2X Dollar Index 1D Analysis! The Dollar seems to be exhausted after the Strong bull run and has broken the trendline and support zone with strong Bearish candles to let us know that there may be a strong reversal. We will wait for a retest and play the USD pairs to the Down side/short and The EU pairs Long/to the upside.
EU
OXYt strategyShort term trade set up to hedge long position, ex-dividend date may trigger sell off.
While price made a higher high, RSI set another negative divergence.
Also noting buy volume is getting thin.
In EW terms, this rally off the June low seems to be corrective 3 waves.
Contra argument: neckline around 57-58, coincide with huge volume profile wedge, may provide strong support.
EU analysis for the upcoming week of Oct. 9In this video I go over my opinion of were I think price will be heading. EU has reacted off a Daily -OB MT to the pip and has started its decent to the nether parts of the charts. It is my opinion that since the dollar is still buying so strong that EU will continue to sell. I think that EU is setting up to retrace towards premium prices for shorts. There are key levels I highlight where I will be looking to add positions.
Macro View for EU.Overall EU is still very much Bearish, but still hasn't retraced to an optimal premium price level. There are imbalances to the upside noted here as "FVG" where price must be delivered buyside. In my humble opinion, the areas between the FVG, .79FIB and -OB is where I will be looking for entries for the major selloff. This could potentially be a swing/position trade. Lets see how it plays out.
-ChaarateFx
EURUSD Higher TF SELLEURUSD
EURUSD has made a strong push to the upside and closed well above the 0.9700 key level during NY Session (Sept 28). 1H made a clear break of structure to the upside and has been creating higher highs/lows since.
Price is reaching a strong Supply Level on the Daily Timeframe which I expect to see some reaction from. I will wait for Price Action confirmations before jumping into what I believe could be a long term Sell. I am overall Bearish on EURUSD and
would like to see the following scenario play out:
Price has made a strong push to the upside since trading around 0.9540s. I see this as the Daily Pullback and possible anticipation to a new Impulsive move to the downside.
I don't want to get caught into early SELL positions so I will wait to see how price reacts once it reaches my Supply Level at around 0.9850. From here I will like to see a clear price action confirmation and would enter into a SELL as follows:
Entry: 0.9850
0.9885
Stops : 15 pips above
Targets: 0.9730
0.9600
0.9512
*Again* I want to be very cautious with this SELL as I am aware of the bullish price action on the 4H, and Daily (last 2 candles), I would like to see a 30m and ideally 1H Break of Structure to the Downside to get into this SELL.
Note: This is not to be taken as trading advice and/or signals, please do your own analysis and manage your risk responsibly!
Best of luck in your trading
Let me know your thoughts on where you see EURUSD headed next!