EUR-CAD
EURCAD possible scenarios 🦐EURCAD after the test of the weekly support has started a range trading between 2 structures near to a strong monthly trendline (purple one)
According to plancton's strategy we will wait for the break of one of the 2 structures to consider a position in the market.
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Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
EURCAD Facing bullish pressure | 1 July 2021EURCAD holding above long-term ascending trendline support. A break and a close above 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and our entry at 1.47051 will see price possibly push higher towards graphical overlap resistance and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 1.47342. The stochastic indicator is also testing ascending trendline support where price bounced in the past.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
EURCAD approaching Buy Entry | 30th June 2021EURCAD is approaching Buy Entry, in line with 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap support, and moving average support. We could see a bounce and further rise towards Take Profit level, in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and horizontal swing high resistance. Price is also holding above moving average, showing signs of bullish pressure.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
EUR/CAD Analysis Welcome back! Please support this idea with a LIKE if you find it useful.
*** EUR/CAD - Price could potentially break weekly support, or retest previous resistance for a continuation to the downside. We will keep our eyes on the highlighted zones and weekly support, and align our entry criteria rules for a nice short or long opportunity. Be sure to follow your entry criteria rules. If you trade KiSS 2.0, keep your eyes on major technical levels for the best potential trades.
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EURCAD looking up 🦐EURCAD after a long downtrend tested a few times the strong trendline around the 1.47 level.
The market has been trading for a few days between the daily resistance and the support trendline and according to Plancton's strategy if the conditions will be satisfied we can set a nice long order,
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
EURCAD Facing Bullish Pressure | 18 June 2021EURCAD reacted off graphical swing low support. Technical indicators are also showing room for further bullish momentum. Price is now above moving average and MACD looks ready to cross over the 0 line signaling a buildup of bullish pressure. A short-term intraday push above 1.47308 towards Fibonacci confluence zone and graphical overlap resistance at 1.47557 could be possible.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary, and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interest arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.
EURCAD look for an inversion 🦐EURCAD after a long downtrend tested a few times the strong trendline around the 1.47 level.
The market has been trading for a few days between the daily resistance and the support trendline and according to Plancton's strategy if the price will break above and the conditions will be satisfied we can set a nice long order,
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
EURCAD ANALYSISEURCAD broke major downtrendline
Bullish wave (a) ended at level 1.4820
then corrective bearish wave (b) rejected from key level corresponding to 61.8% Fibonacci level at 1.4670
Price is based above HVN at level 1.4715 which indicates that pair is in accumulation phase
Above SMA 100
It's expected forming bullish wave (c) to target level 1.4920
EURCAD potential for further downside Prices are pushing down to make a lower low. If prices break through entry in line with 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and 50% Fibonacci extension fibonacci confluence area, prices might push down further towards horizontal swing low support in line with 100% Fibonacci extension. If prices bounce from fibonacci confluence, prices might push up towards horizontal pullback resistance in line with 61.8% Fibonacci extension. Ichimoku cloud is also above prices, showing a bearish pressure for prices.
CAD - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSFundamental bias: Bullish
1. The Monetary Policy outlook for the BOC
At the April meeting the BOC confirmed market’s speculation that they will start tapering their QE program, and followed through with a CAD1bln reduction per week. The bank also took a hawkish tilt by bringing forward their interest rate hike expectations to 2022 from 2023. The BOC is the first major central bank to step away from the ultra-easy policy put in place due to the pandemic. As long as the virus situation does not deteriorate meaningfully the bank is set to continue normalizing policy and potential hike rates in 2022.
At a press conference this week, Governor Macklem explained that they have taken notice of the recent strength of the CAD. The Governor said that it’s something they are looking at and if the currency moves a lot higher (especially versus the Dollar) it could have ‘a material impact on its outlook and how we set monetary policy’. Even though this doesn’t change the bullish bias for the currency, it does mean that any further appreciation will be watched by the market and could spark some cause for concern. Thus, as a precaution, and alongside the extension of Ontario’s stay-at-home order, we have updated our previous strong bullish bias to bullish.
2. Commodity-linked currency with dependency on Oil exports
Oil staged an unprecedented recovery after hitting rock bottom in 2020. The move higher has been partly driven by (1) supply & demand (OPEC’s production cuts); (2) improving global economic outlook (vaccine roll out and monetary and fiscal stimulus induced recoveries); (3) rising inflation expectations (reflation). Even though further gains will be an uphill battle after the push higher, the bias remains positive in the med-term as long as the supportive factors and drivers remains intact and should be supportive for the CAD in the med-term.
3. Developments surrounding the global risk outlook.
As a high-beta currency, CAD has benefited from the market's improving risk outlook over recent months as participants moved out of safe-havens and into riskier, higher-yielding assets. Also, as a pro-cyclical currency, the CAD enjoyed upside alongside other cyclical assets after moving into an early post-recession recovery phase with expectations of global synchronized recovery. Even though the risks remain surrounding the virus and thus global economic outlook, the success of the global vaccination roll out should prove supportive for the CAD. Some participants have recently flagged that the recent appreciation of the CAD does look stretched, especially with the CFTC positioning in mind as well. That doesn’t change the bias of course, but it’s something to consider.
EURCAD potential for further upside! | 11th June 2021EURCAD is facing bullish pressure from ascending trendline support in line with 50% Fiboancci extension and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement . Prices might push up towards horizontal swing high resistance in line with 127.2% Fibonacci extension and 78.6% Fibonacci retracement . If prices push down further, prices might take support on horizontal swing low support in line with 50% Fibonacci extension and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement . MACD is also showing a bullish signal with the signal line below the MACD line.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed on the website.