Euro will exit from pennant pattern and rise to 1.0400 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time traded inside the range, where it declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0460 level. Then price turned around and started to grow near the support line until it reached the resistance level, after which it turned around making an impulse down, breaking the support line, and entering to buyer zone. After this movement, the Euro bounced from the buyer zone and started to grow to the resistance level, but when the price almost rose to this level, it turned around and started to decline inside the pennant pattern. In the pennant, Euro declined to the support line, breaking the support level, after which rebounded and quickly rose to the resistance line of this pattern, breaking the support level one more time. And now, the price continues to trades near this line, so, for this case, I think that the Euro can correct to support line of pennant. Then it will start to grow and even can exit from the pennant, after which continue to move up next. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0400 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR
EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declara..EUR/USD Looks to Build on Gains Amid Trump's Emergency Declaration
The EUR/USD currency pair concluded the previous week on a high note, defying the bearish trend that had been in full swing until the 1.0177 level. As the new trading week began, the market's momentum shifted in favor of the EUR, propelled by a strong bullish impulse that left the US Dollar (USD) reeling.
The opening salvo of the week saw the Greenback come under intense pressure, as investors grappled with the prospect of President Trump declaring a national emergency soon after taking office. The uncertainty surrounding this development has weighed heavily on the USD, allowing the EUR to gain traction and hold its ground.
From a technical perspective, market analysts are eyeing a potential correction of the trend, with a possible retracement target of 1.0500 on the horizon. This development could signal a significant shift in the market's dynamics, as investors reassess their positions and adjust to the changing landscape.
As the situation unfolds, one thing is certain: the EUR/USD pair will be closely watched in the coming days as market participants navigate the complex web of economic and political factors at play. Will the bullish momentum continue, or will the USD find its footing and push back against the EUR's gains? Only time will tell.
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EURUSD 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 - Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 20-24 Jan 2025 W4 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment Weekly Chart AnalysisDaily Chart Analysis4H Chart AnalysisEconomic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
Interest Rate Differentials: The widening gap between US and Eurozone interest rates favors the USD. Higher US yields attract capital flows, supporting the USD against the euro.
Inflation Trends: While inflation in the Eurozone remains subdued, the US continues to grapple with sticky inflation, keeping the Fed cautious about easing policy. This divergence further supports the USD.
Energy Prices: Elevated energy prices, driven by geopolitical tensions or supply disruptions, could weigh on the Eurozone’s trade balance and economic growth, adding pressure to the euro.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Expectations is for price to start a pullback phase from the Weekly demand zone / or from the liquidity sweep from the Nov 2022 low (Require Daily/4H confirmation).
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish approaching the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the receint iBOS, price pulled back to EQ (50%) of the INT Structure but currently failed to create a new iBOS with a Bullish CHoCH forming a new Demand.
🔹Expectations is not clear as we could start a deep pullback to intiate the Weekly Pullback Phase required or the current failure to creare a new Bearish iBOS is just a pause in market for more bearish move to at least the Weekly Demand. More development required from LTFs.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Fractal)
2️⃣
🔹After the Bearish BOS, price pulled back to the Swing EQ (50%) tapping into a Daily and a 4H Supply that caused a Bearish CHoCH and forming a Supply that price is contained within it.
3️⃣
🔹Price is currently ranging between Supply and Demand which clearly makes price indecisively have a clear direction. More developments required on LTFs to have a clear expectation.
Economic Events for the Week
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level that is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0426
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.0467
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0343
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target:
The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg.
If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0332
1st Support: 1.0175
1st Resistance: 1.0464
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP to continue in the bullish channel?EURGBP - 24h expiry
Intraday dips continue to attract buyers and there is no clear indication that this sequence for trading is coming to an end.
20 4hour EMA is at 0.8429.
We look to buy dips.
Dip buying offers good risk/reward.
A break of the recent high at 0.8463 should result in a further move higher.
We look to Buy at 0.8431 (stop at 0.8409)
Our profit targets will be 0.8489 and 0.8499
Resistance: 0.8454 / 0.8464 / 0.8485
Support: 0.8436 / 0.8420 / 0.8404
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0454
1st Support: 1.0348
1st Resistance: 1.0536
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.84200 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD 19/01/25
Here's the revised version without bullet points:
This week marks a special occasion as we celebrate the birthday of our head mentor!
Heading into the week, we maintain the same bias as last week: focus on the lows being taken out, while the highs serve as key entry areas. The game plan is straightforward. Look for a solid pullback to sell into the lows, or wait for the lows to be run and then target a pullback to current highs or newly formed highs yet to emerge.
Our bias remains bearish, so patience is key. Wait for a run on the highs before taking action. There’s no need to overcomplicate things—if you’ve been following Orion, everything is already in place.
Trade safely, trust Orion, and always stick to your risk management plan.
Euro can fall to buyer zone and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to pennant and started to decline. In this pattern, the price fell to the 1.0355 level and broke it, after which continued to decline to the buyer zone. In the buyer zone, the price reached the support line of the pennant and started to grow near this line, and later reached the resistance line. Soon Euro exited from the pennant pattern and rebounded up, higher than the 1.0355 resistance level, after which it made a small correction and then started to decline inside the downward channel. Inside this channel, the Euro broke the 1.0355 level one more time and fell to the support line, after which tried to reach the resistance line, but when it almost touched it, the EUR dropped to the buyer zone, breaking the 1.0250 support level. Next, the price fell to the support line, after which made a strong upward impulse, thereby exiting from the channel and breaking the 1.0250 level again. Euro some time traded near this level and then rose to the resistance level, after which started to decline. In my opinion, the Euro can fall to the buyer zone and then start to move up to the 1.0355 resistance level, where is locates my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURBGP: Sell signal on the Channel Down top.EURGBP is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.286, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 49.271) as it crossed over the 1D MA200 and almost touched the top of the short term Channel Down. This is a solid first entry for a short, the second being under the 1W MA200 near the dashed trendline of the long term Channel Down. Target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 0.82800).
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Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 11.73260
1st Support: 11.66314
1st Resistance: 11.78139
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Beginning of correction after 5 Elliot wavesAfter the completion of the 5 Elliot waves I am seeing similarities to past momentum. It looks like the Adam & Eva tops. We are now in the area of the B top formation, then I would expect a hike to the C point area (which is my view around 1.63 if we go by past experience). We have also not reached the 50 EMA, but I believe there will be a quick break of this EMA based on my experience.
Horban Brothers.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0350
1st Support: 1.0264
1st Resistance: 1.0423
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0263
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0192
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0348
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURAUD possible ideaFrom our previous idea, price moved as anticipated but failed to close below our weak low. It only wicked with an asia session low, thus forming more liquidity around the weak low price failed to break. Within the range, on lower timeframe, price moved aggressively, leaving behind a clean 1 hour supply zone before it preceded to break structure. Price has currently formed asia session liquidity below this POI that it could use to fuel its move to run the weak low as well as the liquidity below asia low.
EURUSD (Liquidity Pools: A short Explainer)Liquidity Pools: A Short Explainer
A liquidity pool is an area where retail traders have pending buy/sell orders.
MM always needs to pair their buys with someone's sells, and vice versa - they 'engineer' liquidity.
If they want to go long, they create conditions whereby retail traders think the price is going lower.
If they want to go short, they create conditions whereby retail traders think the price is going higher
Price dips into liquidity pool (see the wick)
Reverses
Driving price below the swing low floods the market with liquidity for longs
How?
1. People who are long and have stops --> stops triggered --> stops become market orders to buy
2. Retail traders see 'support breaking' -> open shorts > MM sell their longs to them
Liquidity pool below the swing low
Swing lows & equal lows are high probability long liquidity pools
Market makers will target these price levels knowing
1. Retail traders already long have their stop-losses at/around swing lows
2. Swing lows seen as 'support' by retail traders