Possible short on EURCHF for next weekI have been working on my own indicator called FICO (FX Index Curve Oscillator). It seems to perform well in backtesting and as a way to engage in forward testing, I am posting this idea.
Basically it works by making our own DXY-like index for each currency, then plotting its rate of change. By looking at relative strength and weakness with each one, we can find pairs and direction to trade.
Using this indicator, it shows that the EUR is about to flip negative, and the CHF is about to flip positive. Therefore, we want to short EURCHF to be on the right side of both of these tickers.
But we're not there quite yet. We need another candle or two for the confirmation to happen (eg we might get another green candle with a large wick) so we don't want to enter yet and risk getting stopped out. If the trade works out exactly as planned (eg entry at 0.97719 and hits 4x ATR level), then this trade would be worth 180 pips.
Let's find out next week!
EUR (Euro)
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support level which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0858
1st Support: 1.0809
1st Resistance: 1.0879
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
A Potential Short Opportunity on EURUSDHi guys.
right here we have a potential short opportunity on EURUSD and it is based off the 4hrs internal structure.
the 4hrs swing structure is bearish and now that the internal structure has aligned itself with the bigger swing structure, the expectation is that this bearish order flow will be maintained until we take out the swing low.
I am looking for strong bearish signal at the marked resistance levels.
EURGBP Is Approaching A Decent ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84300 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
XAUUSD 23/7/24This week’s gold markup is looking very similar to EUR/USD. We have trendline liquidity sitting under the current lows. We have taken some obvious liquidity, so this could be an early sign that price action may be shifting bearish for a longer-term move. Bear in mind, we have taken all-time highs on gold, as we have across the higher timeframes, meaning that our higher timeframe bias is bullish, and we must, of course, respect that. However, this does not mean we are not going to have a pullback that could last for several days or several sessions, so keeping this in mind is key.
Now, if you see on the chart in front of you, there are three separate scenarios that I have marked:
1. Scenario one: We break the bearish 4-hour high, bringing us back into a bullish directional movement. I am looking at the trendline area and the higher timeframe area of supply for possible sell-offs into the lows we have marked on our chart. If we break the 4-hour high, we will be back into a bullish directional bias. This does not mean that the price is 100% going to sell off, as we will be bullish if we do not react at the trendline area and the supply area. I will be looking for the previously created all-time high to be taken and price action to continue the bullish delivery.
2. Scenario two: We continue bearish within the 4-hour selling range that we are currently in. This causes price action to break down, and we will look for the liquidity lows to be taken. This will, of course, give us a deeper pullback on the higher timeframe, and I will then be looking for longs if we shift structure.
Stick to your plan and trade what the price is showing you. I hope you all have an amazing week.
EURUSD Volatility ahead but bearish on a 1-month horizon.The EURUSD pair is pulling back as per our last week's trading plan (July 16, see chart below) and reached the bottom of the (dashed) Bullish Leg:
The long-term pattern remains a Channel Up but as mentioned last week, the current Bullish Leg is about to get exhausted. On the previous Bullish Leg it did on a Double Top. Regardless if that takes place or not eventually and creates volatility for the next 7 days, we expect a new Bearish Leg to start and lead to and end-of-August Higher Low. Our Target remains 1.07250.
On a side-note, the 1D RSI got rejected exactly before hitting the 70.00 overbought barrier, and the last 2 times that took place in 2024, it turned out to be the most optimal medium-term Sell Signal.
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EURNZD Is Going Down! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.821.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.817 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EUR/NZD Full Detailed Analysisthis pair has been rallying to the upside very strong without any retracement. right now it is standing at a very strong resistance area and on small timeframes we would see some nice bearish price action. u can enter a sell trade now and expect a very hard drop in the EUR/NZD Price .
EUR/USD Daily Chart - Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the Daily timeframe presents a Potential Buying Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further advances in the upcoming Days.
Possible Long Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Long Position Above The Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.0900.
Target Levels:
1st Resistance – 1.1083
2nd Resistance – 1.1210
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 1.0718. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Thank you
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the pullback support level.
Pivot: 1.0911
1st Support: 1.0860
1st Resistance: 1.0948
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR-NZD Locally Overbought! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-NZD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair is
Locally overbought so
After it hits the horizontal
Resistance level of 1.8285
I will be expecting a
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
EUR/NZD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/NZD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 2H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 1.805 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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EURCHF: Bearish Movement After Breakout 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF looks bearish after a breakout of a key daily support.
Retesting the broken structure, the pair formed an inverted cup and handle pattern.
The last 4H candle closed below its neckline.
We can expect a bearish move now to 0.9644
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EURNZD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea In this video, we take an in-depth look at the EURNZD. The pair has recently undergone a significant bullish rally and now seems overextended, hitting a critical resistance level. Due to this extended move, I'm seeking a buy opportunity on a Fibonacci retracement.
I discuss my observations on price action, market structure, and the overall trend. Keep in mind that this content is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Trading involves substantial risk, so always implement responsible risk management strategies.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0913
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.0947
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0844
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish reversal?EUR/GBP is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.84346
1st Support: 0.84089
1st Resistance: 0.84570
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURAUD Simple Trade Plans IntradayThe EURAUD has reversed its near term upwards trajectory upon AUD news last night (employment up).
More employment means strength for the AUD as it typically does not help inflation lower. Having that said, we are nearing intraday setups between falls.
Longs preferred lower @.618 on displayed chart, coinciding with higher timeframe areas.
EURUSD 21/7/24Here is EUR/USD. Following on from last week, we provided a basic trend continuation idea that played out perfectly, even though it went against the higher time frame bias established earlier this year. We are now looking at a variation of this same trend movement. We have seen a break of the potential liquidity stored across the lows in the form of trendline liquidity. This could be an early indication that we may be shifting structure, which would then suggest that the price is going to change direction and follow the higher time frame bias once again.
Coming into this week, I have three ideas on the table:
1. We play bullish from the area of demand that we are currently sitting in, and the price pushes up and continues the four-hour trend. For example, it will take the four-hour high, which is placed at the upper end of our chart. That would be a trend continuation movement.
2. We push higher from the area of demand, as in the first idea, but in this case, we play off the area of supply, which also lines up with a retest of the liquidity trendline break. If this happens, I would expect the price to play below the four-hour low later this week, bringing us back to a bearish structural bias.
3. The area of demand that we currently sit in fails, and the price breaks the four-hour low, giving us a bearish structure from the first session of the week. I will then be looking for a pullback into the newly established bearish range. Of course, we follow what the price shows us and take what we are given in terms of market movement.
Wishing you all a successful trading week. Trade safe and always follow your plan.