Bearish drop?EUR/GBP is reacting off the resistance level which is an overlap support and could drop to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8322
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.8340
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Take profit: 0.8300
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Eurgbp!
EURGBP - Long active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. I expect bullish price action as we can see that price filled the imbalance and rejected from bullish OB.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
EURGBP - BOE decisions will make the GBP rise!?The EURGBP currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its descending channel. In case of an upward correction due to economic data this week, we can see a supply zone and resell within that zone with a suitable risk reward. Reaching the demand zone of this currency pair will lead to scalp buying opportunities.
The UK energy regulator has approved a £2 billion funding package to build a high-voltage “electricity superhighway” beneath the North Sea. This project, known as the “Eastern Green Link 1,” involves laying 196 kilometers of cable to transfer wind power from Scotland to northern England. The initiative is expected to supply electricity to approximately two million homes.
Rachel Reeves, the UK’s finance minister, stated that the government aims to achieve broad and resilient economic growth. She also reaffirmed the Bank of England’s target of maintaining a 2% inflation rate.
Andrew Bailey, Governor of the Bank of England, noted that inflation in the services sector remains above levels compatible with the inflation target. He stressed the need for close monitoring of this sector, as it reflects labor market developments. Bailey further mentioned that a gradual approach to easing monetary policy restrictions would help manage inflation-related risks more effectively.
Meanwhile, the European Commission has warned of heightened risks in its economic outlook due to the war in Ukraine, tensions in the Middle East, and protectionist trade policies. The Commission estimates Germany’s GDP growth to rise by 0.7% in 2025, down from an earlier forecast of 1.0%. Additionally, public debt in the Eurozone is expected to increase from 89.1% in 2024 to 90.0% by 2026. Inflation rates are projected at 2.4% for 2024, 2% for 2025, and 1.9% for 2026.
A Bloomberg survey revealed that economists now believe Germany may face a second consecutive year of declining output. Analysts expect Germany’s GDP to shrink by 0.1% in 2024 following a 0.3% contraction in 2023.A month ago, predictions still pointed to an economic slowdown only for this year.
Fabio Panetta, a member of the European Central Bank (ECB), stated that persistent weakness in domestic demand might drive inflation below 2%. He suggested that the ECB should consider shifting toward a neutral or even expansionary monetary policy. Panetta noted that the Eurozone economy remains weak, with no turning point visible in the manufacturing sector. He emphasized the need for the ECB to adopt a forward-looking approach, as excessive tightening of current monetary policies is no longer necessary.
Robert Müller, another ECB official, remarked that there is no need for larger-scale measures at this time. He also hinted at the possibility of a 25-basis-point rate cut in December.
EURGBPEURGBP weekly chart shows that the price is approaching a strong support zone of 0.83088-0.82346. If the price fails to break through the 0.82226 level, a rebound is likely. Consider buying in the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
>>GooD Luck 😊
❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
EURGBP Is Approaching The Daily TrendHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURGBP for a selling opportunity around 0.84100 zone, EURGBP is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.84100 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
EURUSD NEXT MOVEAfter a downtrend, the fundamental lines of this asset tend to show, as BTC, a new bearish position ready to launch ;
however the downtrend might still attract the price down, causing more of a zigzag kinda pattern, only time will tell ;
these arrows show the change of direction the price is taking about now.
EURGBP to find sellers at market price?EURGBP - Intraday
The primary trend remains bearish.
Our short term bias remains negative.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8338.
Early optimism is likely to lead to gains although extended attempts higher are expected to fail.
We look to Sell at 0.8338 (stop at 0.8362)
Our profit targets will be 0.8278 and 0.8268
Resistance: 0.8320 / 0.8345 / 0.8370
Support: 0.8307 / 0.8290 / 0.8260
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
EURGBP Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURGBP below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.8338
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.8301
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8361
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURGBP | 14.11.2024SELL 0.83150 | STOP 0.83600 | TAKE 0.82700 | Technical data suggests that the EURGBP pair will continue to move in a downward trend with possible slowdown dynamics. The pound shows more stable dynamics, supported by neutral macroeconomic indicators and a smoother decline in interest rates.
EURGBP Channel Down but short-term rebound expected.The EURGBP pair is trading within a 1-year Channel Down pattern since the November 16 2023 High. Three days ago the price made a Lower Low at the bottom of the pattern and rebounded. This was also on the 1.618 Fibonacci extension level, which based on the previous Bearish Leg, has high probabilities of sustaining a Bullish Leg.
Assuming the symmetry with January - April 2024 holds, we turn bullish now on this pair, targeting the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) at 0.84375.
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Potential bullish bounce?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.8303
1st Support: 0.8268
1st Resistance: 0.8341
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURGBP Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear friends,
EURGBP looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.8268 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8320
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.8242
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/GBP at Critical Support: Is a Move Higher on the Horizon?The EUR/GBP pair has been in a persistent downtrend since February 2023, reflecting the strengthening of the Pound against the Euro. However, after more than 1.5 years of decline, the pair is beginning to show potential signs of exhaustion on the daily chart. Recently, an “Engulfing” candlestick pattern has formed, suggesting a possible reversal or at least a significant correction before any further continuation of the downtrend. This brings forth two potential scenarios:
Scenario 1: Immediate Upside
One possible scenario is that EUR/GBP begins to rise from its current position near 0.8330, without a significant pullback. The bullish engulfing pattern formed over the past two days may indicate buyer interest, suggesting that the pair has found critical support.
Possible Buy Entry:
An immediate buy entry could target the resistance level at 0.8440 as the final objective.
Stop Loss:
A suitable stop loss could be placed just below the support level on the daily chart.
Scenario 2: Retracement Before the Rally
Another possibility is that EUR/GBP retraces to the 0.8297 region, which corresponds to the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward movement, before continuing higher. This type of retracement is common and can significantly enhance the risk/reward ratio of the trade when managed effectively.
Possible Buy Entry:
A buy entry could be initiated if the price reaches the 0.8297 level, targeting the previous resistance at 0.8440.
Stop Loss:
A stop loss positioned below the support level on the daily chart would be prudent to guard against an unexpected break of support.
Combining the two possibilities.
Given the uncertainty around which entry point will yield the best results (immediate or after a retracement), a strategic approach could be to enter with a smaller lot at the current price and follow up with additional entries if the price retraces to the 50% Fibonacci level.
By doing so, if the price begins to rise immediately, you can take advantage of the uptrend with a smaller position. Conversely, if the price does retrace, you would already have the full-sized position ready to take advantage of a better risk/reward scenario.
Alternative Scenario: Breaking Support
It is crucial to acknowledge that, despite the pair being at a significant support level on the daily chart, there remains a risk of a breakdown below this level. If the support at 0.8263 is breached, the bullish scenario would be invalidated, and we could see a continuation of the downtrend consistent with the prevailing movement since February 2023.
Possible Short Entry:
Traders might consider entering short following a confirmed break below 0.8263, targeting the 0.8100 region, which represents the next important support level on the daily chart.
The EUR/GBP pair is at a pivotal juncture, displaying signs of exhaustion after an extended downward trend. The forthcoming price movements—particularly around the current support zone—will be crucial in determining whether we witness a significant correction or a continuation of the decline. Traders should remain alert for confirmation signals before making any trading decisions.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
EURGBP Is Bearish! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.833.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.828 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support that acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.8336
1st Support: 0.8301
1st Resistance: 0.8354
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?EUR/GBP has reacted off the resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.8336
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.8369
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.8320
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Join My Bullish EUR/GBP Journey!Hey Traders! Today, I'm excited to share my bullish trade idea on the EUR/GBP currency pair. As we navigate through the current market dynamics, I believe there are several key fundamentals supporting this upward bias.
Current Market Fundamentals
- Economic Indicators: The upcoming release of the Confederation of British Industry (CBI) retail sales data is anticipated to show positive trends, which could strengthen the GBP. A robust consumer spending report can create a favorable environment for the Euro to gain against the Pound.
- Market Sentiment: Recent bullish candlestick patterns on the H4 chart suggest a potential reversal in the EUR/GBP pair. The price is currently hovering near the middle Bollinger Band, indicating a possible breakout.
- Technical Setup: The pair is trading between the 23.6% and 38.2% Fibonacci retracement levels, suggesting consolidation with potential for upward movement. This technical setup aligns with my bullish sentiment.
Utilizing Probabilities for Positioning
In my trading strategy, I emphasize the importance of probabilities to make informed decisions. Here’s why:
- Statistical Edge: By analyzing historical price movements and current market conditions, I can identify patterns that have a higher likelihood of repeating. This statistical approach helps me gauge potential outcomes more effectively.
- Risk Management: Using probabilities allows me to set realistic targets and stop-loss levels, ensuring that I manage risk while maximizing potential gains. For instance, if historical data shows a 70% success rate for bullish movements after similar setups, I can confidently position myself for long trades.
- Adaptability: Markets are dynamic; therefore, employing a probabilistic mindset enables me to adapt my strategy based on real-time data and changing conditions. This flexibility is crucial in maintaining an edge in trading.
Conclusion
With a bullish bias on EUR/GBP backed by solid fundamentals and a robust technical setup, I am ready to position myself for long trades using probabilities as my guiding principle.
Let’s keep an eye on the upcoming economic data releases and market movements that could further validate this trade idea.
Feel free to share your thoughts or any questions you may have! Happy trading!
1M:
2W:
2H:
P.S. If you have any questions about how I trade probabilities with the overall market direction, feel free to reach out.