EURUSD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.04300 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.04300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR (Euro)
EURUSD - PoVThe EUR/USD exchange rate is influenced by several economic and political factors, suggesting that the euro may continue to weaken in the coming weeks. On one side, the United States is implementing expansive fiscal policies that could strengthen the dollar, such as economic stimulus and increased public spending. These factors, along with potential protectionist measures like tariffs on Europe, could further weaken the euro by reducing the competitiveness of European exports. Additionally, the **Federal Reserve's** monetary policy, which has raised interest rates to combat inflation, makes the dollar more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the U.S. currency. The United States' energy independence, due to increased domestic production of gas and oil, has also reduced its reliance on imports, which further strengthens the dollar compared to the euro.
On the other hand, the Eurozone is facing a series of economic and political challenges that are putting pressure on the single currency. High inflation is eroding purchasing power across the Eurozone, and despite the European Central Bank (ECB) raising interest rates to combat it, economic growth remains slow. This divergence from the United States, where growth has been more dynamic, amplifies the euro's weakness. Moreover, the ongoing energy crisis in Europe, worsened by the war in Ukraine and reduced gas supplies from Russia, has increased costs and slowed the competitiveness of European businesses. In this context, political uncertainties in some Eurozone countries and the ECB’s less aggressive economic management compared to the Fed further contribute to the euro's weakness.
Therefore, the strengthening of the dollar, driven by U.S. policies and growing energy independence, and the structural weakness of the Eurozone, are likely to continue pushing the EUR/USD lower in the coming weeks.
EURNZD -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 1.82059, resumption of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 1.85400 breaks.
If the support at 1.82059 is broken, the short-term forecast -resumption of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
The ascending flag taking shape suggests we will soon see another leg higher.
While the RSI uptrend #1 is not broken, bullish wave in price would continue.
A peak is formed in daily chart at 1.85400 on 12/27/2024, so more losses minimum to Major Support (1.82059) is expected.
Relative strength index (RSI) is 43.
Supports and Resistances:
1.87650
1.85400
1.82059
1.78251
1.76500
1.74929
1.73804
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Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
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EURNZD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
EURNZD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 1.8256 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
My Stop Loss - 1.8217
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.8329
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURNZD - Strong Intersection!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈EURNZD has been in a correction phase trading within the falling red channel and it is currently retesting the lower bound of the bullish channel marked in blue.
Moreover, the green zone is a strong structure and support zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of structure and lower blue and red trendlines acting as non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURNZD approaches the blue circle, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Trade Idea for U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) – Feb 19, 2025📌 Current Market Context
DXY is trading at 107.023 , slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (106.344).
This level is a key golden ratio support, where strong reversals often happen.
The uptrend from Sept 2024 suggests that bulls are still in control unless this retracement turns into a full reversal.
📈 Bullish Trade Idea (Buy Setup)
✅ Entry: Look for bullish price action (rejection wicks, engulfing candles, or a strong bounce) near 106.344 - 106.500 .
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 108.035 (78.6% Fib)
Target 2 : 110.189 (previous high)
📍 Stop-Loss: Below 105.800 (just under 61.8% retracement to avoid stop hunts).
📊 Risk/Reward: ~1:2 or better.
📉 Bearish Trade Idea (Sell Setup)
❌ Trigger: If DXY closes below 106.344 on a daily candle , it could signal further downside.
📉 Entry: Sell below 106.200 after confirmation.
🎯 Targets:
Target 1 : 105.156 (50% Fib)
Target 2 : 103.968 (38.2% Fib)
📍 Stop-Loss: Above 107.000 (to avoid fakeouts).
📊 Risk/Reward: 1:2 minimum.
🛠️ Risk Management Notes
Watch for fundamental news (FOMC, inflation data, rate decisions) that could cause volatility.
Use partial take profits to secure gains along the way.
If entering a buy trade, consider trailing stops once price reaches 108.035.
EUR/USD Rejects 1.0469 – Drop to 1.0399 or Reversal Ahead?EUR/USD Technical Analysis – February 19, 2025
The price is rejecting from the pivot line at 1.0469, confirming bearish momentum after failing to sustain above the key level.
Technical Outlook
Bearish Scenario: As long as the price trades below 1.0469, the downtrend remains valid, targeting 1.0399. A break below this level could extend losses toward 1.0367 and 1.0288.
Bullish Scenario: To reverse the bearish momentum, EUR/USD must break back above 1.0469, which could trigger an upward move toward 1.0520 and 1.0605.
Key Levels to Watch
🔹 Pivot Point: 1.0436
🔹 Resistance Levels: 1.0520, 1.0605
🔹 Support Levels: 1.0390, 1.0367, 1.0288
📉 Directional Bias: The price is expected to drop toward 1.0399 while trading below 1.0469. A break below 1.0399 confirms further downside movement.
💬 Will EUR/USD hold below 1.0469 for further downside, or reclaim the level for a reversal? Drop your thoughts! 👇🔥
EUR/NZD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
EUR/NZD pair is trading in a local downtrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going down too. The pair is oversold because the price is close to the lower band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to buy the pair with the lower BB line acting as support. The next target is 1.835 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 159.52
1st Support: 157.81
1st Resistance: 160.99
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish reversal off pullback support?EUR/GBP has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8273
1st Support: 0.8223
1st Resistance: 0.8317
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/NZD has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.8357
1st Support: 1.8233
1st Resistance: 1.8439
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD The 4hour MA50 makes all the differenceEURUSD is trading inside a Channel Up on the 4hour timeframe.
The recent price action is a Bull Flag which as long as the 4hour MA50 holds, it creates similar bullish conditions as the Jan 22nd Bull Flag and targets 1.05250 (Resistance Zone B).
If the 4hour MA50 breaks, sell and target 1.02500 (bottom of Channel Up).
Previous chart:
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Bullish bounce off pullback support for the Fiber?The price is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0419
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0373
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0520
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EURNZD - Buy Setup at Clear ZoneOANDA:EURNZD is approaching a clear support zone, marked by prior bullish reactions and buyer interest. This zone has consistently reversed bearish trends in the past, making it an interesting area to watch.
If buyers step in and confirm the support with bullish price action, such as long lower wicks or bullish engulfing patterns, I anticipate a move upward toward 1,83500. But if a break below this zone occurs, it could signal increased selling pressure and invalidate the bullish outlook.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
EUR/USD: Dollar Surges,Technical Indicators Point to ReversalThe EUR/USD currency pair is showing a clear downward trend today, retreating from Friday's brief rally that saw it briefly touch the 1.051 level. Currently hovering around 1.0448, the pair's weakness is fueled by a slightly resurgent US Dollar. Buoying the greenback are climbing US government yields; the 10-year Treasury note, for instance, has risen to 4.51%, an increase of 4 basis points. However, the positive sentiment pervading global stock markets is acting as a counterweight, tempering the USD's potential for significant gains.
Analyzing the technical landscape, the price action appears to be hitting a critical juncture. The current trading range is approaching a clearly defined resistance zone, which also presents as a supply area. Compellingly, insights gleaned from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report reveal that retail traders hold a significant long position within this area. This, combined with a potential bearish seasonal trend, adds further weight to the possibility of a downward reversal.
Based on this confluence of technical indicators, we are actively watching for a potential price reversal within the identified resistance zone. The interplay of market forces and trader positioning suggests a bearish outlook for the EUR/USD pair in the near term.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EURCHF Bearish oversold bounceback capped at 0.9520The EURCHF currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. The recent oversold bounce back is retesting major resistance at 0.9512.
The key trading level is at 0.9520, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 0.9520 level could target the downside support at 0.9380 followed by 0.9340 and 0.9300 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.9520 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 0.9550 resistance followed by 0.9580 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
EURNZD Bullish Flag Pattern: Awaiting Breakout Toward 1.8700EURNZD is currently trading at 1.8330, with a target price of 1.8700, suggesting an anticipated upward movement of 300+ pips. This pattern indicates that the pair is forming a bullish flag, a continuation pattern that often signals a breakout to the upside after a consolidation phase. In this scenario, traders are looking for a breakout above the flag's upper trendline, which would potentially push the price toward the 1.8700 target.
From a technical perspective, the bullish flag pattern is formed when the price consolidates after a strong uptrend. The consolidation phase represents a period of indecision in the market, but once the price breaks above the flag's resistance level, it typically resumes its upward momentum. In this case, the breakout would likely bring the pair closer to the 1.8700 level, where strong resistance could be expected.
On the fundamental side, the euro has been supported by the European Central Bank's monetary policy, which continues to focus on economic stability, while the New Zealand dollar faces pressure from softer commodity prices, particularly dairy exports. Additionally, global risk sentiment, such as inflation data or geopolitical events, could further influence the direction of EURNZD.
In summary, if EURNZD breaks above the resistance of the bullish flag, it could provide a strong buying opportunity toward the 1.8700 target. Keep an eye on the global economic landscape, particularly developments in Europe and New Zealand, to validate this bullish move.
EURNZD: Key Resistance at 1.8430 and Rejection from HighsAs of February 14, 2025, the EURNZD pair is once again testing the key resistance zone around 1.8430 after showing a clear rejection in previous sessions. The price has reacted from the support zone at 1.8235, which continues to act as a strong defense level for buyers. However, the strong rejection from the weekly resistance area suggests a possible new phase of weakness.
Technical analysis indicates interaction with key moving averages, with the price rebounding from the mid-term moving average but struggling to break through the upper liquidity zone. If the market stays below 1.8435, it could trigger a decline towards 1.8235, and if broken, a further extension towards 1.8100. Conversely, a decisive close above 1.8435 could open the way for a breakout attempt towards 1.8500. The macroeconomic context remains a key factor to monitor, with the strength of the euro and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s policy likely to influence the future direction of the pair.
EURUSD 18 Feb 2025 W8 - Intraday - EU ZEW /US ManufacturingThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 18 Feb 2025 W8 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following:
Market Sentiment
4H Chart Analysis
15m Chart Analysis
Market Sentiment
Some light economic news today along with the US Markets are back after long weekend.
EUR : ZEW Economic Sentiment
US : Empire State Manufacturing Index
The market still in the same sentiment detailed in my Weekly Analysis. Below a summary:
Short-Term Bias: Cautiously bullish for EUR/USD, driven by optimism over delayed tariffs, geopolitical progress, and hopes for softer inflation.
Key Risks:
A hot PCE report reviving Fed hawkishness.
Sudden tariff escalations or breakdowns in peace talks.
4H Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Reached Swing Extreme Demand
🔹Swing Continuation
2️⃣
🔹With the deep pullback to the Bullish Swing extreme discount and mitigating the 4H/Daily demand zones, price turned Bullish forming a Bullish CHoCH.
🔹The current Bullish move from Swing extreme discount to current price level having 2 scenarios (Previously I’d the following 2 scenarios where now I favors the 2nd scenario due to the impulsive nature of the move):
Scenario 1: Pullback for Bearish INT Structure and with the recent Bearish CHoCK and Minor Demand zones are failing, I expect Bearish continuation to target the Weak INT Low which aligns with the Daily/Weekly Bearish Structure/Move. (Counter Swing – Pro Internal)
Scenario 2: Bullish Swing continuation to target the Weak Swing High. Which requires to have Demand holding and Supply failing. The first sign required to confirm this scenario will be the current Demand which price is currently at to hold and we form a Bullish CHoCH. (Pro Swing – Counter Internal)
🔹With the recent moves, Supply is failing and Demand is holding solidifying the scenario that the Bullish 4H Swing continuation in play.
🔹Price swept Liq. above 30 Jan on 4H and Daily where I’d noted in the previous days analysis which can provide a decent pullback. (Bearish CHoCH is required to confirm the Sweep of Liquidity. Otherwise, it’s not enough and price will continue from the recent 4H Demand formed).
3️⃣
🔹Currently price is targeting the Liq. (Bearish CHoCK) above the recent demand which could provide Bullish continuation.
🔹Expectations is set to continue Bullish to target the Weak 4H Swing High to facilitate to the Daily and Weekly expected Bullish move.
15m Chart Analysis
1️⃣
🔹Swing Bullish
🔹INT Bearish
🔹Swing Pullback Phase
2️⃣
🔹Bullish Swing structure continuing bullish aligning with the 4H Bullish Swing continuation phase.
🔹After the recent Swing BOS, we expect a pullback which is confirmed with the 15m Bearish iBOS today.
🔹With the Bearish iBOS we confirm the 15m pullback phase to Swing EQ (50%)/ Discount.
3️⃣
🔹As price on the 4H is currently targeting the Liq. (Bearish CHoCH), expectations today is to continue Bearish to facilitate the 15m Swing Pullback to Swing Discount and mitigate the 4H/15m Demand before continuing Bullish.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?EUR/JPY is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 157.97
1st Support: 156.57
1st Resistance: 159.48
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/NOK is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 11.6772
1st Support: 11.5994
1st Resistance: 11.7090
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish momentum to extend?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0456
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0392
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.0532
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.