EURO - Price can bounce up to $1.0900, breaking resistance lineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to trades in flat, where it some time decliend to support area, after which it started to grow.
Price left flat, and then reached $1.0935 level and even entered to resistance area, where EUR little time traded.
After this, Euro broke $1.0935 level and fell below, after which price rose to this level again and made downward impulse.
Euro fell to support line, breaking $1.0820 level, but soon it turned around and made upward impulse to resistance line.
Also, price broke $1.0820 level again, and reached resistance line, but recently it fell and then started to rise.
In my mind, Euro can little decline and then bounce up to $1.0900, breaking resistance line.
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EUR
Eurjpy and Audjpy looking for looks if jpy continue weakensHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
If Jpy is still showing weakness, then likely i am looking at both AJ and EJ to look for long opportunities
But do keep in mind if BOJ gonna dish out stuns on its interventions.
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EURUSD: Potential MACD Bullish Cross makes all the differenceEURUSD is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.712, MACD = -0.001, ADX = 26.518) and that's exactly how we can characterize its trend on the medium term. Even though both this week and the previous closed on flat 1W candles, the pair remains inside a Channel Down that has just formed a 1D Death Cross. For now that is bearish and that's what we remain, still aiming for a -2.67% decline (TP = 1.06900) since two weeks ago.
Notice however the 1D MACD which is near forming a Bullish Cross, something we last saw on February 16th. If it gets completed, it will be a bullish reversal signal, so we will close our short and open long targeting the top dashed trendline (TP = 1.10700). If it fails to get completed like the August 30th 2023 one, we expect an even more aggressive downtrend. The difference this time is that the price already crossed over the 1D MA50, something which didn't happen then.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURUSD 5 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis - NFP Day!This is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 5 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bearish
Reached Swing EQ
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
As expected yesterday, 15m Swing Pullback confirmed after the Bearish iBOS.
Price continued bearish and reached the 15m Swing EQ but didn't mitigate any HTF POI.
Following the Bullish Swing, We need a bullish iBOS to target the Weak Swing High.
Still INT Structure Bearish so expectations is set to continue bearish to mitigate at least the 4H POIs within the 15m Swing Discount.
Analyzing EUR/USD: Reversal Signals and US Data ImpactThe EUR/USD pair surged with bullish momentum during Wednesday's session, propelled by a robust bullish impulse. However, the price has now entered a potential reversal zone, characterized by a Double top formation on the H1 timeframe. Additionally, on the H4 chart, the price has reached the 61.8% Fibonacci level, accompanied by overbought conditions and divergence in the RSI indicator. Traders may consider mitigating their positions with a reversal to the Point of Control (POC) volume value, or alternatively, opt to sell their positions.
The downtick in the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from the US instigated a selloff in the US Dollar (USD) during Wednesday's American session. The PMI headline figure declined to 51.4 from 52.6, indicating a slowdown in the growth of activity within the service sector. Moreover, the Prices Paid Index fell to 53.4 from 58.6, signaling a softening in input inflation within the sector.
Despite these developments, Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell reiterated that the central bank is not hastening to lower the policy rate. Powell emphasized the importance of letting incoming data guide their policy decisions, indicating a patient approach.
The upcoming release of the Nonfarm Payrolls data by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday adds further uncertainty to the market. As traders await this crucial jobs report, market participants may adopt a cautious stance, potentially influencing trading activity.
In light of these factors, we anticipate a reversal in the EUR/USD pair, with market sentiment likely to shift amidst the release of key economic data.
EURUSDGood morning!
Daily review of EURUSD: After yesterday's corrective movement in the long direction (I remind you that on higher timeframes we continue to be in a short context on the daily timeframe). In the New York session, we witnessed a breakdown of the market structure into a short context. My intraday target is the minimum formed during the Asian session.
EUR/USD Analysis before NFP(4/5/2024)In our last analysis, we had anticipated the EUR/USD FX:EURUSD price to have a minor correction but the correction has exceeded our expectations and the price moved to higher levels.
We have some resistance in the 1.09 zone, so we are expecting the price to reach there.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
EURAUD Strong sell opportunity within the Channel Down.Last time we made a call on the EURAUD pair (January 02, see chart below), we caught the best buy entry right at the bottom of the former Channel Down that easily hit our 1.6600 Target:
This time we are presented with a strong sell opportunity as the price just broke yesterday below the March 07 Support, making a new short-term Lower Low. This confirms the longer term bearish extension towards the Channel Down bottom for a new Lower Low. We are going for a standard (for this Channel Down Bearish Legs) -4.25% decline from the top, targeting 1.60350.
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Rising into a resistance level, could it reverse?EURUSD is rising towards a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.08525
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 1.08763
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 1.07992
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish breakoutPrice has broken out of an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.46630
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 1.46258
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Take profit: 1.47338
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD Heavy rejection on the 1day MA100.The EURUSD pair got rejected today exactly on the 1day MA100, touching it for the first time since March 21st.
That took place very close to the Falling Resistance of the Bearish Megaphone pattern, which adds more selling pressure on it.
The ssell signal will be confirmed once the 4hour RSI crosses under its MA trend line.
Sell and target 1.07230 (top of Support Zone A).
Previous chart:
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EURUSD 4 Apr 2024 W14 - Intraday Analysis-ECB Minutes/US JoblessThis is my Intraday analysis on EURUSD for 4 Apr 2024 W14 based on Smart Money Concept (SMC) which includes the following Time Frames:
4H
15m
4H Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bearish / Continuation
INT Bearish / Pullback Phase
2.
Price reached the INT Structure EQ / Premium and swept the Liq. on the left from the bearish INT Structure Leg.
As the 4H Swing and INT are bearish, expectation is after the pullback to continue bearish.
4H OF and momentum is Bullish so more development on LTF is required for Shorts to target the Weak INT Low and the continuation of the Bearish Swing to target the Weak Swing Low.
3.
After the bearish iBOS, price mitigated the Daily demand and initiated the INT Structure Pullback.
15m Chart Analysis
1.
Swing Bullish
Internal Bullish
Swing Pullback Phase
2.
After the Bearish BOS we expect a Pullback.
Price tapped into the daily demand which initiated the Swing Pullback Phase with a Bullish iBOS.
3.
Bearish Swing failed and we created a Bullish BOS which aligns with the 4H request to initiate the 4H INT Pullback.
But be mindful that we reached the 4H INT Structure EQ and Premium where we could see a bearish continuation.
Shorts are mostly viable after we mitigate a HTF POI and/or a bearish iBOS.
Euro can make correction move and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price a not long time ago entered to upward channel, where it reached the resistance line and then at once rebounded down to the 1.0800 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, EUR continued to move up in the upward channel and soon reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and broke it, thereby exiting from the upward channel too. Then price some time traded in the seller zone, after which turned around and started to decline in a downward channel. Euro at once broke the 1.0920 level and then fell to the support line of the channel, and then it rebounded up to the seller zone, but at once turned around and fell back, making a fake breakout of the 1.0920 level. Next, the price broke 1.0800 also, after which it some time traded in the buyer zone and declined to support line of the downward channel. But a not long time ago Euro turned around and made an upward impulse, thereby breaking the 1.0800 level one more time and exiting from a downward channel also. At the moment, I think that the Euro can make a correction movement first and then continue to rise to the 1.0920 resistance level, which is my target as well. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Rising into resistance levelEURUSD is rising towards a pullback resistance, aligning with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement, and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 1.08652
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 1.09149
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 88% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 1.08007
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish Retracement on EURSUDUsually, I do not advise trading against the trend.It is obvious that the market is in a bearish run.However,I see price clearing the INTERNAL RANGE LIQUIDITY upward to a more premium price for sells. Therefore, I will be looking for buy opportunity IF price breaks April 2 high to the newest buy-side liquidity as shown with the arrow. NOTE THAT WE ONLY REACT TO PRICE WE DO NOT PREDICT... THIS IS A RISKY TRADE AS IT IS AGAINST THE TREND
kindly ENGAGE and SHARE your view if you think otherwise... LIKE and FOLLOW
EURAUD resistance continues to cap gains.EURAUD - 24h expiry
The medium term bias remains bearish.
Price action looks to be forming a top.
The sequence for trading is lower lows and highs.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
Bespoke resistance is located at 1.6560.
We look to Sell at 1.6560 (stop at 1.6596)
Our profit targets will be 1.6470 and 1.6450
Resistance: 1.6560 / 1.6590 / 1.6630
Support: 1.6500 / 1.6460 / 1.6420
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURCAD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCAD for a selling opportunity around 1.46900 zone, EURCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 1.46900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURJPY to find resistance at the current market level?EURJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Our short term bias remains negative.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look to sell rallies.
Weekly pivot is at 163.55.
We look to Sell at 163.55 (stop at 164.05)
Our profit targets will be 162.65 and 162.45
Resistance: 164.30 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EUR/USD Sees Volatility Amid USD Weakness:Swing Trading ApproachThe EUR/USD pair experienced notable volatility on Tuesday, following our previous forecast indicating a potential bearish continuation. Despite initially touching previous support-turned-resistance levels, the pair managed to close in positive territory. Currently, it remains within our Fibonacci levels of interest, signaling a possible continuation of the bearish trend. Our strategy for EUR/USD swing trading revolves around anticipating another bearish impulse.
The USD exhibited weakness during the American trading session on Tuesday, providing support for the rebound in EUR/USD. Despite a negative shift in risk sentiment, investors refrained from placing bets on an extended USD rally.
Market participants are now closely watching the release of the ADP Employment Change data from the US. Forecasts suggest an increase of 148K jobs in March. Any print at or below 100K could trigger a selloff in the USD, prompting an immediate reaction.
Additionally, the ISM Services PMI data is set to be featured in the US economic docket. Earlier in the week, the USD showed strength following better-than-expected ISM Manufacturing PMI data, particularly the sharp rise in the Prices Paid Index. A similar reaction may occur if the ISM Services PMI beats analysts' estimates.
In light of these developments, our outlook for EUR/USD leans towards a bearish continuation of the trend.
EURGBP Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a buying opportunity around 0.85500 zone, EURGBP was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.85500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.