EURUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.06200 zone, EURUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.06200 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR
EURJPY bottomed on the 1D MA50. +5.40% upside potential.The EURJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 16 Low. Yesterday it made a Higher Low on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounded. This is identical to the post December 07 2023 Channel Up, which was also supported by its 1D MA50 until its very top (July 11 2024).
The 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals are also similar and even more importantly the Channel Up patterns appear to have a high degree of symmetry. So far the two Bullish Legs have risen by +5.40%.
As a result, we are expecting another +5.40% from yesterday's bottom, so our Target is just below it at 170.000.
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Euro can reach seller zone and then start to decline to 1.0450Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price traded inside the range, where it at once rebounded from the top part and started to decline to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Later, EUR entered to this area, where it reached the bottom part of the range and some time traded near, after which started to grow to the top part of the range. Also, when the price rose, it made a gap and after it reached the top part of the range, the EUR turned around and made impulse down. Price exited from the range broke the 1.0805 resistance level, and continued to decline inside the wedge. In this pattern, the price first rose to the resistance area and tried to break the 1.0805 level, but failed and continued to decline to the 1.0600 current resistance level. Soon, the price broke this level too and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which a not long time ago rebounded up. Now, the price trying to exit from the wedge, so, in my mind, the Euro can reach the seller zone and then turn around and start to decline. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0450 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD strong buy signal if the 4hour MA50 breaks.EURUSD has started trading inside a Channel Up pattern, approaching the 4hour MA50 with its 4hour RSI on the rise.
This is identical to the pattern of late October both on price and RSI terms.
When that pattern finally closed a candle over the 4hour MA50, the price was catapulted to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension (but remained under the 4hour MA200).
As a result, go long if the 4hour MA50 gets crossed and target 1.07550 (Fib 1.618).
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EURUSD: Long term bottom formation. Target 1.09250.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.566, MACD = -0.011, ADX = 28.963) as despite the consolidation since last Thursday, it hasn't yet started to recover. This is however a common price action during bottom formation proccesses (like September and March 2023) and since the 1D RSI is on a bullish divergence (HL), we expect a rally to start soon. In the past rebounds that stopped initially on the HH trendline but for slightly lower risk we are targeting the November 5th High (TP = 1.09250), which started the recent selling.
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EURO - Price can break support level and continue fall in wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price grew inside rising channel, where it at once broke $1.0835 level, after which rose to resistance line.
Also, in channel, price made a gap, after which rose to $1.0935 points and then started to decline.
Euro exited from channel, and continued to decline inside wedge, where it broke $1.0835 level and fell to $1.0680 level.
Price tried to grow, but failed and later broke $1.0680 level too, and continued to decline next to support area.
When price reached this area, which coincided with $1.0530 support level, it bounced and now EUR trades near it.
In my mind, price can grow to resistance line of wedge and then continue to fall to $1.0425, breaking support level.
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Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0550
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0598
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0496
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Potential bullish rise off pullback support?EUR/NOK is reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 38.2% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 11.62697
1st Support: 11.57462
1st Resistance: 11.72053
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.0548
1st Support: 1.0496
1st Resistance: 1.0602
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Outlook: Key Levels and Potential Bearish ContinuationThe EUR/USD chart indicates a bearish outlook, with price currently trading below the pivot line at 1.07719.
Bearish Scenario: If the price remains below 1.07719, further declines are likely toward the support levels at 1.06164 and potentially down to 1.05444. A break below 1.05444 could see the price reaching the next support level at 1.03906.
Bullish Scenario: If the price manages to rise above the pivot line at 1.07719, it may aim for the resistance at 1.09156. A close above this level would suggest a shift toward bullish momentum, with the next target at 1.10050.
Key Levels:
Pivot Point: 1.07719
Resistance Levels: 1.09156, 1.10050
Support Levels: 1.06164, 1.05444, 1.03906
previous idea:
Potential bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.0578
1st Support: 1.0532
1st Resistance: 1.0637
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/JPY Bearish Setup: Supply Zone Rejects, New Lows in Sight!After a significant bearish move, price is consolidating and appears to be respecting the supply zone, suggesting a continuation of the downtrend.
Support Levels:
Immediate target support at 162.263.
Extended target at 160.207.
A potential bearish scenario with price rejecting the supply zone, targeting the mentioned support levels.
Take Profit (TP):
TP1: 162.263 (first support level).
TP2: 160.207 (extended support level).
EURUSD Bottom made. Now rally until end of year.The EURUSD pair eventually fulfilled all of our bearish signals since the September top, with the most recent one (November 11, see chart below) successfully hitting our 1.05300 Target:
We are now shifting to a long-term bullish sentiment after a long time, as the price finally reached the 1.05185 - 1.04500 Support Zone, which is holding for almost 2 years (since early January 2023).
The 1W RSI is virtually identical to the July - September 2023 Bearish Leg, on which we based all of our sell signals, as it was identified from early on that the similarities between the two were strong (1D chart).
Now that the 1.236 Fibonacci extension got hit, we expect the bullish reversal to reach at least the 0.5 Fibonacci level, as it happened on November 20 2023. As a result, our Target is currently 1.09400.
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Falling towards pullback support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0463
1st Support: 1.0325
1st Resistance: 1.0600
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 17/11/24As we head into this week, we maintain a bearish bias on the EUR/USD pair. This aligns with last month’s trend, where we consistently sold this pair to the downside. Without a shift in bias, we expect this bearish momentum to continue.
Looking at the chart, we’ve identified two key areas of interest for potential selling opportunities. First, there’s a short-term high located around the middle of the current range. This is also a 4-hour high that swept previous short-term highs. Above this, we see an area of unmitigated supply that triggered the last major break of structure, along with a liquidity high just above it. If the price pulls back, it could interact with this supply zone and possibly take out the liquidity highs.
However, this pullback would be a counter-trend move. Our primary expectation remains for the price to continue its downward trajectory toward the lows. Last week, the price swept a daily low, highlighted by an arrow on the left-hand side of the screen. This sweep led to a notable upward push, which, while counter-trend, could serve as the catalyst for the pullback we anticipate.
The market open will be interesting to watch. If the price gaps upward, it could indicate an intent to move higher before potentially filling the gap later in the week. This would align with the bearish continuation we’ve forecasted.
Trade safe and stick to your plan.
EURJPY | MarketoutlookThe policy divergence between the US Fed and SNB supports the pair at lower levels.
Jobless claims dropped to 227,000 for the week ending October 19, down from 242,000 the week before, suggesting some stability in the labor market. The four-week moving average rose by 6,750, reaching 231,000, which indicates that jobless claims are still showing fluctuations despite the recent decline.
The S&P Global Flash U.S. Manufacturing PMI increased slightly to 47.8 in October, up from 47.3 in September. However, this still shows that manufacturing activity is contracting for the fourth month in a row. On the other hand, the Flash Services PMI rose to 51.5, indicating modest growth in the services sector, which is important since it makes up a large part of the U.S. economy.
EURGBP Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84100 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD broke 13 month Low! Strong long term buy signal.EURUSD hit yesterday 1.0500, a price we last saw 13 months ago on October 13th 2023.
That is the bottom of the Rectangle pattern and it is technically a rare buy opportunity.
Additionally, it appears to be repeating the bearish wave of July - September 2023, which bottomed on step 4 and rebounded above the 0.618 Fibonacci extension.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.09235 (Fibonacci 0.618).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is on a Rising Support, thus a Bullish Divergence. That is an additional buy signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Euro can exit from pennant and rise to 1.0700 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to range, where it at once fell to the resistance level, which coincided with the bottom part of the range. Then price bounced and in a short time rose to the top part of the range and some time traded near, after which it turned around and started to decline. In a short time price broke the 1.1005 resistance level, exited from range, and continued to decline inside the downward pennant. In this pattern, the EUR reached its current resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then started to grow. Price rose to the resistance line and then made impulse down. Euro broke the 1.0760 level, but tried to back and failed, after which continued to decline to support line of the downward pennant. When the price reached this line it a not long time ago rebounded and now, I think that the Euro can exit from the pennant, make a retest or not, and continue to move up. For this case, I set my TP close current resistance level, at 1.0700 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURGBP to find sellers at market price?EURGBP - Intraday
The primary trend remains bearish.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8338.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look to Sell at 0.8338 (stop at 0.8362)
Our profit targets will be 0.8278 and 0.8268
Resistance: 0.8320 / 0.8345 / 0.8370
Support: 0.8307 / 0.8290 / 0.8260
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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Heading into pullback resistance?EUR/CAD is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.48819
1st Support: 1.47444
1st Resistance: 1.49827
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Outlook: Patience Is Key in Uncertain MarketsThe EUR/USD pair is gaining traction as the US Dollar Index retracts from its peak of 107.06, while the euro rebounded from the 1.0500 level yesterday.
The exchange rate remains within a key demand zone, and as noted previously, a price pullback could occur if it breaches this range, leading to retracement opportunities. Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has remarked that the US economy is performing "remarkably well," which paves the way for a gradual reduction in interest rates.
In contrast, the minutes from the European Central Bank's October Monetary Policy Meeting suggested a growing inclination towards rate cuts, tempered by concerns over domestic inflation.
Today’s release of US Core Retail Sales and overall Retail Sales figures may shed light on the economic outlook. Should the euro continue its upward momentum, traders might contemplate a long position in the upcoming week. Our forecasting model indicates a potential price surge during this period; however, it’s important to recognize that market conditions are influenced by significant movements, including the Trump's rally that has been propelling the DXY to new highs.
Thus, exercise patience before entering any trades is recommended at this stage.
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