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EURUSD 15-19 Apr 2024 W16 Weekly Analysis - Middle East Tension!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 5-19 Apr 2024 W16 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. Internal Structure continuing bearish following the Bearish Swing. 3. After the Bearish iBOS we expect a pullback. Currently price is within the Weekly Demand and swept Liq from the left. Price could initiate a PB at anytime or after reaching the Daily Extreme Demand. More price development required. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions to fulfill a Pullback Phase. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Pullback Phase 2. Swing continuing bearish following the HTF Bearish Trend. Expectations is set for the Swing to stay bearish to fulfill the HTF targets. 3. After a BOS we expect a Pullback. Currently price within the Weekly Demand and at a 4H Demand Zone. Possibly that PB Phase could start from here and the first weak confirmation would be a Bullish CHoCH. Following the HTF targets, there is a high probability that the Bearish OF will hold so shorts are possible for continuation bearish from 4H Supply zones. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
HelenP. I Euro can break trend line and rise to resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. A few moments ago price reached the resistance zone, which coincided with resistance 2, but soon price turned around and in a short time declined to resistance 1, thereby exiting from the 1.0850 - 1.0870 resistance area and starting to trades inside from consolidation. In range, the price at once rebounded from resistance 1 and rose back to the 1.0850 - 1.0870 resistance area, but soon Euro turned around and declined below, making a fake breakout of resistance 2. Price some time traded near this level and later it entered to 1.0850 - 1.0870 resistance area one more time and then it reached the trend line. After this, the Euro rebounded and made a strong impulse down to resistance 1, breaking resistance 2 again and soon price broke resistance 1 too, thereby exiting from consolidation as well. Also then, EUR some time traded in one more resistance area, after which it declined more. For my mind, the Euro will start to move up to the resistance level, thereby breaking the trend line. That's why I set my target at the 1.0725 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Long
by FirstNameHelen
6
EURUSD: Fed Grapples with Surging CPI and NFP FiguresDear Traders, As we gear up for the week ahead, our attention zeroes in on EURUSD, where we anticipate a selling opportunity to manifest around the 1.06600 zone. EURUSD continues its downward trajectory, presently navigating a correction phase as it approaches the pivotal support and resistance area at 1.06600. Delving into the fundamental underpinnings, recent economic indicators paint a picture of USD strength. The latest Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data revealed robust job creation, with March recording an impressive increase of 303k jobs compared to the previous month's 212k, surpassing market expectations. This surge in employment underscores the resilience of the US economy. Furthermore, examining the Consumer Price Index (CPI) trend reveals a consistent uptick in inflationary pressures. Over recent months, CPI data has shown a steady climb: Mar 12, 2024: 3.5% Feb 13, 2024: 3.2% Jan 11, 2024: 3.0% Dec 12, 2023: 2.8% Nov 14, 2023: 2.5% This sustained inflationary trend has heightened concerns and could prompt a more hawkish stance from the Federal Reserve as policymakers aim to curb inflation risks by tightening monetary policy. Considering these developments, the Federal Reserve might pivot towards a more hawkish stance in response to the buoyant US economy and escalating inflation. Such a stance could further bolster the US dollar, exerting downward pressure on EURUSD. Therefore, as we monitor EURUSD for a potential selling opportunity around 1.06600, it's imperative to remain vigilant of the numerical metrics and their implications on market sentiment and direction. Wishing you prudent and prosperous trading, Joe
Short
by JoeChampion
EURUSD 12 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish 2. Expectations are met for the INT Structure with the Bearish iBOS. Currently price targeting the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited. Price now in a bearish momentum targeting the Weak Swing Low. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish 2. Considered this as Swing due to the Bullish iBOS. With the Swing bearish, expectations is set for bearish continuation. This 15m Supply is the only clear supply for Shorts. 3. Following the 4H Swing, expectation is set to continue bearish and the 15m Swing will hold bearish to fulfill the 4H Swing targets.
by Amr-Sadek
4
Where EURUSD is heading in the upcoming week?After the cpi report yesterday the price has broken its somewhat pretty respectable support according to me and now it seems to be heading towards its daily support near 1.0675. As I have marked the downtrend I think price might even go further down the weekly support but you never know what can happen in forex market so I will take my profits near weekly support areas and wait for a reversal or if the price continues to go further down then I will open a new trade. HOW AM I SURE THAT IT IS A DOWN TREND? I am sure becuase as you can see both of the times price bounced back from the golden level of FIB and when it first happend it made a lower low and now the second time when it bounced back from the golden fib level it has already made a new lower low.
Short
by OMGiTzREALHASSAN
EURUSD - Bearish => Bullish 🎯Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📉 As per my last analysis , attached on the chart, EURUSD rejected the upper red circle zone and traded lower. Currently, EURUSD is approaching the lower bound of the red wedge pattern. Moreover, the $1.07 is a strong support. 🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle with the blue arrow is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support and lower red trendline. 📚 As per my trading style: As #EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich
by TheSignalyst
2
EURUSD 11 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - EU Rate / US PPIThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 11 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish 2. As price formed a Bearish CHoCH before the CPI news, it was a nice signal for INT Structure to continue bearish. Expectations is set to target the Weak INT / Swing Lows. 3. Price tapped the 4H Demand but as we are in Pro Swing/INT the reaction from this demand will be limited. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Swing Pullback Phase 2. CPI news had a solid push causing a bearish BOS. No HP POI except the 4H Supply with a 15m nested within it. IMO i've doubts that price will pullback to this supply. Expectations is set to continue bearish to fulfill the 4H INT/Swing continuation phase. 3. After a BOS, we expect a pullback. Price is currently within the 4H Demand but no momentum. CHoCH will be the first sign that Swing Pullback maybe starting but be mindful that we are not well positioned within the HTF structure. Following the bearish move would be the optimum decision.
by Amr-Sadek
Potential bullish riseEUR/USD is currently on a support level which is an overlap support level and could reverse from this level to our take profit Entry: 1.07274 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level Stop loss: 1.06957 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level Take profit: 1.07767 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
EUR/USD to slump again after ECB decision? The EUR/USD plunged after the hotter-than-expected CPI, as traders reevaluated the odds of a Fed rate cut in June. EUR/USD has now perhaps broken out of the range of its significant Simple Moving Averages. Now we might get another pushdown in the lead up to or after the ECB interest rate decision tomorrow. The April 2 swing low of 1.07245 may prove pivotal. The previous session's decline was the biggest single-day decline since March 2023, so it will be interesting to see if this bearishness has been exhausted. The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to keep rates unchanged but perhaps point towards the start of its own rate cutting cycle in June. ECB officials have already begun discussing this timeline, so tomorrow’s announcement might lack the bite of a CPI print. Instead, traders could look for clues on future ECB policy during Christine Lagarde’s press conference following the rate decision.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURUSD 10 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday Analysis - US CPI/FOMC DAY!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 10 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI. Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply or Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting. 3. 15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
by Amr-Sadek
2
EURUSD 9 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg and currently close to mitigate the 4H Supply. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Swing Pullback Phase 2. As expected, price reached the Weak Swing High and created a Bullish BOS. After a BOS we expect a pullback. We didn't mitigate a HP/HTF POI. Price will continue bullish till the mitigation of the 4H Supply Till we have the Bearish iBOS to confirm the Swing Pullback Phase is starting. 3. 15m/4H Demand would be potential for longs once reached after confirmation to continue the bullish swing.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD on crossroads. Bullish or Bearish?The EURUSD pair hit our 1.07250 Target of our March 27 analysis (see chart below) before the current 1-week rebound: Right now it is giving mixed signals as the latest rebound made the 1D RSI break and stay above its MA trend-line, which is a pattern it following on the February - March Bullish Leg. At the same time though, the 2024 Channel Down is intact but if the RSI break-out prevails, we expect a new (dotted) Channel Up to emerge. Obviously the pair is on critical crossroads as far as the long-term trend is concerned. Our plan is to buy on the next 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) pull-back and target 1.09815 (Resistance 1). We are only willing to take the loss if the price breaks below the Symmetrical Support Zone, and sell targeting 1.05500 (-4.00% decline from the previous Lower High, similar to the Channel's first Bearish Leg. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
Could EURUSD reverse from here?The price is rising towards a resistance level, which also serves as a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could indicate a double top pattern, potentially leading the price to fall to our take profit target. Entry: 1.08692 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Stop loss: 1.09153 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level Take profit: 1.08031 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
EURUSD Bearish Megaphone. Will it break out?EURUSD is trading inside a Bearish Megaphone with the price very close to its top. This is still a sell unless it crosses over the top of the pattern. Trading Plan: 1. Sell on the current market price. 2. Buy if the price crosses over the top of the Megaphone. Targets: 1. 1.09800 (Resistance A). 2. 1.07000 (Fibonacci 0). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) crossed over its MA trendline, which is what happened when the last Bullish Leg of the Rectangle started. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
by TradingBrokersView
EURUSD 8 Apr 2024 W15 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 8 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bullish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation Phase 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. 3. INT Structure failed to continue bearish and turned bullish after reaching the 15m Swing EQ and tapping into a daily demand zone. Expectations is set to continue Bullish following the 15m Bullish Swing Continuation Phase with target of the Weak Swing High.
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 Weekly Analysis - EU Rate / US CPI PPIThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 8-12 Apr 2024 W15 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: Weekly Daily 4H Economic Events Weekly Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal) 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low. 3. Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation. Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low. Daily Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish INT Bearish Swing Continuation / INT Continuation 2. After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low. Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which was initiated after the Bullish CHoCH which formed a demand that is currently showing reaction from causing a Bullish CHoCH. 3. Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left. With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low. 4. Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached. 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. Price had tapped into the Daily Demand zone and showing a reaction from. OF is still bullish a confirmation of bearish continuation will be confirmed with a Bearish ChoCH. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. Economic Events for the Week
by Amr-Sadek
EURUSD 7/4/24EU starting off our weekly markups, we are looking at exactly what we called for way back at the start of last month which is price creating daily highs and lows bringing us an overall lower low on the weekly TF, as we know this always need a form of pullback to create these structures. On our chart you can see we have an idea of what we would like to see, this is for price to drop down into the lower zones we have marked and then travel higher, we established the bullish move on Friday and at the end of last week telling us we need to see better prices for sells, where we sit we also need to see better prices for buys as well! Taking the high to the left has shown us that bullishness is most likely to follow in again this week so we look for the best area to give us context for more higher timeframe structure to form. follow PA and trade your plan.
by PipSurfingSociety
EURO - Price can bounce up to $1.0900, breaking resistance lineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊 Some time ago price started to trades in flat, where it some time decliend to support area, after which it started to grow. Price left flat, and then reached $1.0935 level and even entered to resistance area, where EUR little time traded. After this, Euro broke $1.0935 level and fell below, after which price rose to this level again and made downward impulse. Euro fell to support line, breaking $1.0820 level, but soon it turned around and made upward impulse to resistance line. Also, price broke $1.0820 level again, and reached resistance line, but recently it fell and then started to rise. In my mind, Euro can little decline and then bounce up to $1.0900, breaking resistance line. If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Long
by WalterMoon
EURUSD: Potential MACD Bullish Cross makes all the differenceEURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.712, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 26.518) and that's exactly how we can characterize its trend on the medium term. Even though both this week and the previous closed on flat 1W candles, the pair remains inside a Channel Down that has just formed a 1D Death Cross. For now that is bearish and that's what we remain, still aiming for a -2.67% decline (TP = 1.06900) since two weeks ago. Notice however the 1D MACD which is near forming a Bullish Cross, something we last saw on February 16th. If it gets completed, it will be a bullish reversal signal, so we will close our short and open long targeting the top dashed trendline (TP = 1.10700). If it fails to get completed like the August 30th 2023 one, we expect an even more aggressive downtrend. The difference this time is that the price already crossed over the 1D MA50, something which didn't happen then. See how our prior idea has worked out: ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Short
by InvestingScope
1
EURUSD 5 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - NFP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames: 4H 15m 4H Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bearish / Continuation INT Bearish / Pullback Phase 2. Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg. As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish. 4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low. 3. After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback. 15m Chart Analysis 1. Swing Bullish Internal Bearish Reached Swing EQ 2. After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback. Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. 3. As expected yesterday, 15m Swing Pullback confirmed after the Bearish iBOS. Price continued bearish and reached the 15m Swing EQ but didn't mitigate any HTF POI. Following the Bullish Swing, We need a bullish iBOS to target the Weak Swing High. Still INT Structure Bearish so expectations is set to continue bearish to mitigate at least the 4H POIs within the 15m Swing Discount.
by Amr-Sadek
2
Rising into a resistance level, could it reverse?EURUSD is rising towards a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit Entry: 1.08525 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Stop loss: 1.08763 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level Take profit: 1.07992 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets