Could EUR/JPY reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 173.65
1st Support: 171.82
1st Resistance: 174.53
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR
Bullish bounce?EUR/CAD is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.47874
1st Support: 1.47379
1st Resistance: 1.48459
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EurGbp will be bearish bias. Should be pullback to shortHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
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Shorting EUR/USD Amid Market SpeculationsWe are taking a strategic short position on the EUR/USD pair. The major currency pair has experienced strong gains recently, primarily driven by the US Dollar (USD) being under pressure due to firm market speculation that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might reduce interest rates in September.
Despite this bullish momentum, the EUR/USD pair seems to be approaching a resistance level that could trigger a reversal. This anticipated reversal aligns with our identified Supply area and the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. These technical indicators suggest that the pair is poised for a potential downturn.
Additionally, our analysis of the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, focusing on non-commercial speculators, supports this outlook. The data indicates a possible shift in market sentiment that could favor a bearish move. Coupled with our seasonal forecast, which also points towards a downturn, the confluence of these factors strengthens our case for shorting the EUR/USD pair.
In summary, the combination of technical resistance, COT data, and seasonal trends presents a compelling case for a short position on the EUR/USD. We are confident that the alignment of these factors provides a robust foundation for our trading strategy, anticipating a reversal from the current levels.
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EURUSD - 4H Bullish SignsEURUSD has recently filled the gap from the start of the week and is showing signs of potential continuation of its bullish momentum.
Given this gap fill and the recent market structure, there is a likelihood that EURUSD may complete its second leg higher. This suggests that the pair could see further upward movement as it follows through on this bullish leg, with key levels above to watch for resistance.
EURHUF 1D MA50 buy entry.The EURHUF pair has been trading within a Triangle pattern, which based on the highly symmtric structure of the 1D RSI, may break above its top (Higher Highs trend-line) and transition into a more aggressive Rising Wedge (diveging Higher Highs).
The last Higher Low was priced below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and since the RSI's Channel Down shows we are on the level where the final Low will be priced, we expect a strong rebound next.
The previous Higher High was priced a little below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we set a 403.000 Target (on the diverging Higher Highs and marginally below the 1.236 Fib).
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EURGBP: GBP's news was good!Hello Traders,
This is the long-term bearish channel of the pair:
Reaction to the gap and middle of long-term channel is clear in the above chart.
Let's search for TP!
This is a Strong Resistance
I think it might be a good target
Let's take a look to the news!
Most important one which is GDP was a surprise for Pound, bearish for the pair.
Monthly industrial production was supposed to rise from -0.9% to 0.3% but it stopped at 0.2%. It has been considered to be bad for GBP! I think it's almost nothing compared to GDP news. All other important factors were positive too, Only trade balance which I think again less important than others.
Technically and Fundamentally I'm short!!
I'll enter after Order flow or LTF structure confirmation.
1st TP: (For short term-traders with lower SL)
Daily Pivot
2nd TP: Support line and middle of short-term channel
3rd TP: Bottom of both channel
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?EUR/NZD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.77237
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.76387
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.78532
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURCHF: Short OpportunityThis is the Daily chart
We are between two zones! both are strong enough to make the pair be in a range.
Regarding the 2h chart a bullish channel is broken
Sign of weakness in Buyers! You can see strength of CHF in USD CHF chart too!
Yet soon to short! I'll short after breaking the zone! with final target of 0.9600
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.07959
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.07684
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.08443
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Fiber (EUR/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 1.07763
1st Support: 1.07391
1st Resistance: 1.08442
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential price rise?EUR/GBP has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.84350
1st Support: 0.84130
1st Resistance: 0.84752
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/USD Continues to Rise: Potential Resistance Levels AheadAs forecasted in our previous analysis, the EUR/USD pair is continuing its upward trajectory. This growth is in line with our expectations, but we are approaching key levels where the pair may encounter resistance.
One of the primary resistance areas we have identified is around the 1.0860 level. This supply area has been drawn based on historical price actions and is anticipated to act as a barrier to the current upward momentum. Just beyond this level, we see further resistance at the psychological level of 1.0900, which often serves as a significant hurdle due to market sentiment and trader behaviors.
In these areas, we are looking for a possible reversal of the price. This outlook is reinforced by the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which provides insights into the positioning of major market participants. The COT report indicates that traders may be preparing for a shift, aligning with our expectation of resistance and potential price reversal at these levels.
Additionally, the chart reveals a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level that coincides with our identified resistance zones. Fibonacci levels are widely used in technical analysis to predict potential reversal points, and the 78.6% retracement is particularly notable for its reliability in signaling resistance.
Furthermore, the dynamic trendline of a bearish channel, which has been tracking the pair's movements, also intersects near these resistance levels. This trendline adds another layer of potential resistance, suggesting that the price may rebound upon reaching this confluence of technical indicators. Although this detail is secondary, it provides additional confirmation of our analysis.
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EURNOK Strong buy opportunity.The EURNOK pair has made contact today with the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as a Resistance for the first time since May 16. This is the start of the new Bullish Leg of the 1-year Triangle pattern.
All bottoms (green arcs) have been formed when the 1D RSI broke below the 30.00 oversold barrier, so this is technically a medium-term buy opportunity.
The previous Lower High was priced on the 0.85 Fibonacci retracement level and the one before on the 0.95. As a result, our medium-term Target is 11.7500 (just below the 0.85 Fib).
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Euro's Next Moves: Biden, Powell, and Inflation Data The euro held steady at $1.0825 on Monday, recovering from a dip to $1.0815 as traders absorbed the surprising French election results, which saw a leftist alliance lead both the centrists and the right in the number of sets gained.
Key drivers for the EURUSD's next moves include Biden's potential resignation, upcoming bank earnings, Powell's testimony in Washington, and US CPI and PPI data, alongside Hurricane Beryl's developments.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
Both monthly and daily RSIs for EUR/USD are on the rise but remain below overbought levels, suggesting continued upward momentum. Should US inflation data show further declines, EUR/USD could aim for the 1.09395 mark. Conversely, higher-than-expected inflation figures might reverse this bullish trend, potentially pushing the pair back to the well-established lows of 1.0600.
EURO - Price can reach resistance line and then start to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to decline inside falling channel, where it fell to $1.0685 level and at once bounced up.
Then price reached resistance line, after which made correction and then made upward impulse.
Price exited from channel, formed first gap, and continued to grow inside wedge, where it firstly fell to support line.
After this, price rose almost to $1.0805 level, making a second gap and soon broke this level and continued to grow.
Also, price made third gap and now continues to move up, so, in my mind, Euro can reach resistance line.
Next, price can make impulse down to $1.0790, exiting from wedge and breaking support level.
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EURUSD Turning bullish short-term.The EURUSD pair closed last week above the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 27 and this week is already using it as a Support to sustain further uptrend. Technically this could be the 2nd phase of the Bullish Leg of the (blue) Channel Up that started on the week of June 24.
On the long-term, the pair has been trading within a fierce Triangle consolidation for exactly 1 year. The technical Support level has been the Support Zone that started back in January 2023 and the Resistance level, is the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) / 1M MA50 cluster.
Back to the Triangle's and Channel Up dynamics, last week's 1W MACD Bullish Cross formation and the bullish break-out of the 1W RSI above its Lower Highs trend-line, support being bullish on the short-term.
We will take a more modest/ cautious approach and will 'only' target 1.09500 (which is the crossroads of the Channel Up Higher Highs and Triangle Lower Highs trend-lines).
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Bullish bounce?EUR/CHF is has just bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.96731
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.96282
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.97406
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
French election shock: What will FX markets say? France is on the brink of a hung parliament, with the left-wing coalition capturing the most seats in a stunning upset over Marine Le Pen’s National Rally.
Obviously, the forex markets are closed on the weekend. So will be interesting to see the reaction to these shock election results in France on the EUR/USD and EUR/GBP when the market opens. Regardless of whether the market thinks this turn of events is good for France or the Eurozone as a whole, this might be trumped by its dislike of surprises.
The left-wing alliance, projected to win between 180 and 215 seats in the 577-seat National Assembly, outpaced President Macron’s liberal bloc, which is forecast to secure 150-180 seats. The far-right National Rally, led by Le Pen, and its allies are anticipated to hold 120-150 seats.
Le Pen's National Rally led in the first round of voting last week and aimed to achieve a historic majority. However, strategic voting and alliances among left-wing parties have thwarted her efforts. Le Pen’s ties to Russia, including past opposition to EU sanctions, might have also harmed her campaign. Over the weekend, Le Pen had vowed to cancel permission for Kyiv to use French-supplied long-range weapons against targets in Russia.
Euro eyes French vote after pound's rally Euro eyes French vote after pound's rally
The British pound surged above $1.276 on Thursday, reaching its highest level in three weeks, as voters across the United Kingdon headed to the polls for parliamentary elections.
The Labour Party, currently leading in the polls, appears poised to unseat Prime Minister Rishi Sunak's Conservative Party. Some projections suggest Labour could secure a majority, marking their first general election victory since 2005.
But, perhaps the more interesting trade is in the euro in reaction to the second round of voting in France scheduled for over the weekend on 7 July.
In a strategic move to prevent the far-right from gaining an absolute majority in the National Assembly, the left-wing coalition known as the New Popular Front (NFP) has announced it will withdraw its candidates in 200 districts where they finished third, lending support to stronger candidates opposing the National Rally (RN).
Forecasts now indicate the RN and its allies are likely to win between 190 and 220 seats, falling short of the 289 needed for an absolute majority. Prior to these withdrawals, polls had estimated the RN could secure between 250 and 300 seats.
In the forex market, a bullish push could see the euro retesting the previous high around 1.0850, with a potential challenge to the 1.0900 psychological level switching the broader outlook to bullish. Conversely, a drop below the 200 SMA may find immediate support at 1.0775, with further support at the 50 and 100 SMA levels around 1.0733.
EUR/USD Maintains Bullish Momentum, Surpasses 1.0800As anticipated in our previous forecast, EUR/USD has continued its bullish momentum, climbing above the 1.0800 level.
Analyzing the chart, you can observe the areas where we have marked the closest supply zone, which we expect the price to reach before any potential decline.
Disappointing macroeconomic data releases from the US triggered a selloff of the US Dollar (USD) during American trading hours on Wednesday, aiding the EUR/USD's upward movement.
The ADP reported that private sector payrolls increased by 150,000 in June, missing analysts' estimate of 160,000. Additionally, the Department of Labor's weekly data showed 238,000 first-time applications for unemployment benefits, up from 233,000 the previous week.
Furthermore, the ISM Services PMI fell to 48.8 in June from 53.8 in May, indicating a contraction in the service sector's business activity. The Employment Index and the Prices Paid Index of the PMI survey also dropped to 46.1 and 56.3, respectively.
Looking ahead, tomorrow's release of USD Average Hourly Earnings m/m and Non-Farm Employment Change is expected to introduce further market volatility. Our forecast remains bullish until the price reaches the identified supply area.
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