EURUSD 26/5/24Starting off with EUR this week, we have a few idea for What we want to see this week ultimately we're looking at price travelling lower within the 4 hour range taking us into the daily weekly order block if we see bullish price action from here we may look to buy, BUT We are mainly looking for price to travel bearish in the direction that the higher time frame trends are moving based off of this if we sweep the liquidity above we've been looking for a breakdown rather than a run higher if we do not react at the Daily/weekly order block that we have highlighted in this analysis we will look for price to run lower and trade in that direction.
Keeping in mind the liquidity we have about the highs this does not mean that we are going to run bullish use the 4 hour range high and range low as reference for price direction coming into this week.
Trade safe and make sure to read price action!
EUR
R2F Weekly Analysis - 26th May 2024 (ICT Concepts)Welcome to another R2F Weekly Market Analysis using ICT Concepts along with my own discoveries. Without any prior preparations on the chart, I'm going to go through various pairs, and giving a real-time view of how I perform my analysis on the weekends before the new week. I'll give my take on what has been happening, and what i'm expecting in either the coming days, weeks, or months. Without further ado, let's get into it!
If you are lazy to watch the video, which is your loss as you will miss how I analyse the market.
Currently, the sentiment is still the same as last week's analysis. I am mostly keen to see how this monthly closes on the DXY. If we can close above the nearest Monthly gap and create new Weekly gaps higher, I would be keen to hunt for a short on XXXUSD pairs and longs on USDXXX pairs. If we do expand higher before the month is over, via a news event or convincing manipulation, then I would also be interested in the same as sooner or later I am anticipating a bullish USD.
- R2F
EUR-AUD | 15 M SHORT | TECHNICAL CHART Hello traders, I have determined the formation target on the FX:EURAUD chart. I wish everyone success.
Like and comment if you find value in our analysis.
Feel free to post your ideas and questions at the comments section.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Good luck
EURO - Price can exit from channel and continue rise to $1.0910Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to grow near support line and reached $1.0860 level, which coincided with resistance area.
Then EUR made downward impulse, breaking support line and support level, which coincided with support area too.
But then, price started to grow inside rising channel, where it broke $1.0655 level, and then continued to grow.
A short time later, EUR rose to resistance line of channel and exited, after which rose to resistance area.
After this, price turned around and soon declined lower $1.0860 level, breaking it again inside falling channel.
In my mind, Euro can decline a little, after which bounces up to $1.0910, exiting from channel and breaking resistance level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
EURUSD, growth after falling. Bears target 1.0790Hi friends. Lets look at EURUSD market. We see a big bullish accumulation "1" and trend break after. But there is no accumulation on downward now. Its just a kind of distribution process "2". And after price touch 1.0790 (support level) growth will continue to 1.0879 after that. Follow me.
EURNZD to continue in the downward move?EURNZD - 24h expiry
Our short term bias remains negative.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
50 4hour EMA is at 1.7784.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Expect trading to remain mixed and volatile.
We look to Sell at 1.7785 (stop at 1.7835)
Our profit targets will be 1.7665 and 1.7635
Resistance: 1.7760 / 1.7785 / 1.7820
Support: 1.7725 / 1.7700 / 1.7655
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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EURUSD Channel Down looking for a Lower Low.The EURUSD pair gave us last week (May 17, see chart below), the ideal Lower High sell entry, as the price got rejected exactly where we wanted it to at the top of the 5-month Channel Down:
We now view this price action from the 1D time-frame where the 1D MACD is about to form a Bearish Cross. Every time in the past 6 months this was formed above the 0.00 level, it was a confirmation that the pair would go after at least a -2.35% decline.
This is perfectly aligned with Target 2 (1.06550) on Support 2. Target 1 (1.07300) is just above Support 1, both of which are estimated in accordance to the March Bearish Leg, which also hit its Support 1 and 2 before a rebound.
It has to be noted also that while Target 2 represents a -2.35% decline, it would also make contact with the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which is practically our long-term Support, having held and caused rebounds both on the April 16 2024 Low and before that on the November 10 2023 Low.
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EURNZD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURNZD for a selling opportunity around 1.77500 zone, EURNZD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.77500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Potential bearish drop?EUR/CHF has reacted off a resistance level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could potentially drop to our take profit.
Entry: 0.99127
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level which aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.99534
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.98315
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Could EUR/USD bounce from here?Price is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.07986
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lines up wit the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.07688
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.08568
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD (Toward 1.08030)EUR/USD: Euro Dips Near $1.08 as Traders Await Fed Minutes
Despite the anticipation, analysts foresee no surprises, expecting the familiar "we're data dependent" stance from the US central bank. Fed Chair Jerome Powell has repeatedly emphasized that policymakers are closely monitoring all incoming data and are prepared to reduce interest rates if signs indicate the economy is at risk of derailing, potentially impacting businesses and consumers.
Technically:
The price reached the price we mentioned in the previous idea, it was the upper of the channel.
Now, the price will continue the bearish trend toward 1.08030 and then should break that to get 1.0770 and 1.07070
stability above 1.0883 means will start a new bullish trend toward 1.0992,
Previous Idea:
Pivot Price: 1.0853
Resistance Levels: 1.0992, 1.1045, 1.1075
Support Levels: 1.0803, 1.0768, 1.0707
The price is expected to oscillate between the support at 1.08030 and the resistance at 1.0883.
HelenP. I Euro will make small move up and then start to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A few moments ago price broke the support level, which coincided with the support area and fell to the trend line. After this movement, it turned around and started to trades inside the upward pennant, which soon rose to the 1.0760 level. Also then, EUR broke this level, made a retest, and then continued to move up to support 1, which coincided with the resistance zone. When the price reached this level, it broke and rose higher even the resistance zone to the resistance line of the pennant. After this move, EURUSD made a correction a little below support 1, after which in a short time rose back to the resistance line of the pennant, but soon turned around and started to decline. In a short time, it fell to the trend line, which is the support line of the pennant, breaking the 1.0850 level. But recently Euro rebounded up and broke this level again and now it continues to trade inside the resistance zone in an upward pennant. For my mind, EURUSD will rise to the resistance line of pennant and then start to decline to the trend line, breaking the support level. So, for this case, I set my goal at 1.0830 points, which is located a little below the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURO - Price can break resistance level and continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price traded inside wedge, where it first fell to support line, but then made upward impulse.
Then Euro turned around and made downward impulse, exiting from wedge and soon breaking $1.0655 level.
After this, price some time traded in support area and then started to grow inside rising channel.
Soon, Euro broke $1.0655 level, made retest, and then in a short time rose until to $1.0870 resistance level.
Recently price exited from channel and also tried to break resistance level, but failed, and now trades close.
In my mind, EURUSD can break this level, make retest in resistance area, and continue to grow to $1.0960
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Potential bullish bounce off pullback support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8499
1st Support: 0.8474
1st Resistance: 0.8531
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?EUR/NZD is falling towards a support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.76311
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 1.75413
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 1.78190
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD - 15m Sell Setup for ScalpersIn the 4-hour and daily time frames, EURUSD shows potential for further decline and correction.
On the 15-minute time frame, it presents a prime opportunity for scalpers to capitalize on selling.
The chart illustrates a bearish trend with a potential downward movement highlighted, suggesting a strategic entry point for short-term traders.
Euro can rebound up to 1.0900 points, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that some time ago price rebounded from the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and declined to 1.0650 points. After this, the EUR turned around and started to trades inside an upward pennant, where it in a short time rebounded from the support line and rose to the 1.0725 level. Soon, the price broke this level and started to trades inside the range, where it at some time rose to the top part of the consolidation, but soon turned around and declined to support line of pennant. After this movement, the EUR made an impulse up to the current support level, which coincided with the support area, thereby exiting from the range. Also soon, the price broke this level and later reached the resistance line of the pennant, after which turned around and started to decline near this line to 1.0835 level. Now, it continues to trade near this level, so, in my opinion, the Euro can little decline and then rebound up, exiting from the pennant pattern. For this reason, I set my target at 1.0900 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series] When to trade for best bang for $$?Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Okay, let's get started on today's topic. Knowing when to trade and when NOT to trade is very important. This is the "timing" element which is also a crucial part of trading. And, this is especially important if you are looking to trade on a lower timeframe!
Understanding the different trading sessions in the forex market and identifying the best times and days to trade can significantly improve trading success. Here's a breakdown of the major forex trading sessions and their characteristics:
Asian Session (Tokyo/Singapore/Hong Kong):
The Asian session begins with the opening of the Tokyo market, though the AUD and NZD starts trading earlier than it. It's known for lower volatility compared to other sessions, with currency pairs like USD/JPY and AUD/USD often experiencing increased activity.At times, if there's a important news release such as FED interest rate release or Non- farm payroll on a Friday. The preceding Asian Session could have "spill over" activity and increased in volatility in the FX market.
European Session (London):
The European session, centered around London, is considered the most active session (besides the US). It often sees high liquidity and volatility, making it ideal for day traders. Major currency pairs like EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and EUR/GBP typically exhibit significant movements during this session.
3. North American Session (New York):
The North American session overlaps with the end of the European session, creating a period of increased activity. Day traders loved the volatility during this period of time, more over key news releases could be catalyst for further volatility. It's characterized by liquidity from both European and American traders. Currency pairs involving the USD, such as EUR/USD, USD/JPY, and GBP/USD, are particularly active.
4. Best Times to Trade:
To be specific, the best times to trade forex are typically during the overlap of multiple trading sessions when liquidity and volatility are highest. This occurs during the overlap of the European and North American sessions, known as the "London-New York" overlap, which occurs from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM EST. Another optimal period is during the overlap of the Asian and European sessions.
Best Days to Trade
While forex markets are open 24 hours a day, five days a week, certain days tend to offer more trading opportunities. Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday are generally considered the best days to trade, as they typically see higher volatility and more significant price movements compared to Mondays and Fridays.
By understanding the characteristics of each trading session and identifying the optimal times and days to trade, you can enhance your trading strategies and capitalize on the most favorable market conditions.
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
-- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! --
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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[EDU-Bite Sized Mini Series]All you need for Order types in FX Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Understanding the various order types in forex trading is essential for navigating the market efficiently and executing trades effectively. Here's a concise overview of some common order types:
1. Market Order:
This order is executed immediately at the current market price. It is used when a trader wants to enter or exit a trade quickly.
More of for Day Trading - A trader might use market orders to quickly enter and exit positions based on real-time news events or technical signals.
Live example
> A trader sees a positive European's news release and expects a quick upward move in the EUR/USD pair. They use a market order to buy EUR/USD at the current price of 1.1950, aiming to sell it later in the day at a higher price based on the expected market reaction.
2. Limit Order:
A limit order allows traders to specify the price at which they want to enter or exit a trade. It's used to buy below the current market price or sell above it, ensuring entry or exit at a specific price level or better.
For example for Swing Trading - A trader might place a buy limit order at a support level, expecting the price to bounce back up, or a sell limit order at a resistance level, expecting the price to fall.
Live Example
> A trader identifies strong support for USD/JPY at 110.50 and places a buy limit order at this price, expecting the price to rebound. When the market price dips to 110.50, the order is executed, and the trader aims to sell at 111.50.
3. Stop Order(Stop-Loss Order):
A stop order becomes a market order once a specified price level is reached. It's commonly used to limit losses or protect profits by triggering a trade when the market moves in a certain direction.
This, in my opinion should be used as Risk Management for all traders - A trader sets a stop-loss order below the entry price for a long position or above the entry price for a short position to limit potential losses if the market moves against their position.
Live Example
> A trader buys GBP/USD at 1.3500, anticipating a rise. To protect against unexpected drops, they place a stop-loss order at 1.3450. If the price falls to 1.3450, the order executes, limiting the trader's loss to 50 pips.
4. Stop-Limit Order:
A stop-limit order combines features of both stop and limit orders. It triggers a limit order to buy or sell at a specified price once the stop price is reached, offering more control over entry and exit prices.
More of for Advanced Trading - A trader might use a stop-limit order to ensure they enter a position only if the price reaches a certain level but still want to control the maximum price they are willing to pay.
Live Example:
A trader wants to buy EUR/GBP only if it breaks above 0.8500 but not pay more than 0.8520. They place a stop-limit order with a stop price of 0.8500 and a limit price of 0.8520. If the price hits 0.8500, the order becomes a limit order, executing only if the price is 0.8520 or lower.
5. Trailing Stop Order: A trailing stop order is a dynamic stop-loss order that adjusts automatically as the market price moves in the trader's favor. It helps lock in profits while allowing for potential further gains.
For Trend Following - A trader might use a trailing stop order to lock in profits as the price moves in their favor, allowing the stop price to trail the market price and protect gains if the market reverses.
A trader buys USD/CAD at 1.3000 and sets a trailing stop order with a 50-pip trail. As the price rises to 1.3100, the trailing stop adjusts to 1.3050. If the price then falls to 1.3050, the order executes, locking in a 50-pip profit.
Hopefully these explanations on the various Trading Orders open you up to more strategies that you can applied in the market for you to trade more efficiently and profitably!
Do check out my recorded video (in trading ideas) for the week to have more explanation in place.
Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you!
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Disclaimers:
The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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EURCHF Sell signal at the top of Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 26 2022 Low. Today it hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level which on January 13 2023 formed the last Lower High at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, this is the first long-term sell signal that has emerged since that date. We want to keep a safer, short-term perspective though and will only short towards the bottom of the current Channel Up (which is the Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Down) and target 0.977500.
If then EURCHF closes a 1W candle below the Channel Up, we will re-sell and target Support 1 at 0.95700, similar to the March 13 2023 Low.
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Implementing SEASONAL TENDENCIESHi guys,
In this video I go through what are "seasonal tendencies", and how you can implement it into your analysis and strategy(ies).
Seasonal tendencies in the context of financial markets are basically what the particular market or asset has historically done throughout the years in terms of bullish or bearish movement. For example, in April-May the US Dollar is usually bearish, and from May-June it is usually bullish. This is useful information because it can add confluence to your bias/analysis. However, you do not want to solely use this information as a reason to get into a trade. The data is based on the past, and is not indicative to the present/future and also does not represent how much a market or asset can move because the data is only measured relative to what it has previously done. The best approach is to use this as an additional thumbs up if it coincides with your analysis, and if it does, then it allows you to be a bit more cautious or risk averse.
A simple analogy is the weather. If you were planning a holiday to Thailand for a sunny getaway, the best times would be from March to July. Most likely you are not going to book a holiday in November during the monsoon season, unless you actually wanted it to rain every day. However, some years have had very little to no rain during the monsoon season. That being said, you would most likely choose to go during a time that seasonally has hot and sunny weather. This is how you can use seasonal tendencies to add an additional layer to your analysis.
I hope that was insightful and gave you some ideas to test if you've never heard of seasonal tendencies. You can implement this both as a technical or fundamental analyst (or both).
Til next time, happy trading.
- R2F