, but the past couple days have been looking good, 2 increased red bars which is what we want to see and want too continue. The MA's are just starting to see some big separation increasing the bearish momentum and making it more and more difficult to get a bullish cross in the near term. Not financial advice just my opinion!
Daily ETH UpdateCaution Still Required - ETH has been moving in the right direction for the past few days, but it hasn't been easy. Price has been grinding upward and on low volume. On the bullish side of the equation RSI, OBV and ADX are all pointing in the right direction, and we have a demand zone just below us at the $4200-4300 level. On the bearish side, price has hit resistance at the short term downtrend line. Most concerning is the low volume attached to this move up (below average). We needed to see price break above the short term downtrend line and for the move to be supported by more buyers (volume). Until we see buyers entering on more significant volume this could all reverse at any time. There is also ample opportunity for those who might like to manipulate the market to party here, so we could see some wicks down to scoop up liquidity at lower levels. If we do see a break of this trendline I would be expecting the move to take us up to the previous level of supply at around $4600-4700.
Ethereum Next Leg Up!!?Ethereum has been following my second scenario yellow path pretty perfectly against Bitcoin, we are currently sitting just under resistance at 0.0769 which we have wicked off of multiple times already, weakening the level everytime. We are sort of moving sideways but i think the momentum is building up for ethereum and its only a matter of time before we smash through here! Then we are looking at resistance at the 0.0788 level, i do think we might face a little trouble here aswell but there are definitely some factors that could send us flying right through but we will have to wait and see when the time actually comes. The bollinger bands are providing us some nice support just underneath the 0.0733 level and then we also have support at 0.0716, so i think its comfortable enough to say we aren't going to go far we see further downside, what i am way more interested in is that top band on the bb's and this is one of the factors that could send us flying through both of these overhead resistance levels. If we continue to push up a little bit more we will be sitting right on this top band and if we can secure a daily close on here the chances of us having an explosive upwards breakout are pretty high, historically grabbing onto that top band majority of the time sends PA flying, same thing but opposite for the bottom band. Now the SMI, we are slowly moving our way up in a bullish squeeze, shown by the black crosses and aswell as the increasing green bars everyday, this shows a stronger bull squeeze and the more we increase the more explosive our squeeze release is going to be (shown by black crosses turning white). Now the Chaiken Money flow, we had a nice bounce off of the midline and strong turnaround to the upside, this shows that investors bought up the dip on ethereum and we have money flowing into ETH and since we are going against BTC on this chart its signaling money flowing into ETH rather than Bitcoin, with BTC.D settling and slowly dropping i think altseason is on the horizon and im expecting it to be an absolutely massive one! NFA just my opinion!
Ethereum Explosive Move On The Way!!Ethereum is looking absolutely amazing against Bitcoin right now and over the past while, we recently had a little accumulation phase where we saw sideways and slightly downwards movement where we built up momentum and now we are breaking out and starting to make a nice run upwards! All shown by my second scenario yellow path, personally think this is just the start for ETH and the altcoins as BTC dominance is looking very bearish! We are approaching resistance at 0.0769 where we could possibly face some trouble and then same thing slightly above around 0.0788, however i don't believe these levels pose a serious threat to ETH because of the huge amount of momentum i think is coming into the market soon. Look at the bollinger bands we are once again starting to climb that top band and for tonights daily close its looking like we are going to be closing directly ontop of here opening the door for an explosive move to the upside likely shredding through these resistance levels! The MACD, we just had a bullish cross a day ago and we are already seeing a very nice increase in our green bars on the histogram, this is exactly what we want to see and shows us the bullish momentum is growing! The MA's right away are giving good separation showing once again some big momentum coming and the more we see the blue move away from the orange the less likely we are to have a near term bearish cross, this also allows price action to have a couple red days for a cooloff without triggering a bear cross! Not the Squeeze momentum indicator, we are only on our first day of green bars on the histogram and this is a great sign that could showing us that a big run is on the way for ETH and the alts, since we are already significantly up on the month against BTC this is a very good sign considering we are only on the fist day of a possible bullish squeeze! The big part about this indicator is the squeeze release which is shown by the black crosses turning white, in this stage price action gets an explosive move to the upside and it is quite possible that we see an extended bull squeeze or even a double cycle bull squeeze! So stay tuned as i continue to update yall! Not financial advice just my opinion!
Daily ETH UpdateETH is looking strong again. It retraced from its highs down to the 0.382 Fib level (around $4K) where it found support. It then rallied and came back to retest this level. After a successful retest price has moved confidently up to the short term down trend line where it is currently sitting as I write. There is a chance we could see another pullback from here, however, I think it's more likely that we see a small reaction before price moves further up. Her is why:
1. Fib 0.382 has already been retested.
2. Price has already moved above a previous zone of demand which can now provide support in the event of new downward pressure (yellow box at $4200-4300). This would be the perfect area to bounce off for further upside.
3. Both RSI and OBV are both trending up showing increasing strength.
4. Volume shows higher levels on up moves than it does when sellers control the move. Green volume bars are larger than red bars.
Overall the market is looking more bullish. ALTs have been randomly rallying and (although early) would appear BTC may have found the bottom as well. In this environment, I have taken new positions in ETH.
ETH/BTC About to Explode! Taking a look at Ethereum VS Bitcoin we have been following by second scenario path (yellow) pretty accurately actually and we are now facing a little resistance coming from the 0.0733 level but i don't think it is going to hold up, i expect us in the coming days to blast through here and continue to outperform BTC. The reason being is due to my outlook on the bearish looking BTC dominance and because over the past almost 3 weeks we have been seeing sideways movement which builds up momentum and i would say there has been a lot of accumulation going on this past 3 weeks, all bullish signs and definitely a momentum builder! If we do see a explosive breakthrough of the 0.0733 level we will be ending up right ontop of that top bollinger band which is a huge deal, we could see a huge run after grabbing onto this band and since we did see big sideways movement our BB's have been squeezing a bit ontop of price action which tells us an explosive move looms, doesn't indicate which direction but with everything i am seeing i think we can expect it to be to the upside! We also have the midline as strong support which is always good and adds a little cushion for Ethereum! The MACD looks super bullish we are just coming off of our red cycle with the Histogram declining day by day all the way to the current spot at the midline and now we await a breakthrough into green territory. we want to see an increase in each green bar showing strength on the bulls side, we are also awaiting a bullish cross which is plays into confirming this, we gotta see a good initial move with the blue MA taking off from the orange creating lots of separation lessening that chance of a near term bear cross. The Squeeze momentum indicator, we are currently still in a bearish stage but i don't think it is leading anywhere we are seeing flat and decreasing red bars which is a good sign for the bulls, it is highly likely at this point we will not see a bearish squeeze release, i believe the current red cycle is due to the slightly declining and sideways movement on price action. I think its just a matter of time before we see a push up into the bullish squeeze territory and honestly i think our current spot is very bullish and actually could be better that we are still in this red phase, reason being is that we could have an explosive move on the bollinger bands and the MACD pushing price action up high and then for our SMI we will only likely just be starting a bullish squeeze which could give us a sort of double pump effect, of course once we get to that point we have to see confirmation on the histogram with increasing green bars everyday. Not financial advice just my opinion!
Ethereum Looking for a rebound against BTC!Ethereum has been following my second path pretty closely we got rejected off resistance at 0.073 and we have trailed down to support at 0.071 and we are looking for a very important bounce here coming up on our daily close. Looking at the bollinger bands we notice one thing that is not very ideal but isn't super crucial, we have fallen below the midline which is support but we are looking like we will close below here for our DC, this will flip the midline to resistance and could give us a bit of trouble when we try and rebound upwards. However it definitely isn't crucial because with some decent momentum we should be able to blast right through here once again and flip it back to support. Now the RSI, a big part of the reason i think we are looking at a rebound here or coming up shortly is because the heavy supports we have on the RSI, we have our first coming from months back which we are currently bouncing off of and then a hair below that we have decent uptrend support coming from a month or so back. Next up for supports is the midline on the RSI, this is by far the most crucial level that we must hold, if we do we will remain in a confirmed uptrend which obviously is great, but if we do fail to hold this level, fall below, and struggle to regain it we could be looking at a short term downtrend, above the midline once confirmed is a clear uptrend and then below once confirmed is a clear downtrend, could be short or longer term either way. Now lets look at the declining squeeze momentum indicator, we are coming up close on the midline where most people would think we would be soon entering a red bearish squeeze but due to all this support we have especially on the RSI i think there is a good chance that we see a fakeout and continuation of a green bullish squeeze here, just before this current green cycle we had an extended red cycle that had 2 waves of bearish squeeze. so it is definitely a possibility we see something similar here with our current cycle, i have a rough path drawn out showing what we could potentially be in for and its not out of the question. At some point soon we gotta see an increased green bar showing signs of a reversal, and from there we need to see daily increases in our bar size and then we will be in another confirmed bullish squeeze, the squeeze portion is shown by the black crosses on the midline and the squeeze release which is the very explosive part of this is shown by the black crosses turning white, majority of the time when we see the release we get an explosive to the upside in this case! Not financial advice just my opinion!
ETH New ATH & Price Discovery!!Ethereum is continuing to run in beast mode almost making new ATH's everyday, we are still travelling up and respecting our ascending channel as we are once again pushing that 0 FIB or our ATH! We could be considered in price discovery mode right now but i think with some big momentum we could be blasting off to go on a huge run to the upside, facing currently no resistance levels once we break above our ATH! We have a bunch of very solid support levels underneath us with the bottom of the ascending channel aswell as uptrend support inside the ascending channel we got the R1 Level which is now support and then aswell as the midline coming from the bollinger bands, if we do see a couple down days i really don't expect us to go very far. Now something else very interesting with the bollinger bands is our price action is currently sitting directly ontop of the top band, and now we haven't seen an explosive climb up this band yet in this ascending channel we could be looking at a mega one coming up soon, our daily close is looking like we will close directly ontop of this band which is always a very very good sign and could send us flying to the upside, plus pair that with our current situation of being in price discovery mode and having little to no resistance above us.. seems like a recipe for a massive run up coming soon! Now the MACD is starting to look good, we have been seeing lots of tight movement from the MA's with a flat histogram but we could be getting ready for another bullish MACD cycle, we are yet to create a bearish cross and if you actually look at the histogram starting from the verticle line i drew we are seeing something very positive, a daily increase in our green bars, this is a very good sign and could be signalling the start of another bullish cycle on the MACD, we gotta see this continue though day after day increasing green bars showing a rise in bullish momentum, we can't see a flat histogram or a decreasing one, this would likely result in a bearish cross putting downside pressure on ETH. Now the MA's are starting to show some positive signs, the blue MA is ticking slightly to the upside which is what we wanna see, we gotta see that separation in the MA's lessening the chance of a near term bear cross and allowing for a little downside without triggering a bear cross! Overall no matter what we do in the coming days i am extremely bullish on ETH and altcoins going through this month, also should point out BTC dominance is currently slightly rising putting some pressure on the altcoins but once we see a rejection or a bit of a drop i think the altmarket is going to start exploding with many coins likely too create new ATH's! Not financial advice just my opinion!