EUR/CHF: Bearish Signals and Breakout Opportunities✨Welcome to my channel. Here, we conduct a daily analysis of crypto projects and forex pairs.
📅 Today's Analysis: Today, we'll be diving into the Forex market and analyzing the EUR/CHF.
📉 Recent Performance
The EUR/CHF pair has seen significant movements recently, breaking through multiple support and resistance levels. The primary support at 0.95366 and resistance at 0.99155 are key areas to watch.
⚠️ Bearish Momentum
The RSI is currently at 45.71, indicating potential bearish momentum. If the RSI drops below 30, we could see increased selling pressure.
📊The pair is currently in the 0.618 to 0.707 Fibonacci range. If it breaks below 0.94838, the next target could be around 0.93119.
🔻Short Position Strategy
A confirmed break below the 0.94838 support level with increased sell volume would be an ideal short entry point. The target for this move could be the next support at 0.93119.
🔼Long Position Strategy
For a long position, wait for a clear breakout above the resistance at 0.99155 with increased buy volume. This would signal a potential bullish reversal.
📝 In conclusion, EUR/CHF is showing bearish signals with critical levels to watch. A short position could be triggered below 0.94838, while a long position is advisable only after a breakout above 0.99155. Always monitor volume and RSI closely to confirm momentum and manage risk appropriately.
⚠️Please note that this is not financial advice. I'm simply introducing this project to you, and remember always to do your own research.
🫶 If you found this analysis helpful and want to support me, please boost this analysis. Feel free to leave a comment or suggest a coin you'd like me to analyze next.
EUR (Euro)
EURNZD to continue in the upward move?EURNZD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains positive.
Setbacks should be limited to yesterday's low.
We look to buy dips.
20 4hour EMA is at 1.7921.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
We look to Buy at 1.7928 (stop at 1.7878)
Our profit targets will be 1.8048 and 1.8068
Resistance: 1.7978 / 1.8061 / 1.8100
Support: 1.7925 / 1.7900 / 1.7870
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EURCHF - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 200 PIP ) ☑Pair Name : EUR/CHF
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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Key Technical / Direction ( Long )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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✔️Bullish break
0.96150 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Pattern Target
- Visible Range Lvn
- Choch Zone
- Fixed Poc Area
- Day + week high Breka
✔️Bearish Reversal
0.98000area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Pattern Target
- Major Liquidity Zone
- MongHigh Area
- Quarter High Areas
- Fibo 161.8 %
EURGBP Is Approaching A Decent ResistanceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84250 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84250 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD H4 - Short Signal EURUSD H4
In addition to GBPUSD, we also have EURUSD which is at a key area of resistance. This 1.09 handle is acting as a whole number resistance price, amongst H4 supply and previous tested resistance. Certainly a good region and zone for a short confluence stack.
We will be following EURUSD, GBPUSD and DXY very closely this week as we are trading from some significant levels.
EURUSD: Easing Inflation And Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.08700, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.08700 support and resistance area.
we would also like to consider the current easing inflation in the US, the previous soft inflation data may take us to a potential upcoming rate cut and a dovish USD environment which should weaken the dollar over the medium term.
Trade Safe, Joe.
Could EUR/JPY bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could potentially bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 172.42
1st Support: 171.99
1st Resistance: 173.27
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0900
1st Support: 1.0860
1st Resistance: 1.09226
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Price Surge: Analysis and Future Outlook
The EUR/USD price has surged significantly over the past 10 days. Let's explore the reasons behind this movement and the potential trends we might face in the coming days.
Fundamental Analysis:
The EUR/USD exchange rate has seen a significant increase over the past 10 days. This upward trend is primarily supported by a weakening U.S. dollar, driven by several economic factors. Recent inflation data shows that U.S. inflation is slowing down, with the annual inflation rate for June 2024 at 3.0%, a decrease from previous months. This has strengthened expectations of a less restrictive monetary policy from the Federal Reserve, with investors anticipating rate cuts in September and possibly in November or December. On the other hand, the euro has been bolstered by the European Central Bank's (ECB) aggressive stance on raising interest rates, improving energy prospects in Europe, and relative weakness in the dollar.
Technical Analysis:
The EUR/USD chart indicates a potential structural change. Recently, as the price dropped to the lower part of the channel, it found support around the 1.07 level, hitting an upward trendline without making a lower low from the previous wave at 1.06. From that level, the price rose, testing the upper part of the channel and closing the daily and weekly candles at the previous high around 1.09. This is a crucial level; if it breaks with a daily candle, it would confirm the structural change, leading to a potential further rise. Conversely, a rejection at this level could result in a decline.
Volume Analysis:
In recent sessions, the Point of Control (POC) has consistently been at the beginning of the session, indicating significant volume gaps in the daily candles. The overall POC for the channel is at the 1.08 level, which could act as a support if the price declines. If the price continues to rise, there are many upper areas left to fill from the highs of the previous year.
Sentiment Analysis:
Current retail sentiment shows a 91% short position against 9% long, with short volumes at a four-year high. However, institutional positions as of the 2024-07-09 COT report indicate 393,029 long contracts against 160,108 short. Dealers, on the other hand, are 275,000 short against 9,478 long. This discrepancy suggests that institutional players are aligned with the market, discouraging short positions.
Personal Analysis:
In my opinion, the euro's recent rise seems exaggerated given the negative IPC, a rate cut by the ECB, a favorable PPI for the dollar, and Powell's statements indicating it is not yet time to cut rates. I expect a retracement from this level or slightly higher to fill some of the gaps left during the rise, after which the market will decide on the next direction. Powell's speech on Monday will be crucial. However, I wouldn't be surprised by a continued rise, as summer markets can be very unpredictable. If you don't have any open positions, it's wise to wait for the market to establish a clear direction before entering.
I hope this analysis has been helpful. If you found it useful, please leave a boost to show your appreciation for the work done.
Sell EURUSD Wedge BreaoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Rising Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0895, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0847
2nd Support – 1.0809
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0925. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
EUR/USD bullish view(7/16\2024)EUR/USD finally broke out from the Dynamic resistance trend and is now consolidating above it. The Sentiment around the USD is still bearish.
The price needs some rest and correction to attract more buyers. After some correction, EUR/USD is likely heading to the 1.098-1.10 zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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EURO - Price can bounce down of resistance line to $1.0850 levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to rising channel, where it some time traded between $1.0850 level and then made a downward impulse.
Price broke $1.0850 level and exited from rising channel, after which fell to $1.0720 level and at once bounced up.
Next, EUR started to trades inside wedge, where it bounced from resistance line and quickly declined to support line.
After this, price bounced from this line, broke $1.0720 level, and even made a gap, after which continued to grow.
Then Euro reached $1.0850 level, broke it too and made a second gap, after which bounced from resistance line.
Now, I think price can reach resistance line and then bounce down to $1.0850 level, exiting from wedge.
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EURUSD Going for a Higher High rejection. Time the sell.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern and as we mentioned on our previous idea (July 08, see chart below), is aiming for a Higher High target at 1.09500:
Since last week, the price is getting closer to our Target and the top of the 3-month Channel Up. Based on the pattern's symmetry and the proportions between the Bullish/ Bearish Legs, once we reach 1.09500 we will reverse to a sell, targeting 1.07250 (bottom of Channel Up).
Technically, once the 4H RSI forms Higher Lows, the new bottom is formed.
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EURUSD - DailySimple trading - Consolidation
Let's take advantage of a potential Weekly swing!
Below is the weekly chart showing a potential zone for the price to bounce back and forth between the monthly highs and lows.
EURUSD has already poked above the previous week's high. wait for the price to pull back and test the PWH and we can sell confidently with strong bearish price rejection.
*These are my thoughts, not financial advice.
Falling towards the 61.8% Fibonacci support?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.08447
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.08090
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.09116
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Could EUR/GBP drop from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.84037
1st Support: 0.83687
1st Resistance: 0.84306
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURNZD I Potential correction from resistance Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURNZD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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7 Dimension Sell Setup for EURCHFCORE Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish with CHoCH
🟢 Structure Behavior: After a proper CHoCH, price reaches its extreme POI and previous high level, sweeping swing liquidity. Given the already bearish character, there is a high chance of further downside movement.
🟢 Internal Structure: Shows weakness with consolidation formation.
🟢 POI: Since liquidity is always swept at the extreme high, this is a high-probability sell area.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Rounding Patterns, Double top.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Momentum: BUY Side FOMO appeared, followed by strong bearish candles at this point.
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 Volume on Breakout: Indicates no significant volume on the bullish side; bears are more in control at this point.
🟢 Volume: Increases whenever bearish candles are observed.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Range Shift: From bullish to sideways, with a preceding divergence and a loud move indicating loss of momentum.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Squeeze Breakout: With walking on the band, forming on the bearish side.
6️⃣ Strength: Bears are taking control.
7️⃣ Sentiment: Highly bearish.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish, with liquidity sweep at extreme POI.
💡 Decision: Sell at opening.
🚀 Entry: 0.9749
✋ Stop Loss: 0.9762
🎯 Take Profit: 0.9604
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 11RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 5 days
SUMMARY
The analysis identifies a bearish swing structure on the H1 time frame, marked by a Change of Character (CHoCH) and a move towards an extreme Point of Interest (POI). The price has swept swing liquidity, and with an already bearish character, there's a high probability of continued downside. Internal structure shows weakness with consolidation, indicating bearish control.
Reversal chart patterns such as rounding patterns and double tops are noted, along with significant bearish candle patterns following initial BUY side FOMO. Volume analysis indicates increased bearish volume compared to bullish, suggesting bears are gaining control. Momentum indicators, including RSI, show a range shift from bullish to sideways with preceding divergence and loss of momentum.
Bollinger Bands indicate a bearish squeeze breakout, with strength favoring the bears. Sentiment is highly bearish, leading to a decision to sell at opening. Entry is planned at 0.9749 with a stop loss at 0.9762 and a take profit target at 0.9604, providing an 11:1 risk to reward ratio. The expected duration for this trade setup is 5 days, contingent on continued bearish momentum and price behavior as outlined.