EURCHF: Catching Opportunities ExplainedIn this detailed video, I explain my methodology of looking into the market to catch smart trades with an approach on RRR (Risk to Reward Ratio).
My strategy is suitable for intraday and swing traders as these trades tend to exceed 12 hours to reach the targeted profit.
That's it, now sit back enjoy the show
~ Cyril
Eurchflong
eurchfEURCHF - Long
Why are we entering?
- Expecting EUR strength and CHF weakness = EURCHF LONG
- Approaching local double bottom
- If we dont bounce from here, watch bigger double bottom at 1.05
What is our confirmation?
- Bounce off the structure level (either one)
Entry
No Safe Entry.
Risk Entry: Bounce off either double bottom
Once entered, where will our Stoploss be?
- below the whichever structure level price bounces from
Where do we take profits?
First TP: 1.07
Second TP: 1.093
Third TP: 1.3
eurchfWhy are we entering?
- Approaching major structure level
- Anticipating EUR strength and possible CHF weakness = EURCHF LONG
What is our confirmation?
- Bounce off the structure level
- 2H trendline hack (2H EMA is respecting price - will be using that for confirmation)
= WFB break
Entry
SAFE Entry: Bounce off structure and then WFB
Risk Entry 1: break of WFB without the bounce
Once entered, where will our Stoploss be?
- below the major structure level
Where do we take profits?
First TP: 1.07
Second TP: 1.093
Third TP: 1.3
EURCHF - Bullish BiasEURO - Weak Bullish
1️⃣ Sentix Investor Confidence showed an increase of 1.4 to 18.3 in November, compared to market expectations of 15.5.
2️⃣ ZEW Economic Sentiment for the Eurozone rose to 25.9 in November, from 21.0 in the previous month.
CHF - Strong Bearish
1️⃣ Investors are seen to be cautious when the value of EUR/CHF is under SNB monitoring.
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Technical
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The EURCHF has broken above the resistance levels and retested.
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Risk to this trade
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Any change in sentiment could turn the pair's direction.
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Mon 8th November 2021 EUR/CHF Daily Forex Chart Buy SetupWelcome to a new week and identified in my weekend's analysis video, there is only the one new trade setup on the Daily Forex charts, and that being a higher risk buy on the EUR/CHF. You can read my notes on the chart to see my thoughts about this setup. But I am happy still to have a previous partial sell trade still on. Cheers.
eurchfWhy are we entering?
- Approaching major structure level
- Anticipating EUR strength and possible CHF weakness = EURCHF LONG
What is our confirmation?
- Bounce off the structure level
- 2H trendline hack (2H EMA is respecting price - will be using that for confirmation)
= WFB break
Entry
SAFE Entry: Bounce off structure and then WFB
Risk Entry 1: break of WFB without the bounce
Once entered, where will our Stoploss be?
- below the major structure level
Where do we take profits?
First TP: 1.07
Second TP: 1.093
Third TP: 1.3
EURCHF - LONGEURCHF looking very cheap from this point. Bank forecasts price this currency pair at 1.08 by the end of this month (Very optimistic, but I think that we could see it going to 1.08 in the first half of November). Euro implied volatility for 1 month expiry options against the dollar are still on the minus side (Puts more expensive than Calls), but we saw a very important change of direction this week, meaning we could see a much stronger Euro on the coming weeks. CFTC Eur Speculative Net Positions give an advantage for the dollar, but last week's Euro shorts were fewer in comparison to the week before. On the technical side of things, we can see a bullish expanding triangle indicanting a change of direction for this pair with a divergence on the RSI. SL below a key important support level (1.06600). TP on the last high for conservative's sake. FX:EURCHF
EURCHF Bullish Indicators:
1) Support zone 1.06807
2) Hammer candlestick on daily
Bearish Indicators:
1) Resistance zone 1.08602 Fib level 38.20%
2) Upward descending trendline
3) Downward trend
Plan A: After forming hammer on daily its looks like the pair will move upward from here and can test the upward trendline and the resistance zone of 1.08602.
Plan B: On the downside if the the pair broke the support zone of 1.06807 the pair can move further downside towards support zone of 1.06000.
Buying opportunity with EURCHFH2 time frame.
Structure: The downtrend line has been broken.
The key level of the smaller trend at 1.07500 has been broken.
The uptrend is confirmed. Here waiting for the price to retest after breaking the Key level can look for buying opportunities.
The profit target is the 1.08100 zone.
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Wish you all have a good trading day!