Gartley on EURCHF 4hIt has not been a good run for the last couple of patterns, but nonetheless one should keep trying...
Here this one, where PA has already pierced the zone but no bar has closed inside yet, so I'll keep an eye on it.
Entry: 1.12875
SL: 1.12610
TP1: 1.13103 (.386AD 1.33 RR)
TP2: 1.13281 (.618AD 2.15 RR)
No Limit Orders, but waiting for PA movements on the zone (if he wants to go there).
Eur-chf
GBPJPY Approaching Support, Potential BounceGBPJPY is approaching its support at 142.53 (61.8% & 100% Fibonacci extension , 76.4% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing low support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 145.50 (100% Fibonacci extension , 50% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 1.7% and there is bullish divergence with price where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Gold remains just shy to hit $1246/50 levels!Gold might be unfolding into its last wave at a lower degree at this point, and prices might be hitting $1246/50 anytime soon. The metal is trading around $1241 levels at this point in time and looks like its into a sideways movement at a lower degree before it bursts higher to $1246/50 levels. Looking into the wave structure though, Gold is still working on a higher degree Wave C, within an A-B-C corrective rally that began from $1160 levels earlier. Immediate resistance is seen through $1246 while support is seen at $1216 respectively. Ideally, prices would stay above $1228 levels to keep the impulse structure at the lower degree intact. Overall, the short to medium term outlook remains bullish .
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Dow Jones recumes Wave (3) lower?The Dow Jones might have terminated Wave (2) just short of 26300 levels yesterday, as expected and discussed earlier. It reversed sharply giving in almost 800 points after that and it could be possible that Wave (3) lower might have begun already. Looking at the structure now, the Dow has unfolded into 5 waves from 26950 through 24100 levels respectively, labelled as Wave (1). Furthermore, Wave (2) terminated at 26000 levels as a running flat A-B-C as presented on the chart here. If the above structure holds to be true, prices should remain below 26000 levels going forward, and push lower below 23000 levels as Wave (3) unfolds into 5 waves. Please also note that the drop could be very quick as the 3rd of 3rd wave unfolds. Overall, it is safe to remain short and add further against 26300 levels.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
EURCHF Approaching Support, Potential BounceEURCHF is approaching its support at 1.1257 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, Horizontal swing low support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 1.1307 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (21, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 6,1%, where a corresponding bounce could occur.
XAUUSD Approaching Resistance, Potential ReversalXAUUSD is approaching its resistance at 1239.73 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) where it could potentially reverse down to its support at 1213.26 (50% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (89, 5, 3) is approaching its resistance at 97% where a corresponding reversal could occur.
Dow Jones completes a running flat at 26000 levels?The Dow Jones has reversed sharply after testing 26000 levels recently, in line with the discussions held since last several trading sessions. Looking at the higher degree wave counts, it is becoming clear that after having produced Wave (1) impulse between 26950 and 24100 levels, the indice might have carved a 3-3-5 running flat corrective structure labelled as A-B-C on the charts presented here. If the above structure holds true and that Wave (2) terminated at 26000 levels, we could witness a sharp decline as Wave (3) unfolds itself. Please also note that if Wave (2) is in place, prices should stay below 26000 levels going forward, unless the structure is changing. A safe trading strategy could be to remain short for now and look to add fresh short positions on intraday rallies, with risk above 26000 levels and potential reward below 23000 levels respectively.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Extreme trader sentiment points to possible EURCHF downtrendThe Trend Follower Strategy has just sold EURCHF at 1.13234. The system recommends entering this trade at any price between 1.13126 and 1.13342. The signal was issued because our Speculative Sentiment Index is extremely negative, with a value of 1.51974. This suggests that the EURCHF could be trending downwards.The 14-period Average True Range on a daily chart is 0.00433, so the stop loss has been set at 1.13667. This stop loss order is a trailing stop that will move down as the market moves down. There is no profit target for this strategy. We expect to be closed by the stop loss.Trend Follower is a trend trading strategy that aims to buy and hold rising currency pairs and to sell short and hold falling currency pairs. The strategy looks to buy when the Speculative Sentiment Index is below -1.5, and looks to short when it is above +1.5.
Signal ID: 60433
Time Issued: Wednesday, 05 December 2018 07:00:15 GMT
Status: open
Entry: 1.13126 - 1.13342
Limit: N/A
Stop Loss: 1.13667
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EURCHF ShortRecent dovish tone of ECB President Draghi and last week's disappointing PMI continue to push EUR pairs down in general, while CHF will gain traction as long as equities remain bearish.
Continue shorting this pair but must watch for signs of reversal near 1.125 (prev. pd 100 fib level in hourly chart). Next TP is @1.12 (61.8 fib level both in weekly and daily charts, 100 fib level in hourly chart), with SL @1.13 (few pips above 0 fib level).
Daily:
Weekly:
Confidence: B (EUR pairs are already starting to be oversold, so much watch out for any signs of rally soon. Also need to close any EUR open positions before CPI news)
USDJPY Testing Support, Potential BounceUSDJPY is testing its support at 113.16 (50% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal overlap support) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 113.55 (61.8% Fibonacci extension , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ).
Stochastic (34, 5, 3) is approaching its support at 4.8% where a corresponding bounce could occur.
Dow Jones clears 25500 levels. Pullback ahead?The Dow Jones managed to push through its immediate price resistance at 25500 levels on Friday. It is seen to be trading around 25520 levels (spot), and could be ready for a pullback towards 24800/900 levels going forward. Looking at a higher degree wave structure, after having produced a 5 wave drop from 26950 towards 24100 levels, the Dow is unfolding into a corrective structure as potential Wave (2), before Wave (3) drop continues. Please also note that Wave (2) might have terminated at 26300 levels, or it could still be unfolding as a complex correction and could re-test 26300/400 before resuming lower again. In either case, we could see prices staying below 26950 levels as Dow Jones remains bearish in the medium term. It could be a safe strategy to remain short for now, with risk above 26950 levels and potential target below 23000.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
Gold short term target towards $1246 levelsGold is seen to be trading around $1231 levels for now, after carving a higher low at $1216 levels earlier. The metal looks to be pushing towards $1246 mark as highlighted on the 4H chart presented here, in the short term. Looking at a higher degree wave structure, Gold looks to be producing a corrective rally A-B-C since printing lows at $1160 levels earlier. Furthermore, please note that waves A and B were terminated at $1243/44 and $1195/96 levels respectively. If the above wave counts hold, we could see Wave C unfolding at this moment and pushing towards $1246/50 and $1270 levels going forward. Immediate price support comes in at $1216, followed by $1210 levels respectively.
Disclaimer:
This written/visual material is comprised of personal opinions and ideas. The content should not be construed as containing any type of investment advice and/or a solicitation for any transactions. It does not imply an obligation to purchase investment services, nor does it guarantee or predict future performance. FXTM, its affiliates, agents, directors, officers or employees do not guarantee the accuracy, validity, timeliness or completeness of any information or data made available and assume no liability for any loss arising from any investment based on the same.
NZDUSD Approaching Resistance, Potential ReversalNZDUSD is approaching resistance at 0.6923 (100% Fibonacci extension, 50 & 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing high resistance), where it could potentially reverse down to its support at 0.6765 (100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support). Stochastic is approaching its resistance at 97% where a corresponding reversal could occur.
EURCHF appears overboughtThe Congestion Opportunities Strategy has just sold EURCHF at 1.13434. The system recommends entering this trade at any price between 1.13326 and 1.13542. The signal was issued because the 28-hour Relative Strength Index indicates that the EURCHF may be overbought, while the Speculative Sentiment Index reading of 1.0009 indicates that trader sentiment is not at extremes.The 14-period Average True Range on a daily chart is 0.00433, so the stop loss has been set at 1.13867. This stop loss order is a trailing stop that will move down as the market moves down. There is no profit target for this strategy. We expect to be closed by the stop loss.Congestion Opportunities is a range trading strategy that aims to sell overbought currency pairs and to buy oversold currency pairs. The strategy will only trade when the Speculative Sentiment Index for that currency pair is between -1.5 and +1.5. Limiting range trading in this way has shown in the past to significantly raise the probability of successful range trades.
Signal ID: 60323
Time Issued: Thursday, 29 November 2018 17:00:15 GMT
Status: open
Entry: 1.13326 - 1.13542
Limit: N/A
Stop Loss: 1.13867
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.
78.58% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.
You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
EURCHF SHORT TRADE SETUPOn the daily timeframe, price reversed from a weekly resistance (also neckline of higher timeframe H&S pattern) that lined up with the 3rd rejection of descending trend line and broke out of an ascending trendline.
Currently, the price is making a pullback to retest the broken ascending trend line which also lined up with minor resistance zone, 50.0 Fib ratio, and moving averages.
Once price reached and reversed from our confluence level, we will able to go short on this pair after a proper breakout of our Counter Trend Line (CTL).
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