EURUSD 4 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis-ECB Minutes/US JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 4 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
Bearish Swing failed and we created a Bullish BOS which aligns with the 4H request to initiate the 4H INT Pullback.
But be mindful that we reached the 4H INT Structure EQ and Premium where we could see a bearish continuation.
Shorts are mostly viable after we mitigate a HTF POI and/or a bearish iBOS.
Eur-usd
Euro can make correction move and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a not long time ago entered to upward channel, where it reached the resistance line and then at once rebounded down to the 1.0800 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, EUR continued to move up in the upward channel and soon reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it, thereby exiting from the upward channel too. Then price some time traded in the seller zone, after which turned around and started to decline in a downward channel. Euro at once broke the 1.0920 level and then fell to the support line of the channel, and then it rebounded up to the seller zone, but at once turned around and fell back, making a fake breakout of the 1.0920 level. Next, the price broke 1.0800 also, after which it some time traded in the buyer zone and declined to support line of the downward channel. But a not long time ago Euro turned around and made an upward impulse, thereby breaking the 1.0800 level one more time and exiting from a downward channel also. At the moment, I think that the Euro can make a correction movement first and then continue to rise to the 1.0920 resistance level, which is my target as well. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Rising into resistance levelEURUSD is rising towards a pullback resistance, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.08652
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 1.09149
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 88% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 1.08007
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD formed the 1st 1D Death Cross since September!The EURUSD pair quickly hit our 1.07250 Target, which we set on our most recent sell signal (March 27, see chart below):
Moving out to the 1D time-frame we can see that this is the Bearish Leg of the long-term Channel Down pattern that started at the beginning of the year and we are only halfway through it. Also the pair just completed the first Death Cross on the 1D time-frame since September 29 2023. That is a strong enough sell signal on its own.
As long as the price keeps closing 1D candles below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will remain bearish, expecting a new Lower Low on this 3-month Channel Down. The previous was formed on a -4.00% decline, so a repeat of that targets 1.05500.
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EURUSD 1 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - US PMI This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 1 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback.
Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure.
More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase.
3.
As price failed to initiate a pullback from the 4H demand, price continued bearish to the Daily demand zone.
Possible reaction ONLY from the Daily demand as we are in the momentum phase of targeting the 4H Weak Swing Low.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price still in the bearish momentum following the HTF continuation.
Price tapped into the daily demand which could provide a reaction to facilitate the INT Bearish Structure Pullback.
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.07950 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.07950 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD 1-5 Apr 2024 W14 Weekly Analysis - NFP Week!This is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 1-5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation.
Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
Swing Continuation / INT Continuation
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low.
Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in.
3.
Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left.
With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback.
Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure.
More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase.
3.
4H and Daily Demand Zones for possible reactions only once reached.
Economic Events for the Week
Euro can bounce up of support level to 1.0845 points in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Some days ago price rebounded from the resistance line, which is located in the seller zone, and in a short time declined to the 1.0775 level, which coincided with the buyer zone, thereby breaking the 1.0890 level. After this, the EUR soon declined to the support line, breaking the support level too, but then the price turned around and started to rise. In a short time, the Euro reached a support level, broke it one more time, and continued to move up. After this, the price made a correction to the support line and then rebounded and made a strong impulse up to the resistance line, thereby breaking the 1.0890 level. But soon, the EUR turned around and soon declined to this level and even broke it again. As well then, the price continued to decline in a downward channel, where the Euro broke the support line too and later fell to the 1.0775 support level. But a not long time ago price rebounded and started to rise, so, I think that the Euro can rebound from the support level to the resistance line of the downward channel. For this case, I set my target at 1.0845 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] Various FX involved,Mostly..Hello Traders, here we go again!
Let me cover a little bit more on the next topic in this mini series, the various currencies that are involved and a little descriptions about them! Let's begin!
In the vast realm of forex trading, understanding the intricacies of currency pairs is fundamental to success. As a Full-time forex trader with years of live experience, I'm here to shed light on the major and minor currency pairs that dominate the market.
Major Currency Pairs: The Powerhouses of Forex. Normally most retailers trade these pairs as they offer higher liquidity and therefore tighter spreads.
Major currency pairs are the cornerstone of forex trading, encompassing currencies from the world's largest economies. These pairs typically involve the most traded currencies globally and offer high liquidity and stability.
Among the major pairs, the most prominent include:
1. EUR/USD (Euro/US Dollar): Known as the "fiber," this pair represents two of the world's largest economies, the Eurozone and the United States. It's renowned for its liquidity and tight spreads.
2. USD/JPY (US Dollar/Japanese Yen): Dubbed the "ninja," , the JPY or the YEN, this pair reflects the economic relationship between the US and Japan, two economic powerhouses with distinct monetary policies.
3. GBP/USD (British Pound/US Dollar): Often referred to as "cable," this pair reflects the relationship between the UK and the US, and it's influenced by economic data, geopolitical events, e.g. Brexit developments.
4. USD/CHF (US Dollar/Swiss Franc): Known as the "swissie," this pair is influenced by safe-haven flows, Swiss banking policies, and US economic data.
5. AUD/USD (Australian Dollar/US Dollar): Termed the "aussie," this pair is closely tied to commodity prices, particularly gold and other precious metals, as Australia is a major exporter of raw materials.
6. USD/CAD (US Dollar/Canadian Dollar): Called the "loonie," this pair is heavily influenced by oil prices, given Canada's status as a major oil exporter.
Minor Currency Pairs: Navigating the Market Beyond Majors
While major pairs dominate forex trading, minor currency pairs offer unique opportunities that should not be overlooked as well. These pairs involve currencies from smaller or emerging economies and could be less liquid than their major counterparts.
Notable minor pairs include:
1. EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound): This pair reflects the relationship between the Eurozone and the UK, and it's influenced by economic data from both regions. In my opinion, this pair quite frequently range and sometimes it is termed as "mean reverting pair".
2. EUR/JPY (Euro/Japanese Yen): Combining two major currencies, this pair offers opportunities for traders seeking exposure to both the Eurozone and Japan.
9. GBP/JPY (British Pound/Japanese Yen): Known for its volatility, this pair attracts traders looking to capitalize on the economic dynamics between the UK and Japan. It is also one of the top favorite for scalpers.
10. AUD/JPY (Australian Dollar/Japanese Yen): Influenced by commodity prices and risk sentiment, this pair is popular among traders seeking exposure to the Australian and Japanese economies.
3. NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar): Known as the "kiwi," this pair reflects economic developments in New Zealand and global risk sentiment.
4. CAD/JPY (Canadian Dollar/Japanese Yen): This pair offers insights into the commodity markets and the economic relationship between Canada and Japan.
In conclusion, mastering major and minor currency pairs is essential for navigating the forex market effectively. Major pairs offer stability and liquidity, while minor pairs provide opportunities for some diversification. By understanding the dynamics of each currency pair and staying informed about global economic developments, traders can unlock the full potential of forex trading and achieve profitable outcomes in this dynamic and ever-evolving market. And of course don't forget about your technical analysis!
Thank you for your time and hope you have enjoyed the content and if you do so please leave a thumbs up or a comment if you have any suggestions to make this better!
Do check out the other links if you missed out on the other parts of this Forex Mini Series i put up for all (FREE)!
Signing out!
STBB
EURUSD 28 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday Analysis - US GDP/JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 28 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
3.
Finally with the Bearish iBOS we confirm the Swing Pullback is over and currently we align with the Bearish Swing targeting the Weak Swing Low.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Bullish CHoCH will be the first sign of the the INT Structure Pullback.
Price had mitigated the 4H Demand for possible start of the Bullish Pullback of INT Structure.
More development on LTF required to confirm the Bullish Pullback Phase.
3.
4H and Daily Demand Zones for possible reactions only once reached.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price reached the 4H demand and the nested 15m Demand which is mitigated after the bullish CHoCH initiating the 15m INT Structure Pullback.
Expectations is set for price to initiate the 15m Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS. But be mindful that price could continue bearish targeting 4H Weak Swing Low.
3.
15m/4H Supply zones for possible short options once reached.
🤽♂EURUSD bullish pullbackEUR/USD Technical Analysis 📉📈📊
Current Price: 1.08360 🟢
Recent Pullback: The EUR/USD pair retraced from the level of 1.07980.📉📈📊
Retest of Support: It's currently retesting the support level around 1.08260, indicating a potential bullish sentiment.
Trade Target: The next significant resistance level lies at 1.08881, which presents an attractive target for bullish momentum.📉📈📊
Trading Plan:
- Entry: Consider entering a long position if the price breaks convincingly above the resistance level at 1.08260.
- Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the support level to manage risk in case of a reversal.
Take Profit Aim for a take profit level near the resistance at 1.08881, capturing potential upward movement.
Risk Management Always adhere to proper risk management principles, ensuring that potential losses are controlled and manageable relative to the trading account size. ❤️👍 Good luck 🤞
Pales safe trade 🙏❤️ don't forget like and comments
EURUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.08250 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.08250 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Could EURUSD bounce from here?EUR/USD is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level and rise to our take profit.
Entry: 1.07998
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Stop loss: 1.07621
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci projection
Take Profit: 1.08573
Why we like it:
There is a swing high resistance
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Buy EURUSD News BasedThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potentially ambiguous situation with an expanding triangle pattern. While this pattern can signal a breakout in either direction, some caution is advised before entering a long (buy) position.
Potential Long Trade :
Entry around: 1.0823 (current price)
Target Levels:
1.0880: This represents the upper trendline of the triangle, which could act as the initial upside target upon a confirmed breakout.
1.0900: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the recent price movement.
Stop-Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the lower trendline of the triangle, ideally around 1.0807. This helps limit potential losses if the price breaks down from the triangle pattern.
Thank you.
EURUSD 27 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday AnalysisThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 27 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish / Continuation Phase
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.
3.
4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High.
Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation.
4.
Current PA is still showing that the 4H Strong INT Low is holding but the OF is Bearish and Supply still in control.
A bullish CHoCH will indicate imo a HP confirmation for the INT Structure to continue bullish.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Swing Continuation Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
The 4H demand is already mitigated after the Bullish CHoCH on the 4H TF but seems to be some orders still remaining within the 4H Demand and the 4H Extreme which is providing the pullback for the Bearish iBOS.
Current PA is pointing to targeting the Weak Swing Low but again be mindful of the Strong INT Low on the 4H which is still holding.
Bullish iBOS will confirm imo a HP Bullish continuation.
3.
Price reached the reached the 15m FLIP Zone and initiated the INT Pullback which caused a bearish iBOS aligning again with the 15m Bearish Swing.
EURUSD 4H Death Cross emerging after +2 months.The EURUSD pair is ahead of the first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame since January 19 2024, trading within a Channel Down similar to January's. This technical symmetry suggests that every rebound is a short-term sell opportunity, with the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) expected to turn into a Resistance until the next Bullish Leg.
One last rally towards 1.08750 is possible but as mentioned, for the next 2 weeks, we expect Support 1 (1.07950) to break and fall towards Support 2 (1.06950). We set a more modest target on the Symmetrical Support Zone at 1.07250.
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EURUSD Structured entry levels for buying and selling.EURUSD is on the 2nd Bearish Wave of the Rectangle since the start of the year.
That is in the form of a Channel Down, so far identical to the 1st.
This, along with the Fibonacci retracement levels offer stable entries for both buying and selling.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
2. Sell on the next MA50 (4h) rejection after that.
Targets:
1. 1.07350 (bottom of Channel Down.
2. 1.07000 (bottom of Rectangle).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is below its MA level, confirming that we are indeed on a downtrend structure.
Please like, follow and comment!!
Notes:
Past trading plan:
EURUSD 26 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday Analysis - US Durable GoodsThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 26 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish / Continuation Phase
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.
3.
4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High.
Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation.
4.
As expected, Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zone as referred to the deep INT Structure Pullback.
Price created a Bullish CHoCH at the INT Structure Extreme which is a sign that the deep pullback may ended and we could be in the Bullish move to target the Weak INT High.
More bullish price development on LTF is required to confirm the current expectations of continuation bullish.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Swing Continuation Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
After mitigating the 15m/4H Demand zones, INT Structure turned Bullish confirming the Swing Low and the Swing Pullback Phase started.
Expectations is set to for price to continue bullish till the Swing EQ/Premium to facilitate the Swing Pullback Phase.
3.
Price reached the 4H Supply and initiated the INT Structure Pullback which was also a HP supply zone for Shorts to continue the Swing Bearish Move.
INT Structure turned bearish aligning with the Bearish Swing for bearish continuation.
Expectation is set to continue bearish to target the Weak Swing Low. But be mindful that the 4H still bullish and we are in the 4H INT Structure Discount/Extreme and maybe we will stay bullish. Bullish iBOS will confirm the bullish scenario.
EURUSD 25 Mar 2024 W13 - Intraday Analysis - US New Home SalesThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 25 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish / Continuation Phase
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.
3.
4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High.
Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation.
4.
As expected, Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zone as referred to the deep INT Structure Pullback.
Price created a Bullish CHoCH at the INT Structure Extreme which is a sign that the deep pullback may ended and we could be in the Bullish move to target the Weak INT High.
More bullish price development on LTF is required to confirm the current expectations of continuation bullish.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
After mitigating the 15m/4H Demand zones, INT Structure turned Bullish confirming the Swing Low and the Swing Pullback Phase started.
Expectations is set to for price to continue bullish till the Swing EQ/Premium to facilitate the Swing Pullback Phase.
3.
Swing Extreme Supply zones on 15m nested within the 4H Supply for HP Swing Bearish Continuation.
EUR/USD is Aiming for 1.07 zone (3/25/2024)Hello Traders
EUR/USD had some upward corrections from "14 Feb 2024" until "8 March 2024".
FED news(PPI, CPI, and interest rate) turned the table and changed the upward momentum into a downward movement.
Right now the price has broken the upward channel and made a pullback on it.
So we believe the price will reach lower levels.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by Like, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
EURUSD 24/3/24Starting off our week with the EU chart on the hourly timeframe, we broke our swing structures lower and shifted bearish to line up with the daily timeframe, we have 3 projections here for this chart we are currently in a bearish structure which you can see highlighted in this markup. i am expecting price to drop lower into our demand zone marked up in green and then to shift our swing structures bullish ready for the pullback to create the next high in price.
Alternatively we could have a bullish shift early on in the week then lead us into more bearish PA and our demand we have marked!
Either way the trend is set and the markets are open, trade what you are given not what you want to see!
EURUSD 25-29 Mar 2024 W13 Weekly AnalysisThis is my Weekly analysis on EURUSD for 25-29 Mar 2024 W13 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
Weekly
Daily
4H
Economic Events
Weekly Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
Swing Continuation (Pro Swing + Pro Internal)
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we will target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
Price had reached the Bearish INT Structure extreme and initiated the Bearish Internal Structure Continuation.
Expectation is to continue bearish and target he Weak INT Low.
Daily Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bearish
Swing Continuation / INT Pullback
2.
After the Bearish iBOS we confirmed that the Swing Pullback is over and we are expecting price to target the Weak Swing Low.
Also after iBOS we expected a pullback which we are currently in.
3.
Price didn't reach a HP POI to continue down, but price seems to be reacting from the Liq on the left.
With the current PA, expectation is set to target the Weak INT Low and further to the Weak Swing Low.
4.
Daily and Weekly demand zones for reactions once reached.
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish
INT Bullish / Continuation Phase
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After a BOS and iBOS we expect a Pullback.
As expected after the Bullish CHoCH and mitigation of 4H/Daily Demand zones, we initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
Price reached the 4H/Daily Supply and from there we could start the bearish continuation.
Price failed to continue the bearish move and as expected it changed bullish and created iBOS confirming Swing Low and Bearish Swing Pullback Phase started.
3.
4H Swing pullback phase still active with Internal Structure continuing bullish with a new iBOS.
After iBOS we expect a pullback. Price had reached the INT Structure Demand zone and created a Bullish CHoCH which indicates that the INT Pullback maybe over and we are currently targeting the Weak INT High. after which price failed to target the Weak INT High.
Current price indicate that we will have a deep 4H INT Pullback to maybe the 4H/Daily Demand zones before any continuation.
4.
As expected, Price reached the 4H/Daily demand zone as referred to the deep INT Structure Pullback.
We have now the 2 scenarios; if price will continue up targeting the Weak INT High we will respect the Strong Low.
If price breaking the Strong INT Low, then the Daily view in play and we will target the 4H/Daily Weak Swing Low.
Economic Events for the Week