EUR
EUR/USD: Euro Under Pressure, the Impact of Future Rate cutsThe EUR/USD currency pair began its London session with a promising bullish impulse. Initially, it appeared that the euro was gaining traction as investors showed renewed interest. However, this optimism was short-lived as the European Central Bank (ECB) officials signaled support for further interest rate cuts, leading to a swift reversal of intraday gains.
Market analysts expect the ECB to implement a substantial interest rate reduction of around 100 basis points in the upcoming year. This prospective easing of monetary policy has raised concerns among investors, prompting them to reevaluate their positions in the euro. As the sentiment shifts, market participants are paying close attention to the ECB’s next moves and how they will impact the euro's valuation.
In addition to developments from the ECB, investors are also focused on the Federal Reserve's dot plot, which will provide insights into future interest rate projections in the United States. As the Fed navigates its monetary policy landscape, any signals of tightening could play a significant role in influencing global currency movements, particularly with the euro in the spotlight.
The Current State of the Euro
As I write this article, the euro has surrendered its intraday gains and is trading around the critical psychological level of 1.0490. This decline reflects strong bearish pressure currently weighing on the currency. From a technical analysis perspective, the trends suggest a sustained downturn, raising questions about the euro's ability to regain its footing.
Looking back over the past decade, seasonality data reveals a generally bullish trend for the euro during this period. However, the recent political climate, particularly the election of President Trump, has fortified the DXY’s (U.S. Dollar Index) upward momentum. This unexpected resilience of the dollar adds another layer of complexity to the euro’s outlook.
With a target price established at 1.0350 for the euro, market analysts see potential for further declines. If the euro approaches this level, it could prompt a reaction from traders. However, at this juncture, the sentiment indicates little chance for a significant reversal in direction. The coming weeks will be critical as both European and U.S. economic data continue to unfold, shaping the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair.
In conclusion, while the EUR/USD pair started on a bullish note, the recent signals from the ECB and the prevailing market sentiment point toward a challenging environment for the euro in the short term. Traders will need to navigate carefully as they weigh the implications of interest rate cuts and geopolitical developments in their strategies.
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EURUSD: Best opportunity to buy for the long term.EURUSD is bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.973, MACD = -0.005, ADX = 14.482) but almost still oversold on 1W (RSI = 35.674). This is because after the November 18th 1W candle bottom on the LL trendline of the 2 year Channel Down, it has completed 2 red weeks in a row. Still, having rebounded on oversold 1W RSI territory, those low levels present an excellent buy opportunity for those who missed the bottom. Every bounce on the Channel Down bottom has made at least a +5.42% rally, and that is what we're aiming for (TP = 1.0900). This may coincide with a 1W MA200 test.
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Bullish momentum to extend?EUR/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.4982
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retraecment.
Stop loss: 1.4847
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up wit the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.5166
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?EUR/JPY has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 162.13
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Stop loss: 164.38
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 159.34
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD breaking lower ahead of the FOMCIntraday Update: Ahead of the FOMC the EURUSD is trying to break the triangle consolidation to the downside, next support at 1.0450.
Buy EUR/NZD Bullish ChannelThe EUR/NZD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.8324
2nd Support – 1.8384
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EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price broke $1.0560 level and fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line and continued to fall.
Then price made a gap and fell to support level, after which some time traded near and then made upward impulse.
Price broke resistance line with resistance level, and rose to $1.0630 points, but then it started to fall.
In falling channel, price broke $1.0560 level again and fell to support area, after which bounced up, making a fake breakout.
Next, Euro started to grow and now it continues to move up, therefore I think it can almost reach resistance line.
After this, price can turn around and start to fall to $1.0470 support level inside falling channel.
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EURO - Price can bounce up from support level to $1.0650Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few moments ago price declined inside falling channel, where it fell from resistance line to $1.0765 level.
Then price rose to resistance line of channel, making first gap and then making a downward impulse, exiting from channel.
Also then, EUR continued to decline inside a downward pennant, where it broke $1.0765 level and later fell to $1.0470 level.
Next, price declined to support line of pennant, after which made a second gap and rose to resistance line of pennant,
After this, Euro declined to $1.0470 level and some time traded near, but now it trades close support line.
Possible, price can fall to support level, exiting from pennant and then bounce up to $1.0650
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Bearish drop?The Fiber (EUR/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.0531
1st Support: 1.0452
1st Resistance: 1.0598
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.0456
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 1.0401
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 1.0527
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURUSD to make a bullish breakout after the Fed.On Wednesday the Fed will announce the new rate and the anticipation of this event largely explains the recent consolidation of EURUSD.
Since the November 22nd bottom, it has turned sideways around the MA50 (4h), failing to cross above the MA200 (4h), which is the main Resistance of the bearish wave since October 1st.
The July-October 2023 bearish wave was under a similar consolidation but eventually broke to the upside and hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 1.08700 (the 0.618 Fibonacci level).
Tips:
1. The RSI (4h) has been rising inside a Channel Up, which is a bullish divergence also very much like the October 2023 bottom.
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EURUSD: Short-term trade Before Retail SalesHello Traders,
Due to longer term Bearish Trend in the pair I'm more with the Red Path, However, we have to follow the market!
Any Breaks below the channel and 1.0500, may head the price to 1.0468.
Any Breaks over the zone, could make us see the 1.0577.
We should close our trader before Retail Sales release on Tuesday.
Bearish drop off overlap resistance?EUR/JPY is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support.
Pivot: 162.12
1st Support: 160.34
1st Resistance: 164.02
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.8268
1st Support: 0.8224
1st Resistance: 0.8325
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish bounce off 50% Fibonacci support?EUR/GBP is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8269
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8223
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.8329
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
SELL EUROEUR/USD remains in a downtrend channel on the weekly timeframe and is currently in a correction/ rejection phase before the next big down movement to the lower channel below parity levels after a weekly close confirmation below a major support area at 1.05.
EURUSD Bottom formation in progress. Strong Buy.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a nearly 2-year Channel Down. Being below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since October 02 2024, this is technically still the pattern's Bearish Leg.
However, having bottomed on November 22 and transitioned into a (dotted) Channel Up, this is the technical bottom formation of the long-term Channel Down and the rise following a 1D MACD Bullish Cross from such a low level (the lowest in 2 years), confirms that.
The similarities with both previous bottom formations (September - October 2023 and February - March 2023) are obvious, all of them triple bottomed before rebounding above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, buying now and targeting 1.08765 (Fib 0.618) is an excellent long-term trade in terms of R/R.
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EURCHF Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.93600 zone, EURCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.93600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
$EURGBPGreen: Entry Point
Blue: Start of Week
Red: End of Week
Thumbs Up: Trade Available for Week
$ Amount (Numbers Above): Price Targets
Potential ABC corrective pattern located. Looking for price to retrace to the targets overtime.
$EURNZDAt the current price level, price seems to have bounced off a recent consolidation zone. Price is now near a resistance zone. Looking for price to retrace towards the target zone listed on the chart.
