#EURCHF 4HEURCHF (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing a well-established trendline resistance, which has previously acted as a barrier for upward movement. Sellers have shown strong presence at this level, leading to potential downside pressure.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may emerge if the price faces rejection at the trendline resistance and forms bearish confirmation. If the resistance holds, the market may continue its downward movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Selling near the trendline resistance after confirmation of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the trendline resistance to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support zones or previous swing lows.
Market Sentiment:
If the price remains below the trendline resistance, the bearish outlook stays valid. However, a breakout above this level could shift sentiment toward further bullish movement.
EUR (Euro)
EURNZD Bearish Trend Structure Indicates Potential ContinuationH1 - Bearish trend pattern
Strong bearish momentum
Potential drop if the resistance levels will not be broken.
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EURCHF My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the EURCHF next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.9588
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.9605
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURCHF Bullish Breakout supported at 0.9530The EUR/CHF currency pair is showing a bullish sentiment, supported by the prevailing long-term uptrend. Recent intraday price action indicates a bullish breakout from a sideways consolidation phase, with the previous resistance now acting as a new support zone.
Key Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Zone: The critical support level to watch is 0.9530, representing the previous consolidation price range. A corrective pullback toward this level, followed by a bullish rebound, would confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
Upside Targets: If the pair sustains a bounce from 0.9530, it may aim for the next resistance at 0.9640, followed by 0.9665 and 0.9690 over the longer timeframe.
Bearish Scenario: A confirmed break and daily close below 0.9530 would negate the bullish outlook and increase the likelihood of further retracement. In this scenario, the pair could retest the 0.9500 support level, with further downside potential toward 0.9450.
Conclusion:
The bullish sentiment for EUR/CHF remains intact as long as the 0.9530 support holds. Traders should monitor the price action at this key level to assess potential buying opportunities. A successful bullish bounce from 0.9530 would favor long positions aiming for the specified upside targets. However, a break below 0.9530 would signal caution and increase the risk of a deeper pullback.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Euro will rebound from support area and continue to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. This chart illustrates how the price entered an upward channel and immediately broke below the 1.0500 support level. After trading for some time within the buyer zone, it dropped to the support line. Following this move, the Euro reversed and started climbing, eventually reaching the 1.0500 level again, breaking above it, and making a retest. The price then continued to rise and later reached the current support level, which coincided with the support area and the channel's trend line, where it traded for a while. Soon after, the Euro broke through the 1.0805 level and remained within the support area for an extended period before climbing to 1.0945. At that point, it reversed and started declining. The Euro quickly dropped to the support line of the channel and then bounced back up. However, it recently fell again to the support line of the channel, where it has been gradually moving higher since. Given this setup, I expect the Euro to decline to the support area before rebounding and continuing its upward movement within the channel. Based on this, my TP is set at 1.1150. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURNZD BUY 4H
Hello, I am Forex Trader Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about a promising strategy for the EURNZD currency cross.
The EURNZD is showing interesting signals for an upward movement. I decided to open a long position at 1.87460, with a stop loss (SL) at 1.861, which represents a potential loss of 0.50%. The profit target (TP) is set at 1.913, aiming for a consistent uptrend.
Technical Analysis
The EURNZD is going through a consolidation phase, offering a breakout opportunity to the upside. Technical indicators such as the MACD and the RSI indicate a growing bullish momentum. Furthermore, the price is positioning itself above the key moving averages, a sign of strength that supports my buy strategy.
Fundamental Analysis
On a fundamental level, the euro is benefiting from an improved economic environment in the Eurozone, along with a relatively stable monetary policy from the ECB. Conversely, the New Zealand dollar could be negatively affected by the recent volatility in the commodity markets, given the New Zealand economy's link to this sector.
Trading Strategy
Entry: 1.87460
Stop Loss: 1.861 (-0.50%)
Take Profit: 1.913
This setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio and aligns with the current technical and fundamental environment. I recommend closely monitoring any changes in fundamentals or key technical levels that could impact the trade.
EUR/GBP Bullish Flag (18.3.25)The EUR/GBP pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the coming hours.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position around Trendline Of The Pattern.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 0.8433
2nd Resistance – 0.8448
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EURCHF is starting to turn upLooks like a trend reversal at last.
1. Strong pinbars from the levels below 0.92 that rob the stops.
2. A broken trend line, higher lows, higher highs
3. it is currently at a very important level,we are watching how it will react and whether it will be overcome.
4. We are now long on a larger time frame.
Weekly Analysis for Week 12 2025!Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
How was your trading this week? Managed to catch the Eurjpy or GbpCad and EurCad movements as mentioned last week?
Which pairs or instruments should we keep a look out for?
This coming week is packed with interest rate decision, how?What to do?
Do check out my recorded video for more insights!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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EUR-CHF Bearish Wedge Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF was trading in an
Uptrend but the pair has formed
A bearish wedge pattern so
IF we see a bearish breakout
From the wedge we will be
Expecting a bearish move down
Sell!
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Could the price bounce from here?EUR/CAD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and also slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.5548
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.5415
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.5697
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURUSD Head and Shoulders triggering a sell.The EURUSD pair is about to complete a Head and Shoulders (H&S) pattern on the 4H time-frame and so far it is keeping the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) intact. The last H&S formation we saw was completed on January 30 and it resulted in a -3.06% drop.
Given that the longer term pattern is a Bullish Megaphone with the H&S being on its top and the 4H RSI displaying the same Bearish Divergence it did in late January, we expect a similar pull-back to occur. Our Target is 1.06150, representing both a potential -3.06% drop and a contact with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line).
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EURJPY forming a top?EURJPY - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
There is no sign that this bullish momentum is faltering but the pair has stalled close to a previous swing high of 162.36.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 162.30 (stop at 163.22)
Our profit targets will be 159.68 and 157.60
Resistance: 164.15 / 166.70 / 169.90
Support: 160.75 / 159.35 / 157.60
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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EUR-NZD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is approaching a
Horizontal support level
Of 1.8868 so after the
Retest of the support
A long trade with the
Target Level of 1.8947
And Stop Loss of 1.8851
Buy!
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EUR_NZD LONG SIGNAL|
✅EUR_NZD is going down now
But a strong support level is ahead at 1.8902
So after the retest on Monday we can
Enter a long trade with the target of 189640
And a Stop Loss of 1.8866
LONG🚀
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EUR/USD - Looking for a long entry Hey,
I am looking at a long entry on the EUR/USD. We have recently seen the price break the major 1.05 to the topside once again, thanks to the tariff war which has weakened the DXY.
I am looking at entering long on the two set ups as presented on the chart. The physiological 1.075 level and the intraday 1.0683 level as support.
The price is now showing overbought on the 1D timeframe RSI & MACD, and evidently we are seeing less buying pressure at these current levels.
I will be looking for a strong confirmation at either of these levels before entering long. Preferably a wick below either level with the daily close above.
I expect this to play out before end of March.
EURNZD What Next? BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURNZD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 1.8988
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 1.9024
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/USD Trade Ideas Short or Long??? News is going to be heavy!Looking for the right signals for a long, Everything is explained on the chart. If I do not get the confluences I want I will not take the trade. If price action takes out lows I'll look for liquidity, retrace, or reversal and reaccess my trade for shorts. Major news coming out for USD this week so stay frosty!
XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 2800 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 1H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 2680 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental, Positioning, Overall Outlook:
╰┈➤XAU/EUR "The Gold vs Euro" Metal Market is currently experiencing a bearish trend,., driven by several key factors.
╰┈➤Fundamental Analysis
Interest Rates: Fed at 3-3.5%, ECB at 2.5%—U.S. yield advantage pressures gold, ECB easing weakens EUR—neutral.
Inflation: U.S. PCE 2.6%, Eurozone 2.8%, Japan 2.5%—global inflation boosts gold’s hedge appeal—bullish.
Demand: Central banks (e.g., China, Russia) buy ~8M oz. in 2025; European ETF inflows up—bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs, Russia-Ukraine tensions—safe-haven demand rises—bullish.
EUR Strength: ECB dovishness vs. Fed stability weakens EUR—bullish for XAU/EUR.
╰┈➤Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: PMI 50.4, jobless claims up—USD softens, gold gains—bullish.
Eurozone: PMI 46.2, growth stagnant—EUR weakens—bullish.
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, risk-off favors gold—bullish.
Commodities: Oil $70.44 (U.S./OPEC)—stable, neutral.
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—EUR weakens, gold rises—bullish.
╰┈➤Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~50,000 contracts (global futures, down from 60,000)—cautious bullishness.
Hedgers: Net short ~60,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~120,000 contracts—sustained global interest, mildly bullish.
╰┈➤Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short (global X posts)—contrarian upside risk—bullish.
Institutional: Bullish long-term (e.g., $3,000 XAU/USD targets), short-term caution—neutral.
Corporate: Global miners hedge at 2,750-2,800 EUR—neutral.
Social Media Trends: Mixed—bearish to 2,650 EUR, some see buy zone—neutral.
╰┈➤Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 2,750-2,800, shorts aim for 2,650-2,600 (global consensus).
Retail: Shorts at 2,710-2,720—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, favoring inflation-driven gold gains.
╰┈➤Quantitative Analysis
SMAs: 50-day ~2,650, 200-day ~2,500—price above both, bullish.
RSI: 52 (daily)—neutral, flexible for moves.
Bollinger: 2,670-2,730—price near upper band, breakout potential.
Fibonacci: 61.8% from 2,800-2,400 at 2,686—support holds.
Volatility: 1-month IV 11%—±30 EUR daily range.
╰┈➤Intermarket Analysis
EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness boosts XAU/EUR—bullish.
DXY: 106.00, softening—supports gold—bullish.
XAU/USD: 2910—aligned with XAU/EUR rise—bullish.
Equities: SPX500 5990, stable—neutral.
Bonds: U.S. 3.8% vs. Eurozone 2.2%—yield gap weakens EUR—bullish.
╰┈➤News and Events Analysis
Recent: Trump tariffs (Feb 23-25) and Russia-Ukraine talks—risk-off lifts gold—bullish.
Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data could lift USD/EUR, pressuring XAU/EUR; soft data boosts gold—mixed.
Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction pivotal.
╰┈➤Next Trend Move
Technical: Support 2,686-2,650, resistance 2,750-2,800. Below 2,686 targets 2,600; above 2,750 aims for 2,850.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 2,650 if PCE strengthens USD/EUR; up to 2,800 if risk-off persists.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 2,600-2,900, driven by tariffs/inflation.
╰┈➤Future Prediction
Bullish: 2,850-2,900 by Q2 2025 if EUR weakens further (EUR/USD to 1.03), tariffs escalate, or PCE softens.
Bearish: 2,600-2,550 if PCE boosts USD/EUR (DXY to 107) or risk-on emerges.
Prediction: Mildly bearish short-term to 2,650, then bullish to 2,850 by mid-2025
╰┈➤Overall Summary Outlook
XAU/EUR at 2,700.00 benefits from bullish drivers (global inflation, geopolitics, EUR weakness) but faces short-term risks from USD/EUR strength (PCE). COT and sentiment suggest consolidation, with quant signals favoring upside if support holds. Short-term dip to 2,650 possible, medium-term rise to 2,900 likely with risk-off momentum.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise to Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 1.84000 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.80400 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
EUR/NZD "Euro vs Kiwi" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
🔱 Fundamental Analysis
New Zealand Trade Balance: July trade balance: -NZ$963M monthly, -NZ$9,290M annualized.
Chinese Loan Prime Rates: August 1-Year Loan Prime Rate: 3.35%, 5-Year Loan Prime Rate: 3.85%.
German PPI: July PPI: +0.2% monthly, -0.8% annualized.
🔱 Macroeconomic Trends
Current Macroeconomic Trends
- GDP Growth Rate: Eurozone's GDP growth rate is expected to slow down in the coming months, while New Zealand's economy is anticipated to remain stable.
- Inflation Rate: Eurozone's inflation rate is currently at 1.0% annualized, while New Zealand's inflation rate is at 1.5% annualized.
- Unemployment Rate: Eurozone's unemployment rate stands at 7.5%, whereas New Zealand's unemployment rate is at 3.9%.
- Interest Rates: European Central Bank's (ECB) main refinancing rate is 0.0%, and Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) official cash rate is 1.5%.
Upcoming Macroeconomic Events
- Federal Reserve Rate Decision: The upcoming Federal Reserve rate decision may impact EUR/NZD.
- European Central Bank Rate Decision: ECB's rate decision will also influence the pair.
- New Zealand GDP Growth Rate: Q3 GDP growth rate announcement may affect NZD.
🔱 COT Report
The latest COT report shows that speculative traders are net short on the EUR/NZD pair, indicating a bearish sentiment
🔱 Technical Analysis
Trend Lines: Descending Tenkan-sen, ascending Kijun-sen.
Chart Patterns: Bearish harmonic pattern.
Moving Averages:
50-Day SMA: 1.7945
100-Day SMA: 1.8051
200-Day SMA: 1.8335
Relative Strength Index (RSI): 42.12 (neutral).
Bollinger Bands: Upper: 1.8232, Lower: 1.7632.
MACD: Bearish crossover.
Stochastic Oscillator: Oversold region.
Fibonacci Levels: 23.6% retracement at 1.8115.
🔱 Positioning Data
Institutional Traders: 55% long, 45% short.
Retail Traders: 70% short, 30% long.
Market Sentiment: Bearish (60%).
🔱 Market Outlook
- Market Sentiment: Bearish
- Institutional Traders: 42% bullish, 30% bearish, 28% neutral
- Banks: 40% bullish, 32% bearish, 28% neutral
- Hedge Funds: 45% bullish, 27% bearish, 28% neutral
- Corporate Traders: 38% bullish, 35% bearish, 27% neutral
- Retail Traders: 48% bearish, 25% bullish, 27% neutral
🔱 Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for the EUR/NZD pair is bearish. The pair has broken out of a triangle pattern, and speculative traders are net short. Institutional traders are positioning themselves for a potential drop, and retail traders are also bearish.