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Euraudsignal

EURAUD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-UpAfter enjoying 200pips move on four different occasions (a total of 800pips) since my last publication ( see link below for reference purposes); we are at a juncture in the market for selling opportunity as Buyers find it difficult to penetrate and breakthrough AU$1.57000 zone in the last 3 months. On the weekly chart; I am of the opinion that the third wave of a Bearish momentum that began mid-March 2020 is about to explode again after noticing the appearance of a converging trend line holding a consolidation phase in the last couple of months. The successful Breakdown of Key level @ AU$1.56200 followed by multiple rejections of this zone (Supplication area) signals the possibility of Seller's turning the table for a nosedive as the value of the Aussie has a tendency to soar in the coming week(s). Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Pennant Observation: i. Bearish Pennant: a consolidation period with converging trend lines formed after a Bearish Impulse leg (Flag-pole) is expected to be followed with a breakout movement in the same direction as the initial Impulse leg. ii. In as much as I anticipate a Breakdown of the converging trendline to the downside, the key level @ AU$1.56200 shall be a yardstick in the coming as anywhere below this level seems to be a safe haven to trigger an entry. iii. I shall anticipate adding to my position at the Breakdown/Retest of AU$1.55000 area in the coming week(s). iv. CAUTION: Please note that a Break above AU$1.56500 shall render this setup invalid and reverting to my previous publication (see link below) becomes necessary for a rally continuation... Trade consciously! :) Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:6 Potential Duration: 7 to 15 days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
EURAUD | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe gains accumulated by the Euro remains limited as structure suggest that investors are hesitant to buy the Euro amidst concerns that the Eurozone is in for more coronavirus restrictions in the nearest future. We had no execution on our last publications as price went the opposite direction with a significant Breakout of the Channel @ AU$1.54500 area ( see link below for reference purposes). Despite the fact that I am yet to disregard my previous speculation, there is a possibility that price might continue to the upside as we experience what looked like a retest/rejection of the Channel @ AU$1.54000 area after the Breakout last week. Tendency: Uptrend ( Bullish ) Structure: Breakout | Supply & Demand | Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) | Channel Observation: i. By connecting the lower highs and lower lows of price action with parallel trendlines, it is obvious that price has been on a downward trend caught within a Descending Channel since early November 2020 until a final Breakout happened during last week trading session. ii. Demand zone (AU$1.52500/1.53500) has held price "Supported" in the last 39 days with clues detailing the weakness of Sellers at this area as buying pressure increases and price finds it difficult to continue respecting the Channel. iii. The Impulse leg (AB) that began with a Hammer candle leading into the Breakout of the Channel @ AU$1.54500 followed immediately by a rejection/retest of the Channel @ AU$1.53500 (point C) signals a rally continuation that might transpose into an AB = CD pattern with parameters explained below; a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg pegged a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg @ AU$1.53500. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move @ around AU$1.58500 area. iii. My yardstick to join the rally shall be above Key levels with Breakout/Retest expectations of my Key level and Bearish Trendline remains @ AU$1.54600 & AU$1.55500 respectively. iv. This been said, Should price dip into AU$1.53600 in the coming week the possibility of price respecting the Channel becomes feasible hence reverting to my previous publication becomes necessary (see link below)... trade consciously :)! Trading plan: BUY confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 300 pips. Risk/Reward : 1:3.5 Potential Duration: 3 to 7 days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Long
by darcsherry
EURAUD | Perspective for the new weekThe first observation on this chart is the Descending channel drawn by connecting the lower highs and lower lows of price action with parallel trendlines emphasize the prevailing trend that began in October 2020... It appears the price is willing to respect this channel in the coming week as a Breakdown of AU$1.545000 level followed by rejection is a clue supporting a Bearish bias. Tendency: Downtrend ( Bearish ) Structure: Breakdown | Supply & Demand | Harmonic pattern (AB = CD) | Descending Channel Observation: i. In the last 21days, the AU$1.54500 level has been a major determinant of the direction of price action. ii. A breakdown of AU$1.54500 on the 10th of March 2021 followed by a continuous rejection of this level in the last 9 days is a clue that structure might transpose into a harmonic (AB = CD) pattern (see parameters below) in the coming week(s). a. Leg A-to-B is expected to be in harmony with the potential C-to-D leg. b. The B- to-C leg makes a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the A-to-B leg. c. The C-to-D leg is expected to fall within 127.2 - 1.414% Fib. ext. of the A-to-B move @ AU$1.50000 area. iii. In the coming week, I shall make the level @ AU$1.54500 a yardstick for downtrend continuation. iv. Pleased note that a significant Breakout of the Channel shall render this setup invalid. Trading plan: SELL confirmation with a minimum potential profit of 400pips. Risk/Reward : 1:4 Potential Duration: 7 to 15 days NB: This speculation might be considered to make individual decisions on the lower timeframe. Watch this space for updates as price action is been monitored. Risk Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including foreign exchange trading, CFDs, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
Short
by darcsherry
4
EURAUD – Short Term Sell OpportunityEURAUD is clearly in the middle of a downtrend. Its now forming a clear 3-touch expanding structure with the last leg appear to be a false break to grab liquidity (catching people on the wrong sidee of the market). After breking outside of the structure, its completely retrace back into the structure and forming a bearish continuation structure. I’m not setting a stop order at the break of this bearish cont. flag, targetting to at leash the bottom of this expanding structure with more target to the downside that is still need to be seen on how the price behave and develop at that area. One thing to take note is i just view this trade as a short term trade opportunity, so we must be more careful with this position, as I’m expecting a broad weakness across all AUD and NZD pairs to play out in the long term. For now, let’s see how will this pair develop, good luck.. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________ Here is the MOA FX technical analysis, please comment below if you have any question. The ENTRY in the market will be taken only if the condition of the MOA Fx strategy will trigger. __________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________________
Short
by moa_trading_journal
2