EURCAD: Very Bearish Pattern 🇪🇺🇨🇦
EURCAD formed a cute head & shoulders pattern on a key daily horizontal resistance.
A bearish breakout of its horizontal neckline is a strong bearish signal
that signifies the strength of the sellers.
With a high probability, the pair will continue falling and reach
at least 1.47665 level.
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Eurcadsignals
EurCad could rise 200+ pipsSince late August 2022, EUR/CAD has been in a bullish trend, gaining approximately 1,000 pips. However, after reaching a local high in early August 2024, the pair began trading within a range, encountering clear resistance around the 1.5150–1.5200 zone.
Last Thursday, the pair rebounded from range support, forming a strong bullish engulfing candle on the daily chart, which suggests a promising outlook for continued upward movement. I am looking to buy on dips in EUR/CAD with a target around 1.5200, while the trade setup will be negated if the price falls below last week’s low.
A confirmed bullish signal would be a daily close above 1.5000.
EURCAD SELL TF D1 TP = 1.4616On the D1 chart the trend started on Aug. 22. (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 1.4616
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
EURCAD Sell continuation signalThe EURCAD pair is trading on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) within the 10-month Channel Up. The previous time we had a peak rejection like this, the pair declined by at least -3.88%. The similarities even between the 1D RSI fractals are obvious. Our Target is 1.46550.
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EURCAD Testing the 1D MA50. Sell opportunity.The EURCAD pair eventually formed the new Lower High on the 17-month Channel Down as presented on our last analysis (May 27, see chart below) and got rejected:
The rejection extended to as low as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and a short-term rebound has brought the price back to a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) rejection.
Both previous Bearish Legs declined at least by -3.85%. We expect this 1D MA50 rejection to lead the price to at least Support 1, with our Target being 1.45000 (just above it).
On a side-note, check the high degree of symmetry between the 1D RSI sequences of the Channel's Legs.
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EURCAD Short-term buy signal.The EURCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Down for the past 15 months and right now is on a Bullish Leg towards its top. The 1D RSI is approaching the overbought barrier of 70.00 and we believe it will give a sell signal after it breaks above, just like November 21 2023 and July 14 2023.
Until then, we will stay bullish, targeting the top of the 15-month Channel Down at 1.49750.
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EURCAD Medium-term Sell SignalThe EURCAD pair has been trading within a 12-month Channel Down and is currently reversing after a Double Top rejection on Resistance 1 (1.47825). Following the 1D MACD Bearish Cross, this has the potential to initiate Phase 2 of the Bearish Leg that started on the November 21 2023 Lower High.
Technically this should be at least a -4.47% Bearish Wave, similar to the rejection that started on August 30 2023. As a result our Target is 1.41600 (Support 2).
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EURCAD I Potential intraday short opportunity Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURCAD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EURCAD Sell signal on a confirmed break-out.The EURCAD pair broke below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) again after getting rejected on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which establishes it as a Resistance. The long-term pattern is a Channel Down (blue) since the February 10 Low and the current (dotted) Channel Down is the Bearish Leg towards a new Lower Low.
We are taking this bearish break-out signal for the 2nd phase of the Leg and will target Support 1 at 1.43300. The downtrend can extend as low as 1.42180 and -5.50% from the High (as on the June 08 Low) but best settle for an established Support. If the 1D MACD completes a Bullish Cross before the 1.43300 target is achieved, we will close the short regardless, as all MACD Bullish Crosses below the 0.00 mark in 2023 have initiated very strong rallies.
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EURCAD: 10/11/2023:🟢Buy opportunity🟢You can see all the important zones and scenario on the chart.
If you have a question feel free to ask.
Please pay attention we need LTF confirmation to execute the buy position.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓10/11/2023
🔎 DYOR
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EURCAD Rally most likely coming to an end.The EURCAD pair has been rising since the September 28 bottom on the bullish leg of the 9-month Channel Down, turning both the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Supports. The uptrend hit the Internal Lower Highs trend-line last week, got rejected but was supported on the 1D MA200 and is testing it yet again today.
As the 1D RSI is making a Double Top rejection under the 2023 Resistance Zone, we may have the first medium-term sell signal emerging and a 1D MACD Bearish Cross will confirm it. In that case, sell and target the 1D MA50 at 1.4500. Those who wish to take some more risk, can extend selling to 1.4400 (-2.43% decline, in line with past pull-backs).
If however the pair closes a 1D candle above Resistance 1, we will take the loss on the sell position and open a buy instead, targeting Resistance 2 at 1.51000.
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EURCAD At a tipping point. Trade according to this Support Zone.The EURCAD pair has been decreasing since the August 30 High that formed the 1.48250 Resistance (1). Being below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), the long-term outlook looks bearish, considering also the fact that we may have completed a huge Head and Shoulders pattern since December.
However, the price is decelerating the downtrend as it approaches the 1.42850 - 1.42400 Support Zone (1 & 2), so as long as it holds, we will be bullish short-term targeting the Symmetrical Resistance Zone at 1.46000. If the price breaks below Support 2 (1.42400) we will instead sell and target 1.40250, which would be a -5.50% decline from the August 30 High. Both targets are respectively on the top (Lower Highs trend-line) and bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of a potential Channel Down pattern that might emerge if the Head and Shoulders prevail.
Note that the 1D RSI is currently oversold, which currently favors the bullish case.
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EURCAD Secondary bullish wave ahead.The EURCAD pair is consolidating on the 1D time-frame above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This analysis is basically an update on July's pull-back buy idea (see chart below):
The price is now entering the secondary bullish wave of this sequence, continuing to mirror the February - April fractal. However, we do have to lower our final target to 1.50190, which is the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, as the current sequence appears to be shorter than the one of February - April.
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EUR CAD SHORT Risk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
EURCAD above the 1D MA50, aiming at 1.49250 by end of the month.The EURCAD pair has established trading above the 1D MA50 in the past 3 days and today should attempt to re-test it as a Support. Technically, this is the start of a bullish leg similar to Feb 15- Apr 25 towards the yearly High. Even though the last confirmation will be when the 1D RSI breaks above its Lower Highs trend-line, we are going already long on EURCAD to take advantage of the low price and target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (1.49250) initially and the 1.51150 High in extension.
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EURCAD Buy TF H4. TP = 1.4701On the 4-hour chart, the trend started on May 18 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit. A possible take profit level is 1.4701
But do not forget about the SL = 1.4511
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelieveInTrading
EURCAD Halfway to its long-term buy zone.The EURCAD pair hit the first target we set on our late-March analysis:
The pattern that emerges is a Channel Up and the next high probability buy entry is located exactly at its bottom on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). If the price breaks below the Channel Up, we may see a prolonged accumulation on the 0.618 Fibonacci level. As you see the Fibonacci levels have been targeted since the rise started last August and filled the gaps on all Lower Highs during the Bear market. The next gap to be filled is none other than the December 22 2021 High. Our long-term target in both scenarios is 1.57000.
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EURCAD Bullish supported by the 1D MA50.The EURCAD pair has followed our projected path since the start of the year and recently broke above former Resistance 1:
This was a bullish break-out signal, with Target 1 being at 1.51200. A rejection and pull-back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again, will be a new buy, with our Target being a little below the December 22 2020 Top at 1.5700.
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EURCAD Rejected on the 1 year Resistance. Levels to watch.The EURCAD pair has been on a very strong rise since the August 25 2022 Bottom and hit all of the buy targets we presented on our 1D MA100 (green trend-line) break-out buy signal back on September 19:
On December 15, the price got rejected on the Resistance Zone (1) that started a year ago (Dec 20), making so far a Triple Top. That would otherwise be a bearish signal but with the price trading above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), while also having the (green) Symmetrical Support Zone (1.4100 - 1.41650), the pair is now neutral.
The 1D RSI broke below its July Higher Lows trend-line and is bouncing on the September Support level and as long as it holds, it should keep the price above the Symmetrical Support. We will sell only if the price closes a full candle below the 1D MA50 and target the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term Support during uptrends.
On the other hands a closing above Resistance 1 (1.4650) will be a buy break-out signal targeting Resistance 2 and the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
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DeGRAM | EURCAD price angulationEURCAD is making lower highs and equal lows, and it's testing the resistance level.
Price action was rejected by psychological level 1.46000, and higher timeframes show divergence.
We might see a short-term pullback because the trend is still bullish.
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