Ethereum : WHALES sell, RE-Accumulation Phase NOWIt's made headlines that large whale wallets have sold off large chucks, driving the price of ETH down by over 35% in only a few days.
We see a yearly low in the daily RSI, as well as an "Oversold" flash on the Technical indicator.
The good news, is that this will give buyers a few weeks to re-accumulate ETH before the next impulse wave up starts:
For the short term, the price will likely continue to trade down the lower Bollinger Bands until the sell-off is over. Retail is catching on to the sell off, so it's likely we'll see wicky price action as this kind of volume will be attractive for algo trading.
For the SHORT and NEAR term I am bearish, but for the NEAR to LONG term I remain bullish that another impulse wave up is next.
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BINANCE:ETHUSDT
Ethshort
ETH Respects The Trend, But For How Long?This is my first slightly longer post about the crypto market in some time. Despite being an ETH post, I get more into the market as a whole in this post. Here, I will do a little analysis on the above ETH chart, but primarily I will speak about fundamentals, my accuracies and my inaccuracies, and why I continue to observe the market.
Ethereum was my biggest winner in the previous bull market. After buying between $100-200 in 2018-2019, I sold near $3000 at the end of 2021. Since then, I didn't "buy the dip" or return to investing in the cryptocurrency market. Sure, my opinion on things has limited my ability to see the "forest through the trees," so to speak. So far, I've missed out on at least tripling my money again on ETH, when I could have bought close to $1000 if I had been bullish on it long term.
Despite the ETF approval for Bitcoin, and despite a looming ETF approval for Ethereum, I am longer term bearish on these assets. This is due to a simple question, the answer to which has not changed: If Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies ceased to exist, would the world be impacted significantly?
With the introduction of these ETF's, the answer to this question may change from "not at all" to "a little bit," but even then, the people who would be impacted are asset holders and managers who are generally making small bets on crypto. The bigger concern is that some brazen investors will follow Michael Saylor's suit and create unnecessary risk by buying assets that have very few real-world application. If this snowballs into an even bigger bubble, I do worry about the impact on the broader financial system.
As for crypto's effect on the economy: Money goes into crypto and it stays there. All those billions that have been invested in Bitcoin ETF's could go somewhere else and have a positive ripple effect on the economy and people's lives. Instead, it's stagnant money, and it only has value because people continue to buy it. The primary reason why I'm longer term bearish on these assets is because I believe eventually demand will be unable to keep up, and prices will stagnate, ultimately fading into a much longer bear market. This is particularly the case when broader markets fall into a more deflationary period, which I think will happen eventually (though as we know, this is very hard to predict).
It is clear that I was wrong in speculating Bitcoin would not make a new all time high. It did, but I wonder how long it could really sustain a SIGNIFICANT higher high. I'm not talking about $70-75k. I'm talking about $100k+ prices.
Back in 2022, I speculated that ETH would drop to the green zone in my chart. It came very close, but bottomed out between $800-1000, a major level from the 2017-2018 bull market. I did successfully anticipate much lower prices for Bitcoin and Ethereum than most were expecting at that time. I did not anticipate such an extended move up from those bottoms.
It is important to note that in multiples, crypto is outpacing the stock market from bottom to recent top. However, stocks are making more significant new all time highs while crypto is not. Even Gold is booming, breaking significant highs. This is something I did anticipate a while ago. There is no indication that holding crypto ETF's will be better than holding stocks. But hey look, Microstrategy (MSTR) is almost at dotcom bubble peak levels.
Back to ETH - if one is to take a big short position, it seems unwise to do so until the long term trendline is clearly broken. Here is the trendline zoomed in. You can see that price even broke down briefly, though continued to hug it for the most part while the decline did not accelerate further.
For now, it continues to ride. There could easily be more spikes up, as mania begins to take hold. But I sincerely also wonder how much extra money retail has to drive prices up this time around. Data shows that spending has slowed down, while people have mostly burned through their pandemic savings. Where will the liquidity come from? Is this rally even being driven by enough liquidity to sustain these prices? There is also always money to be made on the short side. Let's not forget that a short ETH ETF already exists.
We will eventually find out the answers to these questions. These are the primary reasons I continue to observe markets. I want to know more deeply what's going on. What are the broader cultural and economic shifts that occur under the surface, which cause major impacts on society as a whole? These mysteries keep me coming back.
Crypto is still interesting to me in this respect because it has such a psychological impact on the investor. I know directly from experience. It promises big things and then barely delivers. Or, it will appear to be completely dead and then cause eyeballs to pop when it suddenly triples in value. Profiting from it in the last cycle required putting up with a long emotional rollercoaster. Is there a light at the end of the tunnel for the crypto investor? Is this, right now, the light at the end of the tunnel? If so, this is a pretty far cry from the original intentions of Bitcoin. It's all gone right back into the pockets of traditional financial institutions. And perhaps, it is this discrepancy that makes me think it's really a sheep in wolf's clothing, in effect something perfectly boring and ordinary disguised as something disruptive. It is possible that it it may have not turned out this way, but due to human collective decision-making, greed, and exploitation, here we are.
Despite my more sporadic posts, I continue to observe and analyze. It is not necessarily about being right or wrong for me. Maybe when I was younger it was, but now it's more about the process. It is important to let go of the attachment to being right.
Thank you for reading as always. And of course, this is meant for speculation and entertainment only, not financial advice.
ETH for the Bears After all this excitement with the ETF approval we have expected the fundamentals to kick in and take this baby to All Time Highs.
Unfortunately we have seen the opposite. From my technical analysis we may be experiencing a bearish cycle for Ethereum. I myself was anticipating the Fib Level to be in favor of the upside but now i’m noticing a clear bear flag on the 3hr - Daily timeframes. The fib level indicates a price drop to around 3,080 and if it breaks below that we will see a push to the downside of nearly 2800. Let’s say they’re going to target some liquidity… that would drop the price further beyond 2000 and around 1800 range
If it holds support around 3100 we should be aye okay to start heading towards the upside and move away from the downside
ETH - Short to 2,800ETH - Short-term Bearish from 3,120, especially if BTC does not maintain 63k on the daily candle close. MACD has some sellers with a slight bullish divergence in the neutral zone, heading to oversold but we are not there yet. Fear and Greed index shows we still have not reached the peak fear zone. I think we might see continued selling until 2,786 to 2,804 area before we see a reversal. I'd like to see ETH hold above 2,800 on the Sunday candle close for invalidation of the short.
ETH still in danger of a death cross on the daily in the next few days if it doesn't catch a strong bid, or a bid off the next support.
ETH to drop in the next 24 hours - bearish trend Following initial inflows on their first day of trading on Tuesday, the nine spot Ether exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have experienced outflows totaling $179 million over the subsequent two days.
The outflows are driven by more than $1.1 billion exiting Grayscale's incumbent Ethereum Trust, AMEX:ETHE , which was converted into an ETF on Tuesday. Its fee is over 10 times higher than that of the asset manager’s mini Ether ETF, CRYPTOCAP:ETH , which has seen inflows of $119 million over the past three days.
BlackRock’s ETF, NASDAQ:ETHA , leads the inflow ranking with $355 million in inflows over the past three days.
The price of Ether added 2 percent to $3,240 over the past 24 hours. Drizzle will linger over Ether in the next 24 hours, signaling slightly bearish market conditions, but, over a one-week horizon, Ether will see timid sun, which indicates a mildly bullish market.
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ETH/USDT 1DAY CHART ANALIYSIS !!The chart shows ETH/USDT within a descending channel, highlighted by the purple lines.
There is a crucial support area between $2,800 and $3,000, represented by the orange and yellow shaded areas, indicating potential areas for buying.
ETH/USDT has recently bounced off the lower boundary of the descending channel, indicating that this support level still holds.
The upper boundary of the descending channel, along with the horizontal resistance around $3,600, forms a key resistance area that ETH needs to break to confirm a bullish reversal.
The green line (possibly a moving average) around $3,050 currently acts as a dynamic support level.
Recent price action indicates a double-bottom pattern around the $2,900-$3,000 range, suggesting a potential bullish reversal if confirmed.
If ETH/USDT can sustain above the $3,000 support, the next target will be the upper boundary of the descending channel and the horizontal resistance at $3,600.
A break below the $2,800-$3,000 support zone could lead to further declines towards the next significant support levels around $2,300-$2,500.
This analysis is based on a visual interpretation of the chart.
Consider using additional technical indicators and keeping an eye on market news and sentiment for a more detailed and accurate analysis.
Remember: This is not financial advice. Stay tuned to us for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
#ETH/USDT#ETH
After the approval of Ethereum ETFs, the current correction is expected
Ethereum price has been moving in an upward trend on the four-hour frame since the beginning of July
The price has now touched the rising trend and produced a reversal candle on a 4-hour frame
Expected to rise on targets
Entry price 3177
First target 3315
Second goal 3424
Third goal 3546
This is supported by the bearish saturation on the RSI indicator
The rise also supports stability above the Moving Average 100
And stability is above the current trend
The pattern is canceled if it closes 4 hours below the upward trend in orange
ETH ETFs to Follow Bitcoin's Footsteps?
ETH/USD is expected to experience increased volatility this week, with spot Ethereum ETFs set to go live on Tuesday, according to Bloomberg. The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is poised to finalize updates on the products today.
Ethereum ETFs follow the path of eleven trading spot Bitcoin ETFs, which have amassed over $54 billion in assets under management since their January debut. Bitcoin has surged 47% this year.
Demand for the ETH ETF funds are projected to be 20% that of the spot Bitcoin ETFs, according to Bloomberg analyst James Seyffart. Meanwhile, the Bitcoin 2024 Conference will commence on July 25, featuring Republican nominee Donald Trump, who is set to discuss a potential US Bitcoin strategy. Speculation is rife that Trump may announce the creation of a U.S. Bitcoin strategic reserve during his highly anticipated appearance.
David Bailey, the organizer of the Bitcoin 2024 conference has also hinted that Tesla CEO Elon Musk could make a surprise appearance at the event. Musk recently updated his X profile picture to feature laser eyes, a symbol among bitcoin and crypto enthusiasts as noted by Michael Saylor, founder of bitcoin-buying software company MicroStrategy, alongside a screenshot of Musk's new profile picture.
ETH/USDT 1DAY CHART UPDATE !!Ethereum has recovered from the lower boundary of the descending channel and is currently trading above $3,300. The next significant resistance level lies around $3,400. A break above this level could see ETH target the $3,600 mark.
Support is strong at $2,950, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone and the lower boundary of the descending channel.
A break and close above $3,400 with high volume could target $3,600 and above.
Failure to break $3,400 could lead to a retest of the $2,950 support area.
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. Stay tuned to us for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
ETH/USDT CHART ANALIYSIS !!Ethereum (ETH) against Tether (USDT) on Binance shows notable price action within a descending channel. The price is currently at $3,112.96, showing a slight increase of +1.51%.
ETH has been trading within a descending channel since early April.
The price bounces off the lower boundary and moves towards the upper boundary.
The price found strong support in the $2,900 - $3,000 range.
The 200MA (green line) acts as significant resistance above the current price. Additionally, the upper boundary of the descending channel serves as another resistance level.
A horizontal supply zone around $3,100 to $3,200 is creating selling pressure.
The price was rejected at this level previously and is now attempting to break through again.
The 200-day moving average (200MA) is currently above the price and acts as resistance.
A breakout above the 200MA would be a bullish signal.
Volume:
Although not shown in this chart, volume is crucial in confirming breakouts or breakdowns. High volume on a breakout above the 200MA would strengthen the bullish case.
Scenarios to Watch:
A breakout above the 200MA and the upper boundary of the descending channel would confirm a bullish trend.
The next resistance levels to watch would be around $3,400 and $3,800.
A breakdown below the support zone and the lower boundary of the descending channel would indicate further downside.
Key support levels below the channel would be around $2,700 and $2,400.
The price could also consolidate within the current range of $2,900 to $3,200, forming a base before a decisive move.
Indicators and Signals:
Monitoring RSI can help identify overbought or oversold conditions.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Crossovers in MACD can signal potential trend reversals.
ETH is rebounding from the support trendline and testing the 200MA Watch for a breakout above the 200MA or a breakdown below the support trendline.
$3,200 (supply zone), $3,400, $3,800.
$2,900, $2,700, $2,400.
Stay alert for high-volume moves to confirm breakouts or breakdowns. This will provide a clearer direction for the next significant price action.
Feel free to ask for a more detailed analysis or additional charts!
Remember:-This is not a piece of financial advice. Stay tuned to us for further updates and analysis. Thank you!
I'm out of my mind and waiting for ETH at 10k+.....I will briefly explain why I think so... I study wave analysis of charts and usually triangles are formed in the last phase before a bear market (global) on ethereum, this is exactly the figure, add to this that I expect an alt season and a flow of dominance below the 40% minimum. If you look at the BTC/eth chart, there will also be this triangle, which gives me an idea of possible movements
ETH/USD at Critical Juncture:Overview:
The daily chart provides a more granular view of the recent price action and highlights shorter-term trends and key levels for COINBASE:ETHUSD
Key Technical Points:
1. Trendline and Channel Patterns:
- The price is navigating within a smaller descending channel within the larger weekly channel.
- A breakout from this descending channel could signal the start of a new bullish phase or continuation of the downtrend.
2. Fibonacci Retracement Levels:
- The daily chart also respects the Fibonacci retracement levels, with the 0.618 retracement at around $3,700 acting as recent resistance.
- The 0.5 and 0.382 levels at $3,121 and $2,820 respectively, are crucial for determining the next price direction.
3. Moving Averages:
- The daily 50MA has been a critical level of resistance recently. The price needs to break and hold above this moving average to confirm a bullish reversal.
- The daily 200MA is providing long-term support and is currently around the $2,820 level.
4. Volume Analysis:
- Volume spikes have coincided with key price movements, indicating strong interest at critical levels.
Conclusion
The daily chart indicates a struggle with resistance around $3,121. A break above the 50MA and 0.618 retracement would confirm a bullish reversal. Support at $2,820 is key for maintaining the bullish outlook; otherwise, lower levels might be tested.
ETH Poised for Post-ETF Approval Pullback: Short to 3.2k ZoneEthereum surged over 30% in anticipation of its much-awaited ETF approval, but the excitement may be short-lived. As traders who missed the initial rally eye the $2.9k to $3.2k support zone, a pullback seems likely. With ETH currently trading around $3.8k, a short trade to this support area presents an attractive opportunity.
Technical Analysis:
Visible Range Volume Profile (VRVP): The VRVP indicates a significant volume zone at $3k, suggesting strong support at this level.
Average Directional Index (ADX): The ADX, a momentum indicator, is losing strength, signaling a weakening trend.
Proposed Short Trade:
Entry Price: 3.8k zone USDT
Take Profit: 3k zone USDT
Stop Loss: 4.110 USDT
Rationale:
The post-ETF approval euphoria is likely to fade, leading to a price correction.
The $2.9k to $3.2k zone represents a strong support area, as evidenced by the VRVP.
The weakening ADX suggests a loss of momentum in the uptrend.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio:
The potential risk-to-reward ratio for this trade is approximately 3:1, implying a potential 3% profit for every 1% risk.
BITCOIN CRASH TO 54.7K MINIMUM MT. GOX DUMP!!!Hello as you can see we have 5 waves up and an abc correction. we are working on the C wave and i expect it to hit 54.7k because that is the 1.1 extension fib of wave a measured from wave b (be careful tho as wave C can go to 1.618 which would be 44k i dont see that happening this time tho as we still need to make a wave 5 on the super large time frame), as well as having a FVG that needs filled there, as well as being the base of the channel we are in. It is a triple confluence.
If you look at RSI we have a bearish divergence as well.
The two bottom indicators i am using are also showing to be in the middle of a wave right now. that would be the C wave on the large time frame. we will be making the 5th wave down on the lower time frame which on the lower time frame of that will be a 5 wave impulse move because we are in a downtrend.
Also, Mt. Gox, an old exchange that went down like 12 years ago is starting to repay their creditors in July, which is now, so those people are sitting on like 14000% profit and are going to cash out and dump hard. it is a total of like 18 billion.
This is a negative outlook but its just what the data show. when the data show bullish then i will be bullish but there is just so many things right at this moment ab to crash btc so just hold on tight and open a short.
i have one open from 63.2k and a target of 54.7k. Lets see if it hits.
ETH/USDT 4HOUR CHART UYPDATE Hello friends, welcome to this ETH update from Crypto Sanders.
ETH/USDT Brief Update
Ethereum (ETH) is currently trading within a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, as seen in the chart. Here are the key points:
ETH is showing a head and shoulders formation, which typically signals a potential bearish reversal.
Resistance and Support:
Around $3,950 to $4,000 (highlighted by the left and right shoulders).
Close to $3,640 (lower boundary of the pattern).
A breakout above the right shoulder (~$3,850) could lead to further gains.
A breakdown below the support level (~$3,640) would confirm the head and shoulders pattern, which signals a potential decline.
Monitor the $3,850 resistance level for signs of a breakout.
Keep an eye on a potential breakdown below $3,640 for bearish confirmation.
Stay tuned for further updates and analysis!
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