Euro will break support level and continue to declineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a not long time ago declined a little and then made a strong impulse up, thereby breaking the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Also, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, where it later reached the resistance line and then made a correction movement to the support line, and at once rebounded up, making a fake breakout of 1.0910 level. Later Euro rose to the current support level, which coincided with the seller zone, and even entered to this area, but soon turned around and fell below, making a fake breakout of 1.1020 level. But soon, the price started to grow and in a short time rose back to the seller zone, breaking this level one more time. Also recently, the price rose higher than the seller zone, but I think that it can rise to the resistance line of the channel and then start to decline. When the price reaches the support level, it can break it and continue to decline inside the downward channel, so, that's why I set my TP at 1.0960 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR
EURUSD 19/8/24Starting off our week as always with EUR/USD, we have a very simple markup for you this week. We liquidated our four-hour high, which was created after the break of the previous structural high. This has now established a clear liquidity trajectory to the upside. We have an area of demand that sits around the 50% level of the last created range. This will be the first area where we will begin anticipating bullish price action. We’re currently waiting for the four-hour candle to close so we can form our new four-hour high.
The main principle here is that we expect price action to continue moving bullishly, but we are aware of the potential for higher time frame weekly price action to start leading the market with a bearish push. However, for now, we're only seeing upside momentum, so we will follow that. Please note that we have liquidity points marked within our swing structure. If we begin to fail at areas of demand, these could become potential targets. Price action is pretty clean right now, so let's just follow it and continue to track what price is showing us within our entry time frame.
Have an amazing week, and I hope you all trade safe.
Bearish drop?EUR/CHF is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.95493
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.96505
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.94270
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish reversal?EUR/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 159.97
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop [ loss: 157.59
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 164.87
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
The Scenario for New EUR/USD 2024 Highs? Market sentiment is leaning towards three more rate cuts from the European Central Bank (ECB) this year, while economists are more cautious, expecting just two. Should the economists be correct, 2023’s high for the EUR/USD pair could be back in play.
The market's confidence in ECB rate cuts outpaces that in the Federal Reserve. The Fed, facing closer scrutiny, is walking a tighter rope; its first rate cut in years will likely be the most important event of the year (possibly bigger than the US election), as it marks the beginning of a new monetary-policy phase.
Adding to the intrigue is a recent uptick in Eurozone inflation, which suggests that progress on this front may have stalled. In contrast, many believe that U.S. inflation is either under control or nearing that point.
This week's Jackson Hole symposium, scheduled for August 22-24, could provide further insights, particularly from European policymakers. Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey is already confirmed as a speaker, but the full agenda of talks is released closer to the opening day.
R2F Weekly Analysis - 18th August 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. I'm going to go through various assets/markets, and give a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what I'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
- R2F
Gbpusd watching for pullbacks ideally for longHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Watching for a pullback to long. daily chart it has hold on to the uptrend line, last few days momentum was to the bull side. Looking at setups for long on this. Also for Eurusd.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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How to track the US dollar's direction?A lowering of U.S. interest rates may be necessary, but the downside risk is a weaker USD. And a significantly weaker dollar may cause inflation to creep back up again.
Today, I will share a little hack on how to track and preempt the U.S. dollar’s direction.
To conclude:
Long-term - Down
Mid-term - Range to a breaking point
Currencies Futures and Options
Minimum fluctuation:
0.00005 per AUD increment = $5.00
0.00005 per CAD increment = $5.00
0.00005 CHF increment = $6.25
0.000050 per Euro increment = $6.25
0.0001 per GBP increments = $6.25
0.0000005 per JPY increment = $6.25
Disclaimer:
• What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker.
• Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises.
CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
EURUSD Is Approaching The Weekly TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a selling opportunity around 1.10900 zone, EURUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.10900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURGBP to find buyers at market price?EURGBP - Intraday
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are bullish.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8517.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to Buy at 0.8515 (stop at 0.8491)
Our profit targets will be 0.8575 and 0.8590
Resistance: 0.8535 / 0.8550 / 0.8575
Support: 0.8528 / 0.8515 / 0.8500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURAUD rallies to continue attract sellers?EURAUD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Rallies continue to attract sellers.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.6690.
We look to Sell at 1.6690 (stop at 1.6750)
Our profit targets will be 1.6540 and 1.6500
Resistance: 1.6690 / 1.6740 / 1.6810
Support: 1.6520 / 1.6450 / 1.6400
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EUR/USD Approaches Key Supply Area Amid U.S. CPI DataThe EUR/USD is nearing a significant supply area around 1.10500, with the pair currently showing signs of being overbought. The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report highlights that retail traders are largely bullish on the pair, adding to the potential for a correction. The focus now shifts to the upcoming release of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for July by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which is likely to play a crucial role in determining the pair's next move.
Market expectations suggest that on a yearly basis, the CPI will rise by 2.9%, slightly down from the 3% recorded in June. The core CPI, which excludes the most volatile items, is anticipated to increase by 3.2% annually. On a monthly basis, both the headline CPI and core CPI are expected to rise by 0.2%.
Should the monthly core CPI, a key indicator that removes base effects and volatile prices, exceed expectations, it could trigger an immediate recovery in the U.S. Dollar (USD). This would likely weigh on the EUR/USD, leading to a potential downward movement from the supply zone around 1.10500. Conversely, if the core CPI underperforms, failing to meet market estimates, the pair might push higher, potentially breaching the initial supply area.
If EUR/USD manages to surpass the 1.10500 level, the next significant resistance lies around 1.12000. This area could act as another barrier for the Euro, where a rebound might occur. However, the current analysis suggests that a reversal at the first supply area is more probable, especially if the USD regains strength following the CPI data release.
In conclusion, the upcoming CPI figures will be pivotal in shaping the EUR/USD's trajectory. Traders should closely monitor the data, as it could either reinforce the overbought conditions and lead to a correction, or propel the pair higher if the USD weakens further.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
EURO - Price can bounce up from support area to $1.1100Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price declined inside falling channel and fell to support level and even lower support area.
After this movement, Euro turned around, entered to wedge, and made a strong upward impulse, leaving falling channel.
Also, price broke $1.0810 level and later reached next support level, but soon turned around and started to fall.
In a short time, EUR fell to support line of wedge, after which bounced up to $1.0990 level and broke it.
Then price made retest and rose to resistance line of wedge, but recently fell to support area.
Now, I think that Euro can bounce up from support area to $1.1100, exiting from wedge pattern.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Could EUR/CAD drop from here?The price has reacted off the pivot and could potentially fall to the 1st support.
Pivot: 1.51181
1st Support: 1.50414
1st Resistance: 1.52059
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURCHF Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCHF for a selling opportunity around EURCHF for a selling opportunity around 0.95600 zone, EURCHF was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.95600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURGBP Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.86200 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.86200 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish reversal?EUR/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.9549
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.96505
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.94270
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Overlap support ahead?EUR/JPY is falling towards the support level which is an overlapa support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 159.49
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 157.256
Why we like it:
The3re is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 164.87
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Aggressive selling about to start.Just last week (August 05, see chart below), we stressed on the importance of the 1W candle closing following the break above the 13-month Lower Highs trend-line (top) of the Triangle pattern:
The week eventually closed in losses (red 1W candle) and below the Lower Highs, which gave a bearish signal upon a technical rejection. This is a Double Higher High rejection similar to June 04, which initiated the previous Bearish Leg towards the Channel's bottom (Higher Lows).
As a result, we believe that it is still early to make a sell entry and target 1.07500.
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Bearish reversal off the 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0943
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1008
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.0879
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD 1D1D - On the daily timeframe, a large FVG (Fair Value Gap) has formed, and it will take at least another week to work through it. Simply put, we are in an MS Range, where the price is likely to react from the boundaries and eventually move higher. The scenario would be invalidated if the price consolidates below 1.076.