EURUSD Will the bearish or the bullish pattern prevail?The EURUSD pair broke today above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle pattern that started on the July 17 2023 high. The more shorter term pattern has been a Channel Up (blue) since the April 15 2024 Low and today's break-out, has tested its top.
Those are two conflicting trends, so the key here is to observe the 1W candle closing and then take action. A closing above the Lower Highs of the Triangle, confirms that there is a new pattern in play, a (dotted) Channel Up similar to the uptrend of October - December 2023. In that case, we will buy on the weekly close and target 1.11400 (Resistance 2).
If on the other hand the 1W candle closes back below the Lower Highs (thus still inside the blue Channel Up), we will remain bearish, aiming for a new Bearish Leg that will test again (3rd time) the 1W MA100 (green trend-line). In that case our Target will be modified to 1.075000.
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EUR
EUR/USD is heading toward 1.10 zones(8/5/2024)After NFP data, the EUR/USD made a big move and finally ended its correction.
For now, the price will eventually reach the 1.10 zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
EUR/USD Surges to New Highs Amid US Dollar WeaknessThe EUR/USD pair extended its rally early Monday, reaching its highest level since March at approximately 1.0970. Disappointing labor market data from the US caused a significant selloff of the US Dollar (USD) during the American session on Friday. Nonfarm Payrolls in the US increased by 114,000 in July, falling well short of the market expectation of 175,000, and the Unemployment Rate rose to 4.3% from 4.1% in June. In response to the July jobs report, the CME FedWatch Tool indicates that markets are nearly fully pricing in a 50 basis point Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in September. The technical outlook for EUR/USD shows overbought conditions, suggesting that the pair may continue to rise toward the next supply area around 1.1033, where a price reversal is possible. It will be crucial to monitor the COT report in that area. We are planning to place a pending order in anticipation of this movement.
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EUR/GBP Finds Support at 0.8400: Potential for a Bullish SetupAs anticipated, the EUR/GBP currency pair has found support around the 0.8400 level, aligning with our previous forecasts. This area has proven to be a strong demand zone, where buyers seem poised to initiate a retracement, potentially driving the price higher.
Currently, the EUR/GBP pair remains within a consolidation phase. However, market sentiment indicates that buyers are preparing to step in, suggesting a possible upward movement. The current market conditions also coincide with a seasonal trend, historically known to favor an increase in EUR/GBP value over the coming weeks.
Our comprehensive analysis of supply and demand dynamics supports the outlook for a bullish retracement. We are particularly focused on identifying long position opportunities, as the demand area around 0.8400 demonstrates significant support for the pair. Traders should watch for confirming signals of a breakout from the consolidation phase, which could mark the beginning of a sustained upward trend.
In conclusion, the EUR/GBP is showing promising signs of a rebound from its current support level. With the convergence of technical analysis and seasonal factors, we are optimistic about the potential for a bullish retracement. Monitoring the pair closely for entry points in long positions could yield favorable trading opportunities in the near future.
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Bearish reversal?EUR/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0944
Why we like it:
A pullback resistance level lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 1.0995
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 1.0871
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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EURO - Price can break support level and decline to $1.0840Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price entered to wedge, and bounced from support line to $1.0910 level, and started to decline.
In a short time price declined to support line, breaking $1.0740 level, and even made a fake breakout of support line from wedge.
Next, Euro exited from wedge and started to grow inside pennant, where it made first gap and broke $1.0740 level.
Then price rose to resistance line, forming a second gap and breaking $1.0910 level, but soon turned around.
Euro in a short time declined to support line of pennant, after which made upward impulse and now trades in resistance area.
Possible, price can rise a little and then break support level and fall to $1.0840
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Consolidated and breaking to see more highHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Bull bias or this..likely watching for pullback or whatnot for upside trading
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
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Eurgbp Getting Ready For Solid bullish Rally 500 Pips Conflicts In Middle East Effecting Global Stocks Markets And Currencies Badly As Per The Chart It Will Effect Eur Gbp Too In Coming Days
Eurgbp Looking Bullish For Midterm In 3 Days Timeframe Recently Breaks Crucial Horizontal Resistance And Testing Falling Wedge s Trendline Too Incase Of Falling Wedge Breakout expecting 500 Pips Bullish Wave In Coming Days
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.0768
1st Support: 1.0720
1st Resistance: 1.0828
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP: Boe Rate Decision and Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.84300 zone, EURGBP is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84300 support and resistance area.
We would keep an eye on today's BoE rate decision as most banks expect a rate cut including Goldman Sachs and Bank Of America.
Trade safe, Joe.
EUR/USD Faces Pressure with New Week's StartEUR/USD continues to face downward pressure as the new week begins, struggling to gain recovery momentum ahead of Tuesday's significant macroeconomic data releases. The US Dollar is currently exhibiting strong momentum, and historically, during this time of the year, our analysis indicates that the USD tends to strengthen until October or November before experiencing a retracement. Following the negative correlation in EUR/USD, we opened a bearish setup last week, and our forecast remains bearish.
Early Tuesday, data from Germany revealed that the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) contracted at an annual rate of 0.1% in the second quarter. Despite this reading, there was no noticeable market reaction. Later today, the US economic docket will feature the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence data for July and the JOLTS Job Openings for June. A significant increase in job openings could bolster the USD and weigh on EUR/USD.
Our forecast for the EUR/USD remains bearish. Additionally, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows an increase in retailer longs, which further supports our bearish outlook. Based on our analysis and current market conditions, we maintain a bearish forecast for EUR/USD. Stay tuned for further updates as we continue to monitor market developments.
Previous Forecast:
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EURUSD Simple Trade Plans; Pre/Post ECB News (new uptrend).ECB deposit rate facility news comes out soon, as well as speech from the ECB in general terms relating to monetary policy.
Anything that confirms a quicker easing cycle will likely feed into a downside drip for the EURO. This comes as a near term uptrend forms on a second high.
Upside moves will rely on anything that will delay a cut (unlikely). The FED has made its position clear lately leading to real weakness around the USD.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST July 29-AUG 2: OIL INDICES GOLD SILVERThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast JuLY 22 - 26th
In this video, we will cover:
S&P500 NASDAQ DOW GOLD SILVER US OIL
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Sell EUR/USD Bearish Channel (Fed Interest rate)The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.0825, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0785
2nd Support – 1.0767
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0845. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
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EUR/USD is ready to move up(07/31/2024)In our last analysis
We warned you about the incoming correction. After that, the price corrected over 130 pip.
Right now the price is hovering around 1.08 zone. Multilayer resistance on the 1.08 zone made this level solid.
So we are expecting a good reaction from this zone.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by liking, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
EUR/CAD mini upward wave to 1.51(07/31/2024)Bears are controlling CAD, in fact, there is no reason to be bullish on CAD neither Fundamental nor technical!
EUR/CAD is on a strong bullish bias. CPI data was positive and made EUR stronger.
We are expecting the price to reach 1.51 where the most liquidity has been placed eventually.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
If you like it then Support us by liking, Following, and Sharing.
Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
Sell EUR/USD Triangle BreakoutThe EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 1.0852
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.0816
2nd Support – 1.0801
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.0875. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EUR/NOK has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?The price is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 11.8178
1st Support: 11.7168
1st Resistance: 12.0124
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.0808
1st Support: 1.0777
1st Resistance: 1.0866
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SHORT EURUSDEURUSD remains bearish on the daily timeframe and is currently in an ascending channel with a test at the upper channel, a failure to break above a major resistance area at 1.09-1.10 level, and a bearish daily engulfing candlestick pattern that would confirm its next movement.
The first target is to the lower channel at area 1.07 and if it breaks, the next target will be to the major support zone at area 1.05 and a break below will confirm a movement to the lower of the descending channel at near parity levels.
EURUSD Two clear sell entries.The EURUSD pair hit today its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) for the first time since July 04 and immediately rebounded. As long as it holds, we expect a rebound to 1.0900 and then a rejection, as the long-term pattern is a Channel Up that has already priced its new Higher High (on July 17) and has started the new Bearish Leg.
If the 4H MA200 breaks first though, we will have a bearish break-out continuation confirmation. For both sell entries, our Target is 1.07300 (the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level as on the June 14 Low).
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