EUR/CHF: Is This the Perfect Bounce or Another Trap?Welcome back! It’s January 14, and this is Mr. Blue Ocean FX diving into EUR/CHF, a pair that’s been hammered relentlessly over the past months. But today, we see a potential scalping opportunity amidst the chaos.
On the monthly timeframe, EUR/CHF shows repeated sweeps of key liquidity levels, with a recent bullish close in December 2023. Scaling down to the weekly timeframe, there’s a clear higher low formation following a massive impulse move from 2023 into mid-2024.
Drilling into the daily and H4 charts, we find strong confluences, including a break-and-retest setup at 0.9405 and decreasing bearish volume—indicators of a potential short-term bounce. On the M30, volume spikes suggest we may sweep liquidity at 0.9418, with targets set around 0.9438.
While EUR/CHF’s overall trend remains bearish, this scalp offers a calculated opportunity with precise entries and tight risk management. I’ll be watching closely for strong breakout confirmations before entering. Remember, this is a high-risk setup, so manage your trades wisely.
Let’s see if the Euro can deliver a brief comeback against the Swiss Franc. Share your thoughts below, and don’t miss the next video for updates!
Eurchflong
#EURCHF 1DAYEURCHF (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
Trendline Resistance Breakout: The price has broken above a key descending trendline resistance, signaling a potential shift towards bullish momentum.
Forecast:
Buy Opportunity: The breakout suggests increased buying interest, with expectations for further upward movement if the price sustains above the broken trendline.
Key Levels to Watch:
Entry Zone: Consider buying after confirmation of the breakout or on a retest of the trendline as new support.
Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Placed below the broken trendline or recent swing low to minimize risk.
Take Profit Zones: Focus on the next resistance levels or Fibonacci extensions for potential targets.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: The breakout indicates a potential trend reversal, favoring buyers as long as the price remains above the trendline support.
EUR/CHF "Euro vs Swiss" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 0.95100
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Fundamental Outlook 📰
Economic Factors:
Eurozone economic growth: A pickup in Eurozone economic growth, driven by domestic demand and investment, could support the EUR.
Inflation: Rising inflation in the Eurozone, driven by stronger economic growth and higher wages, could lead to higher interest rates and support the EUR.
Trade balance: An improvement in the Eurozone's trade balance, driven by stronger exports and weaker imports, could support the EUR.
Monetary Policy Factors:
ECB's monetary policy: A less dovish stance from the European Central Bank (ECB), potentially leading to higher interest rates, could support the EUR.
SNB's intervention: A decrease in the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) intervention in the FX market could limit CHF appreciation and support the EUR.
Political Factors:
Eurozone political stability: Greater political stability in the Eurozone, potentially driven by a more unified EU policy, could support the EUR.
Swiss politics: Political uncertainty in Switzerland, potentially driven by a more fragmented government, could weaken the CHF.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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EURCHF is starting to turn upLooks like a trend reversal at last.
1. Strong pinbars from the levels below 0.92 that rob the stops.
2. A broken trend line, higher lows, higher highs
3. it is currently at a very important level,we are watching how it will react and whether it will be overcome.
4. We are now long on a larger time frame.
#EURCHF 1DAYEURCHF (1D Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
-Trendline Resistance Breakout: The price has successfully broken above a key trendline resistance, signaling a potential shift in momentum to the upside.
Forecast:
-Buy Opportunity: The breakout suggests bullish momentum, and further upward movement is likely as long as the price stays above the broken resistance.
Key Levels to Watch:
-Entry Zone: After confirmation of the breakout or on a retest of the trendline as new support.
-Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the broken trendline or recent swing low to manage risk.
-Take Profit Zones: Target the next resistance levels or Fibonacci projections for potential gains.
Market Sentiment:
Bullish Bias: The breakout above resistance highlights strengthening buying pressure, supporting further upside potential.
#EURCHF 1DAYEURCHF Daily Analysis
The EURCHF pair is approaching a key support level on the daily chart, a zone where buying interest has consistently emerged. This support area offers a potential bullish setup, with the likelihood of a price rebound if the level holds.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Support
Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Look for confirmation of support holding with bullish price action signals before entering a buy position.
Traders should monitor for reversal candlestick patterns, such as bullish engulfing or hammer formations, and supportive indicators like RSI signaling oversold conditions. Employ proper risk management by placing stop-loss orders below the support level and targeting resistance zones for potential profit.
ICT Long setup EURCHF session trade and swing trade👋Hello Traders,
Our 🖥️ AI system detected that there is an H1 or higher timeframe ICT Long setup in
EURCHF for session trade (a couple of hours)
Here is a session trade idea (since it is near support surface, we should use small lot size)
Please refer to the details Stop loss, Buy Zone,open for take profit.
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EURCHF - Long from bullish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish OB.
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#EURCHF 4HEUR/CHF 4-Hour Chart Analysis: Buy Opportunity
Overview
The EUR/CHF currency pair has recently experienced a significant technical event on the 4-hour chart: a trendline break. This development presents a potential buying opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on the shift in market dynamics.
Key Observations:
Trendline Break: The pair has breached a key descending trendline that had been guiding the price movement lower. This break suggests a potential reversal or at least a pause in the downtrend, opening up possibilities for upward movement.
Market Sentiment: The trendline break often indicates a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish. This can attract buying interest and result in upward price momentum.
Confirmation: For a more reliable trade signal, look for confirmation through increased trading volume or additional technical indicators such as RSI or moving averages that support the bullish scenario.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: Consider entering a buy position around the current price level or on a slight pullback to the broken trendline, which might now act as a support zone.
Stop-Loss: Set a stop-loss order below the recent swing low or the trendline to manage risk in case the market does not follow through on the bullish signal.
Target Levels: Identify potential resistance levels or use technical tools to set profit targets. The next significant resistance might be found at previous highs or psychological levels.
Conclusion
The break of the 4-hour trendline in the EUR/CHF pair indicates a potential buying opportunity. Traders should watch for additional confirmation signals and manage their risk accordingly. Keep an eye on market conditions and news that might impact the EUR/CHF pair to adjust your strategy as needed.
0.92 In Focus: Imminent Reversal or New Lows Ahead?Are we about to see a double bottom reversal, or will price break down again?
Going back to my idea posted in December 2023 (see related post), we had a great buying opportunity on the dip below 0.94, followed by a strong rally towards parity, falling just 80 pips short.
That upward move ended in May, and since then, the price has broken down again, with last month taking out last year's low, hitting a new all-time low at 0.921. So, what’s next?
Will the price continue to break down, or are we seeing signs of a double bottom reversal on the weekly charts? Let’s break it down.
On the weekly charts, after hitting the new low last month, we saw a strong reaction with a nearly 360-pip rally before the price broke down again. Zooming into the daily charts (image below), it looks like we could see a move back down under 0.93 into the marked buy zone.
Looking more closely at the daily chart with the MACD indicator, there are signs of a double bottom pattern forming, along with bullish divergence, signaling a potential buying opportunity on dips below 0.93.
Supporting this further, divergence signals are also forming on the 4-hour charts (see image below), with the price slowly grinding down while the MACD moves higher. This is clear evidence that momentum is slowing as we approach a key higher-timeframe area of interest.
Given these signals, I expect one final breakdown under 0.93, followed by a strong rally. However, I won’t be blindly entering buy trades here.
Instead, I’ll wait for the final push down and look for BUY signals on my TRFX indicator from the 4-hour to daily timeframes, with the strongest signal likely appearing on the daily.
If this setup plays out, I fully expect a move back up to test parity, with my first target being last month’s high at 0.958, where we could encounter some resistance. The second target will be the 2024 high at 0.992.
For this setup to be invalidated, we would need to see a clear weekly break and close below 0.925.
Let me know your thoughts below! :)
EUR/CHF Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish SideHola ola My Dear,
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This is our master plan to Heist EUR/CHF Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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EURCHF Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👀👉 I’m closely monitoring the EURCHF currency pair. Currently, we’re observing a market structure break with a higher high on the chart, along with the potential formation of a base that could lead to further upward movement. If the market conditions align as discussed in the video, I’ll be looking for a buying opportunity.
This analysis highlights key elements of technical analysis, including trend identification, price action, and market structure. We'll also outline a potential trade setup and explore strategies to enhance the likelihood of success.
Please remember, this analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. The observations made are speculative and do not guarantee future market outcomes. It’s crucial to verify current price actions before making any trading decisions.
This presentation provides a thorough review of the current trend, market structure, and price dynamics. However, it’s essential to understand that while this information is educational, it does not ensure trading success. Trading in the foreign exchange market carries significant risks, and we strongly recommend applying sound risk management practices in all your trades.
We urge you to conduct extensive research and carefully consider all factors before making any trading decisions. Stay informed, exercise caution, and approach the markets with a well-crafted strategy. 📊✅
7 Dimensions BUY SETUP FOR EURCHFCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
This analysis focuses on identifying a potential trade setup using Smart Money Concepts on the H1 timeframe. Here's the detailed breakdown:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
The market is in a bullish structure with back-to-back Breaks of Structure (BOS). After the last impulsive move, the corrective phase with 4 minor pullbacks has reached its conclusion, characterized by a bearish internal structure. The last swing involved a liquidity sweep that mitigated the Extreme Order Block (OB) and Sell Order Block (SOB) in the Discounted zone. This scenario creates a high probability for the initiation of another impulsive bullish move.
The same area also acts as a support or demand zone, further strengthening the potential for a bullish reversal.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
Reversal: A Double Bottom with a fakeout at the Point of Interest (POI), signaling potential bullish strength.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
A long wick pin bar, known as one of the strongest reversal signals, has appeared right at the POI.
Multiple momentum candles observed before the pin bar indicate climactic player activities and profit-taking.
A Tweezer top and Narrow Range 6 candles breakout have also been observed, adding to the reversal signal.
Volume:
🟢 A significant volume spike has been noticed right at the pin bar, which is a strong sign of a potential reversal.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The current price is in a bearish to sideways zone, but a powerful divergence suggests that the market is preparing for a shift in momentum towards bullishness.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 After a massive volatile move, Bollinger Bands contraction has started. The upcoming breakout will be crucial in determining the next move. Based on price action, an upper band breakout is anticipated, as the price has formed a Headfake and W pattern with multiple Band Punchers.
Strength ADX:
ADX is currently neutral, indicating a potential shift in momentum is brewing.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐ (4 Stars)
Probability: 75%
This trade setup has a high probability, indicating strong confidence in a potential bullish move.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ POI: Mitigated Extreme POI
💡 Decision: Open Buy position immediately.
🚀 Entry: 0.9480
✋ Stop Loss: 0.9445
🎯 Take Profit: 0.9648
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 2 days
SUMMARY:
This trade setup on the H1 timeframe suggests a strong bullish opportunity. The market structure, volume, and momentum all point towards a potential reversal after a corrective phase. The pin bar at the POI, coupled with significant volume and bullish divergence in RSI, reinforces the likelihood of a bullish move. With a 75% probability, this trade setup offers a good risk-to-reward ratio of 3:1. The trade should be monitored closely, especially around the key levels of entry and take profit.
1:7 RR Buy Setup For EURCHF Core Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
Based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology, the following analysis has been conducted:
If we look at the daily timeframe, we see a very strong candle at the lowest level or swing level that made a fake breakout and then cleaned up the price. The next daily candles followed it up, and then the smaller timeframe, which matches the daily one-hour timeframe, also followed up with a good spike and body. All of these things make it a very good entry to buy.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
The current swing structure is bullish with a Break of Structure (BOS).
Liquidity resting and sweep areas are identified below, indicating the potential for a deeper corrective swing.
After taking inducement, the Point of Interest (POI) includes Extreme Order Block (OB), Fair Value Gap (FVG), and liquidity all clustered in the discounted zone, making this an attractive area for buyers.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
No chart patterns have formed yet for confirmation. Entry is based solely on Smart Money Concepts.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
Candle stick patterns will be updated once the price reaches the POI.
Volume:
🟢 Volume analysis indicates strong bullish control. Massive volume has been observed whenever the price moves in a bullish direction, while corrective moves lack significant volume. This suggests that bulls are in full control of this pair.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The price is currently in a bullish to sideways zone.
There is no valid range shift yet, but a loud move has been observed, making this swing potentially dangerous for buyers. The loud move suggests a strong loss of momentum, which is a powerful signal in this context. We need to monitor further developments.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 After a contraction and expansion phase with a squeeze breakout and walking on the band, the bullish volatile move appears to be over.
The price may enter a sideways zone for some time before potentially starting another bullish move.
Strength ADX:
The ADX indicates that bulls are currently in power.
Rating: ⭐⭐⭐
The trade has been given a 3-star rating (60% probability) because the momentum and chart patterns are not fully supportive yet. The trade setup shows potential but requires careful monitoring.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish BOS
☑️ POI: Liquidity resting areas marked
💡 Decision: Buy limit orders
🚀 Entry: 0.9416 / 0.9394 (two positions with 50% risk for each; calculate lot size accordingly)
✋ Stop loss: 0.9352
🎯 Take profit: 0.9660
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 1:6
🕛 Expected Duration: 7 days
SUMMARY:
The analysis suggests a potential bullish setup with entry points at 0.9416 and 0.9394, each with 50% risk allocation. The stop loss is placed at 0.9352, and the target is set at 0.9660, offering a favorable risk to reward ratio of 1:6. Given that momentum and chart patterns are not yet fully aligned, the trade has a moderate probability, and close attention should be paid to the price action as it reaches
EURCHF - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect bearish price action from here as price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block.
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