Ethereum Failing against BITCION ? Here is a valid reason why.
In a world being thrown upside down and sideways and Markets Rising and falling and Rising again on a few words and actions, there is one Shining Light in the world of Crypto
Ethereum - And its constant DROP when compared to BITCOIN
It is possibly the Only coin in the top 10 that has failed to rally at least once, to any significant degree since 2023, when nearly everything else took off.
It currently sits at the same price it was in May 2020 !
It reached its ATH in Nov 2021 and ever since then, has fallen in what is becoming a parabolic reverse curve;
All this despite coins like BASE, Coinbases Crypto, being based on that ETH Layer.
This is pretty well ALL down to the adoption of BITCOIN by corporate ventures, keeping the Bitcoin Dominance high.
I mentioned in a post back in 2023 ( maybe here but certainly on X) how BTC could be used in the "Financial Wars" to come, as a means to weaken and scupper ALT coins.
They tried to Destroy crypto, they failed and so, by allowing Bitcoin ETF's etc, BTC dominance remains High and ALTS Fail
And that is EXACTLY what we have seen so far. As Corporations continue to Buy Bitcoin, Dominance remains high..... It isd as simple as that.
And this ETH BTC chart shows that very clearly.
The REAL question is why the ETH ETF's failed so much.
Maybe that is because MANY people realised the "energy behind Ethereum" - The American crypto , Protected by Gensler and predecessors. The Not really Descentralised structure and power if you hoold a LOT, something not many independants can do
Ethshort
ETH-----Sell around 1900, target 1530 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 10: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a large positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price was still at a low level, and the attached indicator was dead cross. Although the current rebound trend is relatively strong, it is a correction in terms of both the trend pattern and the basic technical indicators. The large-cycle price is suppressed, and it is difficult to continue and form a trend. This is inevitable; the current K-line pattern of the four-hour chart is continuous negative, and the price has also reached the pressure position of the moving average. From the perspective of the pattern, it is very likely to go in the shape of a head and shoulders top. The high point of yesterday's rebound is the top. The short-cycle hourly chart was under pressure and retreated in the morning. The current continuous negative decline, the attached indicator is dead cross running.
Today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: Sell directly in the current price area of 1600, stop loss in the 1630 area, and target the 1530 area;
ETH-----Sell around 1640, target 1540 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 8:
Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday. The K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and it was currently deviated from the moving average, so here we have to pay attention to one issue, which is to prevent the price from rebounding and correcting to the moving average pressure position, and the moving average pressure is near the 1670 area. The attached chart indicator is dead cross running, and the big trend is no problem, it is very clear; the short-cycle hourly chart has continued to rebound since yesterday's European session, and the high point has touched the 1640 area. The current K-line pattern is continuous positive, and the attached chart indicator is golden cross running, so wait and see during the day. From the current trend, the trend of rebound correction will still be in the day, and wait for the signal of pressure before selling.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the rebound 1640 area, stop loss at the 1670 area, and target the 1540 area;
Ethereum Weekly Analysis: Double Top BreakdownHello guys!
Ethereum has formed a clear double top pattern on the weekly timeframe — a strong bearish reversal signal. The pattern is confirmed by:
🔹 A break of the ascending trendline
🔹 Strong rejection from the $3,200–$3,400 resistance zone
🔹 Current price action hovering near $1,780
🧭 Target of the double top pattern lies in the $1,350–$1,450 zone — aligned with a low-volume area on the volume profile, which could act as a magnet for price.
Key Takeaways:
If ETH fails to reclaim the $2,000 zone, more downside pressure is likely.
A bounce may occur in the target zone, providing a possible mid-term long opportunity.
📌 Stay cautious and watch for reaction zones, especially if ETH reaches the $1,400 region.
You can buy it at $1400!
ETH CHART: I FOUND THE BOTTOM!HERE IS MY FUNDA REASON OR NEWS WHY I THINK THIS IS THE LAST DROP~! BEFORE WE RECOVER AND START THE BUILDING OF CRYPTO!
Price Decline and Market Sentiment: Ethereum's price has dropped below $1,800, marking a significant decline of over 45% since the start of the year. This has raised concerns about its market stability, with some analysts predicting further drops to $1,550 if key resistance levels aren't reclaimed.
Investor Sentiment and FUD: Fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) have led to increased selling pressure. Retail traders have been offloading ETH holdings, resulting in reduced trading volumes and network activity. Active addresses and transaction volumes have also declined, signaling lower demand!
Technical Challenges and Resistance Levels: Ethereum has struggled to break past critical resistance levels, such as $1,900. Its failure to reclaim these levels has validated bearish patterns, with some analysts warning of a potential drop to 17-month lows!
Macroeconomic Factors: Broader economic uncertainties, including geopolitical events like tariffs, have contributed to Ethereum's struggles. These factors have added to the negative sentiment in both the financial and crypto markets.
Network Activity and Whale Behavior: While some large investors (whales) are accumulating ETH, the overall network activity has seen a decline. This mixed behavior has created uncertainty about the asset's short-term trajectory
ETH-----Sell around 1810, target 1750 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 5: Today, the large-cycle daily line level closed with a small negative line yesterday, and the K-line pattern continued to fall. The price was below the moving average. The fast and slow lines of the attached indicator were glued together and flattened. From this point of view, the time happened to be on the weekend, and the weekend was mainly focused on corrections. So can we predict whether the trend of the second big drop will continue next week? Let's wait and see; the short-cycle hourly chart was under pressure in the early morning, and the K-line pattern showed continuous negative lines. The attached indicator was dead cross running, and the high point of the correction was near the 1836 area. From the perspective of various technical indicators, the current decline will continue, but the strength will not be very large.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 1813 area, stop loss in the 1843 area, and target the 1750 area;
ETH-----Sell around 1825, target 1750 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 4: Today, the daily level of the large cycle closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negative lines. The price is still below the moving average and is obviously suppressed. The fast and slow lines of the attached indicator continue to close negative today, so the pattern will cross downward. Therefore, the general trend remains unchanged and continues to be bearish. Trading remains short-term and risk control is done well; the short-term price decline yesterday broke the previous low of 1750, but did not continue. The current price fluctuates within the range and there is not much movement. From the perspective of various technical indicators, the four-hour chart is a continuous negative line, and the intraday price is suppressed, so the trend is still bearish, and the previous correction high is near 1850.
Today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the 1825 area, stop loss at the 1855 area, and target the 1750 area;
ETH/USDT:UPDATEHello dear friends
Given the price drop we had, a head and shoulders pattern has formed within the specified support range, indicating the entry of buyers.
Now, given the good support of buyers for the price, we can buy in steps with capital and risk management and move towards the specified targets.
*Trade safely with us*
Ethereum Price Analysis: Is a Drop to $1,550 Imminent This Week?As of April 3, 2025, Ethereum (ETH) is trading at approximately $1,838 (based on recent market data), reflecting a precarious position in the crypto market. After a volatile start to the year, ETH has shed over 44% year-to-date and is now testing critical support levels. This analysis explores the potential for an 11% drop to the $1,550 range within the next few days (by the end of this week, April 6), driven by technical breakdowns, bearish on-chain signals, and broader market pressures.
Technical Analysis: Bearish Signals Mounting
On the daily chart, ETH has been struggling to maintain momentum above the $1,800 psychological level. After a brief bounce from its yearly low of $1,760 on March 11, the price has failed to reclaim the $2,000 mark—a key resistance zone that previously acted as support in late 2024. Here’s a breakdown of the technical setup:
Key Support Breach: The $1,800–$1,877 range has been a critical support zone, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the December 2024 high of $4,106 to the March 2025 low of $1,759. A close below $1,770 this week would confirm a breakdown, opening the door to the next major support at $1,550–$1,600, a level last tested in October 2023.
Bearish Pattern Confirmation: The 2-hour chart shows ETH completing a corrective structure (likely an A-B-C wave) after its March 19 peak at $2,070. If wave C mirrors wave A in length—a common Elliott Wave scenario—the target aligns near $1,550, coinciding with the 1.61 external Fibonacci retracement of the recent bounce.
Moving Averages: ETH is trading below both its 50-day SMA ($2,321) and 200-day SMA ($3,010), signaling a sustained bearish trend. The 50-day SMA, now sloping downward, acts as dynamic resistance, capping any relief rallies. A failure to reclaim this level soon reinforces the downside risk.
RSI Oversold but Weak : The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) sits near 30, indicating oversold conditions. However, in strong downtrends, RSI can remain oversold for extended periods, as seen during ETH’s 2022 bear market. Momentum remains weak, with no bullish divergence to suggest an imminent reversal.
Target Projection : A drop from $1,838 to $1,550 represents an 11% decline, achievable within 2–3 days if selling pressure accelerates. The $1,550 level aligns with historical support and the long-term 78.6% Fibonacci retracement, making it a plausible target.
On-Chain Data: Selling Pressure Intensifies
On-chain metrics paint a grim picture, supporting the bearish technical outlook:
Exchange Reserves Rising: Ethereum’s exchange reserve has ticked up from 18.3 million ETH, reversing a multi-month decline. This suggests long-term holders or institutions are moving assets from cold storage to exchanges, potentially preparing to sell.
Whale Activity: Recent data shows significant whale sell-offs, with large transactions (over 100 ETH) spiking in the past 48 hours. This aligns with posts on X noting whale distribution near current levels, adding downward pressure.
DeFi Weakness: Ethereum’s dominance in decentralized finance (DeFi) is waning, with total value locked (TVL) dropping as competing Layer-1 chains gain traction. Reduced network activity undermines ETH’s utility-driven demand, a key pillar of its value proposition.
Staking Dynamics: While staking activity increased post-Shapella upgrade, the anticipated selling pressure from unstaked ETH continues to linger, especially as macroeconomic uncertainty prompts profit-taking.
Market Sentiment: Fear Dominates
The broader crypto market is reeling from macroeconomic headwinds. The U.S. Core PCE Index rose to 2.8% in February, exceeding the Federal Reserve’s 2% target, signaling persistent inflation. Higher interest rates for longer dampen risk-on assets like cryptocurrencies. Posts on X reflect growing pessimism, with some traders eyeing sub-$1,000 levels if $1,760 fails—a sentiment echoed by Ethereum’s 7% drop this week alone.
Bitcoin (BTC), trading near $82,000, has also faltered, dragging altcoins lower. ETH’s correlation with BTC remains high (around 0.9), and a failure to hold $80,000 for BTC could amplify ETH’s decline. Additionally, the lack of immediate catalysts—such as ETF approvals or major network upgrades—leaves ETH vulnerable to further capitulation.
Price Scenarios and Key Levels
Bearish Case (Base Scenario): A daily close below $1,770 triggers a swift move to $1,550–$1,600 by April 6. Volume spikes and panic selling could push it lower, though $1,550 offers strong historical support.
Bullish Rejection: A reclaim of $2,070 (the March 19 high) invalidates the bearish setup, potentially sparking a relief rally to $2,250. This seems unlikely without a significant BTC breakout or positive news.
Invalidation: A close above $2,120 this week would negate the short-term bearish thesis, though resistance at the 50-day SMA ($2,321) caps upside potential.
Trading Strategy
Entry: Short ETH below $1,770 with confirmation of increased volume.
Target: $1,550 (11% drop), with a stretch goal of $1,500 if momentum persists.
Stop Loss: $1,911 (intraday high from April 2), limiting risk to 4–5%.
Risk/Reward: Approximately 2.5:1, assuming a $1,550 target.
Conclusion
Ethereum’s technical setup, coupled with bearish on-chain signals and a fearful market, suggests an 11% drop to $1,550 is plausible by the end of this week (April 6, 2025). The $1,770 level is the line in the sand—watch it closely. While oversold conditions hint at a potential bounce, the lack of buying conviction and macro pressures tilt the odds toward further downside. Traders should monitor BTC’s price action and exchange inflows for confirmation. Stay nimble, and let the charts guide your next move.
ETH-----Sell around 1900, target 1820 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on April 2: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, and the K-line pattern was a single positive line with continuous negatives. The price was at a low level, and the attached indicator was a golden cross with a shrinking volume, but it can be seen that the fast and slow lines are still below the zero axis, which is an obvious price suppression, and the current pullback trend is only a correction performance, which is difficult to continue and difficult to break. This is the signal, so the downward trend remains unchanged; the correction trend of the four-hour chart for two consecutive trading days is also completed. At present, the K-line pattern is continuous negative, and the price is under pressure and retreats. Whether the European session can break down is very critical. The short-cycle hourly chart of the previous day's US session hit a high in the early morning and retreated under pressure in the morning. The current K-line pattern is a continuous negative and the attached indicator is dead cross running. It is still bearish during the day. The starting point is near the 1850 area. The European session depends on the breakout of this position.
Therefore, today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the pullback 1900 area, stop loss at the 1930 area, and target the 1820 area;
ETH: Possible Scenario!Hello Traders,
Here's a quick update on ETH in the weekly timeframe.
ETH is currently in a downtrend, trading at $1,890. It has already faced a 57% drop, and the trend is likely to continue.
Based on this weekly analysis, I expect ETH to drop to $1,400, where we have a support level. In a worst-case scenario, it could fall to $1,000. A rebound toward $2,200 is possible from the current market price, but it may not sustain for long.
Conclusion:
✅ Potential Accumulation Range: $1,000 - $1,400
✅ Lower Support: $1,000
Note: Always do your own research and analysis before investing.
ETH-----More around 1865 target 1800 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on March 30: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was running with a golden cross and shrinking volume. The big trend was still very obvious, but I would like to remind you that the current price deviates from the moving average, and if there is a rebound trend in the future, it is also a correction trend. Don't be misled; the short-cycle hourly chart showed that the European market fell and the US market continued to break the low yesterday, and the morning support rebounded and corrected. The current K-line pattern continued to rise, and the attached indicator was running with a golden cross, so it still needs to be corrected within the day, and the high point of the US market correction yesterday was in the 1865 area.
Today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the rebound 1865 area, stop loss in the 1895 area, and target the 1800 area;
ETH(20250328) market analysis and operationMarch 28 Ethereum (ETH) contract technical analysis: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to fall, the price was below the moving average, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross with a shrinking volume. The general trend is still very obvious. According to the current trend, the trend of the second big drop I mentioned earlier may come early, and next week is the focus, because the time for correction in exchange for space is basically consumed at present; the short-cycle hourly chart fell under pressure the day before, and the European session continued but did not break down, so the US session was still volatile. The correction high point was under pressure for the second time this morning. The current K-line pattern is continuous and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, so there is a high probability that it will fall during the day. Whether the European session can break the low is the key.
Today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 2005 area, stop loss in the 2035 area, and target the 1940 area;
ETH-----Sell near 2010, target 1920 areaTechnical analysis of ETH contract on March 27: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small negative line yesterday, the K-line pattern was a continuous positive single negative, the price was still at a low level, the attached indicator was a golden cross with a shrinking volume, and the general trend was still obviously downward. The current pullback trend is to prepare for the next big drop; the technical trend of the four-hour chart has touched the high point of 2110 twice in a month, which is quite obvious. The current K-line pattern is a continuous negative, and the attached indicator is a dead cross, so there is a high probability that there will be a continued retracement trend; the short-cycle hourly chart fell in the European session yesterday and the US session continued to break the low, and the high point of the correction was near the 2025 area. Similarly, today we need to see a continued decline, and the pullback cannot break the high point of the correction.
Today's ETH short-term contract trading strategy: sell at the current price in the 2010 area, stop loss in the 2040 area, and target the 1920 area;
ETH Chart - SECRET in the INVERTETH is losing ground quickly after a nasty bearish pattern formed in the weekly.
The bearish M-pattern we're currently observing in the macro timeframe:
We know this is a bearish patter, not only because we've seen it many times before but also because it is the opposite of the W-Bottom. (we can actually confirm this by flipping the chart):
In this case, the bullish confirmation would have been a support retest of the neckline:
And so, if we flip it again back to the original view - the opposite can be true. As we get rejected on the resistance line, an even lower price is likely:
____________________
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
The ETHUSD market is bullishETHUSD has currently successfully broken through the resistance level of 2,100 and has re-entered a new range.
The ETHUSD market is bullish. The current price is 2,075, and the intraday fluctuation range is between 2,044 and 2,080. There are signs that ETHUSD has initially formed a bottom. Judging from the 4-hour candlestick chart, the price is attempting to break through upwards, with the key resistance level at 2,160.
Looking ahead to 2025, the expected price range of ETHUSD is between 2,904 and 4,887. This week, ETHUSD has shown a strong and positive performance. In the following period, the key focus should be on whether ETHUSD can break through the key resistance level of 2,160, which will play a decisive role in its short-term and medium-term trends.
💎💎💎 ETHUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@2040 - 2050
🎁 TP 2070 2080 2090
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
Ethereum (ETH/USDT) 1D Chart Update ETH is still trading inside a descending channel, showing signs of a possible reversal. The price is bouncing off support levels around $1,750-$1,830, with a possible retest of higher resistance levels. The 50-day moving average (red line) is acting as a dynamic resistance above the price.
Bullish scenario: ETH needs to sustain above $1,830 to confirm a short-term correction. If ETH breaks the $2,200-$2,400 resistance zone, a rally toward $2,800-$3,000 could follow.
Bearish scenario: Rejection at the resistance could push ETH back towards $1,830 and possibly $1,750. A loss of $1,750 could trigger a further decline towards $1,600.
Resistance: $2,200, $2,400, $2,800
Support: $1,830, $1,750, $1,600
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DYOR. NFA
How "Max Pain" Can Become Your Ally in ETH TradingImagine standing on the edge of a cliff, peering down at a raging river below. That’s the feeling traders experience as the options expiration date approaches. At this moment, all bets are off, and the market is primed for sharp movements. Have you ever wondered how to turn this uncertainty into an advantage?
Let’s break it down. The ETH market is buzzing with tension: open interest in options is soaring, and the ratio of in-the-money to out-of-the-money puts stands at 48% to 52%. This means nearly half of all puts have intrinsic value. Professional market participants, like skilled magicians, hedge their positions, transforming them into delta-neutral setups.
But how do they do this? Right, by buying futures! This is the hidden growth driver we’ve been witnessing over the past few days. While I won’t dive into other factors like news, it’s crucial to understand that this dynamic could be the key to success.
Now, let’s talk about “Max Pain.” The Max Pain level for this options series landed on the March 2nd trigger point, where we saw a powerful bullish candle. But are the bulls stuck there? I’m pretty sure they are. Now, we’re left to watch whether the market can break free from this grip.
Personally, I see an opportunity to open a short position. But let’s see if the “law of gravity” will hold true for Max Pain this time.
Stay tuned If you want to stay updated on forex and crypto trading nuances!