EURUSD Big Picture Pullback into Continuation ShortsEURUSD made a push to the mid 0.9530s during Asian Session (Sept 28,2022), recovering nicely again to just below previous NY Lows of 0.9580s during London. At this time the 1H Timeframe was in a beautiful downtrend but giving Price Action signals of a possible break.
From a Big Picture point of view, I wanted to see price make a recovery and break again above the 0.9600 (this has just been done during the NY Session (Sept 29). We have a clear break in structure from 1H down, and I am currently waiting on a Pullback to enter on a Long Position and ride the higher timeframe pullback as shown.
Possible Entries: 0.9600
0.9573
Stops between 10-15 pips below these entries
Targets:
Target 1: 0.9750
Target 2: 0.9825
Note: this is not trading advice and/or signals, do your own analysis and manage your risk accordingly.
Would love to hear your feedback. Best of luck in your trading.
EU
EU Price action playing out as anticipated. It's taken about two weeks but price has finally shown me everything I wanted to see to confidently enter longs on EU. As it's Friday I wont be entering today and will wait for Monday. The red line is what I expect from the 15 min TF. Will look for a 15 min choch to the upside and enter targeting the 4H high
EURUSD Outlook 9/5First full week of the new month. My expectation is that market will grab sell side one last time possibly with a big push, and then chase buyside from late last month. Ultimately I think the month will close red however.
I see short term trade opportunities both to the down and upside.
Gentleman's OXY?Got FOMO'ed in b/c WEB kept buying? Take measure to protect yourself from a potential drop in the short term:
It started with negative divergence in March, noticing that volume did not follow through after the breakout, it might end up with a H&S formation that project to the low 40's (blue lines).
That region happens to coincide with:
- the yellow trendline with multiple tops in the past, which can now function as support;
- an interesting retracement level;
- a volume profile wedge.
This is a short term set up based on technical, invalidation above 70.
With the intention to (partially) take over, it makes sens for a whale to keep buying regardless whether price goes up or down.
Assess your own situation as it might differ.
Energy development at the bottomHello trenders,
I show you today a solid company with strong backup and investors.
High potential on the upside, undervalued and part of utility sector it makes it a hot stock.
Given the circumstances in EU the price will go up starting by this winter.
Perfect for your portfolio diversification, good for short or long term.
Good luck.
Be wise don´t work for money, make money work for you.
EURUSD ready to trade below parityEURUSD is showing strong potential of trading below the breakeven parity level and I highly believe that by the end of August we could break the parity level and trade below it for the rest of 2022.
Looking at price action on this one I see 0 reasons for buying, in fact all we are forming is constant lower highs and lower lows... which suggests we are in tune for more bearish momentum if this process continues.
We just came out of a build up range followed by a bearish flag pattern... momentum is strong and I highly believe, based on what I see, that we'll be heading south bound for now.
EURUSD Outlook 8/6Was expecting EU to fill the daily imbalance last week, however it just barely pierced it then started breaking structure to the downside, this is a bearish signal in my opinion, my outlook remains bearish unless it decides to move to fill that imbalance. Targets are 1.00588 level and 0.99521 levels. Monitoring intraday PA for trade opportunities with a preference for shorts.
EUR/USD seems nice to trade next weekHello everybody. I was looking for something interesting on market and found this formation on EU very interesting. Look here. We are creating a huge channel from 1.011 to 1.025 now. Once we break 1.02550 or 1.010 we will run 'to the Moon' or backwards 'to the Hell'. SO, I just placed alerts for 1.02550 and 1.010 so I can open long or short on both of these prices. This is the simplest way to trade and this is always work, because this is how economy works.
My TP for long is the nearest level and this is about 1.03. My TP for short is 1.00. SL depends on your own risk-management .
Also, if you are a experienced enough you can trade inside this channel. But this is always way riskier than trade breakthrough.
*We have some really BIG fundamental things going on, so all the market could be very shaky.
Have a good weekend and good luck next week guys. Always yours Fridrex ;)
EURUSD - The bigger picture this weekHi Team
EURUSD is a pair I have been watching for some time now.
We have been slowly creeping up towards the descending channel resistance on the daily timeframe (marked on chart).
More than any other pair, EU tends to follow channel boundaries closely.
Last week saw the FED rake hike 75PTS.
What does this mean? It means that we can expect USD strength. This is typically not found immediately following any news release, as market volatility needs to die down. I expect that it will be the middle of this week that we see the beginning of a medium term USD Bull run.
The trades we are looking for are as follows:
1.) Scalp BUY of EU up to the sell zone indicated (I will post a more detailed analysis of this shortly)
2.) Initial Scalp SELL of EU to ascending corrective support (marked on chart - detailed analysis coming shortly)
3.) Scalp to swing SELL of EU once ascending corrective support broken
We want to capitalise as much as possible on smaller moves before entering a larger one, if we can.
NEWS:
Monday 0800 GMT - Expecting a rally of EUR from the IFO business climate assessment. This fits in with stage one.
Tuesday from 1200 GMT - Multiple moderate impact USD events, primarily the HPI. This is expected to raise, which would be bullsih for USD, and would likely coincide with EURUSD bear run.
Wednesday is a HUGE news day. Expect a degree of consolidation after initial drop, with some moderate impact news related to the Euro in the morning. The afternoon (GMT) will show high volatility, especially during and just after the FED interest rate and monetary policy decisions.
Thursday sees the annualised GDP Q2 from the US treasury, but this tends to weigh less than the initial release. Positive news would drive EU further down.
Summarily:
Expect Stage 1 Sun/Mon
Stage 2 Tues with consolidation weds am
Stage 3 Weds afternoon/Thursday - THIS is the big move
Now that I have covered the main expectations and market conditions, I will post subsequent analysis for these specific trades.
I hope you like what I do - I put a lot of effort into my analysis, and it shows - last week my ideas would have garnered any readers over 300 pips of profit.
Don't forget my FREE channel, and as always please like, comment and subscribe - I want to know your thoughts!
Be kind, Trade safe
DrBear
EURO bulls might take a little break and then go up towards 500!Euro bulls are having trouble to stay above 250 and I don't expect them to break up towards 300 early next week either, even though they could always surprise me. I expect them to reach 500, but I think its safer to wait for a re-test of parity first or for a clean break above 250, so they would actually manage to stay above. So for me the week will start in waiting mode. If we start with a downmove...I will wait for when it stops, if at the 100 level again or if it breaks below, towards parity.