EURO - Price can continue decline to $1.0630 in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to wedge, where it at once broke $1.0850 level and fell to support line of wedge.
Then price in a short time rose to resistance line, breaking $1.0850 level again, but soon it made downward impulse.
Price exited from wedge, broke $1.0850 level again, and fell to $1.0735 level, which coincided with resistance area.
After this, Euro bounced up to $1.0850 level, after which started to decline inside falling channel.
In channel, price fell lower $1.0735 level, thereby breaking it, and now EUR trades close to support line.
Possibly, price can rise to resistance area, after which Euro turn around and continue to fall to $1.0630 in channel.
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EUR
Bullish rise?EUR/JPY has just reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 168.31
1st Support: 167.37
1st Resistance: 170.03
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD:Strong NFP but coming CPI may change directionDear Traders,
Following a period of subdued inflation data, EURUSD recently breached the 1.09000 mark. However, Friday's Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) report surpassed expectations, revealing over 272,000 jobs created compared to the anticipated 185,000. Consequently, EURUSD has retraced towards the key uptrend support around the 1.07800 level.
While the NFP figures are significant, it's crucial to recognize that they are just one piece of the puzzle for the Federal Reserve's decision-making process. Another critical aspect will be the forthcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI). Should the CPI data indicate a softer inflationary trend, we anticipate further weakness in the USD, potentially propelling EURUSD upwards from the support zone at 1.07800.
Conversely, if the CPI surprises with higher-than-expected inflation, we may witness a break in the EURUSD downtrend, possibly leading to new lows.
Remember to trade cautiously and stay informed.
Best regards,
Joe
EUR/USD Follows Bullish Path Post-CPI; Buy Limit Strategy FocusEUR/USD experienced a significant upward movement on Wednesday, driven by an overall increase in market risk appetite following the release of a cooler-than-expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report. This positive sentiment was initially bolstered as the lower inflation figures suggested a potential easing of pressure on the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates aggressively. However, the enthusiasm was tempered later in the day due to the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance reflected in its latest update to the dot plot of interest rate expectations. This update indicated a possibility of more rate hikes in the future than previously anticipated, which crimped market sentiment.
From a technical standpoint, the price action adhered closely to our earlier analysis. The EUR/USD pair achieved all the take-profit targets we had established beforehand. Post-FOMC meeting, the price action retraced the gains from the CPI-induced bullish impulse, creating a gap in the market. This gap, left by the rapid price movement following the CPI release, typically attracts market participants looking to "fill" it, as prices often return to these levels to establish more balanced trading conditions.
Given the current scenario, we are contemplating a strategic approach involving a potential buy limit order. This approach is based on the expectation that the price will return to cover the unfilled gap left by the CPI announcement. The buy limit order would allow us to enter the market at a more advantageous price point, capitalizing on the anticipated retracement. Additionally, the broader economic context and market sentiment will be closely monitored to adjust our strategy as needed, ensuring that our trading decisions are well-informed and responsive to ongoing developments.
In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair has shown resilience and upward momentum, the mixed signals from recent economic data and Fed communications warrant a cautious yet opportunistic approach. By setting a buy limit order, we aim to leverage the expected price correction, positioning ourselves to benefit from subsequent bullish movements.
Bullish bounce?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support level and could potentially bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.07967
1st Support: 1.07297
1st Resistance: 1.08565
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Faces Pressure Amid Strong USD and Risk-AversionThe EUR/USD pair started the new week with a bearish gap, falling to its weakest level in a month below 1.0750. Despite technical indicators on the H4 timeframe suggesting oversold conditions, the Euro might struggle to stage a significant rebound given the current risk-averse market environment.
Market Overview
The US Dollar (USD) has gained strength following a robust jobs report last Friday, which forced EUR/USD to erase its weekly gains. Nonfarm Payrolls in the US rose by 272,000 in May, significantly surpassing the market expectation of 185,000 and April's increase of 165,000. This better-than-expected job growth has bolstered the USD, adding downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
Technical Analysis
1. Oversold Conditions: The RSI indicator on the H4 timeframe points to oversold conditions, suggesting that the Euro might be due for a rebound. However, the current market sentiment is not supportive of a strong recovery.
2. Price Gap: The EUR/USD left a price gap between the 1.0780 and 1.0800 area. Market participants typically fill these gaps, indicating a potential upward movement to this range in the near term.
3. Fibonacci and RSI Divergence: The current price level is within a potential reversal zone based on Fibonacci retracement levels. Additionally, the RSI shows a divergence, which could signal a forthcoming bullish correction.
Short-Term Outlook
Despite the bearish sentiment, our outlook for EUR/USD is cautiously optimistic in the short term due to the technical indicators. With no significant economic news expected until Wednesday, the pair may experience low volatility, allowing for potential consolidation or a mild recovery. The key area to watch is the price gap at 1.0780-1.0800, which might be filled soon.
Trading Strategy
Given the current setup, a long position could be considered around the current levels. The oversold RSI and the price gap provide a basis for expecting a short-term reversal. Traders should monitor the 1.0780-1.0800 area closely, as filling this gap could offer a decent opportunity for gains.
However, it's crucial to remain cautious and use appropriate risk management strategies, as the overall market sentiment remains risk-averse, and the strong USD could continue to exert pressure on the Euro.
EURUSDGood morning, after yesterday's clearance of the main high-liquidity zone, we got a reaction and shifted the structural context to bullish. This morning, I was looking for positions with targets at the PDH, but unfortunately, there was no suitable setup. In two hours, we have the Inflation Rate news, so I am stepping away from the chart to let the price move as it wants. I wish you the best in staying out of the market as well.
EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 169.500 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 169.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURCAD: EURO is weakening with French ElectionsHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.48000 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.48000 support and resistance area.
Fundamentally the EURO is weakening with the French election risk.
Trade safe, Joe.
ECB speeches, Macron, and FOMC stir EUR/USD A high number of European Central Bank (ECB) officials are making public speeches in the 24 before the Fed rate decision this week Wednesday that could help or hinder the EUR/USD.
Also, thrown in the mix now is French President Emmanuel Macron’s decision to call for a snap local election after the results of the EU Parliament elections, adding to market uncertainty.
The EURUSD has extended to a 5-week low. 1.0700 could be the next target for the bears as the price has now moved into a swing area between 1.0718 and 1.0750.
Perhaps the most important speeches will come from Luis de Guindos (Vice-President of the ECB), Philip R. Lane (ECB Executive Board member), and Claudia Buch (ECB Supervisory Board).
Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance.
Last week, the EU became the fourth Western economy to reduce its lending rate, announcing progress in tackling inflation. It lowered its main interest rate from a record high of 4% to 3.75%. Katherine Neiss, chief European economist at Prudential Investment Management, expressed "reasonable confidence" that the ECB would further cut rates over the summer or autumn, potentially bringing EU rates to 3.5% or lower by year-end. Investors will be closely analyzing the upcoming ECB speeches for any hints that support this prediction.
EUR/USD Chart Analysis with Gap ConsiderationEUR/USD 4-Hour and 1D Chart Analysis with Gap Consideration
Trend Analysis:
- The 4-hour chart shows a clear downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows, indicating persistent bearish momentum.
- The recent price action has been moving downward, suggesting continued selling pressure.
Gap Analysis:
- The chart indicates a potential gap in the price action, which typically occurs when there is a significant price movement between trading sessions.
- Gaps often act as strong support or resistance levels, and prices tend to move back to "fill" the gap over time.
Support and Resistance Levels:
- Immediate Support Level: 1.0730, which is close to the current price and could provide some short-term support.
- Next Support Level: 1.0700, which is a psychological level and has acted as support in the past.
- Immediate Resistance Level: 1.0800, which is a recent high and could act as a barrier to upward movement.
- Next Resistance Level: 1.0850, which is another key resistance level that was previously support.
Technical Indicators:
- The bearish candlesticks suggest continued downward pressure.
- There are no immediate signs of a reversal in the price action, indicating that the downtrend may continue.
Direction Preference:
Given the current bearish trend and the lack of reversal signals, the preferred direction for EUR/USD FX:EURUSD in the short term is bearish. The price is likely to continue moving lower towards the support levels of 1.0730 and 1.0700.
Gap Consideration:
- If there is a gap in the price action, watch for a potential move to fill the gap. This could temporarily reverse the trend, but the overall bearish momentum suggests that the gap may not hold for long.
- Monitor the price action closely if it approaches the gap area. A fill of the gap followed by continued bearish momentum could provide a good shorting opportunity.
Conclusion:
The EUR/USD 4-hour chart indicates a bearish trend with continued downward momentum. It is advisable to consider short positions, targeting the support levels at 1.0730 and 1.0700. However, keep an eye on any gaps in the price action as they may provide short-term support or resistance and a potential reversal area. The bearish trend remains the preferred direction, but gaps should be closely monitored for any significant impact on the price movement.
Trading Signal For EURUSD Trading Setup:
There is a Trading Signal to Sell in EURUSD Forex Signal (1h)Currency Pair.
Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW
⬇️Sell Now or Sell on 1.0759
⭕️SL@ 1.0786
🔵TP1@ 1.0666
🔵TP2@ 1.0624
🔵TP3@ 1.0581
What are these signals based on?
Classical Technical Analysis
Price Action Candlesticks Fibonacci
RSI, Moving Average , Ichimoku , Bollinger Bands
Risk Warning
Trading Forex, CFDs, Crypto, Futures, and Stocks involve a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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EURUSD The new Bearish Leg has started.On our last analysis EURUSD analysis (June 04, see chart below) we mentioned that it was a do-or-die moment for a rejection as it had marginally broken above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 5-month Channel Down:
As you can see the price did close all subsequent candles below the top and inside the pattern, hence confirming the rejection bias and that the downtrend was still intact. The last two strong bearish days, suggest that the new Bearish Leg has started, especially since yesterday's 1D candle closed below the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) for the first time in a month (since May 10).
Our Target remains 1.06040 (Support 1), which is still a 'good case scenario' for the bearish event as it is above the % drop of the weakest Bearish Leg, the one right before the current (at -3.45%). Ideally, we expect to see the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line) being the Resistance throughout the whole Leg.
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Bearish reverse off 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/CAD is rising towards the pivot and could potentially reverse to the support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.48381
1st Support: 1.47755
1st Resistance: 1.49088
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.07973
1st Support: 1.07298
1st Resistance: 1.08394
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURO - Price can make small move up and then continue fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to rising channel, where firstly it broke support level, which coincided with support area.
Then, in a short time, price rose higher than $1.0670 level, breaking it again and then made correction.
After this, EUR continued to move up in channel and reached $1.0790 level, which soon broke too and exited from channel.
Next, price started to trades in flat, where it reached two times top part and the last time in made downward impulse.
Price exited from flat and broke $1.0790 level, but recently it turned around and start to move up.
Possibly, Euro can rise to almost resistance level and then continue to decline to $1.0670 support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURCAD:Key Level and French Election ImpactHello Traders,
In today's trading session, we're closely monitoring EUR/CAD for a potential selling opportunity around the 1.48100 zone. The pair had been in an uptrend but recently broke out of it, entering a correction phase. It is now approaching the 1.48100 area, which acts as a key support and resistance zone.
On the fundamental side, the recent EU parliamentary elections in France resulted in a significant majority for a far-right candidate, who has historically advocated for France to leave the EU. This development has weakened the EUR. Moreover, President Macron's decision to call for an early French election has heightened political instability, posing additional risks to the EUR.
Stay vigilant and trade safe,
Joe
EURCHF:Key Level and Political RisksHello Traders,
In today's trading session, we're closely monitoring EUR/CHF for a potential selling opportunity around the 0.96500 zone. The pair had been in an uptrend but recently broke out of it and is now in a correction phase. It is approaching the 0.96500 area, which serves as both a support and resistance level.
Adding to the EUR's challenges, the recent EU parliamentary elections in France resulted in a significant majority for a far-right candidate, historically known for advocating France's exit from the EU. This outcome is detrimental to the EUR. Additionally, President Macron has called for an early French election, which exacerbates political instability and poses further risks to the EUR.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD - 1H SellThe EURUSD chart indicates a potential bearish movement. The recent price action suggests that the pair is experiencing a weakening of the bullish momentum. After reaching a recent peak, the price is showing signs of a downward trend, indicating a possible decline towards the highlighted support zone around 1.08400.
The price action around this level is crucial; if the support zone fails to hold, we could see a continuation of the downtrend. This setup aligns with the current market sentiment, pointing towards further selling pressure. Traders should watch for confirmations around the support zone to determine the next move.
Heading into overlap resistance, could it reverse from here?EUR/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.07943
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.08406
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.07299
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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