Sell EUR/AUD Bearish ChannelThe EUR/AUD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.6370, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.6300
2nd Support – 1.6260
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.6400. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
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EUR
Bearish drop?EUR/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1137
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1200
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 1.1047
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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EURUSD: Neutral ready to breakout either way.EURUSD remains marginally neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 55.284, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 28.089) as it remains supported on the 4H MA50. At the same time it is bearish below the R1 level, which forms so far a Double Top. If the price crosses above it, we will turn bullish aiming at the 1.5 Fibonacci extension (TP = 1.13000). If the price crosses under the 4H MA200, we will turn bearish aiming at the S1 level (TP = 1.10000).
The 1D RSI is crossing under its MA trendline, which suggests that a bearish move is more likely, similar to every time this took place since June.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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EURUSD Sell opportunity on a Double Top.The EURUSD pair made a Double Top last week near the 1.12000 Resistance following the Fed Rate Decision (-0.50% cut) and technically this is the first sign of a potential medium-term sell opportunity.
If we examine the price action on the 1D time-frame going back 2 years (November 2020), we can see a recurring pattern. When the 1D RSI breaks above the 70.00 overbought barrier and posts a Lower Highs trend-line, a sell signal emerges, which is valid until the RSI approaches the 30.00 oversold level.
This sell signal has so far emerged 2 times (February 02 2023 and December 28 2023) and both times the pull-back that followed hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). The first correction registered a -4.70% decline while the second a -4.00%.
If this is a progressive pattern, then a potential new correction on the current RSI Lower Highs (Double Top for price) should be -3.30% (0.70 less than the previous), which as you can see on the chart falls exactly on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, this isn't just a strong sell signal but also gives us a very reliable Target at 1.08350.
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EUR/USD Reverses at Supply Level Amid German PMI WeaknessGermany’s Manufacturing PMI continued its decline, dropping to 40.3 in September, falling short of the forecast of 42.4. This latest figure signals ongoing weakness in Europe’s largest economy, as the manufacturing sector struggles with reduced demand and broader economic challenges. The PMI contraction adds further pressure to the already fragile outlook for the Eurozone, and it has contributed to the recent bearish moves in the EUR/USD pair.
As anticipated in our recent analysis, the EUR/USD reacted sharply to the supply level around 1.11500, starting a reversal following the weak data. The currency pair’s behavior confirms the importance of this key resistance area, which has once again acted as a barrier to further gains. The reversal gained momentum as the Services PMI for the German economy also disappointed, falling to 50.6 in September, below the expected 51.0. The combined weakness in both manufacturing and services sectors signals a broader slowdown in the German economy, weighing on the Euro.
Adding to the bearish outlook for the EUR/USD, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a clear divergence in sentiment between retail traders and institutional investors. Retail traders remain largely long on the EUR/USD, reflecting optimism that the Euro will recover. However, "Smart Money" — large institutional traders — continue to hold a bearish position, suggesting that they expect further downside for the pair.
This contrast in positioning underscores the potential for more weakness in the Euro, particularly if the economic data from Germany and the Eurozone continues to disappoint. As smart money maintains a bearish stance and the EUR/USD begins its reversal, traders should remain cautious of potential short-term rallies and focus on the broader downtrend that seems to be forming.
Looking ahead, traders will keep a close eye on future economic data releases and central bank decisions, as these will likely shape the next leg of the EUR/USD’s movement. For now, the pair appears set to continue its downward trend, with the 1.11500 supply level serving as a strong point of resistance.
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TRADE SETUP ON EURUSDHey Trader,
Check out this analysis on EURUSD.
The entry plan is best above the intraday resistance area.
Alternatively, a short trade can be considered if the price breaks below the intraday key zone (support), retests, and resists. A short trade can be considered.
Trade safe.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Trade Responsibly!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
Bearish reversal?EUR/CHF is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.95218
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.95997
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.94314
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?EUR/USD is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 1.1192
1st Support: 1.1081
1st Resistance: 1.1252
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURUSD 22/09/24This week, we continue to expect a bullish Euro to US Dollar movement, similar to last week. The price moved higher and remained above the previous high. Now, our focus is on the daily high and an hourly demand zone that could drive further upside price action. We are also aligning with the institutional trajectory, which points upward. If the price dips to this level and shows bullish signals, we expect a continuation toward the daily high. At this point, we anticipate the price to remain bullish, with a small pullback likely before resuming its upward movement.
Follow what price action is showing you. Remember that these areas are only to be tracked in terms of probability, not in terms of prediction of actual price action.
Stick your plan follow your risk. trade safe.
How I Perform My Analysis (ICT Concepts)This video is for educational purposes, but feel free to enjoy the analysis using ICT Concepts.
I had trouble uploading this a couple of days ago, but finally works.
Update on the analysis, price came to a Daily SIBI, but the overall directional bias and target should still be intact.
- R2F
how to prepare for the trade. Professional traininghow to prepare for the trade. Professional training
if you like the idea, please "Like" it. This is the best "Thanks!" for the author 😊 P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profits in installments. Withdraw profits in fiat and please yourself and your friends.
EURNZD to find sellers at market price?EURNZD - 24h expiry
Short term bias has turned negative.
50 4hour EMA is at 1.7919.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Daily signals are mildly bearish.
Rallies should be capped by yesterday's high.
We look to Sell at 1.7915 (stop at 1.7960)
Our profit targets will be 1.7795 and 1.7775
Resistance: 1.7900 / 1.7941 / 1.7970
Support: 1.7850 / 1.7823 / 1.7800
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURGBP to find sellers at marabuzo resistance?EURGBP - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Yesterday's Marabuzo is located at 0.8431.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
The primary trend remains bearish.
We look for a temporary move higher.
We look to Sell at 0.8430 (stop at 0.8446)
Our profit targets will be 0.8390 and 0.8375
Resistance: 0.8420 / 0.8430 / 0.8445
Support: 0.8415 / 0.8404 / 0.8380
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURNOK Confirmed sell signalThe EURNOK pair brutally followed our last buy signal (July 09, see chart below) and easily hit our Target:
The pair has now established a clear peak formation within the +1 year Ascending Triangle pattern, similar to the tops of Nov - Dec 2023 and June 2023, and is ready to extend the Bullish Leg towards the pattern's bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) again.
The Sine Waves clearly show the frequency of those bottoms and as such, our Target is 11.3650.
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Could price reverse from here?EUR/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 159.52
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 161.22
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 157.48
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The price is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance level which is also an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 1.1073
1st Support: 1.1019
1st Resistance: 1.1150
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Sell EURUSD Channel Breakout (FOMC) The EUR/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 1.1117, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 1.1076
2nd Support – 1.1051
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 1.1152. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EURO - Price can bounce up from wedge, exiting from itHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to rising channel, where it at once made a correction to support line and then continued to grow.
In a short time, price rose to resistance line of channel, but at once bounced down, making a fake breakout of $1.1120 level.
EUR exited from channel and started to trades inside wedge, where it broke $1.1050 level and fell to support line.
Next, price made upward impulse, thereby breaking this level again and later EUR broke $1.1120 level too.
Now, price trades near support area, and in my mind, it can fall to this area and then bounce up.
After this, price will exit from wedge and continue to move up to $1.1180
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EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.1120 Ahead of Crucial Fed Rate ...EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.1120 Ahead of Crucial Fed Rate Decision
As the first London session kicks off this morning, EUR/USD is maintaining its position above the 1.1120 level, with market participants eagerly awaiting today's Federal Funds Rate decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The decision is set to dominate market sentiment, with investors and traders closely watching for any signs of policy shifts or forward guidance.
Current Market Sentiment
From a technical standpoint, not much has changed since our previous analysis. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report continues to highlight a significant divergence between retail traders and institutional investors. Retail traders remain overwhelmingly long on the pair, suggesting their optimism for further upside. However, "smart money," often represented by institutional traders, continues to take a bearish stance, positioning themselves for potential downside.
This disparity in positioning further adds to the uncertainty surrounding EUR/USD’s near-term trajectory. As the pair trades within a daily supply zone, the potential for a bearish reversal remains on the table. The supply zone, which has acted as a resistance level, continues to cap any significant bullish advances, keeping the risk of a sharp pullback intact.
Fed Decision: The Key Catalyst
All eyes remain on the Federal Reserve’s policy verdict, which could serve as the key driver for the next move in EUR/USD. The Fed's decision on interest rates, along with its forward guidance, will likely dictate the pair's direction in the coming days. A more hawkish stance from the Fed could fuel U.S. dollar strength, potentially pushing EUR/USD lower. Conversely, any dovish signals might provide the pair with a fresh catalyst for breaking through the current resistance levels.
For now, EUR/USD continues to hover above 1.1120, but the looming Fed decision may be the tipping point that decides whether the pair resumes its bullish momentum or succumbs to the bearish sentiment from institutional traders.
✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Bullish bounce?EUR/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 1.1075
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 1.1025
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 1.1139
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.