Eurcadsell
EURCAD - Potential short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. My point of interest is imbalance filled and rejection from bearish OB + level 1.49000.
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EURCAD SELL TF D1 TP = 1.4616On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug. 22. (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 1.4616
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
#EURCAD 1DAY#EURCAD 1-Day Forecast Sell based on a Channel Pattern
On the daily chart for #EURCAD, the price is moving within a clearly defined **descending or horizontal channel**, signaling a potential **sell opportunity**. The price has been respecting both support and resistance levels, forming a continuous trend inside the channel, with a bearish bias dominating the market.
Key Insights:
1. Channel Pattern:
- The price is fluctuating within a descending or sideways channel, where it repeatedly bounces between resistance and support levels.
- The upper resistance line of the channel is holding firm, acting as a ceiling for the price, while the lower support line limits declines.
2. Sell Scenario:
- With the price near the upper resistance of the channel, this is an ideal point for a sell entry, expecting the price to reverse and move toward the lower support.
- Confirmation for selling can come from bearish price action (e.g., bearish candlesticks or rejection at resistance), indicating that sellers are regaining control.
3. Trend Continuation:
- The overall market bias is bearish, as evidenced by the lower highs and lower lows within the channel. As long as the channel holds, the price is likely to continue this pattern, making selling on rallies an optimal strategy.
4. Volume Confirmation: Monitor volume for confirmation. A rise in selling volume as the price nears resistance would strengthen the bearish outlook, while low volume near the support could suggest a lack of momentum for further declines.
5. Stop-Loss Considerations:
- For a sell position, place a stop-loss slightly above the resistance level of the channel, as a breakout above resistance would invalidate the sell setup and suggest a potential reversal to the upside.
Trading Strategy:
Entry: Enter sell positions near the upper resistance level of the channel, anticipating the price to move downward toward the lower support.
Take Profit: Set take-profit targets near the lower support zone of the channel, where the price may bounce or consolidate.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the channel's resistance line to manage risk in case of an unexpected breakout.
This analysis indicates that #EURCAD is currently in a **sell position** on the 1-day timeframe, especially as it nears the resistance of the descending or horizontal channel. Traders should aim for downward movement while managing risk carefully with proper stop-loss levels.
EURCAD - Upside move !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect bullish continuation to fill the imbalance higher after price rejected from trendline + level 1.50000.
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EURCAD - Long after BOS !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. We have here hidden divergence and on H4 regular divergence, so after BOS I will open a long.
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EURCAD - Look for a long !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then rejects from bullish order block + trendline.
Fundamental news: Next week on Tuesday (GMT+3) we have news on CAD, we will see results of CPI and on Thursday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate on EUR, news with high impact on currency.
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EURCAD - Long after filling the imbalance !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then rejects from trendline.
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EURCAD: A safe 400+ pips selling opportunity! Use Accurate RR! Dear Traders,
Eurcad, long term view remain bearish price rejected at the daily order block also where the premium price zone was located. We can see strong bearish move coming once price reach and reject at our area of entry. Please use accurate risk management.
Team Setupsfx_
EURCAD - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement and fills the imbalance higher, then rejects from bearish order block + trendline.
Fundamental news: Next week on Tuesday (GMT+3) we will see results of CPI in Canada, news with high impact on currency.
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EURCAD - Potential short idea !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for short position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement and then rejects from trendline + liquidity zone.
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Could 1.50 Resistance Spark Another 1,000 Pip Drop?The EURCAD pair has been steadily rising since the beginning of the year. After a brief stall at the 1.48 weekly resistance, which was broken last month, we have seen a drop and retest of this level, now acting as support. Price has already surpassed last month’s high this week. So, what’s next?
The most logical next target for bulls is the 1.50 resistance, a historically tough level to break over the past four years. Each attempt to move past it resulted in the weekly candle closing below the level. If you read a previous idea I posted last year on this pair we sold at the exact same level
In fact if you zoom into the daily charts we can see that price is actually stuck in a near 1,000 pip daily range between 1.51 and 1.42 (see image below)
I expect price to move up into the top of the range between 1.50 and 1.51. At this point, I will look for sell signals using my TRFX indicator or signs of slowing momentum on lower time frames.
To identify slowing momentum, I examine lower time frame charts (4-hour to daily) for price transitioning into a sideways movement pattern as it approaches the sell zone. Divergence signals on the MACD are particularly useful for spotting this momentum shift.
My first target for this position is the previous resistance, now support, slightly below 1.48. Price may see a short bounce at this level and possibly retest 1.50, where we can enter another sell signal.
Next, I target a move down to February’s weekly swing low at 1.45, followed by a move to the bottom of the range at 1.42. The likely path is charted below.
For this trade to be invalidated, we would need to see a weekly or monthly close well above 1.50, indicating buyers aiming for mid-1.50 levels.
Given past reactions at 1.50 and the significance of this high time frame (HTF) level, a sell position is the most realistic approach for now.
Let me know your thoughts below.
SELL STOP SHORT EUR/CAD at 1.4713EUR/CAD has been carving out a sideways channel since Friday and the bottom of this channel coincides with the 200 EMA on 15M time frame which is also the 50EMA on H1.
A break out of this channel and a break of the supporting EMA's would suggest we are headed lower.
If we look at the H4 time frame we can see where the 200 EMA has supported the price and this looks a natural target for EUR/CAD BEARS should the 1.4716 support break.
Price ALWAYS returns to the 200 EMA eventually and of course this happens more frequently on the lower time frames.
On H1 we last saw the 200 EMA hit last Friday so we can expect to see the price gravitate to this key support level before long and a break of 1.4716 could see the start of a move south.
There is no scheduled news expected from the EURO zone and the next CAD news is Fridays CAD Unemployment Change and Unemployment Rate so the the price should drift lower over the next few days as long as the channel is broken.
EURCAD - Potential long ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCAD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
Fundamental news: Next week on Friday we will see results of Unemployment Rate on CAD, news with high impact on currency.
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EURCAD Short Trade Setup A #short trade opportunity recently presented itself on the #euroloonie (#EURCAD) #trading chart 📉.
This is indicated by the #bearish inverted pin bar candlestick 🕯️ pattern just below the 1.47313 horizontal resistance level.
This indicates a rejection of the same level, with potential price move in the downward ⬇️ direction (#sell).
Sufficient downward momentum should see price dumping towards the 1.46000 psychological level and possibly testing the strength of the 1.45782 horizontal support level.
As always, please apply appropriate risk management.
Happy trading!
#crosspair
I'll tell you the exact rebound spot for #EURCADHello friends nice to meet you all hope you have a good day
#EURCAD
When you look at the big picture, It is moving sideways, drawing a BOX pattern.
By looking at the important tail zone in the past wave and calculating the angle of the short-term trend line,
a RED short-term trend line was created.
With the current decline, There will be a rebound near the bottom of the red short-term downtrend line or BOX, and candles will go towards touching the top of the BOX.
FX Wars Episode 2 - Attack of the CAD clones!Round 2, Fight!
Result Round 1 see here:
After my first EURCAD short hit the target and the EURCAD made a nice retracement to the upper edge of the range, I basically enter the same trade again:
I split the trade into 2 positions:
I short the EURCAD once here directly and at the same time place a limit order at the current range high of 1.51000.
I place the take profit at 1.41000.
A tasty 1000 pips profit awaits me :)
I have already explained the reasons for this in detail in the 1st episode.
A summary:
Once upon a time, a long, long time ago, there was a confused rebellion by the European Central Bank (ECB).
It erred in almost all important matters and plunged the European economy into a severe crisis.
The beneficiaries are the renegade followers of the CAD empire, including myself. They are (once again) profiting from the sheer ignorance and short-sightedness of the ignorant ECB Council by shorting the EURCAD.
- As predicted back in July, inflation in the eurozone fell far faster than the ECB and the market had expected.
- At the same time, eurozone GDP was also far worse than expected (as I had predicted, see commentary of 6 September.
- The ECB is (once again) wrong on all counts and is reluctant to utter the forbidden words "interest rate cuts". The most important ECB members do not see the possibility of considering interest rate cuts until the end of 2024 at the earliest
-> This is a fallacy and the market will already be discussing interest rate cuts with the ECB at length in Q1
-> I see a high probability that we will be very close to the ECB's first rate cut as early as April 2024.
More will of course follow in 2024.
To be continued...
You will short the EUR ... and you will be happy - WEFThe ECB is (once again) on the wrong track:
It is stubbornly sticking to its hawkish view and justifying this with the fact that inflation in the euro area will remain stubbornly "sticky" and will probably not reach the target range of 2% until 2025.
The ECB is wrong (once again), as inflation will hover around 3% as early as December 2023 and reach the 2% target mark in the first half of 2024 at the latest (bullseye!).
The hawks of the ECB are thus adorning themselves with borrowed plumes and will soon (have to) reveal their dovish face.
However, since the strong negative disinflation effects will only take full effect from September onwards and core inflation will definitely remain stable in July and August, the ECB will not abandon its planned interest rate hike in July and the European Central Bank could (unfortunately) also be expected to implement a final rate hike in September.
However, these would not be necessary; on the contrary, they will weigh heavily on the already struggling eurozone economy and force the ECB to revise its GDP growth forecasts downwards soon.
-> Germany is a cautionary, recessionary example here!
-> All these points (stronger than expected falling inflation + ailing economy) will hurt the euro, which makes me see a promising short opportunity in the EURCAD.
I have given a detailed insight into the strength of the Canadian economy in my CADCHF trade idea.
Translated with www.DeepL.com (free version)