EURAUD - Bearish... but not for long!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per our last EURAUD analysis, attached on the chart, it rejected the upper bound of the blue channel and traded lower.
What's next?
📈EURAUD is now retesting the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, the blue zone is a strong demand.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the lower blue trendline and demand.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURAUD is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR (Euro)
"Euro vs Kiwi Heist - Bullish Loot Opportunity!🔥 EURNZD BULL HEIST! Euro vs Kiwi Raid Plan (Swing/Day) 🚨💰
🌟 Attention, Market Bandits! 🌟
"The vault is cracked—time to grab the loot!"
🔮 Thief’s Intel (TA + FA):
EURNZD is flashing BULLISH signals, but beware—overbought traps & police (bears) lurk near resistance!
🎯 ENTRY POINTS (Where to Strike!)
🟢 LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves):
"Swipe the loot on pullbacks!"
Buy limit orders (15-30min TF) near swing lows/highs.
Aggressive heist? Enter any price—but watch for traps!
🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Plan)
📍 SL at recent swing low (2H TF) = 1.93500 (Adjust based on risk!)
💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out Before Cops Arrive!)
🎯 TP = 1.98500 (Or escape early near red zones!)
⚠️ WARNING: Police (Bears) Ahead!
Overbought + Consolidation = Reversal risk!
News = High alert! Avoid new trades during volatility.
Trailing SL = Your getaway car!
📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works)
Bullish momentum from COT data, macro trends & sentiment.
Check full analysis for targets & intermarket clues!
💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥
Like & Share to strengthen our crew! More alerts = More profits!
🚨 Next raid coming soon… Stay tuned, thieves! 🚨
EURCHF LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D7 W28 Y25EURCHF LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D7 W28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EUR/NZD – Macro Outlook & Why It’s a Conviction LongMacro Thesis:
EUR/NZD presents one of the clearest long opportunities this week, supported by a sharp divergence in macro fundamentals, a favorable positioning landscape, and confirmation across sentiment and structural models.
🔍 Key Drivers:
1. Macro Fundamentals (ENDO):
The euro area maintains a relatively stable inflationary outlook with moderate growth, while the ECB remains cautious but not overly dovish.
In contrast, New Zealand is showing consistent deflationary pressure – inflation data is softening, M2 growth is stagnant, and real activity (PMI, Retail Sales, NFP) continues to cool. This creates a clean fundamental divergence in favor of the euro.
2. COT Positioning:
There is no excessive long build-up on the EUR side, and NZD remains weak across institutional positioning metrics. This opens the door for further upside without the risk of crowded positioning.
3. Z-Score (Positioning Extremes):
Z-Score data highlights NZD as sitting at an extreme negative reading (Z_Long < –1.7), suggesting it is fundamentally oversold and under institutional pressure. EUR, by contrast, is neutral.
This imbalance further validates the long EUR/NZD setup, particularly from a flow and momentum continuation standpoint.
4. EXO Models (Score, RR_w, Interest Rate Bias):
The pair scores well in weekly RR analysis, supported by strong ENDO/EXO bias convergence. NZD continues to lose monetary support (dovish IR & Overnight trends), while EUR stays relatively neutral.
From a structural model perspective, the bias is clearly long.
5. Sentiment Environment:
The global risk-on tone continues, but it’s paired with relative softness in commodity currencies like NZD. That dynamic adds additional fuel to the long side of EUR/NZD, especially while EUR remains resilient and stable.
✅ Summary & Trading Plan:
Bias: Long EUR/NZD
Conviction Level: High (9/10 – multi-layer confirmation)
Holding Horizon: 1–3 weeks
Invalidation: Exit on reversal of NZD macro tone or shift to risk-off globally
Why This Pair?
EUR/NZD offers one of the clearest expressions of fundamental divergence in the current macro environment.
You have stable inflation and steady growth in Europe versus a weakening macro pulse in New Zealand.
There are no major positioning risks, sentiment supports the setup, and structurally the pair aligns with the broader market tone.
Clean macro. Clean structure. No crosswinds.
Bearish reversal off Fibonacci confluence?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.1905
1st Support: 1.1577
1st Resistance: 1.2152
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR-NZD Risky Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD made a retest
Of the local horizontal resistance
Of 1.9485 so despite the uptrend
We are locally bearish biased
And we will be expecting a
Local bearish correction
On Monday
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZD: Bears Will Push Lower
Balance of buyers and sellers on the EURNZD pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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EURNZD Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 1.944.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 1.965.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURCAD: Sell signal on Double Channel Up Top.EURCAD is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.955, MACD = 0.010, ADX = 41.562) having peaked on two Channel Up patterns at the same time. Technically it should now start the new bearish wave to test the bottom a little below the 1D MA50. Short, TP = 1.57000.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EUR_NZD LOCAL SHORT|
✅EUR_NZD is set to retest a
Strong resistance level above at 1.9488
After trading in a local uptrend for some time
Which makes a bearish pullback a likely scenario
With the target being a local support below at 1.9420
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25EURJPY SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D4 W27 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support that is slightly below the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 1.1768
1st Support: 1.1700
1st Resistance: 1.1816
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1765
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1807
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.1712
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap?EUR/USD – Nearing the Top: A Final Push or Smart Money Liquidity Trap?
🌍 MACRO OUTLOOK – EURO CLIMBS WHILE USD TREADS ON UNCERTAIN POLITICAL GROUND:
EUR/USD is trading just below the 1.1700 mark as investors remain cautious about the US dollar's long-term credibility. Growing concerns over the Federal Reserve’s independence — should the “Trump 2.0” scenario unfold — have weighed heavily on USD sentiment across global markets.
Meanwhile, the Euro is gaining support thanks to a relatively hawkish tone from the European Central Bank (ECB). Policymakers appear reluctant to ease policy prematurely, which supports the Euro through expectations of prolonged higher interest rates.
However, with no major catalyst in play yet, traders are watching closely for mid-tier US data and any upcoming statements from ECB officials that might set the tone for the next directional breakout.
📊 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS – H4 TIMEFRAME:
Market Structure: EUR/USD remains in a well-defined ascending price channel. However, the pair is now testing the upper band near the 1.1804 resistance, a key liquidity zone where sellers previously stepped in.
EMA Alignment: Price is trading above the EMA 13/34/89/200 cluster — a strong sign of sustained bullish momentum.
Momentum Indicators:
RSI is hovering near 70 — potential overbought territory.
ADX remains above 25 — confirming trend strength but signaling caution at extended highs.
FVG (Fair Value Gap): A visible unfilled gap between 1.1600 and 1.1640 could act as a magnetic zone for price to revisit before the next impulse move.
🔹 Key Resistance: 1.1804 – 1.1835
🔹 Key Support: 1.1640 – 1.1600 (gap zone)
🔹 Major Demand Zone: 1.1499 – 1.1515
🎯 TRADE PLAN:
Scenario 1 – Buy the Dip (Primary Bias):
Entry: 1.1600 – 1.1640
Stop Loss: 1.1550
Targets: 1.1750 → 1.1800 → 1.1850
Scenario 2 – Buy Deep Pullback:
Entry: 1.1499 – 1.1515
Stop Loss: 1.1450
Targets: 1.1640 → 1.1700
Scenario 3 – Countertrend Sell at Key Resistance (High Risk):
Entry: 1.1804 – 1.1830
Stop Loss: 1.1860
Targets: 1.1720 → 1.1650
📌 Strategic Insight:
EUR/USD may be setting up for either a breakout continuation above 1.1800 or a temporary reversal to sweep liquidity from the lower zones. Momentum favors bulls, but chasing highs without confirmation is risky. Focus on clean retracements and volume-supported entries.
💬 If EUR/USD drops back into the 1.1600 zone, will you load up for another leg higher — or wait for confirmation of trend strength? Share your view in the comments!
EURUSD - Macro Trend Shift Soon?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈From a macro perspective, EURUSD has been bearish trading within the falling red channel.
Medium-term, EURUSD has been in a correction phase trading within the rising channel in orange.
Moreover, the green zone is a massive monthly resistance.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper red and orange trendlines and resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURUSD is around the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EURNZD SELL Signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
#007: LONG EUR/MXN Investment OpportunityHi, I'm Andrea Russo and today I want to talk to you about this long investment opportunity on EUR/MXN.
After a careful analysis of institutional flows, market sentiment and macroeconomic dynamics between Europe and Mexico, I have identified a potential medium-term long opportunity on this currency pair, often overlooked by retail traders but closely followed by professional operators for its hybrid technical-fundamental structure. I would like to thank in advance the Official Partner Broker PEPPERSTONE who supported us in creating this technical analysis.
🔍 Technical and strategic context
In recent days, EUR/MXN has shown typical institutional accumulation behavior: prolonged congestion on key levels, progressive decrease in volatility, increase in volume anomalies on bearish spikes and presence of clear defenses on strategic support areas.
All this while retail positioning remains strongly unbalanced short, with over 75% of retail operators selling this pair in the current area. Historically, when such extreme levels of imbalance are reached, the likelihood of an institutional-driven reversal increases significantly.
🧠 Expected Behavior and Institutional Dynamics
Large financial institutions – including global banks and hedge funds – never enter “on cue”: they enter when the market is ready for them to win. This often happens after retail has positioned itself heavily against the upcoming move, and that is exactly what we are seeing these hours.
EUR/MXN is a high-yielding pair: the Mexican peso often benefits from favorable carry trades, but is also highly exposed to geopolitical tensions (such as the current US-Iran turmoil) and the overall direction of the US dollar and the euro. In this environment, with a stable euro and rising systemic risk, the natural flow tends to move away from the Mexican peso, making long EUR/MXN particularly attractive.
🎯 Operational positioning and objectives
My entry occurred on a well-defined compression zone, with a protected technical stop loss and a target calculated on structure, volumes and previous similar breakouts. The target is an area around 22.73, where institutional profit taking is likely to arrive.
It should be noted that the entire current structure is built on protection zones generated by passive orders: we know that in EUR/MXN these levels have historically caused strong rebounds when reached.
📊 Conclusion
This trade is not simply a directional bet. It is the thoughtful execution of a model based on the behavior of large operators, market psychology and advanced analysis of capital flows. It is not about "predicting the future", but positioning yourself at the same time as the strong hands do, exploiting their own rules.
My goal is to operate like a hedge fund does, and in this trade on EUR/MXN I see all the conditions for this to happen.
EUR/NZD Robbery Blueprint – Targeting Pink Zone Profits💰EUR/NZD Robbery Setup: The Bullish Breakout Blueprint for Euro vs Kiwi Heist! 🚨📈
(Targeting High-Risk Zones With Dynamic Entry & Exit Tactics – Long Setup Explained)
🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Market Pirates & Chart Bandits, 🏴☠️💸📊
Ready to rob the Kiwi vaults with precision? Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Strategy🔥 (technical + fundamental), here’s the grand blueprint for the EUR/NZD Long Heist. We’ve scoped the market, sniffed out consolidation traps, and locked eyes on that Pink Zone of high-risk, high-reward. The bulls are regrouping. This is our moment. 📍
🎯 ENTRY PLAN – “The Breakout Is The Lock Pick”
📈 Strike Price: 1.93900
Wait for a clean candle close above the Major Dynamic Resistance (MA level).
Once breached, place buy stop orders above the MA line — entry must align with breakout rules.
🔁 Optional: For early robbers, place buy limits on the nearest swing low within the 15M or 30M timeframe (confirmation from wick rejections).
📌 Set alerts (📳) at breakout zones. Stay sharp. Opportunity doesn't knock—it smashes doors.
🛑 STOP LOSS – “Protection Is Power”
Set your SL near the previous swing High/Low wick (4H chart zone), aligning it with your personal lot size, risk %, and number of trades.
📍“SL is your vault lock. Set it smart, not soft. You’re not gambling — you’re robbing with logic.”
🔥 Reminder: No premature SL on pending orders—wait for breakout validation.
🧨 TARGET – “Escape Plan”
🎯 Profit Target: 1.97500
Or dip out early if resistance alarms start ringing. 🏃♂️💨
⚖️ OVERVIEW – “The Scoreboard”
The EUR/NZD is currently in a neutral chop, but multiple trend reversal signs are emerging.
🔥 Oversold zones, squeeze structure, and a potential bull charge all support this heist-worthy long setup.
📚 BONUS INTEL
Unlock the deeper story:
🧠 Sentiment Analysis
💼 COT Report Data
🌍 Macro Insights
🔍 Intermarket Correlations
📊 Quant Metrics
👉 Followw the 🔗 in the idea for more details and thief-style scoring!
🚨 NEWS ALERTS & POSITION MANAGEMENT
🗞 Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Use trailing SL to protect and lock in gains as the plan moves. Stay adaptive — markets shift fast.
💥 FINAL WORD – “Boost The Gang, Fuel The Plan”
If this heist plan fuels your trading journey, smash the Boost button 💥💖
Help more traders rob the market, not each other.
We operate clean, with precision and thief-style logic.
Let’s get this bag. 💰💼🎉
🧠 Stay tuned for the next operation. Till then — rob smart, rob safe. 🐱👤🤑📈
EURUSD: Correction to 1D MA50 possible.EURUSD is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 74.017, MACD = 0.011, ADX = 27.363) having completed a +15.64% rise from the February 3rd 2025 Low. That was a technical HL bottom on the 3 year Channel Up and the same amount of price increase was seen on its first bullish wave. When it peaked it made three successive highs over a 6 month period (Feb-July 2023) before starting a long term bearish sentiment creation. For now, we can expect at least a 1D MA50 test on the short-term (TP = 1.15000).
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EURNZD analysis elliot. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1742
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1698
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1814
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR-CHF Long From Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF is trading in a
Parallel range and we see
A rejection from the horizontal
Support area below around 0.9293
And we are already seeing a bullish
Reaction so a further move up
Is to be expected
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.