EURCHF: Time to Fill The Gap 🇪🇺🇨🇭
EURCHF formed a gap down after the market opening.
Consolidating during the Asian session, the price formed
a bullish engulfing candle, indicating the strength of the buyers.
The gap will most likely be filled to day.
Target level - 0.9707
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EURCHF
Bullish bounce?EUR/CHF is has just bounced off the support level which is an overlap support and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.96731
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.96282
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.97406
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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EUR-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF went up and hit
A horizontal resistance
Level of 0.9750 from
Where we are seeing a
Bearish reaction already
And as the pair is locally
Oversold we are bearish
Biased so we will be
Expecting a further
Move down
Sell!
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Bearish drop?EUR/CHF is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse to the our take profit.
Entry: 0.97348
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.97755
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 0.96738
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
SELL SHORT from .9700 - Potential M TopI have recently posted some recommended trades that take advantage of gaps in the market.
I did receive some adverse comments from someone who clearly doesn't understand enough about FX trading.
I've been trading FX over 25 years.
The key to making money by trading FX is to look for ANY market advantage.
If you can identity certain well established and accepted key patterns (gaps, double tops, M-Top, W-Bottoms, pinbars, morning and evening stars etc etc) then you have a gained an advantage.
That's not to say that gaps, double tops, M-Tops etc etc ALWAYS work out - of course they don't BUT............................they STATISTICALLY are proven to work out MORE OFTEN THAN NOT.
So trading these patterns and candles make perfect trading sense.
The key is identifying these patterns as they form and being ready to trade them.
Yesterday we had a double top bang on WR1 resistance.
Anyone who DOESN'T use pivots is a fool as far as I'm concerned as pivots are THE ONLY indicator that is set at the start of the week and as these support and resistance levels are frequently where traders will have SELL LIMIT or BUY LIMIT orders and they are also levels where traders will liquidate LONGS and SHORTS then you can prepare for a trade in advance.
The EUR/CHF trade I suggested yesterday did not work out.
I lost around 18 pips - so I'm not concerned because if the price DOES reverse from current levels then its likely to target the gap which would be 100 pips.
So, as we have an M-Top pattern forming at resistance, I have a SELL STOP positioned at .9706 which is just below the WR1 pivot and this is the neckline of the M-Top.
Remember - this pattern has NOT yet completed and will only complete if we see price head south down past .9706 over the next few hours.
EUR/CHF is carving out a twin top - SHORT from .9700EUR/CHF opened with a gap this week and anyone who follows my posts will know that I always trade gaps as they ALWAYS fill.
I'd expected the gap on EUR/CHF to have filled yesterday as price hit WR1 key resistance pivot but EUR/CHF BULLS managed to push the price back to WR1.
One hour ago WR1 was hit and we now habe a double right on WR1.
This is very BEARISH.
I'm SHORT this pair from .9700 with STOP above the high at .9718 and a target of .9628 which will close the gap.
RSI on H1 is declining though it should be noted that the red SELL line on the Andean Oscillator on H1 has yet to move off zero though it has on M30.
MACD has also not yet signalled we a re SHORT so this trade is not a done deal and we cannot rule out EUR/CHF BULLS pushing the price back to the WR1 pivot.
The trade has an 18 pip STOP so there's not much damage done if the price reverses though its highly probable that even if the price does head back north to WR1, its unlikely to make much further progress past this level.
So the next key level is .9695 which will break the 200 EMA on M1 and this will then act as resistance to EUR/CHF BULLS.
EUR/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
EUR/CHF pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 9H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.954 area.
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EURCHF Will Go Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURCHF.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.962.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.956 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURCHF to find buyers at previous resistance?EURCHF - 24h expiry
Previous resistance at 0.9595 now becomes support.
Our short term bias remains positive.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our outlook is bullish.
We look to Buy at 0.9595 (stop at 0.9569)
Our profit targets will be 0.9660 and 0.9670
Resistance: 0.9625 / 0.9640 / 0.9660
Support: 0.9608 / 0.9595 / 0.9570
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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EURCHF Pump and dump in process.The EURCHF pair quickly delivered both of our Sell Targets that we set on our last analysis (May 22, see chart below) with a brutal sell-off that sharply broke even below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level:
Since last time we saw striking similarities between the Legs of this 2-year Channel Down, we have to make clear that the 0.618 Fib was where the March 15 2023 Low was formed and then rebounded to the 1.236 Fib only to get rejected again in the expansion process of the Bearish Leg.
As a result, we expect a short-term pump to that level, which we will short and target 0.95500 (middle level of the Channel Down as on May 22 2023).
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EURCHF Breakout: Potential 100-200 Pip Move Using Ichimoku CloudIn this video, I'll be analyzing the EURCHF pair, where we are seeing an increase in short sellers and a drop in long positions. If this trend continues with the price staying above the Ichimoku cloud, it could squeeze the double top neckline into a breakout above the neckline.
I’ll explain my analysis and how the current market conditions indicate a potential 100 to 200 pip move in the near future. We'll also discuss the importance of setting a 25 pip stop loss to manage risk effectively.
Join me as I break down the specifics of this potential trade, demonstrating how to leverage Ichimoku cloud analysis for identifying profitable trading opportunities. Don't forget to like, comment, and subscribe for more insights and updates on effective trading strategies.
Swiss Franc: The Economic Bulwark Amid Global UncertaintiesThe Swiss franc (CHF) retains its position as a cornerstone of financial stability within the dynamic global economic environment. The recent strategic adjustments to interest rates by the Swiss National Bank (SNB) underscore Switzerland's distinct macroeconomic landscape relative to Europe. This analysis delves into the implications of these adjustments and the broader significance of the CHF in today's global financial arena.
Key Considerations:
The SNB's proactive interest rate cuts demonstrate a data-driven approach to managing the CHF's valuation.
The CHF's historical association with stability makes it a sought-after asset during periods of heightened geopolitical tensions, as evidenced by recent investor behavior.
The SNB prioritizes maintaining price stability while mitigating the risk of excessive CHF appreciation, as Chairman Thomas Jordan's recent comments suggest.
Switzerland's ongoing exploration of central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) positions the CHF at the forefront of financial innovation, potentially solidifying its global financial standing.
Investment Thesis:
The SNB's commitment to monitoring inflation and exchange rate developments suggests a willingness to intervene if necessary, ensuring the CHF's stability and insulating the Swiss economy from external shocks. This proactive approach positions the CHF for continued strength within the global financial landscape.
EUR/CHF Technical AnalysisEUR/CHF Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
Chart Overview:
In this 15-minute EUR/CHF chart, we observe a clear descending trend characterized by lower highs and lower lows. The price action reflects a bearish sentiment with key support and resistance levels marked to guide potential trading decisions.
Key Elements:
1. Descending Channel:
- The price is moving within a descending channel, indicating a prevailing bearish trend. The channel is defined by the upper resistance trendline and the lower support trendline.
- This channel suggests that the price is making lower highs and lower lows, a classic sign of a downtrend.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Resistance Levels: Key resistance levels are marked at 0.97421 and 0.96952. These levels have previously acted as support, but now they may act as resistance as the price approaches them from below.
- Support Levels: Significant support levels are identified at 0.95532 and 0.94752. These levels have provided a floor for the price action in the past and could be potential bounce points.
3. Price Patterns:
A consolidation pattern is observed around the 0.95532 support level, where the price seems to be stabilizing after a significant downtrend.
This consolidation could signal an accumulation phase, where buyers are gathering strength before a potential breakout.
### Conclusion:
The EUR/CHF pair is currently in a bearish trend within a descending channel. Key support and resistance levels provide potential entry and exit points for trades. Volume spikes indicate significant market activity around these levels, making them critical for trading decisions. Always manage your risk with appropriate stop losses and position sizing.