EURUSD Moment of truth for the long-term.The EURUSD pair has started the week on a very positive note as it is already on +0.40% gains. The underlying pattern remains a Channel Down since since the December 25 2023 High and we have been on its latest Bearish Leg since the June 03 Lower High.
The important dynamic recently has been the fact that the pair held and closed above the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) on both last 2 weeks. This is a key Support level as the pair hasn't closed a 1W candle below it since October 23 2023.
As a result, today's rise has two reasons to be a technical retrace within a longer term bearish pattern. The price action f the past 2 years has shown that only when the 1W RSI closes above its MA (yellow trend-line), do we have very strong probabilities of sustaining a bullish trend.
It is therefore easy to understand that as the 1W RSI has come only a few points away from its MA, this week becomes crucial for the EURUSD pair. Until it breaks it, we will stay bearish, targeting 1.06040 (Support level and previous Lower Low).
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EUR
EUR/USD Bullish Outlook Following Double Bottom ReactionFollowing our previous analysis, the EUR/USD pair showed a notable reaction to the double bottom pattern we forecasted on Friday. The price bounced off the 1.06800 level, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish impulse.
This movement is further supported by the lack of high-tier data releases from the US economic docket in the second half of the day, which means that the USD's valuation is unlikely to be driven by new economic data. As a result, investors are expected to respond primarily to changes in risk perception.
On Friday, PMI data from the US indicated that business activity continued to expand at a robust pace in June. This data helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its strength ahead of the weekend, preventing the EUR/USD pair from gaining significant traction.
Given these factors, we anticipate a continuation of the bullish trend for EUR/USD. We will continue to monitor market developments closely and adjust our strategy as necessary to capitalize on this potential upward movement.
Potential bullish rise?EUR/USD has reacted off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0686
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.0655
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.0740
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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EUR/NZD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.7552
1st Support: 1.7395
1st Resistance: 1.7634
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is currently reacting off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.0686
1st Support: 1.0636
1st Resistance: 1.0731
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 23/6/24This week on the Euro, we're looking for price action to respect the higher time frame bearish narrative and overall play within the four-hour major range that we have in play from last week.
Picking up the markup we have provided, you can see what we are analyzing. Options one and two involve playing within the short-term internal range and breaking lower within those areas, giving us a bearish shift below the four-hour low we have highlighted. Of course, this means that the price will not be pulling back to the 50% of the higher timeframe range, but this is not essential—it's just preferable. If we break higher above the four-hour high highlighted above the first two areas of supply, then I'll expect the price to push up to the extreme area of supply. In turn, we are looking at the price to sell away from targeting the four-hour major low that we have marked. This is the main key for this week.
If we only have a bullish week and play within the higher timeframe range, we will, of course, trade accordingly. However, we ultimately are looking for sell opportunities this week. Take a look at the chart, and you will see the areas we are focusing on.
Trade safe and always stick to your plan!
SHORT EURUSDEURUSD on the daily time frame is bearish and in a downtrend channel.
Correction might be underway to fill up the gap and retest the broken uptrend line at area 1.08 - 1.085 which is the previous support zone and currently the resistance zone, before the next big drop to the lower of the down channel at area 1.0450 - 1.05.
Euro can break support level and continue to decline in channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price some time traded near the resistance level inside the seller zone, after which it rebounded from this area and tried to grow, but soon turned around and started to decline inside the downward channel. Inside the channel, the price first broke the 1.0865 level and then fell to the support line of the channel, making a gap also. Then Euro rebounded from the support line and rose to the resistance line of the channel, after which turned around and in a short time declined to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone with the support line of the downward channel. After this movement, the price tried to grow from this level, but later it turned around and in quickly declined back to the 1.0675 level, where it continues to trades close to this day. So, in my opinion, the Euro can make an upward movement to the resistance line of the channel and then rebound down to the support level. After this movement, the price will break this level and continue to decline inside the downward channel, therefore I set my TP at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD is approaching a significant support areaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURUSD for a buying opportunity around 1.06000 zone, EURUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.06000 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURO - Price can break support level and continue to declineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to flat, where it in a short time declined to $1.0810 level, after which bounced up.
Then price corrected $1.0810 level again and then rose almost to top part of flat, but then it started to fall.
Euro in a short time declined lower than $1.0810 level, breaking it and also exiting from flat, after which continued to decline.
Price at once rose to resistance line, after which it quickly fell to support level, which coincided with support area.
Next, EUR tried to grow but failed and fell back to $1.0690 level, where at the moment continues to trades near.
In my mind, price can make small movement up and then break support level and fall to $1.0600
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD 1h - Hourly Timeframe
We are also in a bearish context on the hourly timeframe, aligning with all other timeframes. The primary target below is the obvious 1.067 level. Given that the target was not reached on Friday, it is likely that Monday and Tuesday will be exclusively correctional days. This pattern is not uncommon for EURUSD, where the main target isn't hit on Friday, leading to a continuation of the correction for the first two days of the week.
! (your-chart-link)
Be cautious and observe how the price reacts to these levels.
EURUSD 1W - Weekly TimeframeAfter a shift to a bearish context, we saw a strong reaction aiming to cover the fractal liquidity above. This was followed by a continuation of the bearish order flow. The targets are marked on the chart below. The invalidation of this scenario would be a price close above 1.09.
Stay tuned for more detailed analysis throughout the week.
EUR/GBP Poised for Seasonal Upswing as July BeginsAs July kicks off, the EUR/GBP pair is entering a period of seasonal strength, supported by historical trends and favorable technical indicators. Historically, EUR/GBP has shown a tendency to perform well during this time of year, and this seasonality is further bolstered by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report. The report indicates that the Euro is currently the preferred asset among institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money."
Recently, the EUR/GBP pair rebounded from the 0.8400 support level, a critical area that has provided a strong base for price action. This rebound, coupled with the seasonal patterns and smart money positioning, presents a compelling case for a bullish setup.
Given these factors, we are now looking for opportunities to enter long positions on the EUR/GBP pair, anticipating continued strength in the Euro as the month progresses.
EURUSD: We are waiting for a breakHello traders,
The bearish channel is obvious in the chart! you can see that upward moves are weak but the downwards are so strong. I consider the trend to be bearish. However, while my total bias over the pair is still bearish I think any breaks over the zone might lead the price to reach the next strong zone which is around 1.0790
At the same time breaking the bullish yellow trend line down and the zone would alter our bearish scenario. Can't wait to the results.
Have fun and enjoy your life.
EURJPY Fool-Surprise Reverse Ok ?EURJPY direction.
Well, I am excited the algos pushed the price 0.2% higher in compariston to yesterday, we are still due to dump 1-2% to the downside.
Lets Go. Accumulate more and more shorts, this is the only direction.
THIS IS JUST MY PLAN - NOT AN ADVICE.
No stop loss at this point, after loosing crucial levels, we can expect JPY central bank interventionm at any point, and - I am surprised idiot traders are still pushing the price in wrong directon still.
Take profit: 168.13
Stop loss: NONE.
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 50 - EURJPY - (21st June 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURJPY, starting from the 2-Month chart.
If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
EURAUD is approaching an important resistance zoneHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURAUD for a selling opportunity around 1.61700 zone, EURAUD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.61700 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Euro can make correction to support level and then start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price some time ago started to grow from the support line and soon reached the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level, after which made small movement down. Next, the price reached the resistance level again and then fell to the support line, after which EUR made an impulse from this line higher than the 1.0880 level, breaking it and some time trading between this level. After this, the EUR made an impulse down to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, breaking the support line and also forming a gap. Then the price rebounded from the 1.0725 level and rose to 1.0850 points, after which started to decline inside a downward pennant, where it fell lower than the 1.0725 support level, breaking it. But a not long time ago, the price started to grow from the support line of this pattern and quickly backed up and even exited from the pennant. At the moment, I think that the price can make a correction movement to the support level and then start to grow. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0810 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀