Ethprediction
ETH through prism of Fib and Elliot wave theoryHello everyone.
Today I will talk about ETH, the one ALT to rule them all.
It is best if we look at the big picture and forget about day-to-day movements, news and all the other noise. Let us just look at the chart through basic Fibonacci levels paired with Elliot Wave Theory.
First lets go through Elliot waves.
Wave 1 started in 2017, first bull run.
Wave 2 was in 2018, bear market.
Wave 3 2019-2022, bull run.
Wave 4 was short bear market in first half of 2022.
We are currently in Wave 5.
I have added to this chart Trend-based Fib extensions to help predict the possible top.
Wave 3 ended just below 3.618 Fib extension. I like to be more on the conservative side so I will be looking for this run to end at max 2.618 Fib extension, which currently projects a price of 13k USD per ETH, making it a potential 4x profit.
Remember, this is not a financial advice. This is just my thinking, shared with you.
If you like my work, give it a boost and check my other ideas. If you find value in them, subscribe.
Good luck!
ETH Price Setup: Why $2,840 Could Spark the Next Big Move
BINANCE:ETHUSD has been underperforming compared to BINANCE:BTCUSD and some other major cryptocurrencies, yet recent developments hint at a potential shift. Despite facing a significant resistance cluster, ETH has shown resilience by breaking above a key volume profile Point of Control (POC) level on the higher timeframe, signaling the early stages of a bullish sentiment shift.
However, to sustain this momentum, CRYPTOCAP:ETH needs to conquer a critical resistance zone, marked by a 1-week Fair Value Gap (1W FVG) and a 1-day Order Block (1D OB) – a challenging area that will likely test ETH’s ability to break out.
Chart Analysis: Key Levels to Watch
Major Resistance Zone (1W FVG & 1D OB)
The most immediate challenge for ETH is closing above the resistance zone around $2,840. This area is crucial because it combines a 1W FVG and 1D OB, both of which create a barrier that ETH needs to break through for the next leg up.
A decisive close above this level on the daily chart would turn the 1D OB into a breaker block, potentially flipping it from resistance to support and laying the foundation for a more sustained bullish displacement.
Volume Profile POC Breakout
ETH has already broken above the higher timeframe volume profile Point of Control (POC), a positive sign that suggests market interest and liquidity are shifting upwards. This break above the POC adds to the semi-bullish case, as it often signals a potential move towards filling the FVG above.
Entry Into the 1W FVG (SIBI)
Should ETH successfully close above the $2,840 level, it would enter the 1W FVG, opening up the possibility for a larger upward move. Once in this zone, buyers could gain confidence, triggering additional buy-side liquidity and a rally towards $3,100 - $3,300.
Trade Setups
Swing Trade Setup
Entry: Look for a close above $2,840. Ideally, wait for a retest of this level to confirm it as a breaker block before entering long.
Target:
Primary Target: $3,100 - within the 1W FVG zone.
Secondary Target: $3,300 - higher end of the FVG, where resistance may intensify.
Stop Loss: Set below the 1D OB, around $2,750, to protect against a failed breakout and retracement.
Rationale: A breakout and successful retest of $2,840 would signal strength, allowing ETH to push into the FVG and potentially rally toward $3,300. If buyers are strong, this could lead to a medium-term bullish trend.
Scalping Setup
Entry: Enter long on quick pullbacks to $2,750 - $2,770, close to the 1D OB support zone, or during any small dips within this range.
Target:
First target at $2,840 for a quick profit.
Second target around $2,900 - $2,950 if momentum is strong.
Stop Loss: $2,730, slightly below the 1D OB level to protect against larger sell-offs.
Rationale: For scalpers, buying dips around the 1D OB level provides a quick entry with a high probability of retesting the resistance at $2,840. This setup allows for short-term gains while taking advantage of potential volatility near the key resistance area.
Looking forward to hearing your thoughts on this!
Trade safe folks,
Cheers
ETH target $2240 (sjort-term)4h time frame
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Entry: $2800
TP: $2240
SL: $2950
RR: 3.7
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(1) Still on the path of Elliott 2nd wave
(2) Need more momentum accumulation before 3nd wave starts
(3) Potential Head and Shoulders on 4h
(4) There is a buying opportunity at $2200~$2100
(4) Be careful and make sure to stop loss, the crazy pump is coming
Etherium sell side view in 1HR timeframeif there is CHOCH in eth then there is important BOS LEVEL if eth crosses it then we might see a huge down trend
For sell view
1. Chart pattern
2. SUPPORT turned into Resistance
3. Reversal from 50% retracement area
For buy
1. choch then little bos
sellers get trapped then running to 3080
##BTC also showing weakness
ETH target 38004h time frame
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TP: $3880
SL: $3000
RR: 8.78
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(1) Potential double bottom is creating
(2) Left leg of double bottom mentioned above performed good support at 0.382 Fib projection
(3) This is an opportunity to add position for traders who followed previous trading plan
(4) $3880 is good to close "partial", not all, there is a higher target
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Previous analysis
ETH GONG TO 2289$I can't speak with certainty, but considering the model and approach of Ichimoku and GAP,given the decline of Bitcoin as a recognized indicator in crypto, it can be inferred that the decline of Ethereum is not far-fetched. Bitcoin is projected to decline up to 3900 on a daily basis, with that being the target. Therefore, the decline of Ethereum, based on the nearest and only established GAP in this interval, is projected to be up to 2289 $ on a daily basis according to deterministic analysis.
ETH target 4700 (perp)4h time frame
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TP: $4616~$4890
SL: $2575
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ETH is creating a potential wedge structure, that hasn't been confirmed yet. A standard structure is made of 6 six touching points at least, it's not completed due to lack of one more point on the wedge top. Also, there are two paths if we consider it as a continuation patter, first is the green one, that leave $2817 as the last low and keep going up, second is the red path, which make another low to build a robust bottom before pumping.
No matter what scenarios, they can reclaim $4800 in future if sustain continuation of the bull trend since $2171.
ETH $20k Bull Run Price ForecastA few members have asked me about my prediction for ETH in the bull run. I want to start by saying I don’t like to make these predictions because a lot of things can change over time, such as the ETH ETF gets approved or ETH could experience a string of bad events. But based on TA, there is a red resistance target to consider for this upcoming bull run that gives a forecast around $20k by Sept 2025, which is when I think the crypto markets could peak. I think ETH could have several touches at this red resistance line throughout the bull run, and I think this will be a key resistance target to consider over the next few months.
Cryptolean Ethereum ETH UpdateEthereum was unable to break bullish through a minor daily resistance of $3,531 and the price pushed to the key support at $3,275.
A bearish break-out of $3,275 will push ETH price lower to $2,800.
ETH has to move bullish and break through $3,8 in the daily chart for another bullish extension towards $78,223-$82,353.
Boost once read!
Thank you.
ETHEREUM POSSIBLE HIGHS UPDATED
Are we all in a euphoria? yes we are, Greed Level at a higher number, if youre executing on that then youre in a euphoria. Correct me if I am wrong, this is only my view on the current market.
If price breaks the ATH then this idea is invalid. This is not a financial advice, Trade it or own it.
Longshot view might not working..
ETH → Ethereum Falling to $2,200!? A Prime Short Opportunity!Ethereum has reached the Resistance Zone at $2,850 and has shown the first signs of resistance. Should we enter a short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
The conditions are such that we should be looking for a short entry. We have three pushes up since the start of the last bull leg from $2,200, a strong Resistance Zone at the current price, and an RSI that is overbought at 78.00. We are in the potential short territory but need the sell signal and confirmation prior to entering a short.
Wait for the price to fall sharply and watch the candles after. It's likely we'll get a re-test of the $2,850 area before another sell bar occurs. Once that sell bar occurs, a 1:2 Risk/Reward Ratio is available to us if we enter the market at around $2,825. Set your stop loss into the Resistance Zone above the previous high and target 1:2 R/R for a take profit in the $2,350.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $2,825
🟥 Stop Loss: $3,025
✅ Take Profit: $2,350
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. We have three pushes up since the start of the last bull leg from $2,200
2. Early signs of resistance at the current level
3. Strong Resistance Zone at the current level
4. Gap to the Support Zone
5. RSI is overbought at 78.00 and above the Moving Average, supporting the drop in price
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
ETH → Ethereum Falls Back to the Support Zone. Long or Short?Ethereum retraced to the Support Zone, following the rest of the crypto market in a pullback. Now that ETH is on the Support Zone, can we expect a bounce?
How do we trade this? 🤔
I think it is probable that we get a bounce back up to the Daily 30EMA, but I do not believe ETH will break it. We may have witnessed the first leg down in a 2-legged pullback for ETH and Bitcoin. ETH has some long tail bars at the Support Zone, but with no good follow-through as of yet. It's reasonable to think the bulls will make an attempt to buy but with little momentum, which makes that Daily 30EMA ribbon an ideal resistance target as it previously acted as support.
The rejection at the 30EMA will likely bring the price back down to the Support Zone and with that many points of contact, increases the probability that the price will fall through. I expect that next support area to be at the Daily 200EMA of which the price will be around $2,000. The psychology of that even number being at the 200EMA after a 2-legged pullback in a bull market screams support zone target. Once we hit this price area, I am looking for a strong bull signal and confirmation bars to enter a long.
💡 Trade Idea 💡
Long Entry: $2,080
🟥 Stop Loss: $1,920
✅ Take Profit #1: $2,240
✅ Take Profit #2: $2,560
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:3
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Four legs up in a bull trend, final strong bull candle followed by a strong bear candle.
2. Contact with Resistance Area above $2,500
3. Strong Reversal Candle closing below Daily 30EMA
4. Likely to fall below Support Zone, look for Long Entry at Daily 200EMA
5. RSI at 40.00 and Below the Moving Average with a gap to fill, supports a slight pullback and then fall.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about:
1. Reading Price Action
2. Chart Analysis
3. Trade Management
4. Trading Psychology
ETH → Ascending Wedge, Double Top, About to Drop!? Let's Answer.Ethereum has a string of reversal indications that give us a picture of bearish price action. Are these data points enough to enter a short?
How do we trade this? 🤔
Three pushes up, an ascending wedge, and strong resistance alone is not enough justification to enter a reversal trade unless you fade your position (small entries until the reversal happens). It's better to wait for a strong bear bar closing on or near its low below the 30EMA to provide enough probability to justify a reversal trade. If the price breaks below the Daily 30EMA and closes a candle with followthrough or a re-test of the 30EMA as resistance, a short entry is justified.
Alternatively, if we find support at the 30EMA or get a strong bull bar closing near it's high, it's reasonable to think the price will hit the next resistance target of $2520.00. I would trade small on any long position this late in the trend as it's more likely we're about to enter a trading range or major pullback.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: $2,150.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $2,250.00
✅ Take Profit: $1,950.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
Long Entry: $2,250.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $2,150.00
✅ Take Profit: $2,450.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Three Pushes up in Bull Trend.
2. Formed Ascending Wedge, Price Fell Out.
3. Potential Double Top, Wait for Break Below 30EMA to Short.
4. If Bounce at Support, Reasonable to Long to Next Resistance.
5. RSI at 55.00 below Moving Average, Indecision.
💰 Trading Tip 💰
Three pushes up, an ascending wedge, and strong resistance alone is not enough justification to enter a reversal trade unless you fade your position (small entries until the reversal happens). It's better to wait for a strong bear bar closing on or near its low below the 30EMA to provide enough probability to justify a reversal trade. Your probability is still inherently low, but catching a trend when it starts gives you more room for reward, that's the tradeoff.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
ETH → Blast to $2,500 then fall to $1,800? Reversal Time Near?Ethereum is far into its bull run from $1,100 to $2,300; with three pushes up and a Weekly RSI near the 70.00 level, and we're near a resistance level. Three initial conditions for a trend change.
How do we trade this? 🤔
These conditions are great indicators that we're near the end of the current bull trend, but we don't yet have any confirmation that we're done. We're still in the bull channel, price is above the 30EMA and we're above the Support Zone. We need a break below the Support Zone with a strong bear bar closing on or near its low and the RSI to remain below the moving average. There is a strong possibility that ETH has enough momentum left to hit $2,500, especially if Bitcoin finishes its Measured Move to $46,000 and takes the rest of the crypto market with it.
Until either scenario presents itself, we should remain on the sidelines and watch the price action unfold.
💡 Trade Ideas 💡
Short Entry: $2,080.00
🟥 Stop Loss: $2,210.00
✅ Take Profit: $1,820.00
⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2
🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑
1. Bull Trend, Bias to Long.
2. Price Remains Above Daily 30EMA
3. Crucial Moment on the Chart. Remain on Sidelines.
4. RSI at 56.00 and below Moving Average, Bias to Short.
5. Reasonable to Short with Confirmation below $2,200.
⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk!
Like 👍 and comment if you found this analysis useful!
ETH Have Another Move Up? This Analysis Provides Some Answers.ETH is marching through its bull channel showing great support at the 30EMA and holding its ground in the resistance zone. It appears the bounce off of support has lost momentum. With Bitcoin also stalling at Weekly Support, it leaves some questions open.
How do we trade this?
We should be long in a bull trend until we have reason to doubt the trend will continue. We have a strong bull bar off of the 30EMA followed by a doji (indecision bar or trading range bar) and another forming in the current daily candle. Since we're in the resistance zone, it's reasonable to hesitate in entering a long until we see another bounce off of support.
Alternatively, we can also wait for a short signal in this zone as we have failed to break above $2,140. Until we see either signal, it's reasonable to wait on the sidelines.
Key Points
1. In a Bull Channel, Long Bias.
2. Strong Bull Bar off 30EMA.
3. Price in the Resistance Zone.
4. RSI at 62.00 and Below the Moving Average.
5. Wait for a Sell Signal to Short.
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!