Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1075
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1025
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1139
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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EUR (Euro)
#EURCHF 4HEUR/CHF 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Buy Opportunity
Overview
The EUR/CHF currency pair has recently experienced a significant technical event on the 4-hour chart: a trendline break. This development presents a potential buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the shift in market dynamics.
Key Observations:
Trendline Break: The pair has breached a key descending trendline that had been guiding the price movement lower. This break suggests a potential reversal or at least a pause in the downtrend, opening up possibilities for upward movement.
Market Sentiment: The trendline break often indicates a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This can attract buying interest and result in upward price momentum.
Confirmation: For a more reliable trade signal, look for confirmation through increased trading volume or additional technical indicators such as RSI or moving averages that support the bullish scenario.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position around the current price level or on a slight pullback to the broken trendline, which might now act as a support zone.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss order below the recent swing low or the trendline to manage risk in case the market does not follow through on the bullish signal.
Target Levels: Identify potential resistance levels or use technical tools to set profit targets. The next significant resistance might be found at previous highs or psychological levels.
Conclusion
The break of the 4-hour trendline in the EUR/CHF pair indicates a potential buying opportunity. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals and manage their risk accordingly. Keep an eye on market conditions and news that might impact the EUR/CHF pair to adjust your strategy as needed.
CHFEUR in doldrums but entry for bullish run comingCHFEUR will get its push from the expected fall in the AMEX:USD this week. The EUR holders will seek some safety here and this will tie in with an established pattern observed since May where the CHF against the EUR has been following a clear ascending channel as in the 2hr chart. Expectations are a confirmed bullish breakout at about 1.0687 as a start of a more significant rise to the high of 1.0857. From here will be the more significant resistance and retracement.
CHFEUR in doldrums but entry for bullish run comingCHFEUR will get its push from the expected fall in the AMEX:USD this week. The EUR holders will seek some safety here and this will tie in with an established pattern observed since May where the CHF against the EUR has been following a clear ascending channel as in the 2hr chart. Expectations are a confirmed bullish breakout at about 1.0687 as a start of a more significant rise to the high of 1.0857. From here will be the more significant resistance and retracement.
EURUSD extends uptrend due to dollar weakness
EURUSD advanced to the 1.1140 level after breaching the descending channel’s upper bound as the dollar’s weakness intensified. EMA21 is widening the gap after golden-crossing EMA78, indicating an apparent bullish signal.
If EURUSD holds above EMA21, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 1.1200 resistance. Conversely, if EURUSD fails to keep the 1.1100 support, where EMA21 intersects, the price could fall further to 1.1050.
EURGBP Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84300 zone, EURGBP was trading in an uptrend and currently is attempting to break it out. If we get decent dips below the support we will be watching a potential retrace of the trend towards more downsides!
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.11200 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.11200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish reversal?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which is also an overlap support.
Pivot: 1.1150
1st Support: 1.1071
1st Resistance: 1.1201
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sell EURCHF Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.9395
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.9353
2nd Support – 0.9324
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.9412. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
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EURNZD short term bias turned positive.EURNZD - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned positive.
Mixed but positive price action has resulted in consecutive, narrow-ranged, sideways trading days.
We look to buy dips.
50 4hour EMA is at 1.7932.
Our outlook is bullish.
The sequence for trading is higher highs and lows.
We look to Buy at 1.7940 (stop at 1.7880)
Our profit targets will be 1.8090 and 1.8120
Resistance: 1.8000 / 1.8029 / 1.8070
Support: 1.7960 / 1.7900 / 1.7850
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EUR/USD Poised for Bullish Breakout Amid Weakening USD and CPI EUR/USD Technical Analysis:
Current Outlook: EUR/USD is currently consolidating around the pivot level of 1.1000, with a potential bullish scenario on the horizon, especially with today’s anticipated inflation data, which is expected to show a weakening USD with a CPI result of around 2.5%. This could drive EUR/USD higher in the near term.
Best Scenario : A bullish trend is more likely if the price stabilizes above the pivot line. A continued uptrend could lead the price toward the resistance levels at 1.1129 and 1.1168. The weakening USD from the inflation report supports this scenario.
Key Levels:
Pivot Line: 1.1036
Resistance Levels: 1.1129, 1.1168, 1.1240
Support Levels: 1.0949, 1.0913, 1.0861
Expected Range Today:
The price is likely to move between 1.0949 and 1.1168, with a bullish bias.
Overall Trend: The overall trend is expected to be bullish, especially if the price remains above the pivot point at 1.1000. A weaker-than-expected CPI for the USD will reinforce this upward movement, making the uptrend the stronger scenario.
EURUSD Channel Down hitting its top. Sell opportunity.The EURUSD pair rebounded on Friday on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today the price is testing the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 3-week Channel Down pattern. This presents an strong sell opportunity on an excellent Risk/Reward ratio and the upside is limited to the top but the downside having much room to drop to the bottom of the Channel.
The previous Bearish Legs declined by -1.41% and -1.56% respectively. As long as the price is closing below the top of the Channel Down, our target will be the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 1.09900 (-1.26% from the top, negative progression relative to the previous Bearish Legs).
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EUR/USD Kicks Off the Week on a Positive Note Ahead of Crucial..EUR/USD Kicks Off the Week on a Positive Note Ahead of Crucial Fed Decision
The EUR/USD pair began the week with positive momentum, hovering around the 1.1000 mark ahead of the London session on Monday. Investors are keeping a close eye on the upcoming US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision, which is expected to have a significant impact on the market later this week. The key question remains: will the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points (bps), or will it take a more aggressive approach and reduce rates by 50 bps?
According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the odds are nearly split, with a 48.0% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. The market's indecision reflects the broader uncertainty surrounding the Fed's next move as economic conditions remain mixed. While inflation data has shown signs of cooling, other indicators point to a resilient economy, leaving investors to speculate on the extent of monetary easing that may be announced.
All eyes will be on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to provide crucial insights into the central bank's future stance on interest rates. Should Powell signal a more aggressive easing approach, it could weigh heavily on the US Dollar, potentially pushing the EUR/USD higher. Conversely, a more cautious outlook could lead to a stronger dollar, capping any further gains for the euro.
From a technical perspective, the week begins with little change in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which shows that retail traders are still overwhelmingly long on the euro. In fact, retailer positioning is at its highest point since August 2023, signaling a potential reversal opportunity for contrarian traders. As the EUR/USD approaches a key supply area, a retest could trigger a pullback, with the price poised to drop if the supply zone holds.
Given the heavy retail interest in long positions, we are looking for a short setup in the EUR/USD. A pullback from the current levels, especially around the supply area, could offer an attractive opportunity for bears. With the market bracing for the Fed's policy decision and retail traders heavily invested in long positions, the coming days could provide pivotal moments for the EUR/USD pair.
As the week unfolds, the Fed's policy signals will be key to determining the next directional move for the EUR/USD. For now, traders should remain cautious and watch for any shifts in sentiment as the market digests the Fed's decision and the FOMC press conference.
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Bullish bounce?EUR/NOK is falling towards the pivot which has been acts as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 11.74385
1st Support: 11.65492
1st Resistance: 11.88554
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.