$EURGBP eurgbp breakout confirmed or fakeout?OANDA:EURGBP has been falling across this channnel and has finally broken out!
Current price: 0.832
#EURGBP Confirmed breakout will lead to: 0.835, 0.838
Invalidation under 0.83
EUR (Euro)
EURNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.785.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.790 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURUSD - markets are waiting for the CPI!The EURUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its medium-term descending channel. In case of an upward correction to the release of the CPI index today, we can see the supply zone and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. The placement of this currency pair in the specified demand zone will provide us with the opportunity to buy it.
According to sources, the United Kingdom and the European Union have decided to intensify their efforts to draft and implement a joint defense treaty in response to Donald Trump’s victory in the U.S. elections. Meanwhile, German Chancellor Olaf Scholz emphasized the importance of close relations with the United States and insisted on deepening EU-U.S. cooperation, particularly in trade. He stated, “If the Trump administration decides to impose tariffs on the EU, we have both the authority and the capacity to respond accordingly.”
Robert Holzmann, Governor of the Austrian Central Bank and a member of the European Central Bank’s Governing Council, recently spoke with the newspaper Kleine Zeitung about the possibility of a rate cut in the December meeting. He noted that currently, there is no reason to avoid a rate cut, but this does not mean it will definitely happen.
Holzmann stressed that the final decision will be made after receiving the latest forecasts and economic data in December, adding, “There is currently nothing opposing a rate cut, but that does not mean it will automatically take place.”
In other developments, Japanese investors in September recorded their highest purchase of German government bonds since 2018, while continuing to avoid French bonds due to concerns over France’s financial situation. According to Japan’s balance of payments data, released on Monday, Japanese investors acquired a net 859.6 billion yen ($5.6 billion) of German bonds in September. Japanese funds also sold French government bonds for the fifth consecutive month, marking the longest selling streak since 2022.
Today’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) report, the first key U.S. economic data post-election, has garnered market attention. While inflation data has been of lesser significance in recent months, this report may impact trading sentiment, especially if the downward inflation trend faces setbacks. The monthly core inflation rate is expected to come in at around 0.30 percent, while the overall monthly inflation is expected at approximately 0.21 percent. Additionally, core annual inflation is likely to hold steady at 3.3 percent, while the overall annual rate could rise to about 2.6 percent.
In the absence of surprises, today’s report is not expected to trigger significant market reactions; however, any upward surprises may have a larger impact. Currently, there is about a 63 percent probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
Barclays Bank now forecasts only one 25-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve next year, a shift from its previous forecast of three such cuts in 2025. This adjustment follows recent developments, including Donald Trump’s election as U.S. president and the latest meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
Meanwhile, Goldman Sachs has updated its own projections for the Fed’s monetary policies next year, expecting the U.S. central bank to initiate quarterly rate cuts starting in March 2025.
Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.8336
1st Support: 0.8301
1st Resistance: 0.8354
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8369
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8320
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD: Showing no signs of stopping before 1.04000.EURUSD is almost oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 32.891, MACD = -0.007, ADX = 29.222), which is a sign of a potential slowdown on the October sell-off but not of stopping. We believe that as the price is approaching the bottom LL of the Channel Down, it will slow down in an attempt to form sideways a bottom as during the weeks of September 25th - October 16th 2023. The ideal entry will be with the 1W RSI as close to being oversold (30.000) as possible and symmetric 1W MACD shows it can happen by December 9th. That means that we can continue shorting the pair, targeting the 1.1 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.04000), which is where the bottom was priced on October 2nd 2023.
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EURCHF: Will Keep Growing! Here is Why:
The price of EURCHF will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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EURNZD Short Term Sell IdeaH1 - Bearish trend pattern
Strong bearish momentum
Until the strong resistance zone holds I expect the price to move lower further after pullbacks.
EURAUD: Failed to recover the 1D MA50. Sell signal.EURAUD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 42.768, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 33.915) as it reversed just before reclaiming the 1D MA50. The 1D MACD is on a Bearish Cross since last Thursday and since August 5th every such formation completed a -3.63% decline. This time such a decline would reach the S2 level exactly, which is what we're aiming for (TP = 1.60115).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURGBP possible 250pips Currently near lows last time seen almost 3 years ago. Opening here a small position just in case we dont see a pull back from this possible break out.
Will be adding more as price falls below .8350
Expecting the next economic data from GBP to be the main driver of this price action..
This analysis its invalidated if price makes a new low
EUR_NZD LONG FROM SUPPORT|LONG|
✅EUR_NZD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 1.7833
Thus I am expecting a rebound
And a move up towards the target at 1.7904
LONG🚀
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EURCHF Technical Analysis! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURCHF next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.9364
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 0.9388
My Stop Loss - 0.9347
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURNZD: Long Signal Explained
EURNZD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long EURNZD
Entry - 1.7868
Sl - 1.7801
Tp - 1.8005
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Euro can little grow more and then continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to trades inside the wedge, where it at once broke the 1.0790 level, which coincided with the seller zone but soon backed up to this area. Then the price continued to move up and later rose to 1.0840 points, but then EUR made a correction to support line of wedge. Then price turned around and started to grow to a resistance line of a wedge pattern and even made a gap, after which it exited from the wedge and turned around. Then prices made a downward impulse inside the triangle to the resistance area, breaking the 1.0790 level. After this movement, the EUR turned around and in a short time rose to the seller zone, after which turned around and dropped back. Also recently, the price broke the 1.0680 level and now it trades very close to the support line of the triangle pattern. In my opinion, the price can make move up to the resistance area and then continue to decline, even exiting from the triangle pattern. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD The sell-off isn't over yet.The EURUSD pair is extending the sharp sell-off after the most recent bearish signal upon the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) rejection. This is practically the same sideways Zones we talked about almost a month ago (October 14, see chart below):
The price broke below the 1-year Higher Lows trend-line that was the last 'hope' for a bullish reversal and should now extend the bearish trend even lower. The 1D MA100 rejection was also a rejection on the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level and as you can see this is identical to the August 31 2023 rejection. That was half-way through a Channel Down (also starting from the Resistance Zone) that eventually targeted the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we remain bearish on this pair, targeting 1.05300 (Fib 1.236 extension), unless the 1D RSI hits 25.00 (oversold), in which case take profit regardless, as this RSI reading preceded the October 03 2023 bottom.
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EUR/NZD H4 | Potential bullish bounceEUR/NZD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.7858 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.7758 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 1.8063 which is an overlap resistance.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Overlap resistance ahead?EUR/AUD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.63368
Why w like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.64463
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.61518
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD - An In-depth Analysis (ICT Concepts)In this video I provide a more in-depth analysis for EURUSD, and how I go about analyzing the chart and coming to a conclusion if any.
The concepts I used are based on ICT's Concepts along with some of my own discoveries along the way.
I hope you find it insightful.
Happy trading.
- R2F
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 164.90
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 166.21
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 163.58
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0677
1st Support: 1.0615
1st Resistance: 1.0802
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURCHF: Bulls Will Push
The price of EURCHF will most likely increase soon enough, due to the demand beginning to exceed supply which we can see by looking at the chart of the pair.
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EURNZD WILL GROW BUY Take a look at our analysis for EURNZD.
The market is appoarching a significant support area 1.795
The underline horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement
with target 1.822 level
Euro can decline to support level and then continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago rebounded from the resistance line of the wedge and fell to the support line, which coincided with the resistance level and started to grow. In a short time, EUR rose to the resistance line and then started to decline, thereby exiting from the wedge. Price continued to decline inside the downward channel, where it broke the 1.1000 level, which coincided with the seller zone and reached the support line, but at once rebounded and made a retest. Then it continued to fall and later reached the 1.0760 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, after which turned around and bounced to the resistance line. Euro exited from the channel and continued to grow near the resistance line. When the price reached 1.0825 points, it made a downward impulse, thereby breaking the 1.0760 level, but a not long time ago it turned around and rose back. At the moment, the Euro trades near the support level, and in my mind, the price can correct to the support level and then continue to move up. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0900 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
