Sell Signal📉 EURUSD Sell Signal 📉
🔹 Wait for the best candle formation before entering the sell trade! Risk management is crucial.
🔹 The 1.04980 resistance zone is considered as the entry point.
🔹 Stop-loss is set at 1.05355 to minimize potential risks.
🔹 Target levels:
✅ First target: 1.04658
✅ Second target: 1.04133
⚠️ Always manage your risk! Make sure to get additional confirmations before entering the trade.
EUR (Euro)
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/GBP is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8318
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8353
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8264
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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EURJPY forming a bottom?EURJPY - 24h expiry
Posted a Bullish Hammer Bottom on the 4 hour chart.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 156.97 level.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Buy at 156.75 (stop at 155.72)
Our profit targets will be 159.47 and 160.55
Resistance: 159.10 / 160.55 / 162.00
Support: 154.40 / 151.10 / 149.30
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURUSD Will it follow Trump's 1st Term??The EURUSD pair made a market bottom on January 13 2025 and in recent trade, it has been consolidating above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). Interestingly enough, this is so far similar to the price action that preceded and followed Trump's 1st Term.
A 1D Death Cross took the market from the November 2016 elections to the January 2017 bottom. After a 1D RSI Double Top and Resistance rejection, the pair dropped again below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but recovered to reach the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) in end of March 2017 and initiate an aggressive Channel Up that peaked on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension from the September 2016 High.
If EURUSD continues to replicate Trump's Year 1 of his 1st Term, it is possible to see the price reach 1.19000 by the end of 2025, although of course we can't rely solely on repetitive patterns, but have to go along macro reports and policies one at a time.
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Ascending Channel on EURNZD, Potential Bullish ContinuationTechnical analysis involves studying price action and identifying patterns that provide insights into potential future movements. One common pattern is the ascending channel, where price consistently makes higher highs and higher lows within two parallel trendlines. This pattern suggests an ongoing uptrend as buyers remain in control.
On the EURNZD daily chart, price is currently rebounding from the lower boundary of an ascending channel, marked by multiple previous bounces (blue arrows). The upper boundary has acted as resistance (red arrows), leading to price pullbacks each time it was tested.
Key Levels:
Support Zone: 1.8150 – 1.8100 (Lower boundary of the channel)
Immediate Resistance: 1.8400 – 1.8500 (Mid-channel and previous price congestion area)
Major Resistance: 1.8800 – 1.9000 (Upper boundary of the channel)
Trading Plan: Potential Entry & Stop-Loss Strategy
Entry Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: Buy near 1.8150 – 1.8200 (current support) with confirmation of bullish candlestick formation (e.g., bullish engulfing, pin bar).
Conservative Entry: Wait for price to reclaim 1.8300 – 1.8350 as confirmation of bullish momentum.
Stop-Loss Placement:
Below the recent low at 1.8100, allowing room for volatility.
Take Profit Targets:
First Target (Short-Term): 1.8400 – 1.8500 (mid-channel resistance).
Final Target (Medium-Term): 1.8800 – 1.9000 (upper channel boundary).
Risk Management & Considerations
If price breaks below 1.8100, this would invalidate the ascending channel setup, signaling a possible trend reversal.
Watch for confirmation signals like increased volume and strong bullish momentum before entering a trade.
If price rejects mid-channel resistance, consider adjusting stop-loss to breakeven and securing partial profits.
Overall, this setup presents a bullish opportunity with a well-defined risk-to-reward ratio as long as price respects the lower boundary of the ascending channel.
Potential bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has bounced off the pivot which is a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0402
1st Support: 1.0293
1st Resistance: 1.0601
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0419
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 1.0373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0508
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD 24-28 Feb 2025 W9 - Weekly Analysis - US GDP / PCE Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 24-28 Feb 2025 W9 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
Weekly Chart Analysis
Daily Chart Analysis
4H Chart Analysis
Economic Events for the Week
Market Sentiment
Inflation Data Dominates
Hotter-than-expected U.S. CPI/PPI initially fueled inflation fears, but signs of moderation in underlying PPI components raised hopes for softer PCE data next week.
Investors see a growing chance of Fed rate cuts in late 2025, limiting USD strength.
Tariff Noise vs. Market Calm
Trump’s tariff threats (e.g., reciprocal steel/aluminum duties) were largely dismissed as negotiation tactics, easing fears of an immediate trade war.
Markets expect delays in implementation, reducing near-term volatility.
Geopolitical Progress Supports Risk Sentiment
Reports of progress in Ukraine-Russia peace talks (e.g., territory swaps) reduced safe-haven demand for the USD, indirectly boosting the Euro.
Stabilizing energy prices and supply chains further supported the Eurozone outlook.
Central Bank Divergence
The Fed remains cautious, emphasizing data dependency, while the ECB signals potential rate cuts later in 2025.
Short-term EUR resilience stems from reduced trade-war risks and improving Eurozone economic data.
Focus on Upcoming Catalysts
This week PCE inflation report (Fed’s preferred gauge) will test disinflation optimism.
Weak U.S. retail sales/industrial production amplified concerns about slowing growth, weighing on the USD.
Key Takeaways
Bullish Drivers:
Progress in geopolitical tensions.
Softening inflation expectations ahead of PCE data.
Tariffs seen as negotiation tools, not immediate threats.
Bearish Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
Overall Sentiment:
Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD this week, with upside hinging on sustained risk appetite and confirmation of disinflation trends.
Weekly Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹Internal Bearish (Pullback Phase)
🔹In Swing Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹INT structure continuing bearish with iBOS following the Bearish Swing. (End of 2023 till end of 2024 was a pullback phase after the first bearish iBOS)
3️⃣
🔹After the bearish iBOS we expect a pullback, price tapped into Monthly Demand and the liquidity below Nov 2022 which is above the weekly demand formed with the initiation of the bearish iBOS pullback phase.
🔹Price made a bullish CHoCH which indicated that the liquidity was enough as per previous weeks analysis to initiate a pullback phase for the bearish iBOS.
🔹Price pulled back after the Bullish CHoCH to the Weekly Demand formed and showed reaction after volatile week.
🔹With the previous week solid Bullish close, the Demand did hold and there is a high probability that price could continue Bullish to facilitate the INT structure pullback phase.
🔹If price to continue Bullish, price will be targeting the liquidity above Dec 2024, INT Structure EQ (50%) at 1.06933 to target the Weekly Supply in premium before continuing down to target the Weak INT Low.
🔹Expectations is for price to continue Bullish if it managed to break 1.05333 27 Jan High to facilitate the INT structure pullback.
Daily Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bearish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Continuation Phase (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2️⃣
🔹Following the Bearish Swing BOS, INT Structure continuing bearish tapping the weekly demand zone.
3️⃣
🔹After the failure to close below the Weak INT Low, price continued bullish sweeping the liquidity above Dec 30 and mitigating a Daily supply zone within the INT Structure Premium Zone.
🔹With the mitigation of the Daily supply, price created a Bearish CHoCH signaling the end of the Pullback Phase of the INT structure and the start of the Bearish move targeting the Weak INT Low.
🔹Price failed for the 2nd time to close below the Weak INT Low after mitigating the Daily Demand formed from the failure to close below the Weak INT Low which triggered aggressive Bullish reaction and mitigating the Daily Supply Zone formed from the recent Bearish CHoCH.
🔹After Supply mitigation, price continued Bearish following the Bearish INT Structure continuation phase.
🔹Previous week I mentioned “if the Daily formed a Bullish CHoCH (Currently above the recent mitigated Supply) this will shift my outlook to the Weekly Scenario of a deep pullback of the Weekly INT Structure to at least the Structure EQ (50%). MTF required to shift Bullish to confirm”. And with that happened I’d shifted to Bullish expectation and there is expectations of a deep pullback within the Daily Bearish INT structure.
🔹The expected targets for the current bullish move is 1st to sweep the liquidity above the equal highs (17 Dec & 27 Jan) 2nd Break of the Strong INT High to facilitate the Daily Bearish Swing pullback and the Weekly Bearish INT pullback.
🔹Currently Supply is failing and Demand is holding confirms the short-term Bullish scenario and setting my expectations for continuing Bullish. Price had pulled back to the recent Daily Demand and continued Bullish.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move.
3️⃣
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF.
Economic Events for the Week
EUR/USD Market Analysis – Bearish Reversal from Key ResistanceThe EUR/USD pair has formed a bearish Bat harmonic pattern , completing near the 0.886 Fibonacci retracement level. Price action has reacted strongly at this resistance, indicating a potential reversal. The first target (T1) is around 1.0394 , while the second target (T2) is near 1.0325 , aligning with key Fibonacci levels. If the resistance holds, a bearish move towards these targets is likely. However, a sustained break above the high may invalidate the bearish setup. Traders should monitor price action closely for confirmation.
HelenP. I Euro can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price broke through the support level, which aligned with the support zone, and then started to rise. Soon after, it reached the resistance level, which also coincided with a resistance zone, and even managed to break above it, attempting to push higher. However, the momentum faded, and the price reversed, beginning a decline. In a short time, it dropped below the 1.0470 level, breaking through it and forming a strong gap. The price continued to fall, moving below the 1.0315 support level and reaching the trend line. From there, it started to rise again, moving within an upward channel. Inside the channel, the Euro broke back above the 1.0315 level and climbed toward the resistance line. However, before making a fake breakout, it pulled back to the support level, briefly touching the trend line before continuing its upward movement within the channel. Later, the price reached the resistance zone, reversed, and made a small correction. After that, it attempted another move back toward the resistance zone, but recently, it has fallen below it and is now trading very close to this level. In my view, the price may drop to the trend line, which serves as the channel’s support, and then rebound higher, breaking above the resistance level. If that happens, I expect EURUSD to continue its upward movement, so I’ve set my goal at 1.0540. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURGBP 4H Channel Down topped. Drop expected.The EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the February 12 High. Technically that pattern is similar to the Channel Down of late January, which saw an accelerated decline after it failed to break above the 4H MA50.
We expect the pattern to complete a similar -2.18% decline and target 0.81750.
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EURNZD Is Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.819.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.806.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURNZD - Sell Opportunity After Support BreakOANDA:EURNZD has broken below a key support zone and is now retesting it, which may act as new resistance, aligning with a potential bearish continuation.
If sellers confirm resistance at this level, the price is likely to move downward toward the 1.80600 level, which represents a logical target for this setup. Conversely, a failure to hold resistance could suggest a potential bullish shift.
Traders should monitor for bearish confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or increased selling volume, before considering short positions. Let me know your thoughts or any additional insights you might have!
EURNZD Long From SupportHello Traders
In This Chart EURNZD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURNZD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes EURNZD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURNZD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURUSD 21 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday Analysis - EU & US PMI Day!This is my Intraday analysis on FX:EURUSD EURUSD for 21 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
It's PMI Day today:
EU: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI
US: Flash Manufacturing PMI - Flash Services PMI
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis . Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish (Reached Swing Extreme Demand)
🔹INT Bearish (Reached Extreme Supply)
🔹INT-INT Bullish (Reached EQ (50%)
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹As expected yesterday, price managed to continue Bullish after reaching the INT-INT structure EQ (50%) in a solid impulsive move aligns with the Swing continuation move.
3️⃣
🔹Still expectation is set to continue Bullish targeting the Weak Swing High as long LTFs holds Bullish structures. Also, In my mind I’m not neglecting the current Bearish 4H INT structure and we already reached that structure extreme where we are getting the current corrective Bearish OF.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bullish
🔹Reached Swing EQ (50%)/Discount
🔹Swing Continuation Phase
2️⃣
🔹The 15m Bullish Swing pullback phase is still intact with continues Bearish INT structures.
🔹Price had reached Swing extreme demand in Swing Discount.
🔹With the recent Bearish iBOS, price had formed Liq. above the 15m Demand which was sept with the break of the Weak INT Low, mitigating the 15m Demand and forming a Bullish CHoCH to initiate the Bearish INT Structure Pullback.
🔹With the Bullish iBOS yesterday, we confirmed that the Swing Pullback phase may have ended and we are in a new Bullish continuation phase.
3️⃣
🔹With the recent iBOS, price is currently in Pullback Phase to HP POIs to then continue Bullish.
🔹As yesterday expectation of continuing Bullish, still on the expectations of price continuing Bullish targeting the 15m Weak Swing High / 4H Weak Swing High.
EURUSD: This is a temporary rebound inside a long term Bear FlagEURUSD has turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.188, MACD = 0.002, ADX = 17.971) but on the 1W timeframe this short term recovery is nothing but a Bear Flag on the aggressive decline that has started last September. The 1D RSI pattern is basically repeating the Bear Flags of January 2022 and August-September 2018 and the lowest target has been the 0.85 Fibonacci level. We expect it to reach this level again sooner or later. Go short, TP = 0.98150.
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EURJPY LongThe price has completed the retracement after breaking the last Lower High.
From now on we should with high probability expect the price to rally back up to the last swing high of $161.2 and see if it can break it before making another Higher Higher from there.
But before that, there are two significant OBs on the way up that the price can face significant selling pressure from. We need to watch those zones closely.
EURNZD is in the Buy direction after forming Triple Bottom Hello Traders
In This Chart EURNZD 4 HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today EURNZD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes EURNZD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURNZD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
EURNZD: Long Signal Explained
EURNZD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURNZD
Entry Point - 1.8203
Stop Loss - 1.8150
Take Profit - 1.8302
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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EURO - Price can break resistance level and rise to $1.0500Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to trades inside a triangle, bouncing from $1.0450 level and dropping to $1.0275 level.
After this, price bounced from this level and rose to resistance line of triangle and then started to decline.
Price fell to $1.0175 support line of triangle and then in a short time rose to resistance line and exited from this pattern.
Next, Euro started to trades another one triangle, where it reached $1.0530 points and then dropped.
Euro made a strong gap and later rose back to resistance line of triangle, but recently it fell below $1.0450 level.
Possibly, price can fall to support line and then bounce up to $1.0500 resistance line of triangle.
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#EURNZD 4HEURNZD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming a flag pattern, which is generally considered a continuation pattern. This indicates that the market is in a temporary consolidation phase before potentially resuming its previous upward trend.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise if the price breaks above the flag resistance, confirming bullish momentum.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a confirmed breakout above the flag pattern.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the recent swing low to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance zones based on previous price action.
Market Sentiment:
The flag pattern suggests that the market is pausing before continuing its upward movement. Waiting for a breakout confirmation will help validate the trade setup.
EUR/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
EUR-CHF uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.935 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/CHF pair.
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