EURAUD Breakdown: Bearish Continuation Ahead of ECBEURAUD is showing signs of renewed downside pressure as fundamental and technical forces align in favor of Australian dollar strength. With the European Central Bank expected to hold rates steady and provide a cautious growth outlook, the euro remains vulnerable. Meanwhile, upside surprises in Australian inflation and supportive commodity dynamics continue to boost AUD sentiment. Technically, the pair has broken down from a rising wedge, confirming bearish momentum and setting the stage for further declines toward key support near 1.7648 and potentially 1.7500.
🟢 Current Bias: Bearish
🔑 Key Fundamentals:
ECB: Markets expect the ECB to hold rates steady this week. While this ends a 7-year streak of cuts, the bank has turned cautiously neutral, with no clear signal of future tightening. Core inflation remains subdued, and growth momentum across Germany and the euro area is weak.
RBA & Australia: The RBA faces persistent inflation risks after the June CPI surprised to the upside, putting rate hikes back on the table. The Aussie dollar is drawing strength from this, especially with rising commodity prices and China's potential fiscal stimulus aiding demand-side confidence.
Macro Divergence: Australia’s macro picture is improving vs. the eurozone. AUD has tailwinds; EUR is under pressure from stagnant growth and tepid inflation outlook.
⚠️ Risks to Bias:
ECB Surprise: A sudden hawkish tone from the ECB (e.g., lifting forecasts or emphasizing wage-driven inflation risk) could spark short-term EUR upside.
RBA Softness: A dovish RBA pivot or weak Aussie data could weaken AUD strength and slow EURAUD downside.
Geopolitical Risk: Broader global volatility (e.g., US-China, oil disruptions) could cause flows into euro as a semi-safe haven.
📅 Key News/Events to Watch:
ECB Rate Decision & Press Conference – July 25
Eurozone Flash GDP + CPI – Next week
China industrial data (AUD-sensitive)
RBA August Meeting Statement (early Aug)
📉 Technical Breakdown (4H Chart):
Price broke bearish from a wedge consolidation.
Minor bullish pullbacks are being sold into, confirming a distribution phase.
Targets:
1st Target: 1.76480 (support & fib confluence)
2nd Target: 1.7500–1.7460 zone (major swing low)
Resistance: 1.7855–1.7975 zone is key invalidation area.
Structure favors lower highs & continuation patterns until support zones break.
🧭 Leader/Lagger Behavior:
AUD is leading the move. Strong CPI and China demand backdrop are fueling bullish AUD momentum.
EUR is lagging, tracking broader USD risk tone and internal Eurozone data weakness.
EURAUD is currently reactive to external forces rather than setting direction for other pairs.
✅ Summary: Bias and Watchpoints
Bias: Bearish
Fundamentals: Weak Eurozone growth vs. hotter Aussie inflation and hawkish RBA tone.
Risk: ECB hawkish tilt or a dovish shift from the RBA.
Event to Watch: ECB press conference and Aussie CPI commentary from policymakers.
Leader/Lagger: Lagger — following AUD strength rather than leading.
Euraudforecast
EURAUD – Planning Ahead, Not PredictingAs usual, I have marked my level.
🎯 I’m waiting for the price to reach it and if a valid sell signal appears, I will enter a short position.
If the level is broken cleanly,
I’ll wait for a pullback and enter a buy trade.
We are just traders, not predictors.
We have no impact on the market —
we are just a tiny part of a huge system.
🧠 So I never say: “Price will come here, then must fall.”
That’s not my mindset.
My belief is simple:
Manage risk, be prepared for everything.
One trade won’t make me rich,
and I won’t let one trade destroy me.
📌 Stop-loss is the first and last rule.
Trading without a stop-loss is just gambling.
EURAUD Buy Setup – Advanced Analysis Entry: As marked on chart
🎯 TP1: As highlighted on chart
🎯 TP2: As highlighted on chart
🛑 SL: As defined on chart
📊 Technical Insight:
Price has completed a higher low formation, indicating the potential start of a new uptrend phase.
The market has shown an accumulation phase followed by a breakout above minor resistance, suggesting strong demand at current levels.
Volume analysis supports the breakout, with increased participation on bullish pushes and decreasing volume on retracements, confirming healthy trend dynamics.
📍 As long as price holds above the stop loss zone, we expect continuation towards TP1 and TP2 in line with the primary trend.
EURAUD - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Strong bearish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
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EURAUD Flag Forming Below 1.80 – Time to Sell the Rally?📈 The Big Picture
In mid-February, EURAUD exploded to the upside, gaining over 2000 pips in just two weeks. After peaking near 1.85, the pair corrected sharply, returning to more balanced levels around 1.72.
🕰️ What’s happened since?
The market has resumed its climb and just recently made a new local high at 1.81. On the surface, it looks like bulls are still in control – but a closer look reveals warning signs.
🔍 Key structure observations:
• The current rally appears to be a measured move, topping out near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous drop
• Price structure is overlapping, suggesting weak momentum
• A large flag pattern is developing – typically bearish in this context
• The pair still trades above the ascending trendline, but a breakdown is looming
📍 Current price: 1.7805
🎯 Swing Trade Plan
From a swing trading perspective, I’m looking to sell rallies near the 1.80 zone, with:
• Negation: if the price breaks clearly above the recent high
• Target: the recent low around 1.7250 – where the last correction ended
________________________________________
📌 Conclusion:
EURAUD may have exhausted its bullish energy. The technical picture suggests we are in the late stage of the rally, with bearish patterns stacking up. Unless bulls manage a clean breakout above 1.80, this looks like a great place to position for a medium-term reversal. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
#EURAUD: Two Swing Bullish Entry Worth Thousands Pips! EURAUD is currently at a critical level, and the price isn’t yet decided for the next move. However, the current price behaviour suggests strong bullish volume presence in the market. There are two areas to buy from. The first is activated, and we think price could just be starting the next bull run from this point. The second entry is a safe point if price does decide to drop further and fill up the daily Fair Value Gap.
We wish you the best in trading.
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#EURAUD: Daily Timeframe Suggest Major Price Correction! EURAUD is currently implementing a significant correction, which could potentially be advantageous for swing traders like ourselves. This correction presents an opportunity to execute swing trades.
There are two potential entry points for swing trades: a risky trade and a safer trade option.
Best of luck and trade safely!
Warm regards ❤️
Team Setupsfx_
#EURAUD: Two Major Buying Zones|, Which One Are You In? Hey Everyone
Following a substantial bullish candle, the price failed to maintain the bullish momentum and swiftly transitioned into a bearish position, effectively eradicating the bullish gain. Nevertheless, we remain optimistic that the price will retain its bullish trend in the upcoming weeks. We have identified two potential areas where price may reverse from either of the two zones. You are welcome to set take profit and stop loss orders based on your own investment strategy. It is advisable to closely monitor the prices before making any trading decisions.
We extend our sincere best wishes and best of luck in your trading endeavours. Your unwavering support is greatly valued.
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EURAUD - Short Term Buy IdeaM15 - Strong bullish move.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
EURAUD - Expecting Bullish Continuation In The Short TermH1 - Strong bullish move.
Higher highs on the moving averages of the MACD.
No opposite signs.
Expecting further continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
euraud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
euraud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EURAUD possible short for 1.7150euraud forming lower low and lower high on daily time frame, indication for downtrend. in daily time frame supply zone is quite larger, 1.5760-1.7885. ideal level for short is 1.7820 & 1.7885, stop loss 1.7910. initial target 1.7400, longer term down target is 1.7150.
euraud buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
EUR/AUD "Euro vs Aussie" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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📌Thief SL placed at the nearest/swing High or Low level Using the 4H timeframe (1.81000) Day/Swing trade basis.
📌SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 1.74500 (or) Escape Before the Target
💰💵💴💸EUR/AUD "Euro vs Aussie" Forex Market Heist Plan (Day / Swing Trade) is currently experiencing a Bearish trend.., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
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As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
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EURAUD Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 18th I shared this "EURAUD Short Term Buy Idea Follow Up"
I expected pullbacks towards the marked key support zones and then a potential continuation higher. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price reached the first key support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!!
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.