EURCHF Channel Down bottoming and giving a buy opportunity.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern on the 4H time-frame and is on its second Bearish Leg, pressured below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since November 08.
Having hit the 0.236 Channel Fib, the current forming of Lower Lows is similar to the bottom pattern formed on October 01. Even the 4H RSI sequences between the two fractals are identical, both on a Double Bottom that was the signal to buy at that time.
Our Target is 0.93500, still below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement (blue), which was broken during the October rebound.
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Eurchfsignals
EURCHF Sell signal on the 1D MA200 rejection.The EURCHF pair gave us a great buy-low-sell-high double trading opportunity last time we gave a call on it (June 28, see chart below) as not only did it initially rise to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, but straight after it dropped to the 0.618, reaching our 0.95500 Target:
The sell-off was in fact that aggressive that it reached as low as the bottom of the 2-year Channel Down, making a new Lower Low. The instant rise and rejection on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) confirms bearish extension bias similar to the June 22 2023 rejection.
We remain bearish on this pair, targeting 0.926500 and then after a new bounce, make a final sell for a new Lower Low.
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EURCHF Pump and dump in process.The EURCHF pair quickly delivered both of our Sell Targets that we set on our last analysis (May 22, see chart below) with a brutal sell-off that sharply broke even below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level:
Since last time we saw striking similarities between the Legs of this 2-year Channel Down, we have to make clear that the 0.618 Fib was where the March 15 2023 Low was formed and then rebounded to the 1.236 Fib only to get rejected again in the expansion process of the Bearish Leg.
As a result, we expect a short-term pump to that level, which we will short and target 0.95500 (middle level of the Channel Down as on May 22 2023).
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EURCHF Sell signal at the top of Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the September 26 2022 Low. Today it hit the 1.5 Fibonacci extension level which on January 13 2023 formed the last Lower High at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, this is the first long-term sell signal that has emerged since that date. We want to keep a safer, short-term perspective though and will only short towards the bottom of the current Channel Up (which is the Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Down) and target 0.977500.
If then EURCHF closes a 1W candle below the Channel Up, we will re-sell and target Support 1 at 0.95700, similar to the March 13 2023 Low.
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EUR/CHF - Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern Signals Bearish TrendThe EUR/CHF currency pair is currently exhibiting a Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour chart. Point D, identified as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), aligns with a critical Key Resistance area and intersects with a significant 4-hour Trend Line. This confluence of factors strengthens our bearish bias and suggests a potential bullish trend reversal from Point D.
Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern:
The Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern is a reliable technical indicator that signals potential reversal points in the market. In this case, the pattern's completion at Point D indicates a high probability of a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. This is supported by the alignment of Point D with a Key Resistance area and a 4-hour Trend Line, providing additional validation for this setup.
Confluence Factors:
Key Resistance Area: Point D coincides with a significant resistance level that has historically impeded upward price movement.
4-hour Trend Line: The intersection of Point D with the 4-hour Trend Line further confirms the likelihood of a bearish-to-bullish reversal.
Trade Setup:
Entry Point: 0.98030
Stop Loss: 0.98400
Take Profit Levels
TP-1: 0.97655
TP-2: 0.97280
TP-3: 0.96900
Conclusion:
The confluence of the Bearish Bat Harmonic Pattern, Key Resistance area, and 4-hour Trend Line suggests a high probability of a bullish trend reversal from Point D. Traders should consider entering at 0.98030, with a stop loss at 0.98400, and aim for the specified take profit levels. This setup offers a strategic opportunity to capitalize on the anticipated market reversal.
EURCHF Technical Analysis and Trade IdeaThe EURCHF has reached a crucial support level. On the 4-hour chart, there has been a significant downward price swing resulting in an imbalance. This imbalance could serve as a target for price correction. Currently, we observe a higher low on the 4-hour timeframe, and I'm actively seeking a buying opportunity if the setup described in the video materializes. Should we witness a break, retest, and subsequent failure of the current range high, I will consider a buy position. However, if price fails to exhibit this bullish setup, we will abandon this idea. As always, please note that this information is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.
EURCHF Wait for the perfect long-term Sell.The EURCHF pair is trading within a Channel Down pattern since the September 26 2023 Low. The current Bullish Leg is approaching the first 1D Golden Cross since February 06 2023, which was formed after the last Lower High on the 1.5 Fibonacci extension.
That (Fib 1.5 ext) is the ideal sell entry, which is currently at 0.9900 but the Risk/ Reward Ratio is good enough for a long-term sell even on the current levels. Our Target is the Channel's median at 0.95650, a little over the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
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EURCHF Rebound expected.The EURCHF pair stayed within the long-term Channel Down, got rejected on its top after our November 02 sell call (see chart below) and effectively hit our 0.941850 target:
Despite having more downside to drop it below Support 2, we expect a medium-term rebound as the 1D MACD is very close to posting a Bullish Cross, which within this Channel Down has been a buy signal that always sends the price back to at least the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result we have an immediate target at 0.9545.
We can't overlook the potential for a Rectangle pattern emerging, with the price targeting Resistance 1, if it breaks above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
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EURCHF Sell opportunity near the top of the Channel Down.More than a month ago (September 19) we gave a short-term buy signal on the EURCHF pair (see chart below) that quickly hit its target:
The price is now ranged within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) near not only the top of the 10-month Channel Down but also the Lower Highs trend-line from September 20 2021. The MACD is on a similar pattern as March 02. We are taking this as a sell signal, targeting Support 1 at 0.941850.
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EURCHF broke above the 1D MA50. Bullish signal.The EURCHF pair broke above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and closed yesterday's 1D candle exactly on it. This is the first bullish signal we encounter since the June 12 1D MA50 break-out. The long-term pattern is a Channel Down but since July 27, the price has been holding the 0.952250 level (Support 1) as well as the 0.96510 (Resistance 1).
As a result, we have the opportunity for a short-term buy if a 1D candle closes above the 1D MA50. Our target will be Resistance 1 (0.965100), which is also where contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) is expected to be made. The 1D MA100 has been the target during the previous Lower High formation (June 22 2023).
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EURCHF Buy opportunity on a MACD Bullish Cross.The EURCHF pair eventually hit our 0.95555 bearish target as set by our sell signal in June (see chart below):
The price is now past a 1D MACD Bullish Cross and on the bullish wave of the 7 month Channel Down. We therefore go long again targeting Resistance 1 at 0.96510 on the short-term and if a 1D candle closes above it, we will extend it towards the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) at 0.97100.
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EURCHF Bearish signal targeting 0.9555.The EURCHF pair is trading within a Channel Up since the March 23 High, below both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which formed a Death Cross a few days ago, the first such bearish pattern since August 02 2021.
The emerging MACD Bearish Cross will be the final confirmation signal ahead of the next downside target, as every Bearish Cross delivered considerable downside after its formation. You can set an immediate target at 0.964500 (Support 1). Our medium-term target is Support 2 at 0.955500.
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EURCHF Buy opportunity a little lower.The EURCHF pair is now trading below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) for the 5th straight day. This is a downtrend that started after the March 23 High. We are looking to buy lower near Support 1 (0.972500) assuming the 1D candle closes above it and target the September 2021 Lower Highs trend-line at 0.99000.
If it closes a 1D candle under Support 1, we will book the loss and take a sell position instead targeting Support 2 at 0.966500.
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EURCHF top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
EURCHF Buy unless this level breaksThe EURCHF pair has been trading inside a Channel Up since the October 12 Low, having formed a 1D Golden Cross in the process a month ago. As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) supports, we expect the price to rise and test the September 20 2021 Lower Highs trend-line. If a 1D candle closes above it, we will extend buying towards the red symmetrical zone at 1.01900.
If a 1D candle closes below the 1D MA200, we will take the loss and short instead towards Support 1, targeting 0.96460.
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EURCHF Approaching the key level of 1D MA200. Attention.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a Rising Wedge pattern since the November 14 Low. Supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), this price action, even since September, resembles that since December 2021. The RSI sequences match and the trigger to sell was a Double Top after an initial rejection on the 1D MA200.
As a result, a Double Top rejection around the 1D MA200 would be a bearish signal for us, targeting the 0.964600 Support (1). On the other hand a break above 0.99550 would be bullish targeting the Lower Highs trend-line of the long-term Bearish Megaphone pattern.
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EURCHF Massive Sell Signal formingThe EURCHF pair has been on a rise since the September 26 low, breaking above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) in the process. This formation resembles the February 07-10 2022 pattern both in candle terms and in 1D RSI, which as you see are identical.
The Feb pattern was eventually a top formation within the 0.5 - 0.382 Fibonacci retracement levels and subsequently a rejection followed that broke below the 1D MA50 and made a Lower Low on the -0.5 Fib extension. As a result, if the price breaks below the 0.382 Fib, we'd have a confirmed a bearish extension and we will target the 0.94100 Low of Sep 26. A break above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) would invalidate this pattern and target the upper Lower Highs trend-lines.
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⭕️BUY EURCHF at the best place and time 😉 ❗️🔰You can see the analysis of Euro to Swiss Franc in 30 minutes time frame (EURCHF_ 30 min)🔍🧨
💥If the price can break the line of Downward trend🖤 and Resistance🧡 to the top and stabilize❗ above it, it can have an upward trend until the SUPPLY zone🚀🔺
Do you think this analysis can be profitable❓
I hope the analysis was useful for you🤍🌹
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