EURCAD has not much strength but wants to climbMy Marketmiracle advisor generated an input signal for EURCAD at a price of 1.476860 with a target of 1.484264 for a profit of 0.50%
What I immediately noticed is that the Marketsentiment is heavily negative so I expect that despite the pressure on the market is LONG the cross rises in price but does the essential without too many leaps of joy.
The one described on the graph is the behavior I expect to see in the next few days.
The idea is supported by others that see appreciation of EUR and depreciation of CAD
This idea is based on a signal generated by the advisor Marketmiracle, down on this page you will find the link to the page of signals of the advisor that you can see for free without any cost or registration
EUR-CAD
💡Don't miss the great buy opportunity in EURCAD
Trading suggestion:
". There is a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested support line (1.46934).
. if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. EURCAD is in a range bound and the beginning of uptrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 59.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.47855
TP2= @ 1.48397
TP3= @ 1.48955
TP4= @ 1.49463
TP5= @ 1.50572
SL= Break below S2
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EURCAD a bear continuation? 🦐EURCAD broke below the 1.47500 area and now is ranging between the resistance and a minor support.
According to Plancton's strategy if the price will break below we will set a nice short order.
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
EUR/CAD breaking a channel lineThe pair is breaking through a strong resistance line, which has been retested several times in the last weeks. A possible positive movement is expected. Take your profits at the shown levels.
TP1: 1.47880
TP2: 1.48430
For the idea, I am using a 4h time frame. I believe in bigger time frames, as they prove to show more stable results.
Please like and follow, if you like my ideas
Good Luck and Good Trades
Double Tap With Weekly Key Level Setup This is a major key level set up With the weekly level being the star of the show this week. I am looking for either a pullback off this level that will be bullish of course. Or a smaller pullback that could lead to a continuation further down.
My bias? This is about to be a reversal. We already reached this area on March 31st. Now we have returned. This could be a double-tap move for the bull run. We'll have to watch it and see.
BULL TPS:
• 1.47951
• 1.48377
• 1.49166
BEAR TPS:
• 1.46560
• 1.45902
EUR/CAD - Break of Market Structure What Is The Market Telling Us?
Price has been in major downtrend since 21st April
Break of market structure occured (BMS), pushing price downwards
Price is currently forming a retracement phase before bearish impulse
What are Market Participants Doing?
89% of retail traders are long, meaning instituions are still shorting this pair
Smart money report (banks & institutions) show over a 90% consumption on EUR shorts
20,000 lots on EUR has been added to the short side
May Be A Pullback Before A Bullish ContinuationLooks like a correction is happening before we continue the bull run with this pair. I missed the move paying attention due to watching higher volume pairs, But will keep an eye on it this week from here on out. When this pair moves, it MOVES. So here are the TPS I want to see the price complete when it makes a full decision where it's going.
BULL TPS
1.49803
1.50555
1.52001
BEAR TPS
1.48504
1.48060
1.47507
-
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in EURCADTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (1.50258).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. EURCAD is in a downtrend and the continuation of downtrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 39.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.49565
TP2= @ 1.49176
TP3= @ 1.48679
TP4= @ 1.48014
TP5= @ 1.47239
SL: Break Above R2
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💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in EURCADTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to suggested resistance line (1.50258).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. EURCAD is in a downtrend and the continuation of downtrend is expected.
. The price is above the 21-Day WEMA which acts as a dynamic support.
. The RSI is at 39.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 1.49565
TP2= @ 1.49176
TP3= @ 1.48679
TP4= @ 1.48014
TP5= @ 1.47239
SL: Break Above R2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated!❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex trader?
Now, It's your turn!
Be sure to leave a comment let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
EUR: Current Sentiment DriversLatest Developments:
April 26 – Spain’s coronavirus cases increased to 3,488,469 (+6,500) while Italian cases increased to 3,971,108 (+8,438) and French cases increased to 5,503,996 (+5,952).
April 22 – At their April meeting, the ECB kept all three key rates unchanged as expected. Additionally, President Lagarde confirmed that the central bank had not discussed any phasing out of the bond buying programme as it would be premature, adding that the economy is still “clouded with uncertainty.”
March 17 – Final HICP for February remained unchanged from January at 0.9% Y/Y; although, Core HICP was confirmed at 1.1%, compared to January’s 1.4%.
March 9 – Revised GDP for Q4 printed at -0.7% Q/Q and -4.9% Y/Y compared to -0.6% Q/Q and -5.0% Y/Y for the flash estimates.
February 1 – Europe’s Unemployment Rate for December remained unchanged at 8.3%.
Future Sentiments Shifts:
EUR’s outlook remains highly dependant on the coronavirus outbreak and Europe’s economic outlook.
Concerns over Europe’s coronavirus outlook have risen since late last year, with many countries now suffering second waves and re implementing lockdowns. Although countries appear better equipped compared to their initial outbreaks, Europe’s coronavirus outlook poses significant downside risks to their economies. Additionally, although the EU is rolling out a vaccine programme, it has faced several obstacles and widespread criticism.
All in all, while coronavirus concerns remain high in Europe, risks for EUR will be to the downside, especially when compared to the currencies of countries that are managing their outbreaks and vaccine rollouts more effectively.
Primary Drivers:
European Central Bank – Europe’s monetary policy outlook remains key to EUR’s fundamental outlook. EUR is likely to be supported when the ECB holds a hawkish stance and begin tightening policy, but come under pressure when the central bank holds a dovish stance and is expected to ease policy.
Month End Flows – During the last few trading days of every month, EUR is usually influenced by month end flows as banks and institutions rebalance their books and settle transactions. Although not always the case, more often than not, month end flows tend to be EUR positive especially against GBP.
USD –EURUSD is the most traded currency pair in the world, making up 24% of daily forex trades according to the Bank of International Settlements (BIS). As such, movements in USD often influence EUR, with EUR weakening when USD strengthens and EUR strengthening when USD weakens.
EUR - FUNDAMENTAL DRIVERSFUNDAMENTAL BIAS: WEAK BEARISH
1. Virus Situation
The outlook for EUR remains tied to the EU's ability to overcome its coronavirus pandemic. At present, the outlook appears bleak when we only consider the virus cases, with many European countries entering third waves and reinstating or prolonging economically damaging lockdown restrictions. However, the vaccinations roll out has seen some improvement recently and with the number of doses expected to ramp up substantially in May the outlook from a virus point of view is starting to look better.
2. The Monetary Policy outlook for the ECB
Even though the FED and BOE are nowhere close to hawkish, they are far less dovish than the ECB, who has decided to front-load asset purchases to keep EU bond yields from rising too fast. The string of contradicting comments also shows a possible growing rift among the GC which could prove problematic when it comes to potentially altering policy in the months ahead. The bank remains one of the most bearish members, but the continued battle between the hawks and doves has seen some participants starting to abandon their dovish stance on the bank and is starting to consider whether tapering might be closer than previously thought.
3. The country’s economic developments
The vaccination roll out and additional lockdowns has weighed on EU growth prospects, with growth differentials for the EU versus the US and UK widening. Fiscal support is another factor where the EU Recovery Fund is yet to be ratified while the US and UK have both rolled out additional stimulus and plans more in the months ahead (US). Having said that, the recent economic data such as PMI’s suggest the hit to the economy from the most recent lockdowns has not been as bad as previously feared and we have heard plenty of participants have started to position themselves for a recovery in the Eurozone. As a result, we have adjusted our bias for the EUR from Bearish to Weak Bearish.
EUR: Current Sentiment DriversLatest Developments:
April 20 – Spain’s coronavirus cases increased to 3,435,840 (+7,486) while Italian cases increased to 3,891,055 (+12,066) and French cases increased to 5,339,320 (+42,498).
March 17 – Final HICP for February remained unchanged from January at 0.9% Y/Y; although, Core HICP was confirmed at 1.1%, compared to January’s 1.4%.
March 11 – At their March meeting, the ECB kept all three key rated unchanged as expected, and although the size of PEPP and APP remain unchanged, the ECB stated that purchases under PEPP in the next quarter are to be conducted at a significantly higher pace.
March 9 – Revised GDP for Q4 printed at -0.7% Q/Q and -4.9% Y/Y compared to -0.6% Q/Q and -5.0% Y/Y for the flash estimates.
February 1 – Europe’s Unemployment Rate for December remained unchanged at 8.3%.
Future Sentiments Shifts:
EUR’s outlook remains highly dependant on the coronavirus outbreak and Europe’s economic outlook.
Concerns over Europe’s coronavirus outlook have risen since late last year, with many countries now suffering second waves and re implementing lockdowns. Although countries appear better equipped compared to their initial outbreaks, Europe’s coronavirus outlook poses significant downside risks to their economies. Additionally, although the EU is rolling out a vaccine programme, it has faced several obstacles and widespread criticism.
All in all, while coronavirus concerns remain high in Europe, risks for EUR will be to the downside, especially when compared to the currencies of countries that are managing their outbreaks and vaccine rollouts more effectively.
Primary Drivers:
European Central Bank – Europe’s monetary policy outlook remains key to EUR’s fundamental outlook. EUR is likely to be supported when the ECB holds a hawkish stance and begin tightening policy, but come under pressure when the central bank holds a dovish stance and is expected to ease policy.
Month End Flows – During the last few trading days of every month, EUR is usually influenced by month end flows as banks and institutions rebalance their books and settle transactions. Although not always the case, more often than not, month end flows tend to be EUR positive especially against GBP.
USD –EURUSD is the most traded currency pair in the world, making up 24% of daily forex trades according to the Bank of International Settlements (BIS). As such, movements in USD often influence EUR, with EUR weakening when USD strengthens and EUR strengthening when USD weakens.
EUR CAD SELL (EURO - CANADIAN DOLLAR)1. The BOC has been one of the least dovish central banks among the majors for the past couple of months, and in March, after a batch of much better than expect economic data the banks announced a discontinuation of their market functioning purchase programs in March, which saw participants expecting the bank to taper their QE program at the April meeting.
2. Even though the virus situation saw some participants getting cold feet about the bank moving forward with tapering the bank came out much more hawkish than was expected at their meeting today by doing all that was expected (tapering QE, upgrading growth outlook) and also brought forward their first interest rate hike expectation to 2022 from 2023, which is the first central bank among the majors to normalize policy and confirm market expectations for faster normalization (bullish for the CAD).
3. Compared to the EUR where the fundamental bias is still tilted to the downside based on a couple of various factors.
Trade risks:
1. Any major negative catalyst which sparks big risk off flows in the market would be a big risk for the CAD as it could affect it negatively from a high beta point of view.
2. Any sudden deterioration in oil prices could also impact the CAD, so tomorrow’s climate summit will be important to keep on the radar (more med term also keeping the Iran nuclear deal in focus as well).
3. Continued USD weakness even though this should arguably be more positive for both the EUR and CAD, the EUR’s sensitivity to the dollar has once again made itself visible in the past few weeks, lending a hand to the EUR pushing higher, so any further strong moves lower in the USD could favour the UER more than the CAD.
EURCAD LONG: Back to the 1.51800 area and beyondEURCAD could potentially move back to the 1.51800 area (and beyond) if the Demand zone, which was tested once before, holds for the second time around the 1.50700/800 area.
A potential confirmation that the Demand zone would hold would be a combination of bullish price action (candlestick) and a relative increase in Volume (bullish pressure).
Today is also a day full of CAD economic news, the CPI will be released around 2:30pm (CEST) and the BOC Monetary Report will be released at 4pm. High volatility is expected.
EURCAD for a lower low 🦐EURCAD is moving inside a descending channel.
The market after the test of the trendline is now approaching the support area and according to Plancton's strategy is the market will break below we will set a nice short order.
--––
Follow the Shrimp 🦐
Keep in mind.
🟣 Purple structure -> Monthly structure.
🔴 Red structure -> Weekly structure.
🔵 Blue structure -> Daily structure.
🟡 Yellow structure -> 4h structure.
⚫️ Black structure -> <4h structure.
Here is the Plancton0618 technical analysis , please comment below if you have any question.
The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the Plancton0618 strategy will trigger.
EURCAD facing bearish pressure, potential for further downside!Price has just seen a bearish breakout from the ascending trendline support-turned-resistance, and is now holding below the descending trendline resistance. We could potentially see further downside below the 1st resistance, in line with our 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fibonacci extension and horizontal pullback resistance, towards our 1st support, in line with 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and 100% Fibonacci extension. MACD is also holding below the 0 line, in line with our analysis.
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