EURCAD: Support breakout, continuation following retest?We can see that EURCAD has been on a downtrend since the last week of August.
With Oil prices rising I think the fundamentals for the Canadian Dollar continue to look good, the EURO on the other hand doesn't have much going for it.
I have noted a break through support and looking for a short any time soon, there's minor support at 1.402 which will be my target, however I think this won't put up too much of a fight and we'll be down around 1.375 soon.
EUR-CAD
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.43900 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a consolidation phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.43900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD At a tipping point. Trade according to this Support Zone.The EURCAD pair has been decreasing since the August 30 High that formed the 1.48250 Resistance (1). Being below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the long-term outlook looks bearish, considering also the fact that we may have completed a huge Head and Shoulders pattern since December.
However, the price is decelerating the downtrend as it approaches the 1.42850 - 1.42400 Support Zone (1 & 2), so as long as it holds, we will be bullish short-term targeting the Symmetrical Resistance Zone at 1.46000. If the price breaks below Support 2 (1.42400) we will instead sell and target 1.40250, which would be a -5.50% decline from the August 30 High. Both targets are respectively on the top (Lower Highs trend-line) and bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of a potential Channel Down pattern that might emerge if the Head and Shoulders prevail.
Note that the 1D RSI is currently oversold, which currently favors the bullish case.
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EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.44500 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.44500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD broke and closed below a support of a horizontal range
and a rising trend line.
The violation of both horizontal and vertical key structures is an important sign
of strength of the sellers.
The prices may go much lower now.
Next support - 1.4505
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EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.46400 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.46400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.47300 zone, EURCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.47300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Trade report of 21-8The news from the beginning of this week:
The dollar is still considered the pillar of the post-war world monetary order. The Brics, who meet in South Africa next week, believe the currency gives the US disproportionate power.
The European economy has not entered a recession. In the second quarter, the combined gross domestic product (GDP) of the twenty countries whose currency is the euro grew by 0.3% compared to the first quarter. This is evident from the latest figures from the European statistical office Eurostat.
Onze acties:
EURGBP : the pair moves in a channel. At the moment the rating system is still called these scores: total score -3, Cot Data 0, Retail sentiment 0, Seasonality 1, Trend reading -2, GDP Growth 1, Inflation -1, Unemployment -1, Interest Rates -1.
We have placed a buy with 0.85925 with a target of 0.86570.
USDCAD : Our rating system gives a nice score and on a weekly basis there is also more in this. Score +6 when adding the following data Cot Data 0, Retail sentiment 1, Seasonality 1, Trend reading 2, GDP Growth 1, Inflation -1, Unemployment 1, Interest Rates 1. We put a buy at 1.35695 with sl at 1.35225.
EURCAD Secondary bullish wave ahead.The EURCAD pair is consolidating on the 1D time-frame above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This analysis is basically an update on July's pull-back buy idea (see chart below):
The price is now entering the secondary bullish wave of this sequence, continuing to mirror the February - April fractal. However, we do have to lower our final target to 1.50190, which is the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, as the current sequence appears to be shorter than the one of February - April.
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EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.47700 zone, EURCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.47700 resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD Sell Short Term In this trading analysis, we will provide insights into the prevailing short-term bearish bias for the EUR/CAD currency pair. We will focus on the fundamental factors that contribute to the Canadian Dollar (CAD) strength and the support from rising oil prices. Additionally, considering that an open sell position on this pair is already established, we will assess the potential for further downside movement.
Technical Analysis Update:
a) Continuation of Downtrend:
The EUR/CAD pair has been in a downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows on the price chart. As the sell position has already been initiated, the technical analysis indicates that the downtrend is likely to continue, given the established bearish momentum.
b) Moving Averages:
The 50-day and 100-day moving averages are sloping downward, reinforcing the bearish bias. Additionally, the current price remains below these moving averages, which suggests a continuation of the downtrend.
c) Resistance Turned Support:
Previously established resistance levels may now act as support zones for the EUR/CAD pair. Traders should closely monitor these levels as potential areas for price reversals or profit-taking points.
Fundamental Analysis Update:
a) Canadian Dollar (CAD) Strength:
Strong Economic Indicators:
The Canadian economy has shown resilience, with positive economic data such as robust GDP growth, strong employment figures, and a rebound in manufacturing and export sectors. These indicators have boosted confidence in the CAD and attracted investors seeking higher returns.
Hawkish Monetary Policy:
The Bank of Canada (BoC) has taken a more hawkish stance, signaling potential interest rate hikes to combat surging inflation. Such a policy outlook tends to bolster the CAD's attractiveness to investors.
b) Rising Oil Prices:
Positive Impact on Canadian Economy:
Canada is a major oil exporter, and rising crude oil prices have a significant positive impact on the country's economy. The surge in oil prices can lead to increased export revenue, strengthen the Canadian trade balance, and support the CAD's value.
Correlation with CAD Strength:
Historically, there has been a positive correlation between oil prices and the Canadian Dollar. As oil prices rise, the CAD tends to appreciate due to Canada's strong economic ties to the energy sector.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the trading analysis supports the continuation of the short-term bearish bias for the EUR/CAD currency pair. The technical indicators signal a continuation of the established downtrend, and the fundamental factors, including CAD strength driven by strong economic indicators and hawkish monetary policy, as well as the support from rising oil prices, reinforce the negative outlook for the EUR/CAD.
Given the open sell position on the pair, traders should continue to monitor the technical and fundamental developments closely. Adjustments to stop-loss levels and profit-taking points can be considered to manage risk effectively. As always, prudent risk management strategies are crucial in forex trading to mitigate potential losses and maximize gains.
Levels discussed during the webinar 8th August8th August 2023
DXY: break above 102.40 to trade higher toward 102.80 resistance
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6050 SL 20 TP 60
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6510 SL 25 TP 45
USDJPY: Buy 143.20 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.27 SL 25 TP 90
EURUSD: Sell 1.0960 SL 20 TP 40
USDCHF: Wait, look for reaction along 0.88
USDCAD: Sell 1.3360 SL 30 TP 60
Gold: break 1930, below 1929, could see 1924
EURCAD to 1.49 at least this weekExpecting further upside this week on EURCAD
Last week closed strong bullish to setup this week
Classic break and retest set up of 1.46 key level and 1.45 daily pivot area (79% retracement)
Looking to enter on start of week retracement with stops below 1.45 invalidation area
Targets at 1.49-1.50
Follow for more
EURCAD: Double Bottom Surge! Watch Out for Key News TodayHello, Traders!
We're seeing an optimistic market scenario unfold with the recent double-bottom confirmation on the 4-hour timeframe for our pair. It strongly indicates a potential upward swing, and we may see levels rising to 1.477 and above. Coupled with the overall bullish market direction, this aligns perfectly with our trading predictions.
Today, the market's pulse will be determined by key economic events and news. Noteworthy among these are:
The Bank of England Minutes and Monetary Policy Report.
BoE's Interest Rate Decision and Governor Bailey's speech.
US Challenger Job Cuts and Initial Jobless Claims for July.
USD Nonfarm Productivity for Q2 and ISM Services PMI for July.
These are crucial market influencers and can cause quick price fluctuations. Keep an eye on these indicators and stay prepared to adapt your positions accordingly.
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.46600 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.46600 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.46700 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.46700 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD Daily still uptrend.This should be pullback to go higher?
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
The author/producer of these content shall not and will not be responsible for any form of financial/physical/assets losses incurred from trades executed from the derived conclusion of the individual from these content shared.
Thank you, and please do your due diligence before any putting on any trades!
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.45300 zone, EURCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently we are waiting for a correction in order to see a potential retrace of the trend towards more lows.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD SHORT/SELL
🔰 Pair Name : EUR/CAD
🔰 Time Frame : 4H
🔰 Scale Type : MID Scale
🔰 Direction : SHORT/SELL
📈 EURCAD Technical Analysis Update 📉
Greetings, fellow traders! 🤝 Today, we delve into the technical aspects of EURCAD on the TradingView chart.
Over the past year, EURCAD has been maintaining a monthly uptrend since July 2022. However, starting from April 2023, the pair reached its 5th wave high and has since been exhibiting signs of a shift towards the downside.
Notably, during the period between mid-June and mid-July, EURCAD successfully retested the 23.6% Fibonacci level following a robust daily breakout, creating a notable market imbalance below.
At the onset of this week, the price demonstrated fresh key highs and formed two compelling daily bearish pin bars after filling approximately 50% of the market imbalance above.
In our professional assessment, it is highly likely that the price will embark on a downward journey to retest the market imbalance left below, aiming to reach the 1.442 level. This move could potentially lead to a decisive breakout of the current uptrend channel.
Our vision for EURCAD entails a minimum target of 1.442, followed by 1.43242, as it progresses through the selling liquidity collection phase.
Keep a vigilant watch on the evolving price action, and may the markets favor your trading endeavors! 🌟 #EURCAD #TechnicalAnalysis #ForexTradingView