EURCHF Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 I’m closely monitoring the EURCHF currency pair. Currently, we’re observing a market structure break with a higher high on the chart, along with the potential formation of a base that could lead to further upward movement. If the market conditions align as discussed in the video, I’ll be looking for a buying opportunity.
This analysis highlights key elements of technical analysis, including trend identification, price action, and market structure. We'll also outline a potential trade setup and explore strategies to enhance the likelihood of success.
Please remember, this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The observations made are speculative and do not guarantee future market outcomes. It’s crucial to verify current price actions before making any trading decisions.
This presentation provides a thorough review of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. However, it’s essential to understand that while this information is educational, it does not ensure trading success. Trading in the foreign exchange market carries significant risks, and we strongly recommend applying sound risk management practices in all your trades.
We urge you to conduct extensive research and carefully consider all factors before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, exercise caution, and approach the markets with a well-crafted strategy. 📊✅
Eurchfforecast
7 Dimensions BUY SETUP FOR EURCHFCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
This analysis focuses on identifying a potential trade setup using Smart Money Concepts on the H1 timeframe. Here's the detailed breakdown:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
The market is in a bullish structure with back-to-back Breaks of Structure (BOS). After the last impulsive move, the corrective phase with 4 minor pullbacks has reached its conclusion, characterized by a bearish internal structure. The last swing involved a liquidity sweep that mitigated the Extreme Order Block (OB) and Sell Order Block (SOB) in the Discounted zone. This scenario creates a high probability for the initiation of another impulsive bullish move.
The same area also acts as a support or demand zone, further strengthening the potential for a bullish reversal.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
Reversal: A Double Bottom with a fakeout at the Point of Interest (POI), signaling potential bullish strength.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
A long wick pin bar, known as one of the strongest reversal signals, has appeared right at the POI.
Multiple momentum candles observed before the pin bar indicate climactic player activities and profit-taking.
A Tweezer top and Narrow Range 6 candles breakout have also been observed, adding to the reversal signal.
Volume:
🟢 A significant volume spike has been noticed right at the pin bar, which is a strong sign of a potential reversal.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The current price is in a bearish to sideways zone, but a powerful divergence suggests that the market is preparing for a shift in momentum towards bullishness.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 After a massive volatile move, Bollinger Bands contraction has started. The upcoming breakout will be crucial in determining the next move. Based on price action, an upper band breakout is anticipated, as the price has formed a Headfake and W pattern with multiple Band Punchers.
Strength ADX:
ADX is currently neutral, indicating a potential shift in momentum is brewing.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 Stars)
Probability: 75%
This trade setup has a high probability, indicating strong confidence in a potential bullish move.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ POI: Mitigated Extreme POI
💡 Decision: Open Buy position immediately.
🚀 Entry: 0.9480
✋ Stop Loss: 0.9445
🎯 Take Profit: 0.9648
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 2 days
SUMMARY:
This trade setup on the H1 timeframe suggests a strong bullish opportunity. The market structure, volume, and momentum all point towards a potential reversal after a corrective phase. The pin bar at the POI, coupled with significant volume and bullish divergence in RSI, reinforces the likelihood of a bullish move. With a 75% probability, this trade setup offers a good risk-to-reward ratio of 3:1. The trade should be monitored closely, especially around the key levels of entry and take profit.
1:7 RR Buy Setup For EURCHF Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, the following analysis has been conducted:
If we look at the daily timeframe, we see a very strong candle at the lowest level or swing level that made a fake breakout and then cleaned up the price. The next daily candles followed it up, and then the smaller timeframe, which matches the daily one-hour timeframe, also followed up with a good spike and body. All of these things make it a very good entry to buy.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
The current swing structure is bullish with a Break of Structure (BOS).
Liquidity resting and sweep areas are identified below, indicating the potential for a deeper corrective swing.
After taking inducement, the Point of Interest (POI) includes Extreme Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), and liquidity all clustered in the discounted zone, making this an attractive area for buyers.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
No chart patterns have formed yet for confirmation. Entry is based solely on Smart Money Concepts.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Candle stick patterns will be updated once the price reaches the POI.
Volume:
🟢 Volume analysis indicates strong bullish control. Massive volume has been observed whenever the price moves in a bullish direction, while corrective moves lack significant volume. This suggests that bulls are in full control of this pair.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The price is currently in a bullish to sideways zone.
There is no valid range shift yet, but a loud move has been observed, making this swing potentially dangerous for buyers. The loud move suggests a strong loss of momentum, which is a powerful signal in this context. We need to monitor further developments.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 After a contraction and expansion phase with a squeeze breakout and walking on the band, the bullish volatile move appears to be over.
The price may enter a sideways zone for some time before potentially starting another bullish move.
Strength ADX:
The ADX indicates that bulls are currently in power.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
The trade has been given a 3-star rating (60% probability) because the momentum and chart patterns are not fully supportive yet. The trade setup shows potential but requires careful monitoring.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish BOS
☑️ POI: Liquidity resting areas marked
💡 Decision: Buy limit orders
🚀 Entry: 0.9416 / 0.9394 (two positions with 50% risk for each; calculate lot size accordingly)
✋ Stop loss: 0.9352
🎯 Take profit: 0.9660
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:6
🕛 Expected Duration: 7 days
SUMMARY:
The analysis suggests a potential bullish setup with entry points at 0.9416 and 0.9394, each with 50% risk allocation. The stop loss is placed at 0.9352, and the target is set at 0.9660, offering a favorable risk to reward ratio of 1:6. Given that momentum and chart patterns are not yet fully aligned, the trade has a moderate probability, and close attention should be paid to the price action as it reaches
EURCHF - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action from here as price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block.
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7 Dimension Sell Setup for EURCHFCORE Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish with CHoCH
🟢 Structure Behavior: After a proper CHoCH, price reaches its extreme POI and previous high level, sweeping swing liquidity. Given the already bearish character, there is a high chance of further downside movement.
🟢 Internal Structure: Shows weakness with consolidation formation.
🟢 POI: Since liquidity is always swept at the extreme high, this is a high-probability sell area.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS:
Reversal: Rounding Patterns, Double top.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS:
Momentum: BUY Side FOMO appeared, followed by strong bearish candles at this point.
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 Volume on Breakout: Indicates no significant volume on the bullish side; bears are more in control at this point.
🟢 Volume: Increases whenever bearish candles are observed.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Range Shift: From bullish to sideways, with a preceding divergence and a loud move indicating loss of momentum.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Squeeze Breakout: With walking on the band, forming on the bearish side.
6️⃣ Strength: Bears are taking control.
7️⃣ Sentiment: Highly bearish.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish, with liquidity sweep at extreme POI.
💡 Decision: Sell at opening.
🚀 Entry: 0.9749
✋ Stop Loss: 0.9762
🎯 Take Profit: 0.9604
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 11RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 5 days
SUMMARY
The analysis identifies a bearish swing structure on the H1 time frame, marked by a Change of Character (CHoCH) and a move towards an extreme Point of Interest (POI). The price has swept swing liquidity, and with an already bearish character, there's a high probability of continued downside. Internal structure shows weakness with consolidation, indicating bearish control.
Reversal chart patterns such as rounding patterns and double tops are noted, along with significant bearish candle patterns following initial BUY side FOMO. Volume analysis indicates increased bearish volume compared to bullish, suggesting bears are gaining control. Momentum indicators, including RSI, show a range shift from bullish to sideways with preceding divergence and loss of momentum.
Bollinger Bands indicate a bearish squeeze breakout, with strength favoring the bears. Sentiment is highly bearish, leading to a decision to sell at opening. Entry is planned at 0.9749 with a stop loss at 0.9762 and a take profit target at 0.9604, providing an 11:1 risk to reward ratio. The expected duration for this trade setup is 5 days, contingent on continued bearish momentum and price behavior as outlined.
SELL SHORT from .9700 - Potential M TopI have recently posted some recommended trades that take advantage of gaps in the market.
I did receive some adverse comments from someone who clearly doesn't understand enough about FX trading.
I've been trading FX over 25 years.
The key to making money by trading FX is to look for ANY market advantage.
If you can identity certain well established and accepted key patterns (gaps, double tops, M-Top, W-Bottoms, pinbars, morning and evening stars etc etc) then you have a gained an advantage.
That's not to say that gaps, double tops, M-Tops etc etc ALWAYS work out - of course they don't BUT............................they STATISTICALLY are proven to work out MORE OFTEN THAN NOT.
So trading these patterns and candles make perfect trading sense.
The key is identifying these patterns as they form and being ready to trade them.
Yesterday we had a double top bang on WR1 resistance.
Anyone who DOESN'T use pivots is a fool as far as I'm concerned as pivots are THE ONLY indicator that is set at the start of the week and as these support and resistance levels are frequently where traders will have SELL LIMIT or BUY LIMIT orders and they are also levels where traders will liquidate LONGS and SHORTS then you can prepare for a trade in advance.
The EUR/CHF trade I suggested yesterday did not work out.
I lost around 18 pips - so I'm not concerned because if the price DOES reverse from current levels then its likely to target the gap which would be 100 pips.
So, as we have an M-Top pattern forming at resistance, I have a SELL STOP positioned at .9706 which is just below the WR1 pivot and this is the neckline of the M-Top.
Remember - this pattern has NOT yet completed and will only complete if we see price head south down past .9706 over the next few hours.
EUR/CHF is carving out a twin top - SHORT from .9700EUR/CHF opened with a gap this week and anyone who follows my posts will know that I always trade gaps as they ALWAYS fill.
I'd expected the gap on EUR/CHF to have filled yesterday as price hit WR1 key resistance pivot but EUR/CHF BULLS managed to push the price back to WR1.
One hour ago WR1 was hit and we now habe a double right on WR1.
This is very BEARISH.
I'm SHORT this pair from .9700 with STOP above the high at .9718 and a target of .9628 which will close the gap.
RSI on H1 is declining though it should be noted that the red SELL line on the Andean Oscillator on H1 has yet to move off zero though it has on M30.
MACD has also not yet signalled we a re SHORT so this trade is not a done deal and we cannot rule out EUR/CHF BULLS pushing the price back to the WR1 pivot.
The trade has an 18 pip STOP so there's not much damage done if the price reverses though its highly probable that even if the price does head back north to WR1, its unlikely to make much further progress past this level.
So the next key level is .9695 which will break the 200 EMA on M1 and this will then act as resistance to EUR/CHF BULLS.
EUR/CHF Technical AnalysisEUR/CHF Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
Chart Overview:
In this 15-minute EUR/CHF chart, we observe a clear descending trend characterized by lower highs and lower lows. The price action reflects a bearish sentiment with key support and resistance levels marked to guide potential trading decisions.
Key Elements:
1. Descending Channel:
- The price is moving within a descending channel, indicating a prevailing bearish trend. The channel is defined by the upper resistance trendline and the lower support trendline.
- This channel suggests that the price is making lower highs and lower lows, a classic sign of a downtrend.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Resistance Levels: Key resistance levels are marked at 0.97421 and 0.96952. These levels have previously acted as support, but now they may act as resistance as the price approaches them from below.
- Support Levels: Significant support levels are identified at 0.95532 and 0.94752. These levels have provided a floor for the price action in the past and could be potential bounce points.
3. Price Patterns:
A consolidation pattern is observed around the 0.95532 support level, where the price seems to be stabilizing after a significant downtrend.
This consolidation could signal an accumulation phase, where buyers are gathering strength before a potential breakout.
### Conclusion:
The EUR/CHF pair is currently in a bearish trend within a descending channel. Key support and resistance levels provide potential entry and exit points for trades. Volume spikes indicate significant market activity around these levels, making them critical for trading decisions. Always manage your risk with appropriate stop losses and position sizing.
#EURCHF: 400+ PIPS SELLING OPPORTUNITY Dear Traders,
EURCHF, we have witness a strong change of character in the price, now we expect price to do small correction and reject from our entry point, we also have added stop loss and our take profit areas to make it more clear to all of you. Please keep in mind that tomorrow is NFP and market will likely to remain extremely bullish.
We wish you a great weekend, and we expect all of your support to continued.
Good luck.
EURCHF Bullish Money Heist Plan on Long sideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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SHORT EUR/CHF from .9825With EUR/CHF hitting the road block of the WR1 pivot and as this coincides with the high of April 7th, there's a high liklihood that this pair will head south.
The current H1 candle is BEARISH and this follows 3 H1 doji (indecision) candles.
As all these candles have formed bang on the WR1 pivot we can get a SHORT tarde on with the STOP just above the WR1 Pivot so this trade has a 15 pip risk with a 60+ pip reward.
The H1 RSI has been reading between 65 and 74 for the last 18 candles and is currently 66 so the RSI is declining suggesting the BULLISH momentum is turning.
MACD on H1 is now BEARISH and although the Andean Oscillator is yet to catch up on H1, on the 30M time frame the BEARISH signal has been confirmed (as it it on all lower time frames).
NIce R/R on this trade with the target being either the 200 EMA on H1 or the the WPP Pivot which sits just below.
EURCHF - Downside move ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect downside move after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.98000.
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EUR/CHF Harmonic Pattern Analysis: Anticipating Bearish Reversal___________________ Technical Analysis of EUR/CHF __________________________
Harmonic Pattern Analysis:
EUR/CHF has recently formed an XABCD harmonic pattern, indicating a potential reversal in the current trend. This pattern has manifested itself alongside the key resistance area, suggesting a significant level where bearish pressure may intensify.
Entry Strategy:
Considering the formation of the harmonic pattern and the positioning of the price at the key resistance area, it is advisable to initiate a short position near 0.98010. This entry point aligns with the anticipated bearish move from point D of the harmonic pattern.
Risk Management:
To effectively manage risk, a stop-loss order should be placed near 0.98370. This level is strategically chosen to mitigate potential losses in case of adverse price movements beyond our anticipated entry point.
Profit Targets:
Profit-taking objectives are set as follows:
- TP-1: 0.97650
- TP-2: 0.97295
- TP-3: 0.96918
These profit targets are based on technical analysis and aim to capitalize on potential downward price movements in EUR/CHF.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis of EUR/CHF suggests a bearish outlook, with the formation of a harmonic pattern and price action near a key resistance area. By adhering to the outlined entry, risk management, and profit-taking strategies, traders can position themselves to potentially capitalize on the anticipated bearish move in the currency pair.
EURCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaIn the video, we analyze the EURCHF currency pair. Our assessment identifies a potential buying opportunity. We’ll deconstruct the current price trend, meticulously evaluate recent price movements, take market dynamics into account, and identify a potential entry point based on favorable technical analysis. However, it’s essential to emphasize the importance of robust risk management practices. Please remember that this video is purely educational and should not be interpreted as financial advice.
EUR/CHF Technical Analysis: Entry Opportunity IdentifiedAssumptions:
- EUR/CHF is observed to be adhering to a robust trendline channel, indicating a clear directional bias in the market.
- Entry is suggested at the prevailing price of 0.97560.
- Stop Loss is recommended to be placed near 0.96960 to mitigate potential downside risk.
- Take Profit levels are set at TP-1: 0.98150 and TP-2: 0.98760.
Analysis:
EUR/CHF has demonstrated resilience within its established trendline channel, affirming a bullish trajectory. The current price presents an opportune entry point, aligning with the upward momentum witnessed in recent sessions. A well-placed Stop Loss near 0.96960 provides a safeguard against adverse market movements while allowing for potential upside exploration.
Trade Recommendation:
Based on the technical analysis and assumptions outlined, a long position is advisable for EUR/CHF at the current price level of 0.97560. Traders are encouraged to exercise disciplined risk management practices by adhering to the suggested Stop Loss and Take Profit levels. TP-1 at 0.98150 and TP-2 at 0.98760 offer strategic exit points to capitalize on anticipated bullish movements.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. Traders are urged to conduct their own thorough analysis and consider market dynamics before executing any trades. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
EURCHF - Long active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCHF.
Technical analysis: As we can see here price made a retracement as I expected in my last analysis, so now I expect bullish price action as price rejected from bullish order block + institutional big figure 0.97000.
Fundamental news: On Thursday we have monthly CPI on CHF, news with high impact on currency.
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